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thesis of mappiing of Rift Valley Fever by osman shiine farah 2011

Apr 04, 2018

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    Mapping of Rift valley fever risk areas in

    Somaliland

    Thesis

    STVS

    BY: Osman Abdulahi FarahRoll number: STVS/0087

    Supervisor Dr. Ismail kan

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    introduction

    Rift Valley fever (RVF) is a per acute or acute disease

    of domestic animals in Africa and Madagascar, caused

    by a mosquito- borne virus and characterized hepatitis

    and haemorrhagic state, but infection are frequently in

    apparent or mild, RVF affect sheep, goat, cattle camel,

    Wild ruminants, buffaloes and human.

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    introduction

    RVF is a member of the phlebovirus of the Family

    Bunyaviriadae. It is spread by the bite of infected

    mosquitoes, typically the Aedes or Culex genera.

    The mode of RVF virus transmission may be vector-

    borne, or from direct contact with body fluids of infectedanimals.

    Signs of disease is anorexia, photophobia weakness and

    excessive salivation, but Human, comma, muscle pain,

    ocular discharge

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    General and Specific

    Objectives

    The general objectives of this mini thesis is to show

    areas of risk of rift valley fever in Somaliland

    Specific is To indicate high risk areas in Somaliland

    regions by using ArcGIS software.

    To indicate prevalence of surveyed four regions

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    Table 1: Structure of the different administrative levelsof sampling

    Included in

    the above

    administrat

    ive level

    Region District Location Sites

    Total

    4

    12

    30

    900

    Mode Nill 164 30 313Average 225 75 30 331Range 198 134 5 38

    Material and Methods

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    Table 2: List of relevant variables included in the database

    along with the number of observations available

    Variable Number of samples for

    which it was recorded

    % of samples for which it

    was recorded

    LocalizationRegion 900 100%

    District 900 100%

    Location 900 100%

    Site 900 100%

    Species

    Goat 456 51%

    Sheep 444 49%

    Age 1-5

    Sex

    Male 356 40%

    Material and Methods

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    Material and Methods

    Data Collection

    The input of data was obtained from SAHSP office in

    Hargeisa, where relevant information was expected to

    be available Data Management and Analysis

    Data from SAHSP were managed and entered into

    databases by using ArcGIS version 9.3.1 due to short

    time of study. For the statistical analysis the softwareStata IC/11Also were used data input of excel

    Microsoft.

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    Administrative structure of

    Somaliland The Somaliland administrative structure has

    frequently been subject to Modification, to

    this serological study of mapping RVF thereare 4 regions composed of (12) districts.

    Each region composed 30 locations and out of

    this four districts were collected 900 samples.

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    RESULTS

    Regions

    Number of samples

    collected in each region and

    % of the whole survey

    Prevalence with 95%

    Confidence Intervals

    Hargeisa 60 (7%) 0.15 (0.05-0.25)

    Sanaag 318 (35%) 0.116352201 (0.11-0.15)

    Sool 270 (30%) 0.1858185185 (0.18-0.25)

    Togdheer 252 (28%) 0.107142827 (0.10-0.14)

    Total 900 0.1367 (0.13-0.15)

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    RESULTS

    Map 5 shows Somaliland Rift Valley Risk Areas

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    RESULTS

    Map3 shows Rift Valley Risk sites serological status

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    DISCUSSION

    the study has shown that the sool(0.18.5) and

    Maroodi jeex(0.15) are the highest risk areas of

    rift Valley fever disease compared to other

    regions such as Sanaag(0.11.6) and

    Togdheer(0.10.7) with CI respectively,

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    DISCUSSION

    prevalence of RVF in four surveyed regions inSomaliland with their interval confidence respectively,shows that Sool 0.18%, (0.18-0.25,

    Hargiesa 0.15%(0.05-0.25) Sanaag 0.11.6% (0.11-0.15),Togdheer 0.10.%(0.10-0.14),

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    CONCLUSION This study was aimed at producing by mapping risk

    areas of RVF disease in Somaliland regions, so that itcan help to improve the management and control ofRVF vector in those four regions, although the

    environment drivers that determine the life cycle of thevector with high risks as result of this study of mappingusing arcGIS, like Sool, Sanaag and Togdheer regions.

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    Recommendation

    Based on finding of this study of mapping risk areas

    four of Somaliland regions, following

    recommendations were given as follows

    Ministry of livestock and local NGOs should developthe capacity to use ArcGIS technologies for the

    effective identification ecological of mosquito born

    diseasein those regions.

    Those four regions were at risk to RVF, so insecticidesshould be provided to avoid human.

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