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GM this week announced a partnership with Japan’s Teijin Ltd to develop alternatives to steel to meet increasingly stringent fuel efficiency standards. That could come in the form of carbon fiber reinforced composite material to replace sheet steel that is much lighter than steel, but is stronger. This substitution is seen by some material scientists as The Holy Grail given the high profile and massive volume of the American auto industry. Yet this particular effort has been under way for more than 20 years, and there are still no carbon fiber cars crowding the highways. That’s because there is more at stake than just weight and strength. Cost is a factor, as noted by SMA president Tom Danjczek, who said, “It’s
tough to economically mass produce a Bugatti” (apparently a high-end car beyond the reach of most reporter-types). But there is another, more important, factor: safety. Steel is strong but it also crumples, or crimps, absorbing the impact of a collision, protecting passengers. As to composite materials, I recall seeing shards of plastic on the road after a Pontiac Fiero crash back in the 1980s. To be fair, composites have come a very long way since then and the “crimpability” of reinforcing carbon fibers is key in this regard. But steel already does this in excellent fashion. It’s in its nature.
Shredded scrap prices in the showed a significant increase for the second consecutive week, climbing $16/long ton to $444/l.t, delivered Midwestern US mill, according to a weekly survey by The Steel Index. The index price is now up $29/l.t over the last two weeks, according to TSI.
Sheet price increases boost pre-Christmas shopping Americans have been conditioned to do their Christmas shopping early to avoid the holiday rush. Similarly, steel buy-ers are getting the nudge by mills to buy now or face a price hike later. But distributors aren’t necessarily complaining as price hikes raise the value of their inventories - and get end-use buyers in a shopping mood, as they need to avoid those future price hikes as well.
Severstal takes the lead on raising sheet prices (again) Severstal NA has made a sheet market leading sheet move once
again, announcing it will raise spot prices by $40/ton, effective
with Dec. 14 orders. It takes SNA's hotrolled coil list price to
$740/ton and coldrolled and galvanized substrate material to
$850/ton. "Steel demand in December continues to improve and
we expect even further improvement in 2012," SNA vp of com-
mercial Tom Marchak said. SNA also made the first move in two
recent rounds of sheet price hikes, a pattern not lost on domestic
buyers. "They are really trying to be the industry leader," said
one. Taking up sheet prices a third time in two months could be
risky. "The problem I see is two-fold. (SNA's) HRC lead time is Jan.
9, which is essentially 2-1/2 weeks because of the upcoming holi-
days," he added. "The second part is we are booking import for
early March arrival for less than $740, landed. For the time being,
I am booking import as the spread is too great not to."
USA has become a seller’s market when it comes to sheet Sheet prices continue their run-up in what's swiftly become "a
seller's market." Recent price hikes have quickly elevated mill fob
prices, with hotrolled coil going for about $680-700/ton and col-
drolled and galvanized material for roughly $780-800/ton and
$800-830/ton, respectively, prior to the SNA announcement. One
source said spot prices are likely to keep rising "as lead times and
scrap prices continue to make this a seller's market." He predict-
ed HRC would end the year "above $700 per ton." A trader
agreed, saying mills have "a little momentum right now."
Sheet demand rebound could be short-lived Some believe current sheet ordering is merely a short-term re-
lease of pent-up demand for goods. "Lead times have advanced,
but I would comment that the momentum is very tentative," said
one source. "There is no doubt the economy has shown some
improvement...I neither think it will last, nor is it a sign of a better
climate to do business. I think 2012 is going to be more of the
same." One distributor believes the latest price increases "have
some more legs as global prices are also starting to trend up. I
anticipate another price increase with things topping out in early
February." Still, many say rising prices and increased buying are
due mostly to a fear of being caught early next year without ma-
terial or seeing prices rise further. "(There's) nothing backing it up
in demand, so maybe we run up for another month or two before
we repeat the cycle," a Southern source said.
Mills followed suit with earlier $40-50 moves Following price hikes by competitors Nucor and AK Steel earlier
this month, RG Steel has informed customers it also will raise
spot sheet prices. RG said non-contract orders - for all products,
from all facilities - will increase by a minimum of $40/ton. Similar-
ly, AK announced an increase, effective immediately with new
orders, that takes its base prices up by $40/ton for hotrolled coil
and $50/ton for coldrolled and coated products. Nucor also told
customers it is hiking HRC prices $40 and CRC and galv prices by
$50, also effective immediately for new orders. Some believe HRC
could top $700 a ton, fob mill, if the current demand rebound has
some legs.
More US sheet hikes unlikely until world catches up Additional US sheet price hikes are unlikely to be implemented
before domestic spot prices reach an equilibrium with offshore
pricing, according to US analyst Michelle Applebaum, managing
partner at Steel Market Intelligence. "We believe sheet price in-
creases have been driven by a steep reduction in net sheet im-
ports that has taken more sheet out of the marketplace than new
capacity has added; the most recent uptick is also a function of
sharply higher prime scrap prices, in our view," Applebaum said.
