The MPNP at 20 - MANSO · 2018-09-19 · Manitoba Provincial Nominee Program 2018 Manitoba Integration Summit September 12-15, 2018. ... Source: Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship

The MPNP at 20Growth and Renewal of the

Manitoba Provincial Nominee Program

2018 Manitoba Integration SummitSeptember 12-15, 2018

Why PNPs Require Renewal

1. What are the goals of the PNP?

2. Where are we meeting the objectives and where are we falling short?

Do we have the right mix of streams? Are minimum language requirements high enough? Should the role of social capital criteria be strengthened? How can the needs of business and agricultural sectors be

met? Do we have the right balance of federally- vs. provincially-

selected economic class immigrants? What are the implications of increasing the PNP’s share of

total economic class admissions?

3. What are the PNP’s strengths and challenges from Manitoba’s perspective?

How is the PNP meeting the needs of business? What is the significance of the PNP to the agricultural sector? What can other provinces learn from Manitoba? What can Manitoba learn from the experiences of other

provinces?

Stages of Program Development

Consistent design principles

• Flexibility

• Responsiveness

• Innovation

• Evaluation

• Change

2017-Present: Period of Renewalreturn to growth, innovation, partnerships and pathways

2010-2016: Realignment Periodcompetition among programs, pressures for standardization

2003-2009: Period of Rapid Growth

New streams targeting key priorities: integration, innovation, responding to growth

1996-2002: Pilot Period experiments in selection, recruitment & retention

Source: Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada

Why Immigration Matters to Canada

The Impact of the MPNP

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Family Class Economic Class Provincial Nominees

Other** Refugees Backlog/Missing Values

• Immigration will begin to account for all of Canada’s population growth by 2033 (Conference Board of Canada)

• Immigrants:

• Contribute more in taxes and social contributions than they receive in benefits

• Tend to be younger and highly educated

• Contribute to increased GDP growth

• Account for 38% of the STEM workforce

• Are twice as likely to start a business

• Arrive with the skills and human capital needed to address immediate gaps in diverse sectors of the economy, including rural communities

The Economy Grows Through Immigration

7,690 7,970

10,150

12,180 12,340

9,5308,855

12,185

10,265 9,960

10,955 11,220

13,520

15,81015,965

13,31013,105

16,220

14,900

16,820

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Federal Skilled Worker Other Federal Economic Class

Family Class Provincial Nominee

Resettled Refugees & Protected Persons Other

TOTAL

Source: Open Government Portal located at

http://open.canada.ca/data/en/dataset/f7e5498e-0ad8-4417-85c9-9b8aff9b9eda

Manitoba Grows Through Immigration

Francophone Immigration

• Between 2008-2017, 4,009 immigrants landed in Manitoba and identified French as their official language spoken, making up 2.4% of total landings in the province during this period.

• In 2017, approximately 77% of all French-speaking immigrants came to Manitoba through the MPNP.

Official Language(s) Spoken 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Grand Total

French 98 135 127 182 185 187 137 157 235 261 1,704

Both French and English 166 214 305 286 322 268 270 272 110 92 2,305

Total French and French English

264 349 432 468 507 455 407 429 345 353 4,009

TOTAL LANDINGS 11,217 13,521 15,808 15,963 13,312 13,103 16,230 14,900 16,822 14,693 145,569

Proportion with French as an official language

2.4% 2.6% 2.7% 2.9% 3.8% 3.5% 2.5% 2.9% 2.1% 2.4% 2.8%

Source: IRCC Q4 2017 immigration data

Immigration accounted for 81% of

Winnipeg’s population growth in 2015-16 and is projected to rise to

92% by 2039-40.

Manitoba has had a net deficit of interprovincial migration since

1984The start of the MPNP aligns with

the rise in net migration to positive levels

Positive now since

2006

Manitobans are having

fewer children.

Manitoba average: 1.9Replacement rate: 2.1

Immigration Drives Population Growth

Immigration is a

major driver of economic growth

in Manitoba

Why Immigration Matters to Manitoba

• 166,500 job openings from both expansion and replacement

• About two-thirds of these openings are replacement demand,created by retirements and an aging population

• In-demand sectors include Business and Finance; Trades and Transportation; Health; Agri-Business; Information & Communications Technology; Manufacturing; Sales and Service;

• Most job openings are skill-specific, requiring workers with theright training

• Over 20% of this demand will need to be filled by in-migrants

Labour Market Projections: 2017-2023

Manitoba Provincial Nominee Program Renewal

Improving outcomes for Provincial Nominees and increasing Francophone Immigration to Manitoba

• More Nominees will be matched to employment consistent with their qualifications.

• More Nominees will find employment in jobs that meet the skills demands of industry.

• More Nominees will establish job-creating, value-added businesses sooner in Manitoba.

