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1 SCIENTIFIC REPORTS | 6:28160 | DOI: 10.1038/srep28160 www.nature.com/scientificreports Time-varying land subsidence detected by radar altimetry: California, Taiwan and north China Cheinway Hwang 1 , Yuande Yang 2 , Ricky Kao 1 , Jiancheng Han 1 , C. K. Shum 3,4 , Devin L. Galloway 5 , Michelle Sneed 6 , Wei-Chia Hung 7 , Yung-Sheng Cheng 1 & Fei Li 2 Contemporary applications of radar altimetry include sea-level rise, ocean circulation, marine gravity, and icesheet elevation change. Unlike InSAR and GNSS, which are widely used to map surface deformation, altimetry is neither reliant on highly temporally-correlated ground features nor as limited by the available spatial coverage, and can provide long-term temporal subsidence monitoring capability. Here we use multi-mission radar altimetry with an approximately 23 year data-span to quantify land subsidence in cropland areas. Subsidence rates from TOPEX/POSEIDON, JASON-1, ENVISAT, and JASON-2 during 1992–2015 show time-varying trends with respect to displacement over time in California’s San Joaquin Valley and central Taiwan, possibly related to changes in land use, climatic conditions (drought) and regulatory measures affecting groundwater use. Near Hanford, California, subsidence rates reach 18 cm yr 1 with a cumulative subsidence of 206 cm, which potentially could adversely affect operations of the planned California High-Speed Rail. The maximum subsidence rate in central Taiwan is 8 cm yr 1 . Radar altimetry also reveals time-varying subsidence in the North China Plain consistent with the declines of groundwater storage and existing water infrastructure detected by the Gravity Recovery And Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellites, with rates reaching 20 cm yr 1 and cumulative subsidence as much as 155 cm. Land subsidence is caused by natural and/or anthropogenic processes including subsurface fluid extraction, underground mining, drainage of organic soils, sediment compaction/load in coastal regions, and permafrost degradation 1,2 . Globally, in regions with irrigated agriculture and rapid population growth, groundwater extrac- tion typically is the principal cause of subsidence 1,3,4 . Subsidence is a hazard that increases flood risk, causes damages to man-made structures and cultural heritages in low-lying regions, exacerbates sea level rise in coastal regions, and results in significant socio-economic distress 1,5 . Standard tools for monitoring subsidence are preci- sion leveling, Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS), interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) and borehole extensometers 1,4,6 . Satellite gravimetry from the Gravity Recovery And Climate Experiment (GRACE 7 ) can deduce groundwater mass changes at a coarse spatial resolution (350 km or greater). Currently, a large per- centage of lands including croplands is threatened by subsidence, erosion and desertification which are affecting global food safety 8 . By 2050, an estimated two billion more people will need to be fed, increasing demand on agricultural land use for improved rates of food production 9 . For irrigated croplands dependent solely on ground- water or on the conjunctive use of surface water and groundwater, high rates of groundwater extraction can lead to unsustainable cropland practices owing to groundwater depletion. ese practices can result in undesirable effects including irreversible aquifer-system compaction and land subsidence in susceptible aquifer systems, which can be exacerbated during droughts 1,2,10 . is study explores the use of satellite radar altimetry for improved monitoring of subsidence in three irri- gated cropland areas: California’s San Joaquin Valley (SJV), central Taiwan (CT), and the North China Plain 1 Department of Civil Engineering, National Chiao Tung University, 1001 Ta Hsueh Road, Hsinchu, Taiwan. 2 Chinese Antarctic Center of Surveying and Mapping, Wuhan University, 129 Luoyu Road, Wuhan 430079, China. 3 State Key Laboratory of Geodesy and Earth Dynamics, Institute of Geodesy & Geophysics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Wuhan 43077, China. 4 Division of Geodetic Science, School of Earth Sciences, the Ohio State University, Columbus, OH 43210, USA. 5 U.S. Geological Survey, 5957 Lakeside Blvd, Indianapolis, IN 46278, USA. 6 U.S. Geological Survey, 6000 J Street, Placer Hall, Sacramento, CA 95819, USA. 7 Green Environmental Engineering Consultant Co. LTD, Hsinchu, Taiwan. Correspondence and requests for materials should be addressed to C.H. (email: cheinway@mail. nctu.edu.tw) Received: 04 November 2015 Accepted: 31 May 2016 Published: 21 June 2016 OPEN
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Page 1: Time-varying land subsidence detected by radar altimetry ...space.cv.nctu.edu.tw/static/data/publications/srep28160.pdf · CC REPORTS 628160 DOI 10.1038/srep28160 1 Time-varying land

1Scientific RepoRts | 6:28160 | DOI: 10.1038/srep28160

www.nature.com/scientificreports

Time-varying land subsidence detected by radar altimetry: California, Taiwan and north ChinaCheinway Hwang1, Yuande Yang2, Ricky Kao1, Jiancheng Han1, C. K. Shum3,4, Devin L. Galloway5, Michelle Sneed6, Wei-Chia Hung7, Yung-Sheng Cheng1 & Fei Li2

Contemporary applications of radar altimetry include sea-level rise, ocean circulation, marine gravity, and icesheet elevation change. Unlike InSAR and GNSS, which are widely used to map surface deformation, altimetry is neither reliant on highly temporally-correlated ground features nor as limited by the available spatial coverage, and can provide long-term temporal subsidence monitoring capability. Here we use multi-mission radar altimetry with an approximately 23 year data-span to quantify land subsidence in cropland areas. Subsidence rates from TOPEX/POSEIDON, JASON-1, ENVISAT, and JASON-2 during 1992–2015 show time-varying trends with respect to displacement over time in California’s San Joaquin Valley and central Taiwan, possibly related to changes in land use, climatic conditions (drought) and regulatory measures affecting groundwater use. Near Hanford, California, subsidence rates reach 18 cm yr−1 with a cumulative subsidence of 206 cm, which potentially could adversely affect operations of the planned California High-Speed Rail. The maximum subsidence rate in central Taiwan is 8 cm yr−1. Radar altimetry also reveals time-varying subsidence in the North China Plain consistent with the declines of groundwater storage and existing water infrastructure detected by the Gravity Recovery And Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellites, with rates reaching 20 cm yr−1 and cumulative subsidence as much as 155 cm.

Land subsidence is caused by natural and/or anthropogenic processes including subsurface fluid extraction, underground mining, drainage of organic soils, sediment compaction/load in coastal regions, and permafrost degradation1,2. Globally, in regions with irrigated agriculture and rapid population growth, groundwater extrac-tion typically is the principal cause of subsidence1,3,4. Subsidence is a hazard that increases flood risk, causes damages to man-made structures and cultural heritages in low-lying regions, exacerbates sea level rise in coastal regions, and results in significant socio-economic distress1,5. Standard tools for monitoring subsidence are preci-sion leveling, Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS), interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) and borehole extensometers1,4,6. Satellite gravimetry from the Gravity Recovery And Climate Experiment (GRACE7) can deduce groundwater mass changes at a coarse spatial resolution (350 km or greater). Currently, a large per-centage of lands including croplands is threatened by subsidence, erosion and desertification which are affecting global food safety8. By 2050, an estimated two billion more people will need to be fed, increasing demand on agricultural land use for improved rates of food production9. For irrigated croplands dependent solely on ground-water or on the conjunctive use of surface water and groundwater, high rates of groundwater extraction can lead to unsustainable cropland practices owing to groundwater depletion. These practices can result in undesirable effects including irreversible aquifer-system compaction and land subsidence in susceptible aquifer systems, which can be exacerbated during droughts1,2,10.

