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Treasury Products Part I

Nov 17, 2015

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  • Treasury Products

  • Toolbox

    The market offers a broad range of products to either hedge any market related risk, like

    interest rate risk foreign exchange risk foreign exchange risk credit risk liquidity risk

    or speculate on market developments

  • Products

    Products can be classified either by accounting standards Off-balance On-balance

    impact on the balance sheet in terms of liquidity Liquidity neutral Liquidity effective

    trading place Over the counter (OTC) Exchange Traded

  • Classification

    On-balance: Assets (loans, securities) Liabilities (deposits, issues)

    Off-balance: Derivatives (interest rate derivatives,

    foreign exchange [FX] swaps, credit derivatives)

  • Classification

    Liquidity Neutral: derivatives (interest rate swaps [IRS],

    futures, options, credit default swaps [CDS]) [CDS])

    Liquidity Effective: On-Balance Products Derivatives (FX swaps, cross-currency

    swaps)

  • Classification

    Over the counter (OTC): most on-balance products can be traded OTC tailormade derivatives are traded OTC

    Exchange Traded: Futures Future Options Equities

  • Classification

    There are two categories of Derivatives:

    unconditional forward contracts (Futures, Swaps, Forwards)Forwards)

    conditional forward contracts (Options)

  • Derivatives Overview

    bedingte Termingeschfte unbedingte Termingeschfte

    Derivative FinanzinstrumenteDerivatives

    conditional forwards unconditional forwards

    OptionenOptionen auf Futures

    brsengehandelt

    FX-OptionenZinsoptionen

    (Caps, Floors, Collars)Optionen auf Swaps

    OTC

    Futures

    brsengehandelt

    ForwardsFRAsSwaps

    OTC

    conditional forwards unconditional forwards

    Exchange traded Exchange traded

    FuturesFutures Options

    FX OptionsIR Options

    (Caps, Floors, Collars)Swaptions

    Underlyings: foreign exchange / interest rates / bonds / commodities/ equities / indices

  • Pricing

    Arbitrage-free conecpt:

    The fair market price is not based on future market expectation but on the assumption market expectation but on the assumption that there is no risk-free profit (arbitrage) achievable!

  • Pricing

    There aint no such thing as a free lunch!

  • Terminology

    Standardized tenors

    Overnight (O/N): value date = trading date (T)maturity date = starting value + 1 working day (T+1)

    Tom(orrow)/Next (T/N): value date = trading date + 1 working day (T+1)maturity date = starting value + 1 working day (T+2)

    Spot/Next (S/N): value date = trading date + 2 working days (T+2)maturity date = starting value + 1 working day (T+3)

    Spot/Week (S/W): value date = trading date + 2 working days (T+2)maturity date = starting value + 7 working days (T+9)

    Other maturities (1, 2, 3...,12 months) are generally quoted out of Spot (T+2)

  • Basics Interst rate calculation

    There are three ways to determine the number of days (D):

    Actual : Counting the actual numbers of days that elapse. Term of interest: 1 March 31 March: 30 days Term of interest: 1 March 1 April: 31 days Term of interest: 1 March 1 April: 31 days

    30: Each month counts as 30 days (remaining days in a month are subtracted). Term of interest: 1 March 31 March: 30 days Term of interest: 1 March 30 March: 29 days Term of interest: 1 March 1 April: 30 days

  • Basics Interst rate calculation

    There are three ways to determine the number of days (D):

    30E: Each month counts as 30 days (the 31st is treated as if it was the 30th; remaining days are subtracted). Term of interest: 1 March 31 March 29 days Term of interest: 1 March 31 March 29 days Term of interest: 1 March 30 March 29 days Term of interest: 1 March 1 April 30 days

  • Basics Interest rate calculation

    There are three ways to determine the day basis (B)

    360: Assuming that each year has 360 days 365: Assumption that each year has 365 days 365: Assumption that each year has 365 days Actual: The actual days per year are counted

    (leap year 366 days, "normal" year 365 days)

  • Source: Treasurers Handbook, Enthofer/Haas, p.42

  • Source: Treasurers Handbook, Enthofer/Haas, p.42

  • Interest rate calculation

  • Interest rate calculation - Example

    Bank A gives a 1-month deposit of Euro 5 million at 3 %. Start date of this credit is 1st October and end date is 1st November. The actual number of days for this period is 31. Basis of term calculation is 360 days per year.per year.

