Investor Update BMO 13 th Annual Infrastructure & Utilities Conference February 2016
Investor Update BMO 13th Annual Infrastructure & Utilities Conference
February 2016
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FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS This presentation and other information provided contains certain “forward looking statements”. These statements relate to future events or future performance and reflect management’s expectations regarding our growth, results of operations, performance, business prospects and opportunities and industry performance and trends. They reflect management’s current internal projections, expectations or beliefs and are based on information currently available to management. Some of the market conditions and factors that have been considered in formulating the assumptions upon which forward looking statements are based include traffic, the Canadian Dollar relative to the US Dollar, fuel costs, construction costs, the state of the local economy, fluctuating financial markets, demographics, tax changes, and the requirements of the Coastal Ferry Services Contract. Forward looking statements included in this document include statements with respect to: economic conditions, traffic levels,and fuel prices; our short-term and long-range business plans, and capital expenditureand financing activity forecasts; our Fare Flexibility and Digital Experience Initiative, Salish Class vessels, Baynes Sound Connector, LNG plans, and Spirit Class mid life upgrades; and expectations regarding our drop trailerand BC Ferries Vacations businesses. In some cases, forward looking statements can be identified by terminology such as “may”, “will”, “should”, “expect”, “plan”, “anticipate”, “believe”, “estimate”, “predict”, “potential”, “continue” or the negative of these terms or other comparable terminology. A number of factors could cause actual events or results to differ materially from the results discussed in the forward looking statements. In evaluating these statements, prospective investors should specifically consider various factors including, but not limited to, the risks and uncertainties associated with: vendor non-performance; capital market access; interest rate, foreign currency, fuel price, and traffic volume fluctuations; the implementation of major capital projects; security, safety, and environmental incidents; confidential or sensitive information breaches; changes in laws; vessel repair facility limitations; economic regulatory environment changes; tax changes; and First Nation claims. Actual results may differ materially from any forward looking statement. Although management believes that the forward looking statements contained in this presentation and other information provided are based upon reasonable assumptions, investors cannot be assured that actual results will be consistent with these forward looking statements. These forward looking statements are made as of the date of this presentation, and British Columbia Ferry Services Inc. assumes no obligation to update or revise them to reflect new events or circumstances except as may be required by applicable law. In addition to providing measures prepared in accordance with IFRS, we present certain supplemental non-IFRS measures. These include, but are not limited to, vehicle and passenger traffic,and number of sailings. These measures do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and therefore are unlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. These supplemental non-IFRS measures are provided to assist readers in determining our ability to generate cash from operations and improve the comparability of our results from one period to another. We believe these measures are useful in assessing operating performance of our ongoing business on an overall basis.
Disclaimer
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I. Introduction
II. Corporate Update
III. Contractual & Regulatory Overview
IV. Financial Update
V. Summary
Table of Contents
I. Introduction
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• 4 Major Routes – connecting Vancouver Island and Sunshine Coast to the Lower Mainland of British Columbia (64% of passenger traffic and 60% of vehicle traffic)
• 2 Northern Routes –service the Province’s mid & north coast and Haida Gwaii
• 18 Other Routes – connect the Gulf Islands and small communities on Vancouver Island and Lower Mainland
Overview of Operations
BC Ferries’ Infrastructure
Routes
Terminals
Vessels
• Operate a fleet of 35 vessels of varying size • Average age of vessel fleet (weighted by
gross tonnage) is approx. 22 years
• 5 major and 42 minor terminals • Major terminals are: Tsawwassen; Swartz