This study explores the use of satellite radar altimetry for improved monitoring of subsidence in three irri-gated cropland areas: California’s San Joaquin Valley (SJV), central Taiwan (CT), and the North China Plain

1Department of Civil Engineering, National Chiao Tung University, 1001 Ta Hsueh Road, Hsinchu, Taiwan. 2Chinese Antarctic Center of Surveying and Mapping, Wuhan University, 129 Luoyu Road, Wuhan 430079, China. 3State Key Laboratory of Geodesy and Earth Dynamics, Institute of Geodesy & Geophysics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Wuhan 43077, China. 4Division of Geodetic Science, School of Earth Sciences, the Ohio State University, Columbus, OH 43210, USA. 5U.S. Geological Survey, 5957 Lakeside Blvd, Indianapolis, IN 46278, USA. 6U.S. Geological Survey, 6000 J Street, Placer Hall, Sacramento, CA 95819, USA. 7Green Environmental Engineering Consultant Co. LTD, Hsinchu, Taiwan. Correspondence and requests for materials should be addressed to C.H. (email: [email protected])

Received: 04 November 2015

accepted: 31 May 2016

Published: 21 June 2016

OPEN

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(NCP). The three croplands areas are affected by historical and ongoing subsidence3,11–16, where groundwater extraction is the leading cause of subsidence2,6,12,16, and recent droughts have exacerbated groundwater depletion and its consequences in the SJV and the NCP13,17. Subsidence poses risks to existing high speed railways in CT, the NCP, and one under construction in the SJV4. Subsidence patterns and rates in much of the NCP, SJV and CT have been extensively studied using precision leveling, extensometry, InSAR, and GNSS4,6,14,15,18.

A synthesis of vertical displacement rates (VDRs) measured at 1,499 GNSS stations (Table S1 and Fig. S1, Sec. S1, Supplementary Information [SI]) between 1993 and 2015 across the Central Valley (including the SJV and the southern portion of the Sacramento Valley), California, show that the distribution of the GNSS sites within the valley are too sparse by themselves to map areal subsidence in adequate spatial detail (Fig. 1). Three coalescing subsidence bowls are evident: a southern bowl south of Bakersfield corresponding to the Arvin-Maricopa histor-ical subsidence bowl19, a central bowl between Bakersfield and Fresno roughly centered on the Tulare-Hanford area and roughly corresponding to the Tulare-Wasco historical subsidence bowl19, and a northern bowl north of Fresno roughly centered on the Madera-Mendota area near the Delta-Mendota Canal15, which is located along the western edge of the San Joaquin Valley (Fig. 1). In general, the GNSS-derived subsidence rates are relatively large in the Tulare-Hanford area (maximum: 9.8 cm yr−1), and the rates decay southward and northward in the SJV to near zero. In the mountainous regions surrounding the Central Valley, the VDRs are largely positive, sug-gesting uplifts possibly caused by tectonics and reduced mass loading due to the current drought in California20. The mean subsidence rate in the central subsidence bowl (from Bakersfield to Fresno) is 2.86 cm yr−1, compared with 0.62 cm yr−1 in the northern subsidence bowl and smaller mean rates in the Sacramento Valley. Note that a negative vertical displacement rate determined in this paper (in all relevant figures and tables) corresponds to a positive subsidence rate. To emphasize land subsidence in this paper, we replace negative displacement rates by subsidence rates in all descriptions.

Mean subsidence rates during 2002–14 in CT derived from annual precision leveling ranged from zero to about 8 cm yr−1 (Fig. 2a, Sec. S2, SI). Despite its high accuracy, precision leveling can be costly4 and generally is not repeated frequently enough to resolve inter-annual and annual signals. About 310,000 pumping wells in Changhua and Yunlin Counties pump groundwater to meet agricultural and industrial water demands (Fig. 2b). Two major coalescing subsidence bowls are evident—on either side of the Zhuoshui River, and subsidence rates as much as 7 cm yr−1 threaten the operation of the Taiwan High Speed Rail4 (THSR; Fig. 2a) and sustainable development in the region. For example, the prevalence of fine-grained sediments here makes this area more

Figure 1. GNSS (green points)-derived vertical displacement rates (negative of subsidence rates) in the Central Valley (includes the San Joaquin and southern portion of the Sacramento Valleys inside the boundary in purple), California, (Sec. S1, SI). The planned California High-Speed Rail (CHSR) is red alternating with white line. GMT36 V5.1.3 is used to plot Fig. 1 (http://gmt.soest.hawaii.edu/). Overlapped are TOPEX/POSEIDON (red line) and ENVISAT (orange line) satellite ground tracks (labeled as satellite abbreviation-pass number), where vertical displacement rates at a 1-km interval are derived from the two altimeters (see Fig. 3). The topography is from the digital elevation model of SRTM15_PLUS37.

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susceptible to compaction. Though pumping-well distribution is even, subsidence rates are not, suggesting a significant spatial variation of hydrogeological properties6.

The NCP has a population of 437 million and an area of 300,000 km2, and is one of many regions in China with critical subsidence problems16,21. In the NCP, groundwater provides more than 60% of fresh water supplies22 and is the main water source for agricultural irrigation23. Near Tianjin, the mean subsidence rates range from 0.80 to 5.60 cm yr−1, with a maximum rate of 16 cm yr−1 and cumulative subsidence of 3.90 m during 1965–8518,24. The GRACE satellite gravimetry data have detected mass losses that are attributed to severe groundwater storage declines in the SJV and NCP13,22.

In this paper, we explore satellite altimetry as a new remote-sensing subsidence-mapping method and demon-strate its utility in cropland areas where the differential and persistent scatterer (PS)-based InSAR methods are limited by sparse temporally-coherent, stable radar reflectors3; however, improvements in identifying PS scatterers over agricultural regions have been reported25,26. We also demonstrate the temporal and along-track spatial detail of the radar altimetry method compared to GNSS (Fig. S1) and leveling (Fig. S2) which can be cost prohibitive to map subsidence in similar temporal and spatial detail. Satellite altimetry has been principally used to derive marine

Figure 2. (a) Vertical displacement rates, from precision leveling in central Taiwan (Section S2, SI), (b) Distribution of about 310,000 groundwater pumping wells is in the same 2,364 km2 area as Fig. 2a. Overlapped are TOPEX/POSEIDON and ENVISAT satellite ground tracks (labeled as satellite abbreviation-pass number), where vertical displacement rates at a 1-km interval are derived from the two altimeters (see Fig. 3).

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gravity/bathymetry, and to study ocean circulations, sea level rise, ice sheet elevation and water level changes27–29. Because only a few studies have used satellite altimetry to measure solid earth deformation and a standard numerical procedure to measure vertical displacement has not yet been established, there are concerns about the accuracies of altimeter-derived rates30,31. However, this study shows that, accurate VDRs at the sub-cm yr−1 level can be achieved using satellite altimetry by using more than two decades of near-continuous land surface elevation measurements from the improved coverage offered from multi-mission altimeter data with 10-day or monthly sampling: TOPEX/POSEIDON (TP, 1992–2002), JASON-1 (J1, 2002–09), JASON-2 (J2, 2008–present), and ENVISAT (EN, 2002–10). TP, J1 and J2 have the same repeated ground tracks.

ResultsSubsidence rates derived from satellite radar altimetry (TP and EN) agree well with rates determined from precision leveling in CT and GNSS in the southern SJV (Fig. 3). Height changes derived from different radar altimetry mis-sions also agree well. For example, in the SJV at the crossover of TP-043 and EN-684 (Fig. 3a), the time-series height changes derived from J1 (the follow-on mission for TP) and EN (Fig. S6, 2002–10) and the resulting subsidence rates (about 6 cm yr−1) show good agreement. Three major subsiding bowls identified in the SJV from the GNSS measurements (Fig. 1) are reflected in the TP and EN along-track subsidence profiles. Along TP-043, the largest altimeter-derived subsidence rate near Hanford (A2, Fig. 3a) in the central subsidence bowl is about 10 cm yr−1, and consistent with the GNSS-derived rates (Table S1). At GNSS stations P056 and P566, subsidence rates are <4 cm yr−1 and agree with the altimeter-derived rates to 1 cm yr−1. The largest subsidence rate from EN is ~13 cm yr−1 along EN-611 (A1, Fig. 3b). In CT, the two principal subsidence bowls identified by leveling (Fig. 2a) are reflected in the TP and EN along-track subsidence profiles, and the patterns and rates are consistent with those from leveling (Fig. 3d–f).

