The Physics of Wall Street: A Brief History of …...The Physics of Wall Street: A Brief History of Predicting the Unpredictable Houghton Mifflin Harcourt, 2013 From Graceland to Dollywood,

The Physics of Wall Street: A Brief History of Predicting the Unpredictable, 2013, 286pages, James Owen Weatherall, 0547317271, 9780547317274, Houghton MifflinHarcourt, 2013

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After the economic meltdown of 2008, Warren Buffett famously warned, “beware of geeksbearing formulas.” But as James Weatherall demonstrates, not all geeks are created equal.While many of the mathematicians and software engineers on Wall Street failed when theirabstractions turned ugly in practice, a special breed of physicists has a much deeper history ofrevolutionizing finance. Taking us from fin-de-siècle Paris to Rat Pack-era Las Vegas, fromwartime government labs to Yippie communes on the Pacific coast, Weatherall shows howphysicists successfully brought their science to bear on some of the thorniest problems ineconomics, from options pricing to bubbles. The crisis was partly a failure of mathematicalmodeling. But even more, it was a failure of some very sophisticated financial institutions to thinklike physicists. Models—whether in science or finance—have limitations; they break down undercertain conditions. And in 2008, sophisticated models fell into the hands of people who didn’tunderstand their purpose, and didn’t care. It was a catastrophic misuse of science. Thesolution, however, is not to give up on models; it's to make them better. Weatherall reveals thepeople and ideas on the cusp of a new era in finance. We see a geophysicist use a model designedfor earthquakes to predict a massive stock market crash. We discover a physicist-run hedge fundthat earned 2,478.6% over the course of the 1990s. And we see how an obscure idea fromquantum theory might soon be used to create a far more accurate Consumer Price Index. Bothpersuasive and accessible, The Physics of Wall Street is riveting history that will change how wethink about our economic future.

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