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Tropical Cyclone Coverage At The Weather Channel • INFORMATION • FORECASTS • IMPACTS • UNCERTAINTY OUTREACH & EDUCATION
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Tropical Cyclone Coverage At The Weather Channel INFORMATION FORECASTS IMPACTS UNCERTAINTY OUTREACH & EDUCATION.

Dec 28, 2015

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Dortha Ferguson
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Page 1: Tropical Cyclone Coverage At The Weather Channel INFORMATION FORECASTS IMPACTS UNCERTAINTY OUTREACH & EDUCATION.

Tropical Cyclone Coverage At The Weather Channel

• INFORMATION• FORECASTS• IMPACTS• UNCERTAINTY• OUTREACH &

EDUCATION

Page 2: Tropical Cyclone Coverage At The Weather Channel INFORMATION FORECASTS IMPACTS UNCERTAINTY OUTREACH & EDUCATION.

What does The Weather Channel attempt to tell the public?

• Official forecasts• Official

watches/warnings• Uncertainty*• Potential impacts*• Real-time impacts via

live video*• (when it is “safe”)

Page 3: Tropical Cyclone Coverage At The Weather Channel INFORMATION FORECASTS IMPACTS UNCERTAINTY OUTREACH & EDUCATION.
Page 4: Tropical Cyclone Coverage At The Weather Channel INFORMATION FORECASTS IMPACTS UNCERTAINTY OUTREACH & EDUCATION.

Track Uncertainty

• The root of over warning

• Not always the same• Not the same as

landfall uncertainty

Forecast Track Uncertainty

Page 5: Tropical Cyclone Coverage At The Weather Channel INFORMATION FORECASTS IMPACTS UNCERTAINTY OUTREACH & EDUCATION.

WIND IMPACTS

• Damage related to wind speed squared

• Damage starts near 50 mph

• Locally complex due to flying debris & varied construction

• Often wind direction & duration dependent

Page 6: Tropical Cyclone Coverage At The Weather Channel INFORMATION FORECASTS IMPACTS UNCERTAINTY OUTREACH & EDUCATION.

Lili- Cat 1 at landfall

Page 7: Tropical Cyclone Coverage At The Weather Channel INFORMATION FORECASTS IMPACTS UNCERTAINTY OUTREACH & EDUCATION.

Inland Wind Impacts

Page 8: Tropical Cyclone Coverage At The Weather Channel INFORMATION FORECASTS IMPACTS UNCERTAINTY OUTREACH & EDUCATION.

Dvorak On-Air!

Page 9: Tropical Cyclone Coverage At The Weather Channel INFORMATION FORECASTS IMPACTS UNCERTAINTY OUTREACH & EDUCATION.

TWC Tropical Cyclone Wave Forecasts/Impacts

• 1)

Page 10: Tropical Cyclone Coverage At The Weather Channel INFORMATION FORECASTS IMPACTS UNCERTAINTY OUTREACH & EDUCATION.

SURGE IMPACTS

Page 11: Tropical Cyclone Coverage At The Weather Channel INFORMATION FORECASTS IMPACTS UNCERTAINTY OUTREACH & EDUCATION.
Page 12: Tropical Cyclone Coverage At The Weather Channel INFORMATION FORECASTS IMPACTS UNCERTAINTY OUTREACH & EDUCATION.
Page 13: Tropical Cyclone Coverage At The Weather Channel INFORMATION FORECASTS IMPACTS UNCERTAINTY OUTREACH & EDUCATION.

High Resolution Coastal Mapswith Topography in 2003!

Page 14: Tropical Cyclone Coverage At The Weather Channel INFORMATION FORECASTS IMPACTS UNCERTAINTY OUTREACH & EDUCATION.
Page 15: Tropical Cyclone Coverage At The Weather Channel INFORMATION FORECASTS IMPACTS UNCERTAINTY OUTREACH & EDUCATION.

TROPICAL CYCLONE RAIN POTENTIAL-NOT RELATED

MUCH TO STRENGTH!

Page 16: Tropical Cyclone Coverage At The Weather Channel INFORMATION FORECASTS IMPACTS UNCERTAINTY OUTREACH & EDUCATION.
Page 17: Tropical Cyclone Coverage At The Weather Channel INFORMATION FORECASTS IMPACTS UNCERTAINTY OUTREACH & EDUCATION.

Hurricane Floyd Rainfall

Page 18: Tropical Cyclone Coverage At The Weather Channel INFORMATION FORECASTS IMPACTS UNCERTAINTY OUTREACH & EDUCATION.

TWC EM Bulletins

• Available for all coastal states

• Your message not ours• Far reaching• Can prevent

shadow/over-evacuations

• Can save lives!

Page 19: Tropical Cyclone Coverage At The Weather Channel INFORMATION FORECASTS IMPACTS UNCERTAINTY OUTREACH & EDUCATION.

TWC EM BULLETINS

• Local EM information out through state EM

• Every state has protected web site

• Able to pick county (s) • Able to write

message(s)• Able to update/change

any time!

Page 20: Tropical Cyclone Coverage At The Weather Channel INFORMATION FORECASTS IMPACTS UNCERTAINTY OUTREACH & EDUCATION.

THE WEATHER CHANNEL HURRICANE COVERAGE

• We supply timely & accurate Emergency Management information on-air

• We are professional and consistent with hurricane forecasts and live coverage

Page 21: Tropical Cyclone Coverage At The Weather Channel INFORMATION FORECASTS IMPACTS UNCERTAINTY OUTREACH & EDUCATION.

TWC LIVE COVERAGE

• Safety first• Well-planned• Constraints• Reminding the public• Seeing is believing

Page 22: Tropical Cyclone Coverage At The Weather Channel INFORMATION FORECASTS IMPACTS UNCERTAINTY OUTREACH & EDUCATION.

Education & Outreach

• TWC talks and presentations• TWC teaching tools• TWC collaboration: NWS/FEMA/EDUCATION• TWC public service• TWC packages/stories• TWC science fair participation

Page 23: Tropical Cyclone Coverage At The Weather Channel INFORMATION FORECASTS IMPACTS UNCERTAINTY OUTREACH & EDUCATION.

TWC’s other information sources

• TWC radio• TWC .com

• can be very• important• when cable is• out!