Subsidence patterns in the SJV and CT are time-varying and could be influenced by changing groundwater use related to land-use, climatic and regulatory factors. Figure 4 shows patterns in the VDRs along profiles near Hanford in the SJV and in Tuku Township, CT (Fig. S7, Sec. S4, SI). In Box 1 (Fig. 4a), the VDRs derived from TP, J1 and J2 for the SJV show a consistent pattern from J1 and J2: a steep drop (increased subsidence rate) followed by a bump (decreased subsidence rate) in the profile. The drop in Box 1 reaches its lowest point (maximum subsidence rate) at 36.1158° N, 119.6858° W (red star, Fig. 4a). In Box 2 (Fig. 4a), the subsidence extent is expanding and the rates are accelerating during the period covered by the altimetry. At the location of maxium subsidence (Fig. 5), the VDR during Oct 1992–Jul 2002 is 6 cm yr−1, increasing to 8 cm yr−1 during Jan 2002–Jan 2009, and to 18 cm yr−1 during Jul 2008–Feb 2015. The increased groundwater pumping owing to the recent ongoing drought in California may partially contribute to the increased rate from J2. The subsidence rates in the SJV are time-varying: in Box 3 (Fig. 4a), initially the rates are about 6 cm yr−1 (TP), decrease to 3 cm yr−1 (J1), and increase to 7 cm yr−1 (J2).

The rates in CT also vary with time and space. In Box 4 (Fig. 4b), the subsidence rates increased in recent years. In Box 5 (Fig. 4b), between 23.60°N and 23.75°N, the changes in the subsidence rates from TP to J2 show the extent of subsidence shrinks (from green lines to red lines) in recent years. The location of maximum subsid-ence shifts northward to about 23.72°N and the extent of subsidence increases northward from 23.71 to 23.85°N. The shifts in patterns likely are due to measures restricting groundwater use along a section of THSR near the point of maximum subsidence (Figs S7 and S8).

Land subsidence can cause angular deflection (AD) of the THSR owing to vertical displacements of the indi-vidual structural support columns of the elevated railway. A large AD could weaken the foundational support of the railway and result in serious operational problems if not adequately mitigated4. Along the THSR section in Yunlin County (Fig. 2a), heavy groundwater pumping and heterogeneity of sediments with varying degrees of compressibility have led to large ADs, which once approached the 1/1000 limit set by the safety code. TP-051 is nearly parallel to THSR near Tuku (see Fig. S7) and altimetry data have already provided valuable observations to monitor ADs here. The planned California High-Speed Rail (CHSR) now faces the same potential risk of large ADs as the TSHR does: it passes through a region that has been experiencing subsidence due to heavy groundwa-ter depletion. As it happens, EN-684 and TP-043 are perpendicular to the planned route of CHSR near Hanford and the observations from EN and TP follow-on missions can provide an effective means to monitor the subsid-ence as well as the ADs in the future.

EN identifies two regions of major cropland subsidence in the NCP (Fig. 6, also Figs S9–12): Region 1 covers eastern Hebei Province and northern Shandong Province, with an affected area of 67,900 km2; Region 2 covers eastern Henan Province and northern Anhui Province, with an affected area of 78,000 km2. In the foothills of the NCP, VDRs derived from EN and TP, and J2 are indeterminate because the altimetry waveforms are corrupted (see Waveform E, Fig. 7). The J1 rates contain large uncertainties in much of the NCP and are not shown here. TP and J2 detect time-varying subsidence elsewhere in the NCP (Fig. 8). For example, in Boxes 1 and 2 (Fig. 8), located in the Hebei and Anhui provinces, the along-track rates increased dramatically from the time of TP to the time of J2. In Box 3 (Fig. 8), near Tianjin, the J2 subsidence rates are less than those from TP, suggesting that groundwater extraction was reduced here due to measures implemented to control subsidence since the start of high-speed rail operations (Fig. S9). In Box 4 (Fig. 8), many VDRs were derived from TP, but only a few from J2. This is attributed to urbanization around this region, where new man-made structures (at the time of J2) con-taminated altimeter waveforms and degraded ranging accuracies (see Waveform D, Fig. 7). The altimeter results identify many subsidence-affected areas and changing subsidence patterns in the NCP that are consistent with the temporal and spatial groundwater storage changes detected by GRACE22. The results can be used as guides for future, more detailed, precise geodetic and geotechnical measurements.

DiscussionThe causes for subsidence are complicated and not well understood in the study regions (SJV, CT and NCP). Groundwater abstraction may be a major contributing source for land subsidence. Near the point with the larg-est subsidence in SJV, operations in factory and cattle farms, such as those shown in Box 1 and 2 in Fig. 4a, may

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contribute partially to the steep subsidence observed along the profiles through abstraction of large amounts of groundwater. Along the THSR in CT, heavy groundwater extraction from surrounding factories, such as a tire factory (Fig. 4b), may be responsible for land subsidence. However, more studies are needed to investigate the roles of the farms and factories on the land subsidence detected in this paper.

Long-term, time-varying land subsidence over croplands from 1992 to present has been determined by TP, J1, J2 and EN altimeters using a dedicated processing method for land altimeter data. The result in the NCP suggests that a mission with a long repeat period and relatively small cross-track spacing (< 50 km) like EN can measure

Figure 3. (a) Along-track subsidence rates from TP and EN in the San Joaquin Valley, (b) comparison between altimeter-derived rates and GNSS-derived rates in the San Joaquin Valley. A1 is the location of maximum subsidence from EN-611, A2 is the location of maximum subsidence from TP-043 and where accelerating subsidence is detected by TP, J1 and J2 over 1992–2015, (c) along-track subsidence rates in central Taiwan, (d–f) comparison with leveling-derived rates along TP-051, TP-164 and EN-993. C1 is the location of maximum subsidence in central Taiwan (see Fig. 2a), C2 and C3 are the centers of the bow-shaped subsidence patterns detected by TP-164 and EN-993. Note: negative vertical displacement corresponds to subsidence. GMT36 V5.1.3 is used to plot Fig. 3 (http://gmt.soest.hawaii.edu/). The topography is from the digital elevation model of SRTM15_PLUS37.

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cropland subsidence over a large area. The application of altimetry to subsidence monitoring can be extended globally to other croplands, especially in areas where terrestrial-geodetic subsidence monitoring methods may be lacking. The GNSS and leveling-derived vertical displacement rates in the SJV and CT are used to assess the accuracies of satellite altimetry, which are better than the one cm yr−1 level. Current altimetry technologies can detect subsidence at a 1-km along-track spatial resolution (c.f. Methods for details), and likely will improve as the technologies evolve. Combined use of leveling, GNSS, InSAR and radar altimetry methods for measuring, map-ping and monitoring surface deformation and subsidence in particular, would optimally leverage the strengths of each of the different techniques to best address the scientific needs.

MethodsA satellite-borne radar altimeter measures the two-way time delay of the radar pulse which is used to compute the distance between the satellite and the Earth’s surface, and after computing the precise orbit of the satellite, the altitude of the surface can be computed. Repeat-period altimetry can be used to measure changes in altitude (height) or height changes of the surface. The ground tracks are re-visited by the satellite at regular time intervals of weeks, and within about ± 1 km of the reference track at the equator. Figure 7a shows the altimeter waveforms from the Pacific Ocean off the coast of California eastward to the SJV and the Sierra Nevada. The same evolution

Figure 4. (a) Vertical displacement rates derived from TP, J1 and J2 over 1992–2015 in the San Joaquin Valley along TP-043. Inserted are two Landsat satellite images: the left image shows the region with an anomalous change of subsidence marked by the red star along TP-043 in Box 1 (dashed line). Box 2 shows the region with the maximum subsidence (the cumulative subsidence at red dot is 206 cm over 1992- 2015). The right image shows a cattle farm around the red dot. Box 3 shows an area with varying rates. (b) vertical displacement rates in central Taiwan along TP-051. The J1-derived rates contain large uncertainties in central Taiwan, and are not shown here. Inserted is a SPOT satellite image showing a tire factory in Box 4 (courtesy of Center for Space and Remote Sensing Research, National Central University). Box 5 covers the major subsidence feature. GMT36 V5.1.3 is used to plot Fig. 4 (http://gmt.soest.hawaii.edu/). The Landsat images were provided by: U.S. Geological Survey, Earth Resources Observation and Science (EROS) Center, 2015, Landsat products and services: EROS, Glovis Web page, accessed 29 September 2015 at http://glovis.usgs.gov/.

