TMC 2017 Spring Far Horizon Future Truck Final

TMC Future Truck Far Horizons Spring 2017

GHG 2 IAA Commercial Vehicle in Hannover ATA MC&E, SAE Comvec, and ELD Mandate DOT Connected Vehicle Rules DOT Autonomous Vehicle Guidelines Technology Trending Imagination (Backup Only)

Trucking’s Mission

Move Freight S afely E fficiently e X peditiously

GHG 2

Engine—Spark Ignited Friction Reduction Variable Valve Timing Coupled Cam Phasing for Overhead Valve and Single Overhead Camshaft Intake Cam {hasing for Dual Overhead Camshaft Dual Cam Phasing for Dual Overhead Camshaft Engines Variable Valve Lift Discrete Variable Valve Lift Cylinder Deactivation Stoichiometric Gasoline Direct Injection Turbocharging and Downsizing Engine Down Speeding

Engine—Combustion Ignited Low Temperature Exhaust Gas Recirculation Combustion System Optimization Model Based Control Turbocharging System Engine Breathing System Engine Parasitic and Friction Reduction Integrated Aftertreatment System Engine Downsizing and Down Speeding Waste Heat Recovery

GHG 2Aerodynamics Active Grille Shutter Innovative Plastics Complete Vehicle Redesign (SuperTruck I and II)

Tires Improved Rolling Resistance Wide Base Singles Tire Pressure Systems Retreaded Tires

Transmissions Optimizing Number of Gears and Gear Ratios Gear Efficiencies Shift Strategiess Architectures (AMT, DCT) Hybrid Powertrain Systems

Axles Axle Efficiency Gear Ratio Tandem Drive Axle Improvements (6x2)

Weight Reduction Material Substitution Synergistic Effects—Reduced Power Demand

Variable Speed Limiter Reduced Idling Time Engine Shutdown with Alternate Power Source during Hoteling

Idle Control Technologies Tamper-Proof AESS, Tamper-Proof AESS w/Diesel APU’ Tamper-Proof AESS w.Battery APU, Tamper-Proof AESS w/ Automatic Stop-Start, Tamper-Proof AESS w/ FOH Cold, Main Engine Warm, Adjustable AESS w/ Disel APU, Adjustable AESS w/ Battery APU, Adjustable AESS w/ Atuomatic Stop-Start, Adjustable AESS w/ FOH Cold, Main Engine Warm, Adjustable AESS programmed to 5 minutes

Stop Start (different than above?) Neutral Idle

Air Conditioning Refrigerant Leakage System Efficiency Solar Control

GHG 2

Other Accessory Improvements Predictive Cruise Control Similar, not exact list for HD Pickups and Vans Mild and Strong Hybrids Electrification

Another List for Vocational Vehicles Trailers Aerodynamic Drag Reduction Tire Rolling Resistance Tire Pressure Systems Weight Reduction

Tractors Will Be More Aerodynamic

More Electric, Better Air Conditioning

Super Duper Twoper for 21st Century

http://www.navistar.com/navistar/news/

Sept 28, 2016

http://www.volvotrucks.us/about-volvo/news-and-events/high-tech-supertruck-exceeds-goals/ http://social.cummins.com/cummins-partner-peterbilt-supertruck-ii/

http://media.daimler.com/marsMediaSite/en/instance/ko/Daimler-Trucks-North-America-presents-the-all-new-Freightlin.xhtml?oid=13520926

https://energy.gov/eere/vehicles/vehicle-technologies-office-21st-century-truck-partnership

GHG 2 Summary

Huge opportunity for competitive advantage for OEMs

Huge opportunity for confusion for fleets

Fleets should create their own basket of technologies

IAA 2016 & CES 2017—Electrifying

IAA 2016

Eaton

ZF

Meritor

Daimler

Dana

BWP

Iveco Z Truck Concept

Voith

Volvo

MAN

FUSO

In Case You Think It’s All Hot Air

ATA MC&E, SAE ComVec, ELD Mandate

Increasing Feature War ala Engine ECUs

Connected

DOT Connected Vehicle Rules

NPRM Issues December 13, 2016

90 Day Comment Period Light Vehicles 10,000 Pounds or Less Start 2 Years after Final Rule 50% Year 1, 75% Year 2, 100% Year 3 Basic Safety Message (BSM) over DSRC

Time Location based on defined Vehicle Reference Point (problem for tractors with varying trailer lengths)

Longitude, Latitude, Elevation Movement

Speed, Heading, Acceleration, Yaw rate (Stability Control coming for truck tractors), path history, path prediction, exterior lights, event flags

