www.harriswilliams.com Investment banking services are provided by Harris Williams LLC, a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA and SIPC, and Harris Williams & Co. Ltd, which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Harris Williams & Co. is a trade name under which Harris Williams LLC and Harris Williams & Co. Ltd conduct business. TRANSPORTATION & LOGISTICS INDUSTRY UPDATE │ FEBRUARY 2015
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TRANSPORTATION & LOGISTICS...Pending Logistics Wheels Group Inc. Provides third party logistics and supply chain solutions in North America. Radiant Global Logistics Pending Logistics
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www.harriswilliams.com
Investment banking services are provided by Harris Williams LLC, a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA and SIPC, and Harris Williams & Co. Ltd, which is authorised andregulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Harris Williams & Co. is a trade name under which Harris Williams LLC and Harris Williams & Co. Ltd conduct business.
Jeffery PerkinsManaging Director [email protected]+49 (0) 69 3650638 00
TRANSPORTATION & LOGISTICS
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ FEBRUARY 2015
LOGISTICS | DELIVERING WITH DATA: HOW LOGISTICS COMPANIES ARE SHIPPING…
With the immediacy technology has brought to life, customer service expectationsare at an all-time high. No industry is immune from those expectations, includingthe logistics industry, where delivery services face greater pressure to getpackages to their destination in the most timely and efficient way possible. Thisrang true over the 2014 holiday season, when trends such as omnichannel retailingand same-day delivery pressured carriers to improve delivery systems or risk losingcustomers.
Forbes
TRUCKING | DRIVER SHORTAGE MAKES CAPITALIZING ON LOW OIL HARD…
A chronic shortage of drivers means America's long-haul trucking companies arestruggling to capitalize on cheap fuel prices that could allow them to take goodsshipments away from railroads. A 50 percent fall in oil prices from their peak lastyear should have erased some of the cost advantage railroads enjoy, especiallyfor longer hauls. But for customers hoping to save money by switching from train totruck, the lack of drivers makes that harder.
Reuters
RAIL | IANA OFFERS BRIGHT FORECAST FOR 2015 INTERMODAL GROWTH
Neither U.S. West Coast port congestion nor the East Coast winter weather couldstop intermodal volume growth in 2014 and they won’t be able to this year either,the Intermodal Association of North America says. Intermodal volume increased4.8 percent in 2014 and will likely see similar-sized gains this year, thanks in largepart to a boost in consumer spending driven by plunging oil prices and astrengthening U.S. dollar.
Journal of Commerce
MARINE | CARRIER ON-TIME RELIABILITY PLUNGES TO NEW LOW AS RATES RISE
U.S. West Coast port congestion and the phasing in of major shipping alliancespulled global carrier reliability to a record low, adding an extra sting to rising rateshitting shippers, according to Drewry’s most recent Carrier Performance Insightreport. The sliver of good news in the report, released Sunday, is that Drewryexpects carrier reliability to improve in the coming months, as “new allianceservices settle down and each carrier group seeks to make their new servicesmore attractive to customers.”
Journal of Commerce
RAIL | FOR 2015, FREIGHT RAIL WILL CARRY THE ECONOMY
The U.S. economy continues to grow, and strong demand for rail servicedemonstrates that the freight rail industry is integral to this growth. By providingcost-effective transportation of goods, from lumber to oil to auto parts, freight rail isplaying a central role in positive economic trends — including rising gross domesticproduct, improving employment statistics and low gasoline prices. In 2015, thenation’s major freight railroads plan to spend an estimated $29 billion — whichwould set an annual record — to build, maintain and grow the rail network.
AAR
AIR | AIR CARGO ENDS 2014 ON A POSITIVE NOTE
The International Air Transport Association (IATA) released full-year air cargo datafor 2014 showing 4.5% demand growth compared to 2013 measured by freighttonne kilometers (FTKs). That is a significant acceleration from the 1.4% recorded in2013 over 2012. Air cargo market expansion gathered momentum as 2014progressed. The year finished on a positive note, with growth in Decemberaccelerating to 4.9%, compared to December 2013.
1/26/2015 Trucking Taylor Express, Inc. Prov ides regional dry van, dry bulk for-hire, and dedicated truckload
serv ices.