    The absolute interest of this credit is:

  • Interest rate calculation - Example

    You have lent GBP 10 million to a customer

    At the maturity date (153days after value date) you receive an interest value date) you receive an interest payment of GBP 165.994,52

    What was the interest rate?

    %3,96

  • Average interest rate calculation

  • Average interest rate calculation -Example 2 January - 2 April (90 days) at 2.5 % 2 April - 2 July (91 days) at 2.75 % 2 July - 2 October (92 days) at 2.875 % 2 October - 2 January (92 days) at 3 % 2 October - 2 January (92 days) at 3 %

  • Average interest rate calculation -Example 2 January - 2 April (90 days) at 2.5 % 2 April - 2 July (91 days) at 2.75 % 2 July - 2 October (92 days) at 2.875 % 2 October - 2 January (92 days) at 3 % 2 October - 2 January (92 days) at 3 %

  • Compound (Effective) Interest

  • Compound (Effective) Interest -Example

    2 January - 2 April (90 days) at 2.50 %2 April - 2 July (91 days) at 2.75 %2 July - 2 October (92 days) at 2.875 %2 October - 2 January (92 days) at 3.0%2 October - 2 January (92 days) at 3.0%

  • Compound (Effective) Interest -Example

    2 January - 2 April (90 days) at 2.50 %2 April - 2 July (91 days) at 2.75 %2 July - 2 October (92 days) at 2.875 %2 October - 2 January (92 days) at 3.0%2 October - 2 January (92 days) at 3.0%

  • Future Value

  • Future Value

    You take a deposit of EUR 1 Mio at a rate of 6 % p.a. for 92 days (Actual / 360). At the end of its term, the value of the deposit will be:

  • Future Value

    You take a deposit of EUR 1 Mio at a rate of 6 % p.a. for 92 days (Actual / 360). At the end of its term, the value of the deposit will be:

  • Present Value

  • Present Value - Example

    We know that the current yield of a US treasury bill is 0.50 %. The future value is 1,000,000 in 2 months (61 days). Calculate the present value of the T bill:the present value of the T bill:

    999.153,49

  • Present Value - Example

    We know that the current yield of a US treasury bill is 0.50 %. The future value is 1,000,000 in 2 months (61 days). Calculate the present value of the T bill:the present value of the T bill:

    999.153,49

  • Present Value / Future Value

    If you know the Present Value and the Future Value of an Investment you can calculate the implied interest rate (=yield):

  • Present Value / Future Value

    You bought a Commercial Paper at a price of 99,1234%; Notional amount 1.000.000; tenor 91 days (Basis 360). The implied yield is?is?

  • Present Value / Future Value

    You bought a Commercial Paper at a price of 99,1234%; Notional amount 1.000.000; tenor 91 days (Basis 360). The implied yield is?is?

    3,4985%

  • Yield curve

    There are four different types of yield curves:

    a) Steep yield curve : ("normal) short-term interest rates are lower than long-term interest rates.rates.

    b) Flat yield curve : interest rates for different terms are the same.

    c) Inverse yield curve : short-term interest rates are higher than long-term interest rates.

    d) Humped yield curve : at some point on the yield curve a non-linear hump exists

  • Yield curve

    4,00%

    5,00%

    6,00%

    0,00%

    1,00%

    2,00%

    3,00%

    4,00%

    O/N 1y 2y 3y 4y 5y 6y 7y 8y 9y 10y

    NORMAL

    INVERSE

    FLAT

    HUMPED

  • Interpolation

    In case you need to calculate a value on the yield curve between two given reference rates, you can use linear interpolation.

