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The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

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Page 1: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

The

US

Eur

ope

Page 2: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

GD

P p

er c

apita

0

5000

1000

0

1500

0

2000

0

2500

0

3000

0

3500

0

4000

0

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2004

US

EU

15

Dat

a fro

m O

EC

D fa

ctbo

ok20

06

Page 3: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Doe

s Am

eric

a ha

ve s

omet

hing

th

at E

urop

e is

mis

sing

?-A

mer

ican

exc

etio

nalis

mvs

. the

E

urop

ean

mod

el

Page 4: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

•Tw

o fa

ctor

s th

at d

eter

min

e G

DP

per

cap

ita

-Lab

or p

rodu

ctiv

ity (o

utpu

t per

hou

r wor

ked)

Incr

ease

d in

Eur

ope

rela

tive

to th

e U

S b

etw

een

1970

and

199

5D

ecre

ased

in E

urop

e re

lativ

e to

the

US

from

199

5 an

d on

war

d

-Hou

rs o

f wor

k in

the

labo

r mar

ket

Has

bee

n de

crea

sing

sin

ce 1

970

Page 5: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

The

futu

re re

sult

of a

com

bina

tion

of lo

w

prod

uctiv

ity a

nd le

ss h

ours

of w

ork?

Page 6: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

•P

art 1

: Wha

t can

exp

lain

the

evol

utio

n of

ho

urs

of w

ork

from

197

0 to

199

5?-P

resc

ott(

2004

), R

oger

s (2

007)

and

Ale

sina

, Gla

eser

& S

acer

dote

(200

5)

•P

art 2

: Why

has

Eur

ope

lost

in p

rodu

ctiv

ity

rela

tive

to th

e U

S fr

om 1

995?

-Gor

don

(200

4)

Wha

t doe

s E

urop

e ha

ve to

do?

•P

art 3

: Go

Eur

ope!

-Bla

ncha

rd (2

004)

Page 7: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Par

t 1: P

ossi

ble

dete

rmin

ants

of

the

decr

ease

in n

umbe

r of

hour

s w

orke

d

Page 8: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Pro

duct

ivity

and

the

num

ber o

f hou

rs

wor

ked

1970

–19

95

From

Bla

ncha

rd 2

004,

p. 4

.

Page 9: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

From

Ale

sina

et a

l (20

05),

p.46

.

Page 10: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Wor

king

for v

acat

ion

•Th

e de

crea

se in

hou

rs o

f wor

k is

due

to

cultu

ral f

acto

rs. E

urop

eans

like

vac

atio

n an

d A

mer

ican

s ar

e w

orko

holic

s.

•La

bor m

arke

t pol

icie

s th

at d

ecre

ase

the

ince

ntiv

es to

wor

k.-T

axes

-Uni

on p

olic

ies

Page 11: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

TAX

ES

•In

com

e ta

x +

payr

oll t

ax +

con

sum

ptio

n ta

x =

effe

ctiv

e m

argi

nal t

ax ra

te.

•In

divi

dual

cho

oses

bet

wee

n w

orki

ng in

the

labo

r mar

ket

and

leis

ure

(enc

ompa

sses

non

-mar

ket s

ecto

r).

•Th

e ta

x cr

eate

s a

wed

ge b

etw

een

inco

me

from

labo

r m

arke

t wor

k an

d in

com

e fro

m th

e no

n-la

bor m

arke

t se

ctor

-di

stor

tion

•Fr

om 1

970

to 2

000

the

tax

rate

in E

urop

e in

crea

sed

by

10-1

5% in

Eur

ope

com

pare

d to

abo

ut 8

% in

the

US

(B

lanc

hard

200

4 p.

9).

Page 12: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Uni

on P

olic

ies

•H

ighe

rwag

e•

Neg

otia

tem

ore

vaca

tion

and/

or s

horte

rw

ork

wee

k.•

Neg

otia

tion

of g

ener

ous

pens

ion

sche

mes

.•

Neg

otia

tion

of u

nem

ploy

men

tco

mpe

nsat

ion.

Page 13: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Pre

scot

t (20

04) a

nd E

urop

ean

taxe

s

•Lo

oks

at th

e la

bor s

uppl

ies

in th

e G

7 ov

er

time.

