The prospect of democracy 2.0

The Prospect of Democracy 2.0

David Wood @dw2

Principal, Delta Wisdom Chair, London Futurists londonfuturists.com deltawisdom.com

Why everyone interested in the future of business should be paying

attention to the future of politics

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Exponential Technologies

Business disruption

Development

& Deployment

Incentives Regulations Subsidies Markets Expectations

Politics

N B I C R G …

@dw2 Page 3 http://uber-troubles.silk.co/

Over 65 conflicts or controversies for Uber to date worldwide

In Dec 2014, the Seoul Central District Prosecutors’ Office issued a legal indictment against Uber (and against CEO Travis Kalanick) for violating a Korean law prohibiting individuals or firms without appropriate licenses from providing or facilitating transportation services.

@dw2 Page 4 http://www.fda.gov/ICECI/EnforcementActions/WarningLetters/2013/ucm376296.htm

“Most of the intended uses for PGS listed on your website, a list that has grown over time, are medical device uses under section

201(h) of the FD&C Act. Most of these uses have not been classified and thus require premarket approval or de novo

classification, as FDA has explained to you on numerous occasions.”

@dw2 Page 5 http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-32919063

Deaths from ‘legal highs’ have more than doubled in the UK in the past four years

‘Legal highs’ ban plan criticised by drugs charities

Seven-year jail terms under ‘blanket ban’… applies to “any substance intended for human consumption

that is capable of producing a psychoactive effect”

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-32919712

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http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/earth/energy/windpower/11685082/Wind-farm-subsidies-axed-to-stop-turbines-

covering-beautiful-countryside.html

Wind farm subsidies axed 'to stop turbines covering beautiful countryside'

Fossil fuels subsidies of $5.3 trillion in 2015 (IMF) – greater than the total health

spending of all the world’s governments

http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/may/18/fossil-fuel-companies-getting-10m-a-

minute-in-subsidies-says-imf

@dw2 Page 7 http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/dec/07/drone-near-miss-passenger-plane-heathrow

Drone ‘near miss’ with passenger plane close to

Heathrow airport investigated

Incident risk rating of A – the highest of five categories – defined as a

“serious risk of collision”

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@dw2 Page 9 http://fbheron.org/2014/03/15/in-case-you-missed-it-investing-giving-for-good/

I liked it better when

our bank was just a bank

@dw2 Page 10 https://www.laprogressive.com/obamas-regulatory-brain/

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Exponential Technologies

Business disruption

Development

& Deployment

Incentives Regulations Subsidies Markets Expectations

Politics

Necessary part of society

Regulations often out-dated

Regulators often “captured”

Politicians out of their depth

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Exponential Technologies

Political disruption

Development

& Deployment

Incentives Regulations Subsidies Markets Expectations

Politics

Necessary part of society

Regulations often out-dated

Regulators often “captured”

Politicians out of their depth

Politics 2.0

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Web 1.0 Web 2.0

1996 2006

“the mostly read-only Web” “the wildly read-write Web” 80,000,000 sites 250,000 sites

45 million global users 1 billion+ global users

centrally published content

user generated

content

centrally published content

user generated

content

collective intelligence

Source: http://web2.wsj2.com/ (Dion Hinchcliffe)

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Web 1.0 focus (Politics 1.0)

• Information distributed through the network to the edges

• Readable web: Library

• A few, fixed wise oracles

• Publishing & retrieval

• User consumption

• Company-driven innovation

• HTML, HTTP…

Web 2.0 focus (Politics 2.0?)

• Harnessing of intelligence residing in the network, including at its edges (P2P)

• Writable web: Conversation

• User reputation systems

• Collaboration & interaction

• User-generated content

• User-driven innovation

• AJAX… Asynchronous JavaScript and XML

Enabled by smart technology

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Politics 1.0

Regulations often out-dated

Regulators often “captured”

Politicians out of their depth

Real wisdom of crowds

Real-time fact-checking

AI supplementing HI

Mass surveillance

Mass distraction (soma)

Gov’t by 1% for 1%

Politics 2.0

?

Politics 0.0

?

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