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of waveforms is also demonstrated for the NCP (Fig. 7b). The Brown waveforms over the ocean (Waveform A, Fig. 7) and coast (Waveform B, Fig. 7) may result in precise range measurements for marine applications, but waveforms on land may be too contaminated to recover precise ranges for detecting height changes.

The waveform over flat terrain with crops (Waveform C, Fig. 7) or with snowpack, e.g., land regions near Hudson Bay, Canada29–31 can be retracked to yield a precise range change, after correcting surface gradients using the collinear track analysis. The surface roughness of croplands diffuses radar pulses, similar to wind-induced, small-scale waves in oceans. The surface of a fallow, flat and building-free cropland is similar to a calm lake surface—the altimeter waveform is specular with a steep leading edge compared to other types of waveform. In summer, the cropland surface roughens as crops grow, resulting in a waveform with a less steep leading edge. Similar to a significant wave height at sea, terrain undulation creates a ranging bias and modulates the footprint size of a pulse-limited radar. For example, a terrain undulation of 1 m at a length scale of several km leads to a pulse-limited footprint radius of about 1 km for EN and slightly larger for the TP series altimeters28,29 (pulse width = 3.125 ns). However, unlike significant wave height at sea, terrain undulation at a given location can remain constant for the satellite mission period, and the undulation-induced ranging bias will be eliminated when heights from repeat cycles are differenced.

Here we adopted a modified, enhanced version of the repeat-track method32–34 for the space and time reduc-tion of raw height measurements from TP, J1, J2 and EN. For EN, we also estimated parameters that account for the effects of backscatter and the slopes of the leading and trailing edges32,35. For all missions, we chose to compute VDRs for bins spaced at about 1 km along satellite ground tracks. A bin is a circular region with a given radius, centered at a location along the mean ground track of all repeat cycles in a satellite mission. Over a flat cropland with a moderate undulation of about 1 m, the radius of an altimeter footprint is about 1 km. Within a given bin, all the raw height measurements (the sampling rate is 18 Hz for EN, and 10 Hz for TP, J1 and J2) from the repeat cycles were least-squares fitted to the following space and time function3:

φ λ φ λ φ φ λ λ φ φ

λ λ φ φ λ λ

τ πω

πω

+ = + − + − + −

+ − + − −

+ + − + − +

H t v H s s s

s s

f b l h t t e cos t t f

sin t t

( , , ) ( , ) ( ) ( ) ( )

( ) ( )( )

( , , ) ( ) [2 ( )]

[2 ( )] (1)

ij

ij

x y xx

yy xy

0 0 0 0 0 02

02

0 0

I 0 I 0 I

0

whereHi

j: height from altimeter, with range correction from the subwaveform threshold retracker (see below).j: repeat cycle.i: the i th measurement from repeat cycle j in the bin.

Figure 5. Height changes at the location of the maximum subsidence measured (in this study) in the San Joaquin Valley near Hanford, California along TP-043 (red dot in Box 2, Fig. 3a) from (a) the original heights and (b) the shifted heights.

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φ0, λ0: geodetic latitude and longitude of the bin centerφ, λ, t: geodetic latitude and longitude and time of Hi

j

t0: reference time.H0(φ0, λ0): mean height at the bin center for all repeat cycles.vi

j: residual of Hij.

sx, sy, sxx, syy, sxy: coefficients of a 2nd order surface fitting of the heights Hij from all repeat cycles within a radius

centered at the bin.h e f, ,I II : initial rate of height change and initial annual terms used to improve the 2nd order surface fitting.b, l, τ: effects of backscatter and the slopes of the leading edge and trailing edge of waveform on Hi

j. f (b, l, τ): a function to model the effects b, l, τ. Note that these effects are not modeled in the waveforms of TP, J1 and J2 because they are not available.The function f (b,l,τ) in Eq. (1) is expressed as

τ τ τ= − + − + −f b l C b b C l l C( , , ) ( ) ( ) ( ) (2)b l t

where b l, and τ are the means of b, l and τ from all repeat cycles in the bin, and Cb,Cl and Ct are the parameters that adjust these effects. For EN, up to 12 parameters could be estimated (see Table S2). We used a robust least-squares estimator, which is resilient against outliers, to estimate the parameters in Eq. (1) as follows. The first-round estimated parameters used all height measurements. Then, the residuals of the measurements and the standard deviations of the residuals were computed. We then used the three-σ outlier threshold to remove anom-alous heights: if a residual vi

j is three times larger than its standard deviation, the corresponding measurement Hij

was removed, and the next-round parameter estimation was carried out. The final parameters were estimated from the measurements that pass the three-σ testing. Also, if the standard deviation of the residuals in a bin were larger than 5 m, the vertical rate in the bin was not computed.

Then, the space and time corrected Hij was computed as (the time correction accounts for the b, l, τ effects and

is for EN data only)

Figure 6. Vertical displacement rates derived from ENVISAT (Jul 2002–Oct 2010) where croplands constitute greater than 50% of land use in the NCP. The cropland cover is from Global Land Cover (GLC)-SHARE38, beta-release 1.0. Red symbols represent Beijing, Tianjin, Jinan and Shijiazhuang and empty circles represent other major cities. Rates with standard error greater than 5.00 cm yr−1 or with a signal-to-noise ratio < 1.50 were rejected. Along-track locations without rates are over foothills, such as eastern Shandong Province. Two regions of major cropland subsidence (greater than 2 cm yr−1) are within the red-lined polygons. Letters A-D show the locations of TP-EN-J2 time series of height changes in Figs S11–14, with the cumulative subsidence values given. GMT36 V5.1.3 is used to plot Fig. 6 (http://gmt.soest.hawaii.edu/).

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Figure 7. (a) TP altimeter Waveforms A–E over different surface types along Pass 043 (TP-043), covering the croplands of the San Joaquin Valley, (b) Waveforms A–E along TP-062 over the croplands of the North China Plain. The topography is from the digital elevation model of SRTM15_PLUS37, and the cropland cover is from Global Land Cover (GLC)-SHARE38, beta-release 1.0. Radar altimetry with Waveform C produces accurate vertical displacement rates (less than 1 cm yr−1) in flat lands with more than 50% crop cover. GMT36 V5.1.3 is used to plot Fig. 7 (http://gmt.soest.hawaii.edu/).

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φ λ φ λ τ= − … −H t H t T s s f b l( , , ) ( , , ) ( , , ) ( , , ) (3)ij

ij

x xy0 0

where T is the sum of terms 2–6 in Eq. (1) and φ λH t( , , )ij

0 0 is regarded as a corrected height at the bin center at time t. For a given cycle j, we used the three-σ threshold to remove anomalous values φ λH t( , , )i

j0 0 in the bin, and

then compute the representative height for cycle j:

∑φ λ φ λ==

ˆH tn

H t( , , ) 1 ( , , )(4)

j

i

n

ij

0 01

0 0

where Hij is an acceptable height measurement and n is the number of such measurements. With H j computed for

all repeat cycles in the given bin (the mean position is at φ0, λ0), a time series of height was formed and least-squares fitted to the function

πω πω= + − + − + − + − H t H h t t h t t e t t f t t( ) ( ) ( ) cos [2 ( )] sin [2 ( )] (5)j

0 0 02

0 0

where H h h, ,0 are the mean, VDR and vertical acceleration, and e and f account for the seasonal variation of height. Again, we used the robust least-squares estimator to determine the parameters in Eq. (5). Note that the terms h e f, ,I II in Eq. (1) are just the initial estimates for VDR and annual variations; the final VDR is h and the amplitudes of the annual variations are e and f. In Sec. S3 of Supplementary Information (SI), we selected an opti-mal waveform retracker to recover precise ranges from TP, J1, J2 and EN from waveforms like Waveform C in Fig. 7 for the SJV and NCP. Note that backscatter effects are not considered for TP, J1 and J2 in this study because of a lack of the necessary data.

