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Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1 , Maria Thaker 1 Abi Tamim Vanak 1 , Bruce Page 1 , Rina Grant 2 , Rob Slotow 1 1 University of KwaZulu-Natal, 2 Scientific Services, SANParks
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Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

Mar 25, 2018

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Page 1: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on

large trees in Kruger National Park

Graeme Shannon1, Maria Thaker1

Abi Tamim Vanak1, Bruce Page1,

Rina Grant2, Rob Slotow1

1University of KwaZulu-Natal, 2Scientific Services, SANParks

Page 2: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

Shannon G., Thaker M, et al. 2011. Ecosystems 14: 1372-1381

Page 3: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

Large trees in savanna ecosystems

• Key role in ecosystem functioning

– Keystone components

– Nutrient pumps

– Habitat heterogeneity

– Increase biodiversity

Page 4: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

Damage to large trees: Role of elephant

• Foliage utilisation

• Breaking of large branches

• Debarking

• Pushing over

Page 5: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

Damage to large trees: Role of fire

• Removal of lower crown biomass

• Damage to tissues

• Topkill

Page 6: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

Effect of elephant and fire: are they additive?

• Elephant damage to trees

makes them more

susceptible to fire

• Opening up of canopy

increases fuel load

– Higher intensity fires

Page 7: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

Understanding the patterns of damage

• Determine impact of elephant, fire (main ecological drivers) and disease on large trees over a 30-month period subsequent to initial description

• Particular focus on the independent and combined effects of previous impact on subsequent levels of impact and mortality

Page 8: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

Surveys of large trees

• Transects: 2.5 years apart

(Apr 2006, Nov 2008)

• 22 Transects

(67 km total)

• Southern Kruger

• N = 2522 trees

(> 5 m height)

Page 9: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

1st survey of large trees

• location of individual trees

(≥ 5 m height)

• species, dimensions

• use/impact by elephant

(proportion tree volume removed)

• fire damage (proportion tree volume removed)

• disease (presence of wood borer, heart rot, etc)

Page 10: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

2nd survey of large trees

• each relocated tree assessed to determine additional level of impact by elephant, fire, disease

• New trees that progressed into > 5m height class were included and assessed

Page 11: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Elephant Fire Disease Mortality

Perc

enta

ge

All trees 5.0-6.5 m 6.6-8.0 m 8.1- 9.5 m > 9.6 m

Damages by height class

Page 12: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Elephant Fire Disease Mortality

Perc

enta

ge

All trees 5.0-6.5 m 6.6-8.0 m 8.1- 9.5 m > 9.6 m

Damages by height class

30%

16%

Page 13: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Elephant Fire Disease Mortality Progression into ≥ 5m height

class

Perc

enta

ge

Acacia nigrescens Spirostachys africanaSclerocarya birrea Combretum apiculatumTerminalia sericea

Damages by species

Page 14: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Elephant Fire Disease Mortality Progression into ≥ 5m height

class

Perc

enta

ge

Acacia nigrescens Spirostachys africanaSclerocarya birrea Combretum apiculatumTerminalia sericea

Heavy impact on Acacia, Combretum & Sclerocarya

*

* *

*

*

* *

*

*

* *

*

Page 15: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Elephant Fire Disease Mortality Progression into ≥ 5m height

class

Perc

enta

ge

Acacia nigrescens Spirostachys africanaSclerocarya birrea Combretum apiculatumTerminalia sericea

No worries for Terminalia sericea

* * * *

Page 16: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

What have we learnt?

• Mortality levels of large trees were 4.6% per annum

• Mortality was double that of progression into the > 5 m height class

• Pattern was species-specific

– Mortality > progression for some palatable species (A. nigrescens, C. apiculatum, S. birrea)

– Progression > mortality for less palatable species (S. africana, T. sericea)

Page 17: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

• At current rates of mortality and progression, composition and structure of large tree guild will change

• Pattern is heterogenous across landscape

- lowveld sour bushveld: highest levels of damage by fire and

elephant (highest mortality)

** 3rd survey in March 2011 (7 years after 1st survey)

Page 18: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

Previous damage affects the amount of subsequent damage

Page 19: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

(806)

(180)

(318) (1218)

Repeated damage by elephant and fire

Fire in 2006 No fire in 2006

Only fire

Only elephant

Both

No fire or

elephant

Page 20: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

(806)

(180)

(318) (1218)

If no elephant and no fire damage in 2006, then little subsequent fire impact

Fire in 2006 No fire in 2006

Page 21: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

(806)

(180)

(318) (1218)

If in 2006…fire only, elephant only or both, then subsequent impact by fire was similar