•Th

e ta

x ra

te a

ccou

nts

for t

he w

hole

di

ffere

nce

in h

ours

of w

ork.

•Jo

lly g

ood.

In o

rder

to c

atch

up

Eur

ope

just

hav

e to

low

er th

e ta

xes.

Page 14: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Rog

ers

(200

7) –

It is

the

serv

ice

sect

or!

•A

n al

tern

ativ

e vi

ew o

n th

e im

porta

nce

of h

igh

taxe

s.•

Kuz

nets

: Agr

icul

ture

M

anuf

actu

re a

nd s

ervi

ces

Ser

vice

s•

As

Eur

ope

catc

hes

up w

ith A

mer

ica,

the

empl

oym

ent

rate

acr

oss

sect

ors

expe

cted

to b

e ro

ughl

y th

e sa

me.

•In

200

0, th

e em

ploy

men

t in

the

Eur

opea

n se

rvic

e se

ctor

w

as 7

0% o

f tha

t in

the

US

.•

In o

rder

to u

nder

stan

d th

e di

ffere

nce

in h

ours

of w

ork

one

mus

t und

erst

and

why

Eur

ope

has

not d

evel

oped

a

mar

ket s

ervi

ce s

ecto

r sim

ilar t

o th

at o

f the

US

.

Page 15: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Stru

ctur

altra

nsfo

rmat

ion

com

pare

d

Page 16: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

The

reas

on to

Eur

ope’

s no

n-ex

iste

nt m

arke

t se

rvic

e se

ctor

•E

urop

e ra

ise

taxe

s at

the

sam

e tim

e as

the

deve

lopm

ent p

roce

ss a

nd e

ncou

rage

wor

k ou

tsid

e th

e la

bor m

arke

t.•

Act

iviti

es in

mar

ket s

ervi

ce s

ecto

r hav

e go

od

non-

mar

ket s

ubst

itute

s as

chi

ld c

are,

coo

king

, cl

eani

ng, h

ouse

repa

irs –

high

ela

stic

ity.

•If

the

US

wer

e to

ado

pt th

e sa

me

tax

rate

s as

E

urop

e, th

e tim

e al

loca

tion

acro

ss s

ecto

r wou

ld

be s

imila

r.S

o E

urop

e ca

n lo

wer

taxe

s in

the

serv

ice

sect

or.

Page 17: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

In o

rder

to in

crea

se th

e ho

urs

wor

ked

in E

urop

e, lo

wer

the

taxe

s.

…is

it th

at s

impl

e?

Page 18: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Bla

ncha

rd’s

con

tribu

tion

to th

e di

scus

sion

•Q

uest

ions

the

assu

mpt

ions

abo

ut u

tility

an

d el

astic

ity

•N

o cl

ear e

vide

nce

of a

rela

tion

betw

een

tax

rate

and

hou

rs o

f wor

k in

Eur

ope

•P

refe

renc

es: W

orke

rs c

hose

to in

crea

se

leis

ure

as th

e in

com

e in

crea

sed

Page 19: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Ale

sina

, Gla

eser

, and

Sac

erdo

te-P

resc

ott’s

ela

stic

ity!

•Th

e el

astic

ity is

too

high

•W

hy u

se m

icro

/mac

ro e

last

iciti

es?

-Dire

ct e

ffect

s-T

rans

fers

in

com

e ef

fect

-Sub

stitu

tion

poss

ibili

ties

–m

arke

t sec

tor a

nd n

on-

mar

ket s

ecto

r.

•N

o ev

iden

ce th

at s

uppo

rts m

acro

el

astic

ities

of t

hat m

agni

tude

Page 20: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Ale

sina

, Gla

eser

, and

Sac

erdo

te-V

acat

ion

cont

amin

atio

n

•N

o su

ch th

ing

as a

”cul

tura

l”ex

plan

atio

n-I

n th

e 60

s th

e ho

urs

per e

mpl

oyee

wer

e ab

out t

he s

ame

in E

urop

ean

d in

the

US

.•

How

to c

ombi

ne h

igh

elas

ticity

and

cul

ture

-Pos

itive

com

plem

enta

ries

in p

rodu

ctio

n, c

onsu

mpt

ion,

and

leis

ure

soci

al m

ultip

lier

soci

al m

ultip

lier

•In

crea

se in

tax

decl

inin

g ho

urs

of w

ork

rein

forc

emen

t by

the

soci

al m

ultip

lier

soci

al m

ultip

lier

•B

ut a

soc

ial m

ultip

lier

soci

al m

ultip

liere

ffect

can

not

exp

lain

the

who

le d

iffer

ence

.•

So

wha

t doe

s E

urop

e ha

ve th

at A

mer

ica

is

mis

sing

acc

ordi

ng to

them

?