The repeat-track method also diminishes the anisotropy roughness effect due to non-circular radar polari-zation, which causes different radar echoes for descending and ascending passes for the EN altimeter system. In fact, such height measurements do not repeat the exact same locations (maximum lateral offset: 1 km) and the measurements are affected by a number of time-varying factors. As a summary, the following conditions should be met to obtain precise heights on land: (a) sufficiently flat terrain within the altimeter footprint that may be cov-ered with short vegetation, such as crops, (b) low percentage of buildings in the footprint area, (c) use of a proper waveform retracker, and (d) proper accounting of radar backscatter effects using an empirical threshold value. Parts of the croplands in the SJV, CT and the NCP meet conditions (a,b). If the proportion of cropland within a “bin” of selected and processed data is greater than 50%, the accuracy of the resulting altimeter-derived VDR is generally better than 1 cm yr−1 (at 1-km resolution), based on the assessments using leveling data (CT, Table S3) and crossover differences (CT and NCP, Table S4).

Typically, there will be inter-mission altimeter range biases between two altimeter missions, and such biases depend on surface attributes (ocean, land, ice and river, etc). The combination of inter-mission altimeter bias

Figure 8. Vertical displacement rates in the croplands of the North China Plain from (a) TP (Aug 1992 – Jun 2002) and (b) J2 (Jun 2008 – Aug 2014). The cropland cover (shaded areas) is from Global Land Cover (GLC)-SHARE38, beta-release 1.0. GMT36 V5.1.3 (http://gmt.soest.hawaii.edu/) is used to plot the land cover, ground tracks and all the features.

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and terrain-induced height difference between reference tracks will lead to an apparent discontinuity between the two time series of height changes from two satellite missions at the crossovers of two ground tracks (Fig. S6). Because the VDRs in this study are computed for individual satellites and are the time derivatives of heights, the inter-mission discontinuities will not affect individual rates. In this study, we compute the cumulative subsidence, S, at a given bin from multiple satellite missions, such as TP, J1 and J2, using

= + + S h T h T h T (6)TP TP J J J J1 1 2 2

where h h,TP J1 and hJ2 are the mean rates from TP, J1 and J2, and TTP,TJ1 and TJ2 are the time spans over which rates are computed. For example, at the locations corresponding to Figs 5 and S6, the cumulative subsidence val-ues from Oct 1992 to Feb 2015 are 206 cm and 153 cm, respectively.

Given a height time series (see Figs 5 and S6, S9–S12), both the VDR and its uncertainty (one-standard deviation, at the 68% confidence level) are computed (see Eq. S5), and they can be used to determine the rate’s signal-to-noise ratio for decision making. Because of the influence of height oscillations (the key component is annual oscillation), the uncertainty of a VDR tends to decrease with the length of time series. As such, the altim-etry method in this paper would be more applicable to long-term (longer than one year) subsidence monitoring.

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AcknowledgementsWe are grateful to JPL/NASA for the TOPEX/POSEIDON, JASON-1 and JASON-2 altimeter data, which are provided to our team through the web site of AVISO. ENVISAT altimeter data are provided by the European Space Agency. This work is supported by MOST/Taiwan Grant 103-2221-E-009-114-MY3, NSFC/China Grants 41429401 and 41374020, and MOST/China grant 2013CBA01804. NASA’s Concept in Advanced Geodesy Program (NNX12AK28G), and Belmont Forum/IGFA NSF Grant (ICER-1342644) partially supported the Ohio State University component of this research. The U.S. Geological Survey Cooperative Water and Groundwater Resources Programs supported portions of this work. The Landsat images were provided by: U.S. Geological Survey, Earth Resources Observation and Science (EROS) Center, 2015, Landsat products and services: EROS, Glovis Web page, accessed 29 September 2015 at http://glovis.usgs.gov/. The SPOT satellite images are courtesy of the Center for Space and Remote Sensing Research, National Central University (http://140.115.110.11/index_WMTS.php/). The terms of reference for using the SPOT images are as follows: Following the open data policy promoted by the Taiwan government, the Center for Space and Remote Sensing Research at National Central University provides free and open SPOT satellite images of the whole island of Taiwan from 1996 to 2014 to any organization or individual in Taiwan with a non-profit purpose.

Author ContributionsC.H. designed the project and wrote the first draft. Y.Y. computed the vertical displacement rates from altimetry and made some of the figures. R.K. and J.H. performed data and statistical analyses and made Figs 1–8, and most figures in Supplementary Information. C.K.S., D.L.G. and M.S. made critical suggestions and improved the draft. W.C.H. and Y.S.C. performed analyses of leveling data. F.L. provided computing resources and discussed the result with Y.Y.

Additional InformationSupplementary information accompanies this paper at http://www.nature.com/srepCompeting financial interests: The authors declare no competing financial interests.How to cite this article: Hwang, C. et al. Time-varying land subsidence detected by radar altimetry: California, Taiwan and north China. Sci. Rep. 6, 28160; doi: 10.1038/srep28160 (2016).

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license,

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Supplementary information 1

Time-varying land subsidence revealed by radar altimetry: California, Taiwan 2

and north China 3

4

Cheinway Hwang1,*

, Yuande Yang2, Ricky Kao

1, Jiancheng Han

1, C.K. Shum

3,7, 5

Devin L. Galloway4, Michelle Sneed

5, Wei-Chia Hung

6, Yung-Sheng Cheng

1, and Fei 6

Li2 7

1Department of Civil Engineering, National Chiao Tung University, 1001 Ta Hsueh 8

Road, Hsinchu, Taiwan. 9

2Chinese Antarctic Center of Surveying and Mapping, Wuhan University, 129 Luoyu 10

Road, Wuhan 430079, China. 11

3State Key Laboratory of Geodesy and Geodynamics, Institute of Geodesy & Geophysics, 12

Chinese Academy of Sciences, Wuhan 43077, China 13

4U.S. Geological Survey, 5957 Lakeside Blvd, Indianapolis, IN 46278, U.S.A. 14

5U.S. Geological Survey, 6000 J Street, Placer Hall, Sacramento, CA 95819, U.S.A. 15

6Green Environmental Engineering Consultant Co. LTD, Hsinchu, Taiwan. 16

7Division of Geodetic Science, School of Earth Sciences, the Ohio State University, 17

Columbus, OH 43210, U.S.A. 18

*Corresponding author: Cheinway Hwang, [email protected] 19

20

S1: GNSS data showing land subsidence in the Central Valley, California and for 21

validating vertical displacement rates derived from radar altimetry 22

The vertical displacement rates (VDRs) in Fig. 1 over the Central Valley 23

(includes the San Joaquin Valley [SJV] and the southern portion of the Sacramento 24

Valley) and the surrounding areas are based on the measurements collected at the 25

GNSS stations in the networks of CentralCalifornia, CentralCalifornia_SGPS, 26

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SFBayArea, SFBayArea_SGPS, NCalifornia, NCalifornia_SGPS, LongValley, and 27

BasinAndRange_SGPS (http://earthquake.usgs.gov/monitoring/gps/). In total, there 28

are 803 continuous and 696 campaign-mode stations used in this study. Table S1 29

shows the GNSS stations with the 15 largest measured subsidence rates over 30

croplands in the SJV and the southern portion of the Sacramento Valley within the 31

