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The Most Important Fiscal and Economic Issues Facing New ... · 196 0 196 2 196 4 196 6 196 8 197 0 197 2 197 4 197 6 197 8 198 0 198 2 198 4 198 6 198 8 199 0 199 2 199 4 199 6 199

Feb 12, 2019

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Page 1: The Most Important Fiscal and Economic Issues Facing New ... · 196 0 196 2 196 4 196 6 196 8 197 0 197 2 197 4 197 6 197 8 198 0 198 2 198 4 198 6 198 8 199 0 199 2 199 4 199 6 199
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The Most Important Fiscal and Economic Issues Facing New York State

Infrastructure Policy

December 2018

Source: New York State Thruway Authority

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HR&A Advisors, Inc. NY State Infrastructure Policy | 2

DEFINING INFRASTRUCTURE

HR&A examined New York State-owned, operated, and supported infrastructure, including roads, bridges, transit, aviation and energy assets, and broadband.

These assets are the foundational elements that enable cities to grow and economic development to occur.

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HR&A Advisors, Inc. NY State Infrastructure Policy | 3

NEW YORK STATE INFRASTRUCTURE TODAY

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JOB CREATION

HR&A Advisors, Inc. NY State Infrastructure Policy | 4

Investment in infrastructure offers broad benefits and lasting impacts.

COMMUNITY REVITALIZATION

ECONOMIC GROWTH

AND TRADESOCIAL MOBILITY

ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY AND RESILIENCY

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NY State Infrastructure Policy | 5

New York State’s current infrastructure network is failing, preventing the statefrom achieving its potential.

Source: New York Times; City Journal, New York Post, Wall Street Journal, Business Insider

HR&A Advisors, Inc.

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HR&A Advisors, Inc. NY State Infrastructure Policy | 6

Today, New York State infrastructure is delivered through over 50 agencies and authorities, with limited cooperation or coordination among them.

TRANSPORTATION ENERGYWATER

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HR&A Advisors, Inc. NY State Infrastructure Policy | 7

Within the transportation sector, the MTA, DOT, Port Authority, and Thruway are the “Big Four” whose spending accounts for over 90% of total infrastructure spending in the State.

40%of state infrastructure spending

9%of state infrastructure spending

29%

of state infrastructure spending

17%

of state infrastructure spending

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HR&A Advisors, Inc. NY State Infrastructure Policy | 8

KEY FINDINGS

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HR&A Advisors, Inc. NY State Infrastructure Policy | 9

KEY FINDINGS

Funding currently identified infrastructure needs across the state will require over $100 billion in new investment.

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Current capital investment is not sufficient to meet future needs or ongoing projects.

HR&A Advisors, Inc. NY State Infrastructure Policy | 10

GATEWAY PROGRAM /

TRANS-HUDSON CAPACITY

CLIMATE RESILIENCY

POWER GRID MODERNIZATION

MTA FAST FORWARD

NYS THRUWAY

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HR&A Advisors, Inc. NY State Infrastructure Policy | 11

KEY FINDINGS

New York State lacks a comprehensive and coordinated capital planning process for infrastructure investment.

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Agencies and authorities operate in silos today, without a statewide comprehensive effort to guide infrastructure investment.

HR&A Advisors, Inc. NY State Infrastructure Policy | 12

The New York Works 2013 State of New York Statewide Capital Plan was a good start, but lacked momentum or authority.

New York Works laid out recommendations for capital planning that were largely not followed.

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Entities today have inconsistent processes for developing capital plans, limiting the ability to comprehensively plan across asset classes.

HR&A Advisors, Inc. NY State Infrastructure Policy | 13

20-year needs assessment feeds into 5-year capital plan

MTA NYS DOT

Irregular capital needs assessments conducted; no transparently-developed capital program

?

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HR&A Advisors, Inc. NY State Infrastructure Policy | 14

KEY FINDINGS

Priorities for new initiatives are announced ad hoc or in response to crises, as opposed to strategically developed.

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While many of the State’s recent priorities reflect genuine needs, they areannounced, and often funded, outside of normal capital planning processes.