Page 21: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Ale

sina

, Gla

eser

, and

Sac

erdo

te-T

hey

have

unio

ns!

•O

mitt

ed v

aria

bles

: Uni

oniz

atio

n an

d la

bor

mar

ket r

egul

atio

ns•

In E

urop

e, u

nion

s pl

ay a

n im

porta

nt ro

le in

:-N

egot

iatio

n of

retir

emen

t sch

emes

-Neg

otia

tions

of u

nem

ploy

men

t com

pens

atio

n-S

olid

arity

wag

e po

licy

•Th

e ef

fect

of t

he ta

x ra

te m

ight

be

over

estim

ated

Page 22: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Ale

sina

, Gla

eser

, and

Sac

erdo

te-W

ork

less

–W

ork

all!

•Th

e im

porta

nce

of th

e un

ions

incr

ease

d w

ith th

e st

ruct

ural

sho

cks

of 1

970-

1980

(or r

elat

ed to

the

lefti

st s

urge

in th

e la

te 6

0s).

•Lo

wer

pro

duct

ivity

•Fa

ced

with

risk

of u

nem

ploy

men

t the

y ne

gotia

ted

a de

crea

se in

wor

k ho

urs.

•Th

e pr

imar

y go

al: M

aint

ain

thei

r mem

bers

hip

“Wor

k al

l, w

ork

less

Page 23: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Ale

sina

, Gla

eser

, and

Sac

erdo

te-It

is e

mpi

rical

!

•Th

e im

pact

of t

axes

dis

appe

ars

whe

n th

ey c

ontro

l for

un

ioni

zatio

n an

d re

gula

tion.

•Fr

om th

e U

S: T

he im

pact

of u

nion

sta

tus

on v

acat

ion

and

hour

s w

orke

d se

ems

to b

e as

larg

e as

the

impa

ct o

f ta

x ra

tes.

•Le

gally

man

date

d ho

liday

s ca

n ex

plai

n 80

% o

f the

di

ffere

nce

in h

ours

wor

ked

and

30%

of t

he d

iffer

ence

in

tota

l lab

or s

uppl

y.•

Con

clus

ion:

Uni

oniz

atio

n an

d la

bor m

arke

t reg

ulat

ion

mig

ht b

e th

e do

min

ant f

acto

rs w

hen

expl

aini

ng th

e di

ffere

nce.

Page 24: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Ale

sina

, Gla

eser

, and

Sac

erdo

te-W

ork

less

–fe

el g

ood!

•S

ubop

timal

ity o

r the

sol

utio

n of

a c

oord

inat

ion

prob

lem

?

•Th

e im

porta

nce

of th

e so

cial

mul

tiplie

rso

cial

mul

tiplie

r-- P

eopl

e ta

king

long

er v

acat

ions

see

ms

to b

e ha

ppie

rP

eopl

e ta

king

long

er v

acat

ions

see

ms

to b

e ha

ppie

r

•…

does

Eur

ope

have

som

ethi

ng th

at A

mer

ica

wis

hed

it ha

d?

Page 25: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Hal

ftim

e co

ntem

plat

ion

Are

you

con

vinc

edby

thes

ear

gum

ents

?

Page 26: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Par

t 2: F

acto

rs b

ehin

d E

urop

e’s

lagg

ing

in p

rodu

ctiv

ity

-Am

eric

an e

xcep

tiona

lism

afte

r 199

5

Page 27: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Bla

ncha

rd 2

004,

p. 1

1

Page 28: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Pot

entia

l exp

lana

tions

•P

rodu

ctiv

ity s

low

dow

n in

man

ufac

turin

g-T

he ra

te h

a be

en d

eclin

ing

but i

s st

ill a

t a h

ighe

r lev

el

than

that

of t

he U

S.

