Towards universal energy access: regulatory dimensions Morgan Bazilian, Lead Energy Specialist WFER :: 25 May 2015, Istanbul, Turkey.

Towards universal energy access: regulatory dimensions

Morgan Bazilian, Lead Energy Specialist

WFER :: 25 May 2015, Istanbul, Turkey

A rapidly changing regulatory landscape

IEA WEO 2012; BNEF, 2011

Demand moving to Developing Economies

Persistent Inequity

Precedent of household electrification

0

20

40

60

80

100

1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

Per

cen

tage

pop

ula

tion

wit

h e

lect

rici

ty a

cces

s

USA Mexico Mauritius China Brazil

Thailand India UK Egypt South Africa

Source: Pachauri, S., A. Brew-Hammond, D.F. Barnes, D.H. Bouille, S. Gitonga, V. Modi, G. Prasad, A.Rath, and H. Zerriffi. 2011: Energy Access for Development. In: The Global Energy Assessment: Toward a More Sustainable Future. IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria and Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.

Three Targets:

UN Sustainable Energy for All initiative

One Goal: Achieving Sustainable Energy for All by 2030

Tracking and Enabling Environments

Global Tracking Framework (GTF) launched last week in NY

Readiness for Sustainable Energy (RISE) moving global in 2016

GTF

RISE

http://rise.worldbank.org10

RISE indicators in energy access

http://rise.worldbank.org

Electrification PlanNational PlanCoverage of Grid and Off-gridRegular Update

Enabling Environment for RE Developers to Invest in Mini-grids

Enabling Environment for Standalone Home Systems

Existence of RegulationsRegulation AttributesStandardsProtection against ExpropriationSubsidies or Duty Exemption

National ProgramStandardsSubsidies or Duty Exemption

Funding Support to Electrification

Affordability of Electricity

Dedicated FundingSubsidy to Household ConnectionSubsidy to Grid Extension

Utility PerformanceReporting PracticeFinancial Performance

Establishing a New Connection

Permitting a Mini-grid

Planning Policies and Regulations

Pricing and Subsidies

Procedural Efficiency

Energy access indicatorsCross-cutting indicators

http://rise.worldbank.org

Proportion of countries by traffic lights

Affordability of Electricity

Establishing a New Connection

Electrification Plan

Enabling Environment for Standalone Home Systems

Funding Allocation to Electrification

Utility Performance

Enabling Environment for RE Developers to Invest in Mini-grids

Permitting a Mini-grid

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Subsistence level of electricity

http://rise.worldbank.org

Time/cost of getting a household electricity connection

http://rise.worldbank.org

Enabling environment for mini-grid needs to be improved

http://rise.worldbank.org

Enabling Environment for RE Developers to Invest in Mini-grids

Permitting a Mini-grid

Energy Poverty – Ethical dimensions

• Issues in technologies– Cookstoves or gas ranges, consumer choice– Effective pricing for fuel substitution and safety nets

• Accounting for large unmet demand– Non-linear growth needed and higher per capita consumption– Ensure this is accommodated in planning

• Looking beyond households– Full economies need energy services– Supply and demand aspects

• Tradeoffs with environment– Make them explicit– Link regulations as appropriate

• Linking to other motivators– Beyond development to geopolitical security– Water, Agriculture, Education, Gender, etc.

Thank you

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