The relationship between car sales and economy Yu-Zhe Gao Stat, NCU 1/11/2011
The relationship between car sales and economy
Feb 25, 2016
The relationship between car sales and economy. Yu- Zhe Gao Stat, NCU 1/11/2011. Outline. Introduction and Motivation Data Method The Proposed Model Conclusions References. Introduction and Motivation. Car is a convenient transport and most people would like to have a car - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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The relationship between car sales and economy
Yu-Zhe GaoStat, NCU1/11/2011
Outline
Introduction and MotivationDataMethodThe Proposed ModelConclusionsReferences
Car is a convenient transport and most people would like to have a car
The relationship between car sales and economy (unemployment rate)
Introduction and Motivation
DataRecord of car sales by month in Taiwan
from 2005 to 2009
Record of Unemployment rate by month in Taiwan from 2005 to 2009
Car sales
Unemployment rate
Original data of car sales
Original data of unemployment rate
Scatter plot
Method
Model selection
Hence, choose p=1 !
VAR(1) model
The Proposed Model
The Proposed Model
Covariance matrix
Conclusions
The proposed model
Maybe car sales not directly related to unemployment rate
Future workLearning more financial knowledge
Learning more statistical techniques◦Model◦Variable selection◦Test◦Prediction
References
Http://www.wretch.cc/blog/tivo168/21221110http://porsche0806.pixnet.net/blog/post/2228
2725http://news.u-car.com.tw/news-detail.asp?nid=
11601http://www.dgbas.gov.tw/mp.asp?mp=1
Thank you
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