  • Interpolation

    1 months 1,23% (31 days)3 months 1,76% (90 days)1 months ????? (46 days)

  • Interpolation

    1 months 1,23% (31 days)3 months 1,76% (90 days)1 months 1,365% (46 days)

  • Forward rate

    Situation: You need to take a 20mn loan in 2 months

    time for 3 months You are afraid of rising interest rates You are afraid of rising interest rates You want to fix the rate already now

    Your options?

  • Forward rate

    Deposit given

    Loan taken

    Loan taken

    Deposit given

    Loan taken

    Spot 2 months 5 months

    Spot 2 months 5 months

  • Forward rate concept

    3,00%

    3,50%

    4,00% YtM-Rate - Swap

    6 M-Euribor/LIBOR Implied Forwardrates

    1,00%

    1,50%

    2,00%

    2,50%

    3,00%

    0,5 1 1,5 2 2,5 3 3,5 4 4,5 5

  • Forward rate - Example

    yield curve: 1 Mo 4,00 % 2 Mo 4,00 % 3 Mo 5,00 %

    FRA price:

    ? 1 / 4 3 Mo 5,00 % 4 Mo 5,00 % 5 Mo 5,00 % 6 Mo 5,00 % 9 Mo 4,50 % 12 Mo 4,00 %

    ? 3 / 6

    ? 6 / 12

  • Forward rate - Example

    yield curve: 1 Mo 4,00 % 2 Mo 4,00 % 3 Mo 5,00 %

    FRA price:

    ? 1 / 4 ~5,33 3 Mo 5,00 % 4 Mo 5,00 % 5 Mo 5,00 % 6 Mo 5,00 % 9 Mo 4,50 % 12 Mo 4,00 %

    ? 3 / 6 ~5,00

    ? 6 / 12 ~3,00

  • Forward rate calculation

  • Forward rate agreement - Example

    Forward rate calculation for GBP, starting in 3 months for a term of 3 months

    Interest rates GBP: 3 months = 7 % (91 days) 6 months = 7 % (183 days)6 months = 7 % (183 days)

  • Forward rate agreement - Example

    Forward rate calculation for GBP, starting in 3 months for a term of 3 months

    Interest rates GBP: 3 months = 7 % (91 days) 6 months = 7 % (183 days)6 months = 7 % (183 days)

  • Forward rate agreement (FRA)

    Your bank is quoting you 2,17% - 2,19% for a 2 / 5 FRA.

    To hedge your interest rate risk you areTo hedge your interest rate risk you are

    buying 20mn at 2,19 %

  • Forward rate agreement (FRA)

    2 months have passed and your 90 day Euro loan is going to be fixed at 3M EURIBOR.

    3M EURIBOR Fixing: 2,47 %

    What is happening with your FRA?

  • FRA Amount Due calculation

  • FRA Amount Due calculation

    14.067,72

  • Money Market FuturesExamplehttps://www.theice.com/products/#/38527986/Three-Month-Euribor-Futures

    Dezember 2015 Euribor Future, traded on ICE Futures EuropeContract specificationsNotional amount: 1.000.000Duration: 90 daysDuration: 90 daysValue date: 14.12.2015 ( = 3rd Wednesday in Dezember)

    Last traded price of 99,995 implies an interest rate of 0,005 %If interest rate rises the price of the future falls (e.g. 0,50 % = 99,50) and vice versa.The smallest price change of 1 Tick (= 0,005) equals 12,5 (1mn x 0,005% x 90 / 360)

  • Futures

    The strip

    Price quotation Yield quotation

    On actual market prices one could currently hedge the 3 month Euribor for Fixing Date 18.12.2017 at an interest rate of 0,195%!

  • Futures stripsavailable for major currencies

    USD LIBOR Futures showingexpected increase in interest rates

    Swiss LIBOR Futures trading above100 = negative interest rates!

    YEN LIBOR Futures indicateunchanged low interest rates

  • Interest rate swaps (IRS)

  • Interest rate swaps (IRS) -Calculation

  • Basis swaps

  • Cross currency basis swaps