•E

urop

e m

isse

d th

e IT

-revo

lutio

n-T

he s

hare

of t

he IT

pro

duci

ng s

ecto

r is

smal

ler i

n E

urop

e th

an in

the

US

, but

ther

e ar

e la

rge

diffe

renc

es

betw

een

coun

tries

Page 29: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

The

larg

est d

iffer

ence

is fo

und

in th

e IT

-us

ing

serv

ice

sect

or:

-Ret

ail t

rade

, who

lesa

le tr

ade,

and

sec

uriti

es

tradi

ng.

-Ret

ail a

ccou

nts

for a

bout

50

perc

ent o

f the

pr

oduc

tivity

incr

ease

.

Why

is A

mer

ica

mor

e su

cces

sful

in th

is

sect

or?

Page 30: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Gor

don:

Eur

opea

n cu

ltura

lattr

ibut

es

•R

egul

ator

y ba

rrie

rs a

nd la

nd-u

se re

gula

tion

in

Eur

ope

inhi

bit d

evel

opm

ent o

f ”bi

g bo

x”re

taili

ng

stor

es (W

al-M

art).

ALSO

•E

urop

e’s

corp

orat

ist s

truct

ures

that

pro

tect

in

cum

bent

indu

strie

s an

d in

hibi

t new

ent

ry.

•C

ultu

ral f

acto

rs th

at in

hibi

t dev

elop

men

t of

ambi

tion

and

inde

pend

ence

am

ong

teen

ager

s an

d yo

ung

adul

ts.

Page 31: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Am

eric

an e

xcep

tiona

lism

-U

S re

tailin

g

•A

mer

ica

-Pro

mot

e di

sper

sed

low

-den

sity

urb

an a

reas

w

ithou

t pub

lic tr

ansp

orta

tion

-Bui

ldin

g hi

ghw

ays

•E

urop

e:-R

egul

ator

y ba

rrie

rs-P

rote

ctio

n of

gre

en-a

reas

-Diff

eren

t pub

lic p

olic

es re

leva

nt fo

r m

etro

polit

an g

row

th.

Page 32: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

The

Eur

opea

n M

odel

: Cor

pora

tism

and

sp

oile

d yo

uth

•E

cono

mic

inst

itutio

ns th

at s

uppr

ess

inno

vatio

n an

d co

mpe

titio

n-L

icen

ses

and

perm

issi

ons

to s

et u

p ne

w p

lant

s-N

eed

to c

onsu

lt w

ith w

orke

rs b

efor

e ch

ange

s-E

mpl

oym

ent p

rote

ctio

n

•S

poile

d Y

outh

s-P

aid

tuiti

on-N

o ne

ed to

wor

k -C

ultu

re o

f dep

ende

ncy

Page 33: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Ince

ntiv

es fo

r Inn

ovat

ion

•D

evel

opm

ent o

f IT,

pha

rmac

eutic

s an

d bi

otec

h m

ore

succ

essf

ul in

Am

eric

a-I

nter

play

am

ong

rese

arch

uni

vers

ities

, gov

ernm

ent

rese

arch

gra

nts,

and

priv

ate

indu

stry

-Ear

ly d

evel

opm

ent o

f gra

d sc

hool

in b

usin

ess

-Gov

ernm

ent r

esea

rch

supp

ort f

avor

s yo

ung,

act

ive

rese

arch

ers

and

not n

on-p

rodu

cing

pro

fess

ors

-Enc

oura

ged

imm

igra

tion

of h

igh

skill

ed p

erso

ns

Page 34: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Can

Eur

ope

catc

h up

aga

in?

•U

nles

s th

e E

urop

ean

cultu

ral a

ttitu

des

chan

ge q

uite

fast

it m

ight

be

trick

y.

Page 35: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

¾pa

rt co

ntem

plat

ion

-Wha

tdoe

sE

urop

e ha

veto

do?

