National Landlords Association www.landlords.org.uk Top Ten Challenges Facing London Landlords Richard Blanco, NLA Representative
www.landlords.org.uk
National Landlords Association
www.landlords.org.uk
Top Ten Challenges
Facing London LandlordsRichard Blanco, NLA Representative
www.landlords.org.uk
1. Regulation of Buy To Let Loans
• Drivers
– Lots of landlords sell,
could “seriously affect UK
economy”
– Rise in BTL from 5% to
16% of the mortgage
market
– Landlords out of favour –
prefer homeowners and
Build To Rent
• Two Phases: 1 Jan & 30
Sep 2017
www.landlords.org.uk
1. New Criteria
• Phase 1 – Increased stress test - 1 Jan 2017
– Old criteria 125% @ around 5% rental coverage
– New criteria 145% @ 5.5% minimum
– Take into account tax status
– Different approach if remortgaging
– 5 Year fixes are exempt
• Phase 2 – ‘Portfolio Landlords’ – 30 Sep 2017
– 4 mortgages or more
– Assets & liabilities, business plan, cashflow
www.landlords.org.uk
Impact Of Phase 1 On Yields
Yield Max LTV
under old criteria
Max LTV
under new criteria
6% 96% LTV
(theoretically)
75% LTV
5% 80% LTV 63% LTV
4% 64% LTV 50% LTV
www.landlords.org.uk
Impact Of Phase 2
• Example of criteria: BM Solutions
– New cap of 10 properties, min income of £30k
– Whole of portfolio assessed at 145% x 5.5% & max
LTV of 75%
• Use specialist brokers
• Use different lenders
• Borrow less than expected
• Have to use commercial lenders
www.landlords.org.uk
2. To Re-structure or Not…
• 1 in 4 landlords consider incorporation/spouse
• Move to limited company (or LLP or both)
– CGT and SDLT
– 20% corporation tax and dividend tax up to 38.1%
– Corporation tax falling to 19% then 17% (2020)
– 7.5% Tax on dividends over £2,000 from 2018
– Ltd company must provide deposit for loan
– Restricted to commercial loans
www.landlords.org.uk
3. Uncertainty – Four Factors
• House prices
– Land Registry 4.9% in June (Halifax Aug 2.1%)
– Down 6.3% in Prime Central London (Knight Frank)
– Micromarkets: 15.7% W Forest, 14% Newham
– Where are we in the house price cycle?
• Tax Changes
– 19% landlords say they will sell (NLA)
– Opportunity (15%) or Negative portent?
– Landlord optimism at an all time low
www.landlords.org.uk
Uncertainty – Four Factors
• Brexit
– Economy is buoyant
but will this last?
– Impact on rental
demand?
– Falling pound
encourages
international investors
• Government Policy
– Anti landlord, pro FTB
& build to rent
– Letting agent fee ban,
deposit caps
3 year tenancies next?
www.landlords.org.uk
4. Your Business Plan
• Sell Up, Stay Put or
Expand?
• Move into Buy To Sell
(buzz of the refurb)?
• Your Plan Should
Consider
– Tax changes
– Yields
– Rental demand
– Opportunity for capital
growth
– Financing (taking
account of changes)
www.landlords.org.uk
5. Increasing Govt Regulation
• Documents when starting an AST to retain s21
– EPC, GSC, DPC, How To Rent, License, Alarms
• Energy Efficiency
– No F & G after April 2018/Request improvements
• Digital Tax from April 2019 (£85k +)
• Housing & Planning Act
– Electrical Safety, Civil Penalties, CMP
• New HMO Mandatory Licensing Definition
– 5 people in 2+ unrelated households – but when???
www.landlords.org.uk
6. Article 4 & Licensing Compliance
• 22 boroughs have or considering discretionary
licensing
• 8 boroughs have Article 4 directions
• www.londonpropertylicensing.co.uk
• Understand types of license
– e.g. many landlords wrongly or unlicensed in
Newham and Tower Hamlets
• Consider these factors when business planning
www.landlords.org.uk
7. Changes In Rental Demand
• Sales transactions
are down
– Down to 96,910 lowest
now since Oct 2016
– New instructions fell
for 16th month in a row
– Moves by mortgaged
homeowners down by
50%
– Drag caused by Stamp
Duty on properties
over £1m
– Gross mortgage
lending down by 8%
(CML)
– First Time Buyers up
by 8%
www.landlords.org.uk
7. Changes In Rental Demand
• 37% of landlords
report declining
tenant demand in
Central London in last
3 months
– 20% nationally – trend
is growing
– 23% decreased rents
• Brexit related or surge
in sales to April 2016?
• Reconsider your
target market, sell,
adjust price?
www.landlords.org.uk
8. Tips On Avoiding The Void
• Setting the right tone at
the start
• 12 month contracts,
works during tenancy
• Marketing photos on file
• Talk about renewal at
9th month, confirm at
10th month
• Viewings in 11th month
www.landlords.org.uk
8. Avoiding The Void
• Check out letter and
follow up visit
• Help agent – quick
access to keys
• Flexible on price and
furniture
• Line up contractors
• Quickly resolve
deposit return
www.landlords.org.uk
9. Is Build To Rent A Threat?
• 25% of new starts 2016 in London Build To Rent
(but PRS is 26% of housing in the capital)
– GLA estimates top 90th percentile - premium offer
– Drive up standards & expectations?
– Small landlords co-exist in student market
– 3% surcharge and high land values (over £1.05m)
• Could compete with
– High end HMOs
– Drive out lower end of market
www.landlords.org.uk
10. Affordability, Subletting, Scams
• High occupation levels
• Unscrupulous rent to rent
• Fake landlords, serially bad tenants, Gumtree,
Air BnB scams
• Take steps to avoid
– Proper referencing
– Induction and inspections
– Clear guidance and response to subletting
– Tell tale signs: cash up front, not lived in, evidence of
extra people, befriend neighbours
www.landlords.org.uk
Inside Property Podcast
• New monthly podcast
– HMOs
– Expand, Hold or Sell?
– Brexit & Investing
– Crime in the PRS
– Property in the media
– Scotland & Wales
– Maintenance
– Landlord tenant
relations
• insideproperty.org.uk
www.landlords.org.uk
Join Us
• Today for £75 instead
of £99
• Advice line & Library
• UK Landlord
• Discounts on
mortgages, insurance
and other services
• Your voice
• Be a professional
• 87% satisfaction rate
www.landlords.org.uk
What do you think?
Time For Questions
Richard Blanco, NLA Representative
To do business with the NLA
Handout of this session at my blog
www.richardblanco.com