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The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao Ge BuildSys University of Virginia Nov
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The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.

Dec 14, 2015

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Page 1: The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.

The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to

optimize setback schedulesKamin Whitehouse

Joint work with: Gao Ge BuildSysUniversity of Virginia Nov 3, 2009

Page 2: The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.

Problem Definition

Goal in US: Reduce energy usage in existing buildings

by 25% by 2020

Page 3: The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.

Problem Definition

Page 4: The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.

Problem Definition

• But reducing HVAC energy --> $$– Insulation, new windows, solar panels,

geothermal, HVAC upgrades, etc.– All require $1000’s and take many years for

ROI

• Federal stimulus: $5 billion for weatherization of low-income homes– Small % of target savings

• We need low-cost energy solutions

Page 5: The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.

State of the ArtSetback Schedules

• Widely-accepted• Cost-effective• But still largely untapped potential!

– Why?

Time

Tem

p

Setpoint

Setback

Page 6: The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.

State of the Art

Too much hassle!X

Too much hassle!X

Page 7: The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.

Occupancy

State of the Art

Occupancy

Time

Tem

p

Setpoint

Setback

Start time End time

Miss time

Page 8: The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.

Self-Programming Thermostat

Occupancy Occupancy

Tem

p

Occupancy Occupancy

Occupancy Occupancy

Occupancy Occupancy

Occupancy Occupancy

Occupancy Occupancy

Leave Distribution Arrive Distribution

Page 9: The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.

Self-Programming Thermostat

Time

Tem

p

Leave Distribution Arrive Distribution

Page 10: The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.

Self-Programming Thermostat

Time

Tem

p

Leave Distribution Arrive Distribution

1. User specifies miss time2. Thermostat maximizes setback period wrt miss time

Page 11: The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.

Self-Programming Thermostat

Time

Tem

p

Leave Distribution Arrive Distribution

0 Hrs miss time

Page 12: The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.

Self-Programming Thermostat

Time

Tem

p

Leave Distribution Arrive Distribution

0.5 Hrs miss time

Page 13: The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.

Self-programming Thermostat

Time

Tem

p

Leave Distribution Arrive Distribution

1 Hr miss time

Page 14: The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.

Self-Programming ThermostatMiss time knob allows user to navigate the Pareto optimal set of schedules

Page 15: The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.

User Interface

• Three knobs: setpoint, setback, miss time

• As the user tunes the knobs, the system displays resultant schedule and energy usage

• Result: explicit energy/comfort trade-off– controllable and predictable – not smart!

Page 16: The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.

Sensing Occupancy

Time of day from 0 hours (12 AM)

Front Door

Bathroom Motion

Kitchen Motion

Bedroom Motion

Sense occupancy • $50-100 per home• No cameras/tags

Page 17: The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.

Sensing Occupancy

True Positive Rate

Event Detection Rate

Duration Accuracy

UbiComp ‘08

Page 18: The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.

Evaluation

• Two publicly-available data sets– Kasteren– Tulum• (not a random sample)

– Both ~1 month – Hand-labeled many activities– We used “leave home” and “return home”

Page 19: The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.

Evaluation

Page 20: The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.
Page 21: The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.
Page 22: The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.
Page 23: The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.
Page 24: The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.
Page 25: The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.
Page 26: The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.

Summary• Use sensors to identify occupancy• Automatically tune setback schedules• Use miss time knob to navigate Pareto set

• Benefits– Simple interface– More energy savings; same comfort– More comfort, same energy savings– Cheap! $50-$100 per home

Page 27: The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.

Other Related Work

• Reactive Thermostats– Similar to motion-sensor triggered lights

• Microenvironments– User-controlled local conditioning

• Facilities management and building operators

Page 28: The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.

Future Work

• More users, deployments and Energy– Spoiler alert! Results still good with 44 users

and 8 homes with sensors, w/ heat pump

• Micro-zoning control• Other building types• Market penetration: UI & Economics• .

Page 29: The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.

Questions?

Page 30: The Self-Programming Thermostat: using occupancy to optimize setback schedules Kamin Whitehouse Joint work with: Gao GeBuildSys University of Virginia.

Deployment Details for FATS Demonstration

• Eight homes deployed with wireless X10 sensors for at least 7 days with an X10 receiver to record messages

• Four diverse single person homes, four diverse multi-person homes