Fire in 2006 No fire in 2006

Only fire

Only elephant

Both

Previous elephant and fire damage are not additive…

Page 22: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

• When A. nigrescens is utilised by only elephant, then subsequent tree volume removed by fire increases by 1.11 times – Elephant damage makes A. nigrescens vulnerable to fire damage

– Certain areas with A. nigrescens were prone to fires

• Tree volume removed by subsequent fire increases by 1.12 times for Spirostachys and 1.3 times for Combretum, but only if previously damaged by both elephant and fire – Double the type of damage results in similar further impact

• Little effect of previous damage on subsequent tree volume removed by fire for Sclerocarya and Terminalia

Subsequent fire impact depended on species…

Page 23: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

(806) (1218)

(318)

(180)

Tree volume removed by elephant was highest for trees that were previously burned but not elephant utilised

Elephant do not repeatedly target the same trees

Fire in 2006 No fire in 2006

Page 24: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

(806) (1218)

(318)

(180)

Both fire and

elephant

Effect of previous fire and elephant damage were not additive

Subsequent elephant utilisation was not double

Fire in 2006 No fire in 2006

Page 25: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

Subsequent elephant impact depended on species…

• If a tree had previous fire damage, then tree volume subsequently removed by elephant increased – by 1.16 times in Sclerocarya and 1.23 times in A. nigrescens

Elephants targeted burnt trees!

• If a tree was previously utilised by elephant, then tree volume subsequently removed by elephant decreased – by 1.11 times in A. nigrescens and 1.18 times in Combretum

Elephants did not repeatedly target the same trees!

• Little effect of previous damage on subsequent tree volume removed by elephant for Spirostachys and Terminalia

Page 26: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

Type of elephant damage matters…

Page 27: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

0

20

40

60

80

― fire elephant disease ― fire elephant disease

pushed over (2006) debarked (2006)

Pro

ba

bili

ty o

f m

ort

alit

y (

Od

ds r

atio

) Trouble starts once you are pushed over…

25 times more likely to die

47 times more likely to die

Page 28: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

0

20

40

60

80

― fire elephant disease ― fire elephant disease

pushed over (2006) debarked (2006)

Pro

ba

bili

ty o

f m

ort

alit

y (

Od

ds r

atio

) Trouble starts once you are pushed over…

2 times more likely to die

Page 29: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

0

20

40

60

80

― fire elephant disease ― fire elephant disease

pushed over (2006) debarked (2006)

Pro

ba

bili

ty o

f m

ort

alit

y (

Od

ds r

atio

) Trouble starts once you are pushed over…

25 times more likely to die

47 times more likely to die

Page 30: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

0

20

40

60

80

― fire elephant disease ― fire elephant disease

pushed over (2006) debarked (2006)

Pro

ba

bili

ty o

f m

ort

alit

y (

Od

ds r

atio

) Just debark me and leave please…

6 times more likely to die

Page 31: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

0

20

40

60

80

― fire elephant disease ― fire elephant disease

pushed over (2006) debarked (2006)

Pro

ba

bili

ty o

f m

ort

alit

y (

Od

ds r

atio

) Just debark me and leave please…

2 times more likely to die

Page 32: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

0

20

40

60

80

― fire elephant disease ― fire elephant disease

pushed over (2006) debarked (2006)

Pro

ba

bili

ty o

f m

ort

alit

y (

Od

ds r

atio

) Just debark me and leave please…

6 times more likely to die

Page 33: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

What have we learnt?

Repeated damage is a problem but sequence of events matters

• Elephant did not target individual trees repeatedly

– Diminishing returns to over-forage?

• Elephant removed more volume from trees that were burned but not previously elephant utilised

– fire events may be facilitating foraging behaviour at the plant-scale (post-fire flush?)

Page 34: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

Repeated damage is a problem but sequence of events matters

• Intense utilisation by elephant is a bad start

– probability of mortality was much higher for trees that suffered subsequent damage after being pushed over or debarked

• Fire is the last straw

– Fire was the leading cause of mortality for trees previously damaged by elephant

Page 35: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

Acknowledgements • Amarula Elephant Research Programme

• UKZN Research Office

• SANParks

• National Research Foundation

• Dave Druce

• Alain Smith

Page 36: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,
Page 37: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,
Page 38: Tough times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant … times for large trees: Relative impacts of elephant and fire on large trees in Kruger National Park Graeme Shannon 1,

Strength of effect = odds ratio

0 1 10

Odds Ratio

Like

liho

od

10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1

5

Odds ratio 0.1 = 10 times less likely

Odds ratio 10 = 10 times more likely