Relating changes in Relating changes in extremes to impacts over extremes to impacts over the Mediterranean: the Mediterranean: developments since the AGM developments since the AGM and application to D6.8 and application to D6.8 Tom Holt Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK ENSEMBLES WP6.2, Helsinki, April, 2007
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Tom Holt Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK
Relating changes in extremes to impacts over the Mediterranean: developments since the AGM and application to D6.8. Tom Holt Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK ENSEMBLES WP6.2, Helsinki, April, 2007. Summary. Not much time spent on WP6.2 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Relating changes in extremes to Relating changes in extremes to impacts over the Mediterranean: impacts over the Mediterranean:
developments since the AGM and developments since the AGM and application to D6.8 application to D6.8
Tom HoltClimatic Research Unit,University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK
ENSEMBLES WP6.2, Helsinki, April, 2007
SummarySummary• Not much time spent on WP6.2
– Two months on another project– Work on other ENSEMBLES WPs
• Problems making links with climate data– Too many other variables?– Numbers of tourists might be more
appropriate statistic than income from tourists
• Lack of good data available free– Europe is trying but is not there yet
Agricultural modelsAgricultural models
• The following climate vulnerability models have been developed and can be done for all Europe (where relevant!)– Wheat– Potatoes– Chickens– Sheep– Cattle– Citrus– Olives– Grapes
D6.8 (1)D6.8 (1)
Preliminary report on changes in climate extremes and their relation to flood risk, agriculture, forest and property damage – Requires models on:
• Human health• Flooding• Drought• Wind storm• Forest damage• Agriculture (not clearly specified in the DoW)
D6.8 (2)D6.8 (2)
UEA has models on:• Human health
– heat stress– Atmospheric pollution
• Drought– What impacts?
• Agriculture• + a small contribution to wind storm and flooding• return period modeling and probabilities of extremes
– Other partners are also contributing to human health and agriculture.