• More Francophone Nominees will arrive in Manitoba with fast-tracked applications

Business Investor Stream

International Education

Stream

Skilled Worker In Manitoba

Stream

Skilled Worker Overseas Stream

EntrepreneurPathway

Career Employment

Pathway

Manitoba Work Experience

Pathway

Human Capital Pathway

Farm Investor Pathway

Employer Direct Recruitment

Pathway

Manitoba Express Entry

Pathway

Renewed MPNP Streams

1. Increase recruitment of international students for programs well-aligned withindustry needs

2. Expand pathways connecting international students to industry through internshipsand work experience

3. Innovate new pathways for graduate entrepreneurs to develop innovative businessstart-ups

2016 INTERNATIONAL STUDENT ENROLMENT ACROSS CANADA

MB SK AB BC ON QUE NB NS NL PE

Total 12,990 7,130 23,630 105,255 187,925 55,235 4,540 11,930 3,250 1,990

% of Pop. 3.64% 3.12% 11.57% 13.22% 38.26% 23.23% 2.13% 2.63% 1.48% 0.41%

% of Int’l Std.Pop

3.14% 1.72% 5.70% 25.11% 45.36% 13.33% 1.10% 2.88% 0.78% 0.48%

TOTAL INTERNATIONAL STUDENT ENROLMENT IN MANITOBA

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Total 4,941 4,976 5,050 4,715 5,070 5,215 5,460 5,960 6,660 7,635 9,992 12,990

% Change 0.71% 1.49% -6.63% 7.53% 2.86% 4.70% 9.16% 11.74% 14.64% 31.11% 29.77%

International Education:

Attracting Global Skills for Employment, Investment and Innovation

Goal: International Students (who want to immigrate) are employed in an occupation related to what they studied in Manitoba

• Better labour market outcomes for students and employers

Example: If a student completed a Business Administration Program,related jobs may be:

• NOC 0: Financial managers, Other administrative service managers

• NOC A: Financial and investment analysts, Human resources Professional

• NOC B: Administrative officer, Accounting technicians and bookkeepers

What Qualifies as a Job Related to MB Studies?

• Sufficient Official Language proficiency for employment in assessed occupation;

• Sufficient means to become economically established in Manitoba and contribute to the labour market; and

• Stronger connection to Manitoba than to any other province of Canada.

Core Eligibility Criteria

In-demand Occupations List

• NOC 0, A, B occupations

• Forecasted in-migrant demand

• Specifies which are regulated occupations and designated trades

• Specific in-demand occupations for each Skilled Worker stream

• Specific language, experience, education and certification requirements for each in-demand occupation

• Specific occupations for specific Manitoba college programs completed by international students

• CLB listed is the minimum for consideration; higher proficiency may be required to be competitive in the EOI pool and labour market

Regional Priorities

• Priority EOI draws will be conducted for candidates who demonstrate the intent to settle in communities outside of urban centres

• Pilot in development to support rural business succession planning

• Intent to increase growth in both English- and French-speaking communities in all regions of Manitoba

2013-2018 Top Ten Regional Landings

Brandon31%

Pembina Valley22%

Neepawa19%

Steinbach10%

Thompson9%

Portage la Prairie4%

Russell3%

Dauphin2%

Note: Percentage values is out of the top ten regional community landings, not of total landings

2013-2018 Top Ten Regional Landing Trends

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

20

13

-Q1

20

13

-Q2

20

13

-Q3

20

13

-Q4

20

14

-Q1

20

14

-Q2

20

14

-Q3

20

14

-Q4

20

15

-Q1

20

15

-Q2

20

15

-Q3

20

15

-Q4

20

16

-Q1

20

16

-Q2

20

16

-Q3

20

16

-Q4

20

17

-Q1

20

17

-Q2

20

17

-Q3

20

17

-Q4

20

18

-Q1

Altona

Dauphin

Russell

Portage la Prairie

Morden

Thompson

Steinbach

Winkler

Neepawa

Brandon

2017 Regional Nominations (10+)

Impact on Settlement Service Providers

• Integration support programs will remain important for all newcomers to ensure the best possible settlement outcomes

• Manitoba CFP to fill in service gaps for clients whose needs are not being sufficiently addressed by federal programs

• Manitoba remains committed to ensuring that supports are available across the province and that supports provided are not duplicated

Impact on Language Training Service Providers

• Language training for principal applicants will ideally be reduced due to a better matching of skills and language proficiency levels at time of nomination; language training with clear labour market outcomes will remain important

• Higher English/French proficiency dependants may require less Stage 1 language training eventually but, as the renewed criteria is not yet in place, the impact on SPOs will be downstream

• Business Investor and Skilled Worker applications with a spouse who demonstrates official language proficiency at CLB/NCLC 5+ may change the number of lower CLB/NCLC clients seeking services

Questions?

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