Bay; Horseshoe Bay; Duke Point; and Departure Bay
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Michael J. Corrigan, President & CEO
• Appointment effective 01/01/12 • Joined BC Ferries in 2003 • Former positions: Chief Operating
Officer and EVP of Business Development
Officers of the Company
Janet Carson
VP, Marketing & Travel Services
Mark Wilson
VP, Engineering
Alana Gallagher
Treasurer
Cynthia Lukaitis
VP & Corporate
Secretary
Captain D.W. James
Marshall
VP, Fleet Operations
Corrine Storey
VP, Customer
Services
Pierre Vorster
VP & Chief Information
Officer
President & CEO
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Dennis Dodo
Chief Financial
Officer
Glen Schwartz
EVP, HR & Corporate
Development
Mark Collins
VP, Strategic Planning & Community Engagement
Management Team
II. Corporate Update
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Fiscal Year 2015 in Review
• Carried 19.8 million passengers and 7.7 million vehicles on over 171,000 sailings
• Invested $150 million in capital expenditures for new vessels, vessel upgrades, modifications, terminals and information technology
• Generated $78 million in food and retail sales which contributes valuable non-tariff revenue and assists with fare affordability
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• Key Economic Factors: Lower Canadian Dollar; Lower Fuel Prices
Employee Safety Performance
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0
3,000
6,000
9,000
12,000
15,000
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15
# of D
ays L
ost
# of T
ime L
oss I
njur
ies
Employee Time Loss Injuries
Days Lost
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Revenue Make Up
Break out of FY2015 Total Revenue ($841M)
• Tariff and reservation revenue on the three large routes from Vancouver Island to Greater Vancouver represented half of total revenue in FY2015
Tariff Revenue - Van. Island to
Vancouver Routes 50%
Tariff Revenue - All Other Routes
18% Catering, On-board
& Other 11%
Federal & Provincial Fees 21%
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Traffic
• Traffic has been strong this fiscal – up more than 4% from FY2015 • On a rolling 12 month total, we surpassed 20M passengers in June
and we are now at levels last seen in August 2011
Current Trends - Passengers
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Onboard Ancillary Revenue
FY2015: $78.3 million in ancillary revenue (food and retail)
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4.95
4.88
4.86
4.91
5.11
5.18
5.22
4.60
4.70
4.80
4.90
5.00
5.10
5.20
5.30
F2010 F2011 F2012 F2013 F2014 F2015 F2016(F)
Aver
ae P
asse
nger
Spe
ndFleetwide Average Passenger Spend (APS)
Five Year Extension
• In 2015, BC Ferries reached an agreement with the BC Ferry & Marine Workers’ Union
• Five year extension (Oct 31, 2015 to Oct 31, 2020) • Modest wage increases averaging 1.71% per year
• Approximately 3,500 employees are covered by the Collective Agreement
Collective Agreement Update
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“The five-year agreement provides for fair and modest wage and benefit increases for our employees while continuing to provide an efficient and dependable service.” “This agreement will mark 17 years of labour stability at BC Ferries.”
- Mike Corrigan, BC Ferries’ President and CEO
Drop Trailer/Commercial Services
Year Over Year Increases Fiscal 14 Fiscal 15
Commercial Revenue 3.8% 3.5%
Drop Trailer Revenue 14.4% 13.5%
Drop Trailer Throughput
(units) 14.8% 10.0%
Drop Trailer Net Contribution 15.9% 17.5%
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Milestone – Carried our 150,000th drop trailer this year
• Net Contribution is approaching $10m
BC Ferries Vacations
BC Ferries Vacations
Fiscal 2013
Fiscal 2014
Fiscal 2015
Gross Sales Revenue $3.0m $3.3m $4.3m
Gross Margin $670k $959 $1.4m
Net Contribution $268k $437k $718k
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III. Contractual and Regulatory Overview
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Governance Structure
BC Ferries (Service Provider)
Provide Safe & Efficient Service
Provincial Government
Sets Service Levels 60-Year Contract
BC Ferries Commissioner Holds BC Ferries Accountable
Regulator
Customer
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Regulated Fares
• Price Caps: Maximum average fare increases
• Coastal Ferry Act: Requires the Commissioner to set price caps sufficient to enable the ferry operator to meet debt obligations and maintain access to reasonable borrowing rates
• Coastal Ferry Contract: Province sets service levels and associated subsidy • Province to provide $155.4M annually in subsidy • Additional support for medical and school related travel • Federal subsidy increases at CPI in perpetuity, ~$29M p.a.
