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1 The ocean component of climate models: what resolution and parameterisations are needed? Richard Wood Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research, Met Office, Bracknell, UK (Thanks to Malcolm Roberts)
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The ocean component of climate models: what resolution and parameterisations are needed?

Dec 30, 2015

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The ocean component of climate models: what resolution and parameterisations are needed?. Richard Wood Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research, Met Office, Bracknell, UK (Thanks to Malcolm Roberts). Atlantic Ocean Heat Transports. HadCEM. HadCM3. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Page 1: The ocean component of climate models: what resolution and parameterisations are needed?

1

The ocean component of climate models: what resolution and

parameterisations are needed?

Richard Wood

Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research, Met Office, Bracknell, UK

(Thanks to Malcolm Roberts)

Page 2: The ocean component of climate models: what resolution and parameterisations are needed?

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Atlantic Ocean Heat Transports

HadCEM

HadCM3

Page 3: The ocean component of climate models: what resolution and parameterisations are needed?

3

Do atmospheric processes set ENSO period? (1)

(Guilyardi et al. 2002)

Page 4: The ocean component of climate models: what resolution and parameterisations are needed?

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Do atmospheric processes set ENSO period? (2)

(Guilyardi et al. 2002)

Page 5: The ocean component of climate models: what resolution and parameterisations are needed?

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Do ocean processes set ENSO amplitude? (1)

(Meehl et al. 2001)

Page 6: The ocean component of climate models: what resolution and parameterisations are needed?

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Do ocean processes set ENSO amplitude? (2)

(Meehl et al. 2001)

Page 7: The ocean component of climate models: what resolution and parameterisations are needed?

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Temperature drifts - ocean only model

0m 147m

289m 520m

A: PCM B: add KPP mixing C: add GM D: add Visbeck et al.(Gent et al . 2002)

Page 8: The ocean component of climate models: what resolution and parameterisations are needed?

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Temperature drifts - coupled model

0m 147m147m

289m

520m

AC: PCM AD: add KPP mixing + GM + Visbeck et al.(Gent et al . 2002)

Page 9: The ocean component of climate models: what resolution and parameterisations are needed?

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Do we need eddy resolving climate models?

Dynamical length-scale - baroclinic Rossby radius - 20-50 km in ocean at mid-latitudes, of order 1000 km in atmosphere

Most climate models have ocean resolution more coarse than 1°

Oceanic processes possibly important for climate:

– boundary currents and ocean eddies - 30-50 km - heat and freshwater transport

– flow through topographic channels (20-50 km) and impact on thermohaline circulation

– tropical dynamics and representation of equatorial waves

– convective regions often pre-conditioned by eddies

– water mass ventilation may be resolution dependent

– coastal polynyas - 10’s km - regions of sea-ice formation

Page 10: The ocean component of climate models: what resolution and parameterisations are needed?

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Thermocline ventilation in two ocean models

Tracer

PV

1° 1/3°

(Cox 1985)

Page 11: The ocean component of climate models: what resolution and parameterisations are needed?

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A systematic study of the effects of ocean resolution on climate simulations

Results from 3 coupled models:

HadCM3 Ocean resolution 1.25°x1.25°xL20

HadCEML Ocean resolution 1.25°x1.25°xL40

HadCEM Ocean resolution 0.33°x0.33°xL40

All ocean models are coupled to the identical atmosphere, resolution 2.5°x3.75°xL19.

No flux adjustments used

Page 12: The ocean component of climate models: what resolution and parameterisations are needed?

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Dependence of global heat balance on ocean advection scheme and resolution

Page 13: The ocean component of climate models: what resolution and parameterisations are needed?

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HadCEM: model drifts

Page 14: The ocean component of climate models: what resolution and parameterisations are needed?

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SST errors

HadCEM

HadCM3

Page 15: The ocean component of climate models: what resolution and parameterisations are needed?

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North Atlantic salinity drifts in 3 coupled models

HadCEM

HadCEML

HadCM3

0m

2000m

4000m

0m

2000m

4000m

0m

2000m

4000m

0 yrs 150 yrs

-0.45 psu +0.45 psu

Page 16: The ocean component of climate models: what resolution and parameterisations are needed?

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HadCEM: Atlantic Overturning

Page 17: The ocean component of climate models: what resolution and parameterisations are needed?

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HadCEM: Ocean Heat Transports

Page 18: The ocean component of climate models: what resolution and parameterisations are needed?

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Atlantic Ocean Heat Transports

HadCEM

HadCM3

Page 19: The ocean component of climate models: what resolution and parameterisations are needed?

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Pacific Ocean Heat Transports

Page 20: The ocean component of climate models: what resolution and parameterisations are needed?

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Instability Waves in Tropical Pacific (HadCEM)

(Maybe these can be parameterised?)

Does the atmosphere model see them?

Page 21: The ocean component of climate models: what resolution and parameterisations are needed?

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Salinity and velocity at 260m in HadCEM

(Parameterise these!)

Page 22: The ocean component of climate models: what resolution and parameterisations are needed?

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Global mean SST response to increasing CO2 in 3 coupled models

Page 23: The ocean component of climate models: what resolution and parameterisations are needed?

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The future…?

Page 24: The ocean component of climate models: what resolution and parameterisations are needed?

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Impact of inhomogeneous diapycnal mixing

Homogeneous

Inhomogeneous

Hor. Average (INHM)

(Hasumi & Suginohara 1999)

Page 25: The ocean component of climate models: what resolution and parameterisations are needed?

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Mesh adaptivity: flow over seamount

(Courtesy Matthew Piggott, Imperial College)

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Supercomputer performance

(Source: Earth Simulator Centre)

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Current technological issues

Typical atmosphere GCM has about 6x the computational cost of typical ocean GCM per gridpoint

A multicentury ocean integration at 0.1° resolution is a significant cost, even on a 40 Tflop computer

Inclusion of biogeochemical processes can increase the cost of atmosphere and ocean dramatically

Mass data storage and methods of data sharing may become the limiting technologies

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Summary

Ocean-only modelling studies give valuable insights into model sensitivities - but coupling brings surprises!

Sensitivity to some parameterisations/model formulations can be resolution-dependent

Increasing resolution doesn’t automatically give a better climate simulation

Large scale climate response fairly insensitive to ocean resolution. Need compatible atmospheric and ocean resolutions?

Future: higher resolution (->parameterisations?), diapycnal mixing, biogeochemistry, more flexible numerical methods, (technological limiters) …

… and more integration with observations! Balance between model diversity and spreading too thinly

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