Central Valley. The first campaign-mode station was H104, established and first 32

collected data in 1993. Note that a subsidence rate is the negative of a VDR and is a 33

positive number indicating the downward movement of ground surface. Near the 34

Hanford Municipal Airport (Fig. S1), the GNSS-derived subsidence rate is 9.79 ± 0.05 35

cm yr-1

, which is the largest among the 1499 stations. Hanford is surrounded by flat 36

croplands where satellite altimetry produces the most accurate and best coverage of 37

VDRs measured in this study. 38

Table S1: Geodetic coordinates of the GNSS stations with 15 largest measured 39

vertical displacement rates in the Central Valley (includes the San Joaquin Valley and 40

the southern portion of the Sacramento Valley), and their horizontal velocities (north 41

and east components). ‘*’ for Campaign-mode station; otherwise continuous station 42

43

Station Longitude (°) Latitude (°) North (cm yr-1

) East (cm yr-1

) Vertical (cm yr-1

) Time span

P271 -121.715 38.657 -0.47 ± 0.03 -2.32 ± 0.03 -0.80 ± 0.03 6/2004-5/2015

UCD1 -121.751 38.536 -0.31 ± 0.02 -2.22 ± 0.02 -1.14 ± 0.02 1/1999-5/2015

RIOV* -121.694 38.149 -0.50 ± 0.07 -1.98 ± 0.08 -1.12 ± 0.29 2/2002-1/2012

P270 -122.055 39.244 -0.49 ± 0.03 -2.24 ± 0.03 -0.15 ± 0.03 5/2005-5/2015

P273 -121.388 38.116 -0.29 ± 0.03 -2.26 ± 0.03 -0.32 ± 0.03 10/2005-5/2014

P275 -121.215 38.322 -0.36 ± 0.03 -2.28 ± 0.03 -0.20 ± 0.03 7/2006-5/2015

P303 -120.705 37.054 -0.19 ± 0.03 -2.22 ± 0.03 -2.43 ± 0.03 7/2005-5/2015

P307 -120.058 36.947 -0.05 ± 0.03 -2.48 ± 0.03 -2.30 ± 0.03 10/2005-5/2015

C2R3* -119.863 36.554 -0.15 ± 0.04 -2.23 ± 0.04 -1.59 ± 0.10 6/2001-1/2014

P566 -119.229 36.324 -0.17 ± 0.03 -2.32 ± 0.03 -1.12 ± 0.03 11/2005-5/2015

P056 -119.063 36.027 -0.01 ± 0.03 -2.36 ± 0.03 -3.13 ± 0.03 11/2005-5/2015

P565 -119.237 35.744 -0.04 ± 0.03 -2.39 ± 0.03 -1.77 ± 0.03 11/2005-5/2015

ARM2 -118.911 35.201 0.00 ± 0.03 -2.65 ± 0.03 -1.85 ± 0.03 12/2000-5/2015

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BKR1 -119.109 35.132 0.26 ± 0.03 -2.55 ± 0.03 -1.77 ± 0.03 2/2004-5/2015

HAND*

-119.628 36.317 -0.37 ± 0.03 -2.50 ± 0.03 -9.79 ± 0.05 10/2001-1/2014

The GNSS station coordinates and velocities refer to the North America 44

Reference Frame, which is tied to the International Terrestrial Reference Frame 2008 45

(ITRF2008). The distribution of these stations is shown Fig. S1. Stations ARM2, P565, 46

HAND, P307, P303, P273 and P275 are near the planned routes of the California 47

High Speed Rail (CHSR). 48

49 Fig. S1: The 15 GNSS stations with top subsidence rates in the Central Valley 50

(includes the San Joaquin Valley and the southern portion of the Sacramento Valley) 51

in Table S1, overlapped with the ground tracks of ENVISAT (orange) and 52

TOPEX/POSEIDON (red), and the planned routes of the CHSR (purple), with 53

different colors belonging to different construction stages. Dark green is all the GNSS 54

stations in the Central Valley and around mountains. Blue and green points correspond 55

to continuous GNSS stations and campaign-mode GNSS stations, respectively. 56

(Background: low-resolution DEM from SRTM15_PLUS (ref. 31, main paper) plotted 57

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by the authors). GMT V5.1.3 (http://gmt.soest.hawaii.edu/) is used plot the DEM and 58

tracks. 59

60

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S2: Leveling data showing land subsidence in central Taiwan and for validating 61

vertical displacement rates from radar altimetry 62

Fig. S2 shows the networks of leveling benchmarks, GNSS stations and 63

compaction monitoring wells (borehole extensometers) in central Taiwan for 64

subsidence monitoring. The funds to deploy all these sensors, collect differential 65

heights from leveling and analyze the results are provided by the Water Resource 66

Agency of Taiwan. The subsidence rates from this leveling network are presented in 67

Fig. 2a and are used to validate the VDRs derived from altimeters (Section S3). 68

Since the early 1990s, the benchmarks in Fig. S2 have been surveyed annually 69

using precision leveling with an allowable misclosure (double run) of 3 K mm, 70

where K is the distance between two neighboring benchmarks. We used careful 71

field-work schedules to collect the leveling data to avoid (1) the aliased errors due to 72

vertical motions of benchmarks during the times of observations (2) seasonal effect of 73

ground water. A reference benchmark, called WR12, was established east of the 74

leveling network in a region of no historical subsidence. We established a continuous 75

GNSS station near WR12. The records at this GNSS station confirm that WR12 is 76

indeed stable. The height differences between WR12 and the benchmarks in the 77

network (Fig. S2) were measured to compute subsidence rates. 78

The subsidence rates derived from leveling are consistent with the VDRs from 79

GNSS and compaction monitoring wells to about 1 cm yr-1

(Ref. 1). In 2014, 424 80

benchmarks were in the leveling network, and the total length of the leveling routes 81

was 870 km. The number of benchmarks varies from year to year, but the variations 82

are small. In some cases, we deployed densified, local leveling networks in areas of 83

suspected large subsidence rates, e.g., where the Taiwan High Speed Rail (THSR) 84

intersects Expressway No. 78. Here subsidence affects the safety of the THSR. 85

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86 Fig. S2: Networks of leveling benchmarks, GNSS stations, compaction monitoring 87

wells for monitoring land subsidence in central Taiwan. WR12 (star) is the reference 88

benchmark. Vertical displacement rates from the leveling network are used to show 89

the subsidence rates in Fig. 2a and to assess the altimeter-derived VDRs in Section S3. 90

This figure is generated using MapInfo 10.0, 91

http://www.pitneybowes.com/us/location-intelligence/geographic-information-system92

s/mapinfo-pro.html), using boundaries, roads and township names are from our 93

databases. 94

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S3: Altimeter data and waveform retracking and accuracy assessment for 95

altimeter measurements of land subsidence 96

In the Methods section of the main paper, we have presented the key method of 97

altimeter data processing for determination of vertical displacement rate. Here we 98

provide more information. This section shows the altimeter data, and the method of 99

retracking for obtaining acceptable rates of height change (VDRs) on cropland. The 100

altimeter-derived VDRs are assessed by comparing to the Taiwan leveling results in 101

Section S2. The geophysical data records (GDRs) and Sensor Data Records (radar 102

waveforms) of TOPEX/POSEIDON (TP), JASON-1 (J1), JASON-2 (J2) are from 103

AVISO (http://www.aviso.altimetry.fr) and those of ENVISAT (EN) are from 104

European Space Agency. In the EN GDRs, range corrections based on the following 105

retrackers are supplied: Ice1, Ice2, Sea ice and Ocean retrackers. However, as 106

demonstrated below, we used range corrections from the subwaveform retracker2 to 107

derive VDRs. The EN GDRs also supply backscatter power change and slopes of 108

leading and trailing edges. No such range corrections and backscatter and 109

leading/trailing edge effects are supplied in the GDRs of TP, J1 and J2. Like in oceans, 110

geophysical corrections were applied to raw altimeter height measurements on land, 111

including solid earth and pole tides, and to remove both the dry and wet tropospheric 112

delays and the ionospheric effect of the altimeter range measurements. 113

For EN, it turns out that a proper selection of the three parameters in Eq. (2) is 114

critical to obtaining good range accuracy (note: no need to have this selection for TP, 115