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Final Performance Term 4 (PT4) Price Caps • PT4: Four years from April 2016 to March 2020
• PT4 Price Caps
• 1.9% per annum for the four year period
• Target Ratios as determined by Commissioner • Equity not lower than 17.5% of total capitalization • Debt Service Coverage Ratio of 2.5 or higher
• Fuel Set Price Determined by Commissioner
• Fuel Set Price starting at $0.915/Liter, increasing 2% per annum • ~70% of forecast diesel consumption has been hedged through
the middle of performance term 4 – at an indicative all-in price that is less than the set price
• We are comfortable with the 1.9% price caps and our ability to
meet the target ratios
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IV. Financial Update
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Financial Integrity
Credit Ratings – S&P “AA-” stable – DBRS “A” stable
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•Historical EBITDA & Net Earnings •($ millions)
•Historical Revenue and Expenses •($ millions)
786.4 800.2 841.1
565.9 577.4 579.8
0
200
400
600
800
1000
FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Revenue Expenses
220.5 222.8
261.4
15.5 18.0 49.1
0
100
200
300
FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
EBITDA Net Earnings
FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
EBITDA / Revenue
28% 28% 31%
Net Earnings / Revenue
2.0% 2.2% 5.8%
ROE 4.6% 5.2% 12.6%
Age of the Fleet
Current Vessel Age by Decade
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1950's 1 Vessel
1960's 10 Vessels
1970's 8 Vessels
1980's 3 Vessels
1990's 5 Vessels
2000's 7 Vessels
2010's 1 Vessel
• Vessel replacement dominates the 12 year capital plan (14 new vessels)
Capital Expenditure Forecast
12 Year Capital Plan (FY2016 to FY2027)
•Future Capital
Expenditures
• 12 year forecast for capital expenditures is $3.1 billion
• Incremental borrowing of ~$500 million is expected over the next four years
• Next issue in calendar 2017
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Vessels Terminals Other
69% 21% 10%
209
410
231
344
212
133 143
418
357
205 188 167
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
C$
mill
ion
s
Newbuild Program Cable Ferry (Baynes Sound Connector)
• Nov 2015 – completion of trials and transfer of title to BC Ferries
• Feb 2016 – training to be complete and vessel will begin service
• Forecast to save approximately $2M per year for 40 years
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Baynes Sound Connector
during trials on Route 21 in fall 2015
Newbuild Program Three Salish Class Ferries
• Awarded $165 million contracts to Remontowa Shipbuilding S.A. in Gdansk, Poland in July 2014
• 3 vessels (145 car capacity) in-service in 2016 and 2017 – First vessel, Salish Orca, to arrive
in Victoria in August 2016
• Dual-fuel vessels (Liquefied Natural Gas & Diesel)
• Standardization & interoperability
• Queens of Burnaby & Nanaimo retire
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Launch of the first of three vessels, “Salish Orca”, in Gdansk (November 2015)
Spirit Class Mid Life Upgrades
• Two largest vessels in the fleet,
originally constructed in the mid 1990s
• Conversion to dual fuel (LNG/Diesel) propulsion is planned – Current diesel fuel consumption is 8.5 to
11 million litres per year per ship
• Overhaul or replacement of systems and equipment to prepare each vessel for the second half of its useful life
• Improved opportunities for ancillary revenue
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Spirit of British Columbia - Fall 2017 to Spring 2018 Spirit of Vancouver Island - Fall 2018 to Spring 2019
Major IT Projects – Delivery Timeline
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April 2017
October 2017
Current System Limited pricing flexibility
Point of Sale – New
Website – New
Booking Engine – New
October 2016
Completion of Major IT projects will enable the implementation of a Fare Flexibility & Revenue Management Strategy
• Expected to increase traffic without diluting yield
Today
Debt Portfolio & Key Ratios
•Bonds Outstanding
•Historical Leverage Ratio
•Bank Debt*
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•Historical Debt Service Coverage Ratio
* As at Dec 31, 2015
March 31, 2015: 3.0X March 31, 2015: 79.1%
Amount Maturity Coupon(C$MM) (%)
200 April 28, 2044 4.289%200 October 23, 2043 4.702%200 January 11, 2038 5.581%250 March 20, 2037 5.021%250 October 13, 2034 6.250%
Type Amount(C$MM)
Credit Facility Limit 155KfW Loans Outstanding 165
KfW Loan Commitment 136
1.5x
2.0x
2.5x
3.0x
3.5x
FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
DSCR
75%
80%
85%
90%
FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Leverage Ratio
V. Summary
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Summary
• Vehicle and passenger traffic are up and continue to be strong
• Regulated price caps, Provincial subsidy and contracted service levels are set for the next four years
• A five-year extension of the collective
agreement is in place until Oct. 2020
• Next phase of capital plan is underway – Fixed price contracts for new, LNG burning,
standardized vessels – Planned conversions to dual fuel (LNG) – Major IT projects enabling flexible fares
and revenue management
• $500M of incremental borrowing forecast over next four years
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Investment Highlights
Essential Service
High Barriers to Entry
Business with Monopolistic Characteristics
Supportive Legislation
Strong Credit Ratings “AA-” and “A”
Strong Provincial Support
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Questions