Page 36: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Pos

sibl

e su

gges

tions

:•

Low

er ta

xes

•Lo

wer

taxe

s in

the

serv

ice

sect

or•

Pro

hibi

t uni

on a

ctiv

ity•

Der

egul

ate

mar

kets

•Fu

lly a

dopt

the

Am

eric

an c

ultu

re w

ith

high

way

s, W

al-M

art,

and

no s

ubsi

dies

of

colla

ge e

duca

tion

Page 37: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Sac

rific

es fo

r hig

her G

DP

per

cap

ita

•V

acat

ions

•Fu

n w

ork

in th

e ho

me

sect

or

•S

ocia

l sec

urity

and

mod

erat

ely

rich

CE

Os

•Li

ve c

lose

to n

eigh

bors

in e

very

asp

ect

•B

us, s

ubw

ays,

and

trai

ns•

Gre

en a

reas

•Th

e re

lativ

ely

unpo

llute

d ai

rTh

e w

hole

Eur

opea

n m

odel

?

Page 38: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

But

can

you

com

pare

Eur

ope

to th

e U

S?

Page 39: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Par

t 3: G

o E

urop

e!

Page 40: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Bla

ncha

rd a

nd th

e E

urop

ean

mod

el

•Th

e pr

oduc

tivity

gro

wth

bef

ore

may

hav

e be

en a

ca

tchi

ng u

p ef

fect

.•

Eur

ope

was

abl

e to

pro

tect

thei

r ind

ustri

es (r

egul

ated

m

arke

ts),

whi

ch a

llow

ed fo

r the

gov

ernm

ent t

o ex

tract

re

nts

and

purs

ue th

e E

urop

ean

mod

el w

ith e

mph

asis

on

the

wel

fare

sta

te.

•C

omm

on a

rgum

ent:

Now

Eur

ope

mus

t be

inno

vativ

e an

d ca

n no

t esc

ape

fore

ign

com

petit

ion.

The

Eur

opea

n m

odel

can

no

long

er p

ersi

st.

•Th

e re

form

s in

the

labo

r mar

ket i

s a

sign

of c

hang

e.

Page 41: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Bla

ncha

rd a

nd d

ereg

ulat

ion

•B

E: B

arrie

rs to

ent

repr

eneu

rshi

p•

PO

: Pub

lic o

wne

rshi

p•

Reg

ulat

ion

has

decr

ease

d in

Eur

ope

•E

urop

e is

stil

l mor

e re

gula

ted

than

the

US

•Th

ere

is g

reat

het

erog

enei

ty b

etw

een

coun

tries

Bla

ncha

rd (2

004)

p. 1

9.

Page 42: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Bla

ncha

rd a

nd d

ereg

ulat

ion

•P

ositi

ve o

utco

mes

can

be

seen

in ro

ad

freig

ht, a

utom

otiv

es…

•Th

ere

seem

to b

e a

rela

tions

hip

betw

een

dere

gula

tion,

the

degr

ee o

f com

petit

ion,

an

d th

e le

vel o

f pro

duct

ivity

.

Page 43: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Der

egul

atio

n of

goo

ds a

nd la

bor m

arke

ts

•D

ereg

ulat

ion

of g

oods

mar

ket

Incr

ease

in

com

petit

ion

low

er p

rices

lo

wer

mar

kup

•D

ereg

ulat

ion

of th

e fin

anci

al m

arke

t (p

rivat

izat

ion,

incr

ease

d ca

pita

l mob

ility

) in

crea

sed

elas

ticity

of c

apita

l to

the

rate

of r

etur

n•

Impl

icat

ions

for t

he la

bor m

arke

t-U

nion

s

-Ins

titut

ions

Page 44: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Bla

ncha

rd (2

004)

, p. 2

8.

Page 45: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Uni

ons

-Sm

alle

r ren

ts

smal

ler b

enef

it of

join

ing

a un

ion

decr

ease

in m

embe

rshi

p de

crea

se

in p

ower

-The

mem

bers

hip

has

decl

ined

in c

ontin

enta

l E

urop

e

Page 46: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Inst

itutio

ns•

Ano

ther

way

to a

ffect

the

dist

ribut

ion

betw

een

firm

s an

d w

orke

rs-W

hen

rent

s sm

alle

r, th

e di

stor

ting

inst

rum

ents

to

extra

ct re

nts

less

attr

activ

e•

Pro

vide

soc

ial i

nsur

ance

, a tr

ade

off b

etw

een

econ

omic

effi

cien

cy a

nd s

ocia

l ins

uran

ce-I

f cou

ntrie

s fa

r fro

m e

ffici

ency

fron

tier f

rom

the

begi

nnin

g, d

ereg

ulat

ion

mig

ht p

ress

ure

them

to m

ove

clos

er, p

rovi

ding

abo

ut th

e sa

me

soci

al in

sura

nce

at

low

er e

ffici

ency

cos

ts.