Celadon Group Inc.
1/9/2015 Trucking Gardewine Group Inc. Prov ides regional less-than truckload, truckload, and specialized
truckload serv ices primarily in Manitoba and Ontario.
Mullen Group Ltd.
1/5/2015 Logistics Freightquote.com, Inc. Largest prov ider of online freight brokerage serv ices in the United
States.
C.H. Robinson Company,
Inc.
M&A TRANSACTIONS
2
RECENT M&A TRANSACTIONS1,2
TRANSPORTATION & LOGISTICS
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ FEBRUARY 2015
PAGE |
PUBLIC MARKETS OVERVIEW
3
TRANSPORTATION & LOGISTICS
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ FEBRUARY 2015
TEV / LTM EBITDA TEV / 2015P EBITDA
AVERAGE REVENUE GROWTH (2011 – 2014E) AVERAGE REVENUE GROWTH (2014E – 2016P)
AVERAGE EBITDA GROWTH (2011 – 2014E) AVERAGE EBITDA GROWTH (2014E – 2016P)
8.1x
8.4x
10.5x
11.3x
11.5x
Transportation
Equipment
Trucking
Marine
Rail & Rail Services
Logistics Providers
6.2x
7.1x
8.2x
9.5x
10.6x
Transportation
Equipment
Trucking
Marine
Rail & Rail Services
Logistics Providers
6.0%
7.6%
8.7%
9.8%
11.8%
Marine
Logistics Providers
Transportation
Equipment
Trucking
Rail & Rail Services
5.5%
5.8%
6.2%
6.3%
6.7%
Rail & Rail Services
Transportation
Equipment
Marine
Logistics Providers
Trucking
7.9%
8.5%
9.0%
12.9%
18.8%
Logistics Providers
Transportation
Equipment
Marine
Trucking
Rail & Rail Services
10.6%
10.8%
10.9%
11.2%
14.9%
Rail & Rail Services
Transportation
Equipment
Marine
Logistics Providers
Trucking
PAGE |
STOCK PRICE PERFORMANCE
4
TRANSPORTATION & LOGISTICS
INDUSTRY UPDATE │ FEBRUARY 2015
(Indexed to February 18, 2014)
TRAILING TWELVE MONTHS
MEDIAN % CHANGE (1 MONTH) MEDIAN % CHANGE (12 MONTH)
2.5%
4.2%
4.2%
10.7%
12.6%
Trucking
Logistics
Providers
Marine
Rail & Rail
Services
Transportation
Equipment
(9.3%)
13.3%
15.0%
21.6%
24.3%
Marine
Transportation
Equipment
Logistics Providers
Trucking
Rail & Rail Services
(30%)
(20%)
(10%)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2/18/14 5/18/14 8/18/14 11/18/14 2/18/15
Logistics Providers Trucking Rail & Rail Services
Marine Transportation Equipment S&P 500 Index
PAGE |
OUR GROUP
Harris Williams & Co. is a leading advisor to the transportation and logistics M&A market. Our Transportation & LogisticsGroup has experience across a broad range of sectors, including third-party logistics, rail and rail services, marinetransportation, transportation equipment, niche transportation, automotive and heavy duty vehicle, and airport andaviation services.
Harris Williams & Co. has a broad range of industry expertise, which creates powerful opportunities.Our clients benefit from our deep-sector experience, integrated industry intelligence andcollaboration across the firm, and our commitment to learning what makes them unique. For moreinformation, visit our website at www.harriswilliams.com/industries.
Harris Williams & Co. (www.harriswilliams.com) is a preeminent middle market investment bank focused on the advisory needs of clients worldwide. The firm has deep industry knowledge, global transaction expertise, and an unwavering commitment to excellence. Harris Williams & Co. provides sell-side and acquisition advisory, restructuring advisory, board advisory, private placements, and capital markets advisory services.
Investment banking services are provided by Harris Williams LLC, a registered broker-dealer and member of FINRA and SIPC, and Harris Williams & Co. Ltd, which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Harris Williams & Co. is a trade name under which Harris Williams LLC and Harris Williams & Co. Ltd conduct business.
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