Towards Automation of Model Execution from a Decision Support

Towards Automation of Model Execution from a Decision Support Environment

MODSIM 2011, Perth, Australia

Ralf Denzer

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Outline

� Project objectives� Users� Approach� Common Services� Scenario Management System� Conclusions

Towards Automation of Model Execution from a Decision Support Environment

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Objectives

� Climate change

� What are the impacts on cities?

� How can urban planners consider the effects ofclimate change in their planning processes?

SUDPLAN is developing a 3D/4D web-basedplanning, prediction and training tool to supportlong term urban planning including the effects ofclimate change

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Climate Change Infusion

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Regional ClimateModel

Urban DownscalingServices• Rainfall• Hydrology• Air Quality• Climate Scenarios

Local Model

Objectives of the EDSS

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Model Control

Data Management

Visualisation

Integration

Reporting

Regional ClimateModel

Urban DownscalingServices• Rainfall• Hydrology• Air Quality• Climate Scenarios

Local Model

User Categories

Analyst

System

ManagerModeller

Reporting &

Decision Making

Service Provision

& Customizing

Modell

Development

Scientific

Workflows

Scenario

Management

User Categories

Analyst

System

ManagerModeller

Reporting &

Decision Making

Service Provision

& Customizing

Modell

Development

Scientific

Workflows

Scenario

Management

Support decision makers, expert planners, city

planners

Users Categories

Analyst

System

ManagerModeller

Reporting &

Decision Making

Service Provision

& Customizing

Modell

Development

Scientific

Workflows

Scenario

Management

Vision and Requirements of Scenario-driven Environmental DSS Supporting Automation for End Users

develop, integrate, configure mathematical

models

Users Categories

Analyst

System

ManagerModeller

Reporting &

Decision Making

Service Provision

& Customizing

Modell

Development

Scientific

Workflows

Scenario

Management

Vision and Requirements of Scenario-driven Environmental DSS Supporting Automation for End Users

Host, provide, install & maintain, administer

EDSS instances

Approach

Provide 2 Building Blocks� Services providing climate

change information on an urban scale

�Common Services

� Scenario Management Platform to support tasksinvolved in urban planning

�Scenario Management System

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Common Services

� Provide climate scenario data on a European scale, available for every city. Provide models capable of downscaling data to city level.

� All models and results are accessible through OGC service interfaces (SWE )

� City specific input improves the accuracy of the results

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Functionality

� Rainfall time series and IDF downscaling� Storm water generator� Hydrological conditions and runoff downscaling� Air quality downscaling

Scenario Management System

� Highly interactive,3D/4D graphics-based, DSS-environment

� Users define, manage, execute and explore different decisions and simulate decision scenarios

� Visualisation, comparison and documentation of different decisions

Requirements for the SMS

� Usability, Interactivity� Automation� Profiling� Information Management� Scenario Support (what If)� Model Management, Calibration & Validation� Advanced Visualisation� Documentation, Sharing, Publishing� Platform Management & Integration Support

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See: Schlobinski et al. in ISESS-2011,SUDPLAN Deliverable D3.1.1 Requirements Specification

Common Data

ApplicationDomain

System Feature

Local Model Integration

Common Service Integration

AdvancedVisualisation

Comparison

Climate ∆ Precipitation

Air Pollution Trends

Climate ∆ Temperature

Climate ∆ Air Quality

Urban Drainage

Urban Wastewater

Migration Trends

Climate ∆ Hydrology

Climate ∆ EffectsTraining

Scenario Management

SUDPLAN Dimensions

ApplicationLogic

ModelLogic

GenericLogic

SpecificLogic

Extension and Customisation Mechanisms

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generic functionality

provide customization

Realisation Status

� Model management (for Common Services) including management and basic visualisation of model input and output data (2D)

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Realisation Status

� Interactive visualisation of spatio-temporal data

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Realisation Status

� 3D visualisation of the terrain model and gridded results from local air pollution model

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Benefits (Common Services)

� Urban planners can easily include climate aspects in their planning processes

� Using the models they are using anyway� Without the need to develop a specific model

cost(integration) << cost(development of specific model)

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Benefits (SMS)

� Platform for EDSS that supports a large number of tasks

cost(customization) << cost(development)

� Can be transferred to other applications� Comes with integrated Common Services

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Summary

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We aim to ...

Improve the integration of climate changeinto urban planning decisions

Improve the link between climate change research, local modelling and urban planning

Increase the efficiency of systems development

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SUDPLAN is an EU FP7 funded projectunder the Information CommunicationTechnology program (ICT-2009-6.4),running 2010-2012.

Contact

Coordinator: Lars Gidhagen, [email protected]