J1 and J2 because of lack of the needed data in the GDRS of these satellites). To 116

assess the impact of the three parameters, we experimented with 8 cases of parameter 117

combination. Each case is associated with a binary (on or off) treatment of the three 118

parameters. We then compared the resulting VDRs computed for the period 119

2002–2010 along EN Pass 993 (EN-993) with the VDRs from precision leveling 120

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(Section S2). EN-993 travels through a region of major subsidence in central Taiwan 121

(Fig. 2a). The result of the rate comparisons for the 8 cases is given in Table S2. Fig. 122

S3 shows the VDRs from leveling and from EN in the 8 cases. The differences can be 123

further reduced by applying a filter to the original VDRs from EN. Fig. S4 compares 124

the VDRs from leveling and from the filtered and unfiltered results of EN. The 125

assessments using Table S2, and Figs. S3 and S4 suggest that the Case 4, 7 and 8 126

combinations of parameters in Eq. (2) result in similar accuracies in EN-derived 127

VDRs of about 0.85 cm yr-1

. Taking into account the current result of parameter 128

combinations from peer groups3, 4, 6

, we decided to use the Case 8 parameter 129

combination for EN in the following experiments of waveform retracking. Again, we 130

do not have data for modeling these effects for TP, J1 and J2. 131

Table S2: Statistics of the differences (in cm yr-1

) between vertical displacement rates 132

from EN and from leveling along EN-993 in central Taiwan using 8 cases of 133

parameter combinations (0: parameter off; 1: parameter on). 134

135

Case Backscatter Leading edge Trailing

Differences

Max Min Mean RMS

1 0 0 0 1.82 -3.44 -0.28 1.25

2 1 0 0 1.79 -1.99 0.14 0.88

3 0 1 0 1.69 -3.29 -0.18 1.15

4 0 0 1 1.98 1.33 0.01 0.85

5 1 1 0 2.15 -1.94 0.11 0.93

6 1 0 1 2.31 -1.23 0.28 0.95

7 0 1 1 2.06 -1.71 0.06 0.85

8 1 1 1 2.32 -1.14 0.23 0.85

136

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137

Fig. S3: Vertical displacement rates from precision leveling and from corrected 138

heights of EN altimeter along Pass 993 (EN-993). For the 8 cases see Table S2. 139

140

141

Fig. S4: Vertical displacement rates from leveling and from filtered and unfiltered 142

results of EN altimeter along Pass 993 in central Taiwan. 143

144

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In Eq. (1), heights j

iH are based on range corrections using the subwaveform 145

threshold retracker5. Here we show that the subwaveform threshold retracker indeed 146

outperforms other retrackers, based on comparisons between EN-derived VDRs and 147

those from precision leveling in Taiwan (see Section S2). As shown earlier, the EN 148

product supplies range corrections using the Ice1, Ice2, Sea ice and Ocean retrackers. 149

In this study, the range corrections were also determined using the subwaveform 150

threshold retracker and the offset center of gravity (OCOG) retracker7. The 151

computational steps using the subwaveform threshold retracker are as follows2: 152

Step 1: Obtain a reference subwaveform from the full Brown waveform model. 153

Step 2: Compute the correlations between candidate subwaveforms and the reference 154

waveform to find the optimal subwaveform. 155

Step 3: Determine the gate number,rG , at the center of the leading edge from the 156

optimal subwaveform by the improved threshold retracking with the optimal 157

threshold value. 158

Step 4: Compute the retracking correction using RGGC trR )( , where R is 159

the width of the radar pulse and tG is the theoretical gate number. 160

In Step 3, the optimal threshold value is a value that will remove the effects of radar 161

penetration in soil and of sub-surface volume scattering of radar8. In this study, the 162

optimal threshold value was determined by an empirical method as follows: we 163

experimented with various threshold values to obtain range corrections and then 164

compute VDRs. The computed VDRs were compared with the measured VDRs from 165

leveling (Section S2), and the optimal threshold value was the threshold value that 166

resulted in the least difference between the VDRs from leveling and altimetry. Table 167

S3 shows the statistics of the differences between the VDRs from leveling and from 168

EN in central Taiwan. The VDRs from EN are based on range corrections supplied in 169

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the GDRs and those from using various threshold values in the subwaveform 170

threshold retracker. Fig. S5 shows the various VDRs. The results from Table S3 and 171

Fig. S5 suggest that 0.10 is the optimal threshold value and results in a VDR accuracy 172

of less than 1 cm yr-1

. The altimeter-derived VDRs shown in Figs. 3, 4, 5, 6, 8 are 173

based on corrections by the subwaveform threshold retracker using the 0.10 optimal 174

threshold value. 175

176

Fig. S5: Vertical displacement rates from leveling and from retracked height 177

measurements along EN-993. 178

179

180

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Table S3: Statistics of the differences between vertical displacement rates derived 181

from leveling and from EN-993 by different retrackers in central Taiwan (unit: cm 182

yr-1

) 183

184

Retracker Max Min Mean RMS

Subwave1 0.1

2 2.32 -1.14 0.23 0.85

Subwave 0.2 2.73 -1.58 0.14 0.97

Subwave 0.3 2.73 -1.30 0.37 0.99

Subwave 0.5 10.91 -1.69 0.86 2.54

Ice 13

8.22 -1.93 0.65 2.40

Ice 23 2.01 -1.92 -0.11 1.04

Sea ice3 6.22 -2.41 0.34 1.82

Ocean3 9.66 -1.48 1.46 3.05

OCOG 9.41 -2.11 1.46 2.91

1subwaveform threshold retracker 185

2threshold value 186

3 retrackers supplied in EN GDRs 187

188

If there is no leveling data over a study region, one can use differences between 189

the VDRs at the crossover of two intersecting ground tracks (one ascending and one 190

descending track) to assess the altimeter-derived rates. However, one must be cautious 191

in choosing the bin radius to estimate the parameters for the space and time reductions 192

needed in Eq. (1). Also, the slopes of the terrain near the crossover along the two 193

tracks can vary, resulting in different slope-induced effects that are difficult to correct. 194

Unless the area near a crossover is sufficiently flat and the measurements are dense, it 195

is difficult for the ascending and descending tracks to produce equally good 196

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parameters for data reductions and equally good VDRs from the two tracks. 197

Despite the difficulty in using the crossover approach for assessing altimeter 198

results, here we show two examples of crossover assessment using the VDRs derived 199

from TP-051 (an odd pass number indicates an ascending track) and TP-164 (an even 200

pass number indicates a descending track) in central Taiwan, and the rates derived 201

from TP-001 and TP-062 near Tianjin, northern China. Table S4 shows the differences 202

between the rates from the ascending and descending tracks, based on corrections 203

using 4 different threshold values in the subwaveform threshold retracker and using 204

the OCOG retracker. The subwaveform threshold retracker with a 0.10 threshold 205

value resulted in the least difference at the two crossovers in central Taiwan and 206

northern China. This result is consistent with the result in Table S3. Note that the 207

difference at the TP-001and TP-062 crossover from OCOG is 0.15 cm yr-1

, which is 208

the smallest among all differences. However, the VDR from OCOG at this crossover 209

is about -7.50 cm yr-1

, which is about 3 cm yr-1

larger than (in terms of subsidence) 210

the rate determined by precision leveling (the correct rate is about -4.50 cm yr-1

). 211

212

Table S4: Differences between vertical displacement rates from ascending and 213

descending tracks of TP (unit: cm yr-1

). 214

Retracker TP-051 and TP-164 crossover

(Taiwan)

TP-001 and TP-062 crossover

(Tianjin, north China)

No retracking 3.00 11.25

OCOG 2.43 0.15

Subwave 0.1 0.20 1.58

Subwave 0.2 1.14 2.81

Subwave 0.3 2.03 3.21

Subwave 0.5 3.30 4.81

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215

S4: Time series of height at the TP-EN crossover and at the location of 216

maximum subsidence, near HanfordSan Joaquin Valley, California, USA 217

Fig. S6 shows the time series of heights at the crossover of TP-043 and 218

EN-684 (see Fig. 3a) in the SJV. The coordinates of this crossover, located in the 219