Page 47: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Sig

nsof

cha

nge

•Th

e rh

etor

ic o

f uni

ons.

-Fro

m ”c

lass

stru

ggle

”to

”par

tner

ship

bet

wee

n la

bor a

nd

capi

tal”.

-Uni

ons

have

bec

ome

”wea

ker a

nd s

mar

ter”

.•

Une

mpl

oym

ent i

nsur

ance

sys

tem

s-R

educ

ed re

plac

emen

t rat

es, a

ctiv

e re

empl

oym

ent

polic

ies

•A

ttem

pts

to in

crea

se fl

exib

ility

-Eas

ier t

o hi

re a

nd fi

re•

Neg

ativ

e in

com

e ta

x in

stea

d of

min

imum

wag

e to

ach

ieve

hig

her i

ncom

e fo

r low

-ski

lled

wor

kers

.

Page 48: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

A p

olic

y ex

ampl

e: F

lexi

curit

y

It is

pos

sibl

e to

hav

e bo

th fl

exib

ility

and

sec

urity

in

orde

r to

achi

eve

econ

omic

per

form

ance

.

The

Dan

ish

’Gol

den

Tria

ngle

’:-

Low

er d

egre

e of

em

ploy

men

t pro

tect

ion

legi

slat

ion

(eas

ier t

o hi

re a

nd fi

re)

-G

ener

al p

rovi

sion

for u

nem

ploy

ed p

eopl

e-

Toge

ther

with

act

ive

labo

r mar

ket p

olic

ies

(pre

ssur

e an

d ed

ucat

ion)

Page 49: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

No

stro

ng e

vide

nce

of th

e ef

fect

s, b

ut:

•H

igh

labo

r mob

ility

-E

asie

rto

quit

a jo

ban

d fin

da

new

one

•A

redu

ctio

nof

une

mpl

oym

entb

y ar

ound

50 p

erce

ntsi

nce

1993

(Fle

xicu

rity

from

19

98)

Page 50: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Doe

s th

e U

S h

ave

som

ethi

ng

that

Eur

ope

is m

issi

ng?

Page 51: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

I don

’t th

ink

so

Page 52: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses

Ref

eren

ces

•A

lesi

na, A

., G

laes

er, E

., S

acer

dote

, B. (

2005

). ’W

ork

and

Leis

ure

in

the

U.S

. and

Eur

opé:

Why

So

Diff

eren

t?’,

NB

ER

Wor

king

Pap

er N

o.

1127

8, A

pril

2005

.•

Bla

ncha

rd, O

livie

r. (2

004)

‘The

Eco

nom

ic F

utur

e of

Eur

ope’

, NB

ER

W

orki

ng P

aper

, No.

103

10, M

arch

200

4.•

Gor

don,

R J

. (20

04) ‘

Why

Was

Eur

ope

Left

At t

he S

tatio

n W

hen

Am

eric

a’s

Pro

duct

ivity

Loc

omot

ive

Dep

arte

d’, N

BE

R W

orki

ng

Pap

er, N

o. 1

0661

, Aug

ust 2

004.

•P

resc

ott,

E C

. (20

04).

*Why

Do

Am

eric

ans

Wor

k S

o M

uch

Mor

e Th

an E

urop

eans

?’, F

eder

al R

eser

ve B

ank

of M

inne

apol

is Q

uarte

rly

Rev

iew

, vol

.28,

No.

1 Ju

ly 2

004,

pp.

2-13

.•

Rog

erso

n, R

icha

rd. (

2007

). ’S

truct

ural

Tran

sfor

mat

ion

and

the

Det

erio

ratio

nof

Eur

opea

n La

bor M

arke

t Out

com

es’,

NB

ER

Wor

king

Pap

erN

o. 1

2889

, Feb

ruar

y20

07.

Page 53: The US Europe - University of California, Berkeleywebfac/eichengreen/e183_sp07/...marginal tax rate. • Individual chooses between working in the labor market and leisure (encompasses