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The post-GE 2015 Cameron Cabinet Plus Labour’s Shadow Cabinet, and Westbourne’s view of what this Government with a small majority means for business 1
13

The New Cabinet and Westbourne's View of What This Means for Business

Sep 26, 2015

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Ben Garratt

A map of the Secretaries of State and other Cabinet attendees,

A map of the temporary Shadow Cabinet whilst Labour chooses a new leader, and

Westbourne’s view of what this Government with a small majority means for business.
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  • The post-GE 2015 Cameron Cabinet

    Plus Labours Shadow Cabinet, and Westbournes view of what

    this Government with a small majority means for business

    1

  • The Conservatives are governing alone with a tiny

    majority.

    Regional politics is now a strong feature of UK

    politics, not just between Scotland and England, but

    between English regions too.

    This means governments can no longer act from the

    Cabinet table and Number 10. They need coalitions of

    support to get things done, and we will likely see the

    legislative agenda dominated by issues on which

    there is some consensus.

    2

  • Camerons Cabinet

    3

  • David Cameron MP: Prime Minister

    George Osborne MP:

    Chancellor and First Secretary of State

    Theresa May MP: Home Secretary

    Philip Hammond MP:

    Foreign SecretaryMichael Fallon MP:

    Defence Secretary

    Iain Duncan Smith MP: Work and Pensions Secretary

    Mark Harper MP: Chief Whip

    Chris Grayling MP:

    Leader of the House of Commons

    Michael Gove MP:

    Justice SecretaryNicky Morgan MP:

    Education SecretaryBaroness Stowell:

    Leader of the House of Lords

    Amber Rudd MP:

    Energy and Climate Change Secretary

    Sajid Javid MP: Business Secretary

    John Whittingdale MP:

    Secretary of State for Culture, Media and Sport

    Robert Halfon MP:

    Deputy Chairman of the Conservative Party

    Priti Patel MP: Minister of State for Employment

    Boris Johnson MP:

    Minister without Portfolio

    Patrick McLoughlin MP:

    Transport Secretary

    Liz Truss MP: Environment Secretary

    Anna Soubry MP: Minister of State for Small

    Business

    Jeremy Hunt MP: Health Secretary

    Greg Clark MP: Secretary of State for Communities

    and Local Government

    Theresa Villiers MP:

    Northern Ireland Secretary

    Justine Greening MP:

    International Development Secretary

    Matt Hancock MP:

    Minister of State for Cabinet Office

    Oliver Letwin MP:

    Minister for the Cabinet Office

    Stephen Crabb MP: Welsh Secretary

    David Mundell MP:

    Scotland Secretary

    Greg Hands MP: Chief Secretary to the

    Treasury

    Blue = new to

    role

    Black = no

    change

  • The temporary Shadow Cabinet

    5

  • Harriet Harman MP:

    acting Labour leaderChris Leslie MP: shadow

    Chancellor

    Shabana Mahmood MP:

    shadow Chief Secretary

    Hilary Benn MP: shadow Foreign Secretary

    Yvette Cooper MP:

    shadow Home Secretary

    Rosie Winterton MP:

    shadow Chief WhipVernon Coaker MP:

    shadow Defence Secretary

    Rachel Reeves MP:

    shadow Work and Pensions Secretary

    Angela Eagle MP:

    shadow Leader of the House of Commons

    Lord Falconer: shadow Justice Secretary

    Tristram Hunt MP:

    shadow Education Secretary

    Baroness Royall of

    Blaisdon: shadow Leader of the House of Lords

    Chuka Umunna MP:

    shadow Business Secretary

    Caroline Flint MP: shadow Energy and Climate Change Secretary

    Chris Bryant MP:

    shadow Culture Secretary

    Andy Burnham MP:

    shadow Health Secretary

    Emma Reynolds MP:

    shadow Communities Secretary

    Michael Dugher MP:

    shadow Transport Secretary

    Ivan Lewis MP: shadow Northern Ireland

    Secretary

    Mary Creagh MP: shadow International Development

    Secretary

    Ian Murray MP: shadow Scotland Secretary

    Owen Smith MP: shadow Welsh Secretary

    Maria Eagle MP: shadow Environment Secretary

    Lucy Powell MP: shadow Cabinet Office Minister

    Jon Trickett MP: shadow Minister without Portfolio

    and Deputy Party Chair

    Gloria de Piero MP:

    shadow Women and Equalities Minister

    Lord Bassam of Brighton:

    shadow Leader of the House of Lords

    Liz Kendall MP: shadow Care and Older People

    Minister

    Lord Bach: shadow Attorney General

    Blue = new to

    role

    Black = no

    change

  • The new politics puts new demands

    on businesses seeking to have their

    voices heard

  • Page 8

    What can this Government, with its small majority, achieve

    and what does this mean for you?

    What can a weak Government achieve?

    What does this mean for business?

    Tax and spend

    The Government can tax and spend once it has passed a Budget

    You will need more than good arguments to engage with the Budget you will need to demonstrate leadership and build wide coalitions of support inside and outside Parliament

    Legislation and reform

    A weak Government will find it difficult to pass new laws on anything controversial

    You will need to understand what can be done within existing legislation, and what reforms can be passed without Parliamentary approval. Relationships with senior civil servants, regulators, the EU and devolved powers are crucial

    Exertingpressure

    Without legislation, the success or failure of policies could hinge on the ability of ministers to exert informal pressure

    You will need strong relationships and coalitions of support to help Government pull levers of control

    Backbench activity

    Backbench activism will become more important as small numbers of Conservative MPs have the ability to block legislation and set the agenda

    Working with groups of backbenchers on their own debates and bills will grow in importance, as will your ability to relate your priorities to MPsconstituents priorities

  • The Conservative Governments small majority will make it harder for the

    Cabinet to pass controversial legislation, empowering backbenchers

    Page 9

    Reduce the deficit

    Devolution to city regions

    HS2

    House building

    Extra cash for the NHS

    More spending on childcare

    The Scottish settlement

    English votes for English laws

    First Past the Post

    House of Lords

    The EU referendum

    There will be a greater emphasis on policies where consensus across Parliament

    can be achieved

    There are also a number of major unresolved issues

    facing the country that the Government will struggle to

    lead on

  • Whatever your priorities, you will be competing with any array of strong and

    organised voices trying to set the agenda, as will the Government

    Page 10

    Green taxes, corporate

    taxes and higher public

    spending

    Lower taxes and weaker EU

    involvement

    More powers for Scotland,

    Wales and Northern Ireland

    and fewer cuts across the UK

    Communities against

    infrastructure with the

    support of local MPs

  • Overall, we will also see more high-profile decisions

    made away from the Cabinet table

    Page 11

    New combined authorities could become

    the testing ground for innovation

    Business needs a louder voice in

    Brussels and with politicians losing

    control, Whitehall civil servants and

    regulators will also grow in power

  • Any business and public affairs professional needs

    to respond to the new environment of weaker

    Government and stronger backbenchers.

    This is the new normal.

  • Conclusion

    Page 13

    Westbourne believes

    you must build your

    own broad coalitions

    Government can no

    longer act without

    partners and

    supporters delivered

    by you

    Westbourne believes

    you must

    demonstrate

    leadership and take

    a view

    With a wide array of

    voices competing to

    be heard, you must

    be part of the big

    debates shaping our

    politics

    Engage with new

    centres of political

    power

    A successful

    communications

    strategy must

    include engagement

    with the new centres

    of political power

    international,

    regional and local