Tulare Basin, are 36.1586° N, 119.6594° W. The maximum VDRs from TP and EN 220

along these two passes occur north of the crossover at about 36.25° N and are -6, and 221

-10 cm yr-1

, respectively. The rates indicate that subsidence here has accelerated from 222

the period of TP (1992–2002) to that of EN (2002–10) and to J2 (2008–15). This 223

acceleration is attributed in part to increased groundwater extraction that accompanies 224

the recent drought in California. 225

Fig. 5 shows the time series of height at the location of the maximum 226

subsidence (see Fig. 4a) along TP-043. Both Figs. 5 and S6 show trends of decreasing 227

heights with superimposed oscillations in the heights. In Fig. S6, the VDRs from EN 228

and J1 are quite consistent. In the SJV, altimeter-measured heights peaked in summer 229

and were lowest in winter. The oscillations are likely caused by different volume 230

scatters and different soil penetration depths of radar in the dry and wet seasons, and 231

by varying vegetation types that result in variable diffusions of radar pulses. 232

In Eq. (1), 0H is the mean height at the mean position (the bin center) for all 233

repeat cycles from a particular satellite mission. The mean position for TP will be 234

different from the mean position for its follow-on mission J1. This is also applicable 235

to the differences between any two missions. At a given bin, the difference between 236

the two mean positions for TP and J1 can vary from few meters to hundreds of meters. 237

As an example, for a gentle slope with a 1% gradient, a 10-m difference in mean 238

position will lead to a 10-cm height difference. Both inter-mission altimeter bias and 239

terrain graident will create an apparent shift between heights from two satellites at a 240

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crossover of the two satellites (see Methods). In Figs. 5 and S6, we show both the 241

time series from the original heights and the shifted heights (the shift for a mission is 242

a constant applied to all the heights from this mission). 243

244

Fig. S6: Height changes in San Joaquin Valley, California, from TP, EN, J1 and J2 at 245

the crossover of tracks TP-043 and EN-684 (see Fig. 3a for the location of crossover) 246

from (a) the original heights and (b) shifted heights. The marked differences between 247

EN and J1 heights in (a) are caused partially by different reference ellispoids adopted 248

for the two altimetry GDRs (6378137.0 m versus 6378136.3 m). 249

250

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S5: Hanford and Tuku: similarities in distribution of altimeter ground tracks, 251

route of high speed rail and risk of subsidence 252

Fig. S7 shows the similarities between Hanford, California, and Tuku, Taiwan, 253

in terms of the distribution of altimeter ground tracks, the route of high speed rail and 254

the risk of subsidence. Both Hanford and Tuku experience the largest subsidence rates 255

(in this study) as seen in the TP-J2 results. The TP-J2 altimeters have provided 256

subsidence rates (Oct 2002–Feb 2015) along the sections of CHSR and THSR near 257

Hanford and Tuku. In Fig. S7b, the red (first priority) - and blue (second priority) 258

-shaded areas within 1.5 km of THSR are areas where groundwater use is restricted. 259

These shaded areas were defined in a project of groundwater restriction use near Tuku 260

that started in 2005 and was completed in 2008 261

(http://www.wra.gov.tw/ct.asp?xItem=45677&ctNode=7748&comefrom=lp, in 262

Chinese). Note that THSR began operation in 2007. As pointed out in the main text, 263

the reduction in the subsidence magnitude and in the subsiding area near Tuku seen in 264

the J2-derived VDRs (Fig. 4b) is due to the measure of groundwater use. THSR in the 265

red-shaded area used to suffer the most severe subsidence problems due to 266

groundwater pumping (Fig. S8) and loading by Expressway No. 78 (Fig. S2). For the 267

planned CHSR, there is a potential operational risk near Hanford due to the large 268

subsidence measured there. However, the restricted groundwater use near Tuku 269

suggests that this measure is effective in reducing the subsidence rate and may be a 270

measure to consider for the CHSR. 271

With proper data processing, the J2 altimeter and future JASON-3 will continue 272

to provide near real-time monitoring of the severe subsidence in the two areas for safe 273

operations of CHSR and THSR. 274

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275

Fig. S7: (a) CHSR, and ground tracks of TP-043 (same as J1-043 and J2-043) and 276

EN-684 overlapped with an image from the Landsat satellite near Hanford, California. 277

The positions of the red dot and star correspond to the positions of the same symbols 278

shown in Fig. 4a, (b) THSR, and ground tracks of TP-051 and EN-993 overlapped 279

with an image from the SPOT satellite near Tuku Township, Taiwan. The positions of 280

the triangle and square correspond to the positions of the same symbols shown in Fig. 281

4b. GMT V5.1.3 (http://gmt.soest.hawaii.edu/) is used to plot the ground tracks and 282

names. The Landsat image was provided by: U.S. Geological Survey, Earth Resources 283

Observation and Science (EROS) Center, 2015, Landsat products and services: EROS, 284

Glovis Web page, accessed 29 September 2015 at http://glovis.usgs.gov/. 285

286

287

Fig. S8: (a) Pumping groundwater to irrigate rice fields near Tuku Township, Taiwan, 288

(b) existing wells are prohibited from pumping groundwater in a restricted area within 289

1.5 km from the THSR (the shaded-area in Fig. S7b). Irrigation ditches divert water 290

from outside the restricted area. (Photos: R. Kao) 291

292

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S6: Vertical displacement rates in the North China Plain from TP, EN,J2, and 293

height time series at crossovers 294

Fig. 8 shows the VDRs derived from TP and J2 in the North China Plain. Due to 295

their short repeat period of 10 days, the cross-track spacing (from one ascending track 296

to its neighboring ascending track) is about 314 km. However, the along-track VDRs 297

are useful for detecting cropland subsidence and its time variation. The time series of 298

height changes (original, un-shifted) at the crossovers of TP, EN and J2 at points A-D 299

(Fig. 7) are shown in Figs. S9-12, indicating that the VDRs for different satellite 300

periods can vary substantially. The VDRs in Figs. S9-12 are used to compute the 301

cumulative subsidence values in Fig. 7. During the period when EN and J2 overlap 302

(2008–10), the trends of height changes from the two satellites for this period are very 303

consistent, and the same consistency is also seen in Figs. 5 and S6. 304

According to Document No. AAA22I-0215-2013-00960 issued by the Water 305

Resource Agency of Tianjin City in 2013 306

(http://www.tjzfxxgk.gov.cn/tjep/ConInfoParticular.jsp?id=45399, in Chinese), 307

pumping of groundwater is prohibited within 1.5 km of the Jin-Qin High Speed Rail 308

(same measure is imposed along THSR near Tuku, Fig. S7). This measure is 309

associated with the deceleration of land subsidence from the EN period to the J2 310

period seen in Fig. S9. The successful detections of the slowed VDRs due to restricted 311

groundwater use near Tuku (Taiwan) and Tianjin (north China) suggest that satellite 312

altimetry can determine whether a particular management measure to control 313

groundwater use is effective. 314

315

316

317

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318

Fig. S9: Height time series at a location near Jin–Qin High Speed Rail in the city of 319

Tianjin (A, Fig. 7). This high speed rail was opened in 2013, operating at a maximum 320

speed of 350 km h-1

. 321

322

323

Fig. S10: Height time series at a location near Hengshui City, Hebei (B, Fig. 7). 324

Subsidence has accelerated from the time of TP to the time of J2. 325

326

327

Fig. S11: Height time series at a location near Luyi County, Henan province (C, Fig. 328

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7), with J2 heights showing an increasing trend (EN also shows such a trend in the 329

overlapping period 2008–2010). 330

331

332

Fig. S12: Height time series at a location near Fuyang City, Anhui province (D, Fig. 333

7), showing a significant accelerating subsidence during 2011–15. 334

335

References for Supplementary Information 336

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