See SAE J2735 Vehicle Based Motion Indicators

Transmission state, steering wheel angle Vehicle Size Optional Data Elements Excluded Data Elements

https://www.nhtsa.gov/press-releases/us-dot-advances-deployment-connected-vehicle-technology-prevent-hundreds-thousands

DOT Autonomous Vehicle Guidelines

https://www.transportation.gov/AV

15-Point Safety Assessment•Operational Design Domain: How and where the HAV is supposed to function and operate; • Object and Event Detection and Response: Perception and response functionality of the

HAV system; • Fall Back (Minimal Risk Condition): Response and robustness of the HAV upon system

failure; • Validation Methods: Testing, validation, and verification of an HAV system; • Registration and Certification: Registration and certification to NHTSA of an HAV system; • Data Recording and Sharing: HAV system data recording for information sharing,

knowledge building and for crash reconstruction purposes; • Post-Crash Behavior: Process for how an HAV should perform after a crash and how

automation functions can be restored; • Privacy: Privacy considerations and protections for users; • System Safety: Engineering safety practices to support reasonable system safety; • Vehicle Cybersecurity: Approaches to guard against vehicle hacking risks; • Human Machine Interface: Approaches for communicating information to the driver,

occupant and other road users; • Crashworthiness: Protection of occupants in crash situations; • Consumer Education and Training: Education and training requirements for users of HAVs; • Ethical Considerations: How vehicles are programmed to address conflict dilemmas on the

road; and • Federal, State and Local Laws: How vehicles are programmed to comply with all applicable traffic laws.

Division of Federal and State ResponsibilityFederal responsibilities include: • Setting safety standards for new motor vehicles and motor vehicle

equipment; • Enforcing compliance with the safety standards; • Investigating and managing the recall and remedy of non-compliances

and safety-related motor vehicle defects on a nationwide basis; • Communicating with and educating the public about motor vehicle

safety issues; and • When necessary, issuing guidance to achieve national safety goals

State responsibilities include: • Licensing (human) drivers and registering motor vehicles in their

jurisdictions; • Enacting and enforcing traffic laws and regulations; • Conducting safety inspections, when States choose to do so; and • Regulating motor vehicle insurance and liability.

Hype, Adoption, and “The Chasm”

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Where would you place these items?CamerasVirtual RealityESCData standardizationTire Pressure MonitoringBiometricsAMTRadar Collision WarningAutonomous VehiclesElectric Vehicles (Nikola)Wireless???

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Recommended Maintenance

Practices

FutureTruck Position Paper

Recommended Design

Practices

Cycle Disconnect

• Infrastructure takes a long time• Vehicles take a bit less• Consumer electronics take very little• We’ve talked about the disconnect with consumer

electronics expectations and passenger cars for decades

• We don’t have Apple CarPlay in a truck yet• Pass cars may have V2V required in 2019• And we expect automated trucks when?

Trucking’s Mission

Move Freight S afely E fficiently e X peditiously

Thanks!

Imagination

Photo Parts Search

OEM CAD/CAE has capability to search “similar” partsTried searching for universal joint from iPhone photoResults now are disappointing

Amazon Go

http://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/news/2016/12/05/amazon-go-supermarket-no-checkout-no-cashiers-artificial-intelligence-sensors/94991612/

Apply to rear of trailer as material goes in and out

The Freight Shuttle System: A 21st Century Solution to Freight Transportation Challenges

Inland Ports? Platooning/Autonomous Vehicles?

Hud, Touch, Augmented, Virtual, Reality

• Continental HUD at IAA

• Boeing Touch

• Augmented

• Virtual• LangMekra, WABCO, Continental and several more

• Reality• Scania, Freightliner Cascadia (show pictures)

Touch Me

Holographic Lighting

http://www.hella.com/hella-com/en/Technology-Products-19-10-2016-12601.html

Imagine a driver wearing gloves that change color when he does something good or bad with the steering wheel

How Fast will an AT (autonomous tractor) go?

Which Lane Is Best?

http://www.traffictechnologytoday.com/news.php?NewsID=80087

The Sun Is Shining

Where Is Natural Gas Going?

Imagine

Any Shape You Want

Dynamic Trailer Advertising

License Plates—Change After 125 YearsWhat else? Labelling on door?

The rPlate houses a GPS, accelerometer, RF sensors, CAN bus access, storage and is built to withstand all weather and extreme conditions. The rPlate's 6" x 12" display is the same size as a standard state license plate and its anti-reflective screen is legible in all weather conditions.