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THE STATUS OF THE NEGOTIATIONS REGARDING PROPERTY Proposals, Positions, Prospects
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THE STATUS OF THE NEGOTIATIONS REGARDING PROPERTY Proposals, Positions, Prospects.

Jan 12, 2016

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Page 1: THE STATUS OF THE NEGOTIATIONS REGARDING PROPERTY Proposals, Positions, Prospects.

THE STATUS OF THE NEGOTIATIONS REGARDING PROPERTY

Proposals, Positions, Prospects

Page 2: THE STATUS OF THE NEGOTIATIONS REGARDING PROPERTY Proposals, Positions, Prospects.

Overview

No chapter/dossier under negotiation has been closed

Sides have agreed on the need to categorize and list types of property (and have made progress on this)

Following the election of Eroglu the sides agreed to focus on property

But there is no joint paper on property

Page 3: THE STATUS OF THE NEGOTIATIONS REGARDING PROPERTY Proposals, Positions, Prospects.

Positions on property

Maximalist versus Current Positions GC position had been that all properties

should be returned to dispossessed owners

TC position has been in favor of a ‘global exchange’ (plus compensation to account for the difference)

Current negotiation positions are somewhat different

Page 4: THE STATUS OF THE NEGOTIATIONS REGARDING PROPERTY Proposals, Positions, Prospects.

GC Positions in Current Negotiations GC position is that original/dispossessed

owner must decide on the fate of the property

GC side appears to consider that in many cases GCs would not opt to return (to the north) as residents, implying that some would favor compensation

Perhaps as a consequence, GCs no longer insisting on 100% restitution

Page 5: THE STATUS OF THE NEGOTIATIONS REGARDING PROPERTY Proposals, Positions, Prospects.

TC Positions

Against the GC starting position that owners decide, TC position favors objective criteria for determining the fate of (different categories) of properties

Decisions would be made by an autonomous property commission

TC position envisions (limited) reinstatement of properties to original owners

TC position implies that ‘exchange’ title deeds (esdeger) will remain in TC hands, whereas other categories could be subject to return

It remains a matter of speculation what percentage of affected properties would be returned and is complicated further by different territorial adjustment scenarios

Page 6: THE STATUS OF THE NEGOTIATIONS REGARDING PROPERTY Proposals, Positions, Prospects.

Convergences?

Mix of remedies Compensation Exchange of affected properties Restitution

In the constituent state where the displaced person does not reside

Via territorial adjustment

Page 7: THE STATUS OF THE NEGOTIATIONS REGARDING PROPERTY Proposals, Positions, Prospects.

Institutions (property commission and property court for appeals)

Page 8: THE STATUS OF THE NEGOTIATIONS REGARDING PROPERTY Proposals, Positions, Prospects.

Compensation But financing mechanisms remain undetermined. Donors conference (not much hope there….but we

could speculate as to whether hydrocarbons could be of some use!) GC side envisions public debt issued by property

commission while implying that current users also contribute.

Compensation payments linked to value of property over time. TC side suggests “Guaranteed Financial Entitlement”

(GFE) Payable and guaranteed by TC constituent state Collect funds to pay the GFEs from current users who gain title Hybrid form of property and capital gains tax Tax linked to value

Page 9: THE STATUS OF THE NEGOTIATIONS REGARDING PROPERTY Proposals, Positions, Prospects.

Property development corporation (TC proposal) PDC would develop “adversely affected property” “Urban transformation” (grand improvement plans) TCs says this is to ensure fair basis for exchange ‘trapped value’ should be released ‘Structurally depressed’ properties: values (of TC

properties in the south) mostly due to zoning and the guardian laws

By contrast, GC properties in north developed (infrastructure)

So far, GCs have not rejected outright (since it may make exchange more attractive).

Page 10: THE STATUS OF THE NEGOTIATIONS REGARDING PROPERTY Proposals, Positions, Prospects.

Divergences, etc.

Authority: who decides the fate of the affected property on what basis?

Dispossessed owner or an independent body? Criteria…. TC concern is that GC position will undermine

bizonality (“a clear majority of property ownership and population”)

In any event, we would need to simulate different models of exchange and territorial adjustment to assess probable outcomes

GCs reluctant to concede authority to an autonomous body

Recent ECHR decisions suggest that interests of current users should be balanced with ownership rights (competing rights)

Page 11: THE STATUS OF THE NEGOTIATIONS REGARDING PROPERTY Proposals, Positions, Prospects.

Assumptions: Mediators think territory and property issues can be linked.

GCs might accept less property reinstatement (in TC constituent state) in return for more territory.

GCs ask for 100,000 (out of 162,000 displaced persons) be allowed to return as a result of territorial adjusment.

These figures imply indirect negotiations regarding Karpas peninsula.

Thus far, sides have not discussed numbers or maps (supposedly to be left to the final ‘give and take’)

Page 12: THE STATUS OF THE NEGOTIATIONS REGARDING PROPERTY Proposals, Positions, Prospects.

Compromise?

Reconciling the two positions? Some suggest model of ‘hierarchy’ whereby

owners are categorized (which is logic of ECHR actually – determining how to resolve competing interests).

Living displaced persons could be high in the hierarchy (thus among those to exercise first right of refusal)

Similar categories could be made among current users.

Ultimately the agreement would require approval in referenda, so the particular model must satisfy the majority and be deemed equitable.