"This type of supply/demand 'equilibrium' however is exceedingly
fragile and domestic sheet prices will be trading at higher-than-
normal levels relative to global if these hikes stick, so that we do
not expect to see more price increases until pricing offshore hits
an equilibrium." US HRC prices are up 2.3% so far this month. The
uptick is greater than China's 0.3% increase, and the 8.4% and
2.5% declines seen in Japan and Europe, Applebaum noted last
week. "
The Steel Index reveals big gains in sheet price deals The latest reference prices released by The Steel Index (TSI) show
that US coil prices continued to move upwards last week. Prices
are 1.6-4.0% higher week-on-week, and up $46-67/ton over the
past four weeks. The TSI hotrolled coil reference price, fob Mid-
west mill, gained 4% to $682/ton ($752/tonne) since the prior
week, while coldrolled coil and hot-dip galvanized sheet refer-
ence prices increased by around 1.6%. TSI bases its data on actual
transaction prices provided by steel producers and buyers.
Bureaucrats busy keeping dumping duties straight Trade case filings and final determinations often make the news - even beyond the trade press. There can be big im-pacts on consumer prices, global political relations and the health of the industries affected. But in the day-to-day world of government bureaucrats, trade cases continue to demand attention as adjustments, expirations and cancelations re-quire regular tending and reporting.
Japanese tinplate duties up for sunset review The International Trade Commission (ITC) says it will schedule a
full sunset review regarding an existing antidumping duty order
on tin- and chromium-coated sheet from Japan. The ITC is seek-
ing to determine whether revoking the antidumping duties on
those products "would be likely to lead to continuation or recur-
rence of material injury within a reasonably foreseeable time,"
according to an ITC filing. The commission will hold a hearing in
connection with the review on April 11, 2012. Requests to appear
at the hearing should be filed in writing with the secretary to the
commission on or before April 3, the agency says.
ITC green lights trade action on welded pipe imports The ITC voted to continue an investigation into imports of alleg-
edly dumped and subsidized circular welded pipe from India,
Oman, the UAE and Vietnam. Late last month the Department of
Commerce said it would pursue duties against these exporters of
roughly 3-48%, but the ITC has the final say in the matter. In its
preliminary finding, the ITC voted 5-0 that there is "a reasonable
indication that a US industry is materially injured by reason of
imports" in the welded pipe case filed by US producers. As a re-
sult, the DOC will continue to conduct its antidumping and coun-
tervailing duty investigations, with its preliminary CVD determi-
nation due around Jan. 19 and its preliminary AD duty determina-
tion due around April 3.
DOC rescinds AD review of welded pipe from Taiwan The DOC is rescinding administrative reviews of antidumping du-
ties on certain welded circular pipe and tube from two Taiwanese
steelmakers, following a request by sole petitioner US Steel. The
DOC had initiated a review of AD duties on the product from
eight Taiwanese pipemakers, including these two, in late June,
upon USS’s request. In August, USS withdrew its request pertain-
ing to six of the companies. The DOC then rescinded reviews of
duties on E United Group, Yieh Corp, Yieh Hsing Enterprise Co,
Far East Machinery Co, Kao Hsing Chang Iron & Steel Corp and
Tension Steel Industries Co. USS let stand requests for reviews of
AD duties on pipe from Yieh Phui Enterprise Co and Chung Hung
Steel Corp, but last month withdrew these as well, prompting the
DOC's canceling of the remaining reviews this week. The Taiwan
pipe duties range from 0% to 43.7%, covering standard pipe with
outside diameters of 0.375-4.50-inch and wall thickness of 0.065-
inch or greater.
Administrative review of Chinese pipe canceled In a development similar to the cancelation of new action on Tai-
wanese welded pipe duties (above), the DOC has canceled ad-
ministrative reviews of circular welded carbon quality steel pipe
from China as well. This was at the request of US petitioner the
Ad Hoc Coalition For Fair Pipe Imports. The coalition, which was
originally made up of Allied Tube and Conduit, Ipsco Tubulars,
Sharon Tube Co, Western Tube & Conduit Corp and Wheatland
Tube Co, withdrew its request for a review of 29 Chinese pipe
makers who shipped product to the US between July 1, 2010, and
June 30, 2011.
US adjusts dumping duties on Turkish welded pipe The DOC has concluded its administrative review of welded car-
bon pipe and tube from Turkey and adjusted antidumping duties
on behalf of domestic producers US Steel, Allied Tube and Con-
duit and TMK Ipsco, The AD duties for the May 1, 2009 through
April 30, 2010 period of review have been set at 4.46% for the
Borusan Group and 0.95% for Toscelik. Those duties will apply
retroactively to the period of review and be collected as cash
deposits for imports from these producers going forward. Turkish
producers have previously been assigned AD and countervailing
duties for standard pipe and AD duties for light-walled rectangu-
lar pipe and tube. For Turkish standard pipe the duties range
from 3.28-28.28%, while CVDs on the same product range from
0.84-7.26%. AD duties on Turkish light-walled rectangular tubes
are 27.04-41.71%.
Plate prices going up $50 for February shipments (continued from page 1) . . . although ArcelorMittal did not im-
mediately confirm it. Earlier this month ArcelorMittal, Nucor and
SSAB announced a $30/ton increase in plate transaction pricing
for January shipments. With market sentiment pointing toward
the January price hikes sticking, attention now turns to the Febru-
ary moves. The ability of domestic mills to pass on the second
round of price hikes will likely hinge on scrap and imports. A key
scrap benchmark price climbed $30/long ton for December. “It is
expected that scrap will go up again in January which will support
the (latest) increase,” one Midwestern plate buyer said.
“The projects in Alabama are vital to Lakeside’s future success. Producing high-quality, heat-treated products in the most efficient manner possible will ensure that our
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