NY State Infrastructure Policy | 15

Source: Governor Andrew M. Cuomo Pressroom

HR&A Advisors, Inc.

AIRPORT MODERNIZATION

SUBWAY ACTION PLAN

STATEWIDE BROADBAND

IMPLEMENTATION

CLEAN WATER INFRASTRUCTURE

AIRTRAIN EXPANSION

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HR&A Advisors, Inc. NY State Infrastructure Policy | 16

KEY FINDINGS

Projects – both expansion and state of good repair – are not uniformly assessed based on alignment with statewide goals.

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HR&A Advisors, Inc. NY State Infrastructure Policy | 17

The following statewide goals are not consistently used to assess and prioritize infrastructure investment.

ECONOMIC GROWTH AND VITALITY

LONG-TERM RESILIENCY EQUITY LIFECYCLE COSTS

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HR&A Advisors, Inc. NY State Infrastructure Policy | 18

KEY FINDINGS

Infrastructure projects in New York are often significantly moreexpensive than in peer cities, exceed their original budget, andare delayed.

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HR&A Advisors, Inc. NY Infrastructure Investments | 19

MTA FULTON CENTER MTA EAST SIDE ACCESS LONDON CROSSRAIL

Project Delivery: Design-bid-build Start Date: 2004Original Completion: 2007Actual Completion: 2014 Original Cost: $847 million Actual Cost: $1.4 billion

Project Delivery: Design-bid-build Start Date: 2006Original Completion: 2013 Actual Completion: 2022 (est.) Original Cost: $4.3 billion Actual Cost: $11.1 billion (est.)

Project Delivery: Special project delivery corp. Start Date: 2009Original Completion: 2018 Actual Completion: 2019 (est.) Original Cost: $19.4 billion Actual Cost: $20.2 billion (est.)

Many New York infrastructure projects take longer and exceed their budgets at a higher rate than similar projects in other global cities.

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HR&A Advisors, Inc. NY State Infrastructure Policy | 20

KEY FINDINGS

Existing funding sources for infrastructure investment are uncertain to continue at current levels.

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Gas tax revenues may decrease as vehicles continue to become more fuel-efficient and federal programs, including New Starts, have an uncertain future.

NY State Infrastructure Policy | 21

Sources: Data.ny.gov, Streets Blog USA, The Hill, Eno Center for Transportation

HR&A Advisors, Inc.

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What Next For the Mass Transit New Starts Program?

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HR&A Advisors, Inc. NY State Infrastructure Policy | 22

KEY FINDINGS

Financing is limited by the state debt cap, meaning that financing available for infrastructure is likely to decrease in the coming years.

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HR&A Advisors, Inc. NY State Infrastructure Policy | 23

State and infrastructure authorities’ debt is growing, limiting the ability to financecritical projects.

New York has the second highest outstanding debt of any state at $51B, behind California.

Currently projections estimate state-supported debt to grow by 25% in the next 5 years.

The amount of outstanding debt at the MTA is projected to increase by more than 20% by 2022 (from 2017 levels).

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HR&A Advisors, Inc. NY State Infrastructure Policy | 24

RECOMMENDATIONS

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HR&A Advisors, Inc. NY State Infrastructure Policy | 25

RECOMMENDATION #1

Establish a State Office of Infrastructure to lead statewide infrastructure planning.

• Housed in Executive branch• Led by professional executive with infrastructure experience

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HR&A Advisors, Inc. NY State Infrastructure Policy | 26

RECOMMENDATION #2

The Office of Infrastructure should articulate set of criteria to prioritize infrastructure investment, aligned with statewide policy objectives and needs.

• All statewide investment should be assessed comprehensively• Link investment to goals including economic growth, improving

equity, enhancing resiliency for communities

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HR&A Advisors, Inc. NY State Infrastructure Policy | 27

RECOMMENDATION #3

Balance maintaining a State of Good Repair with capacity expansion/transformative projects.

• Conduct analytic assessments to prioritize appropriate investment,including the development of metrics and a consistent assessmentapproach

• Assessments should guide investment between SOGR projects vs new capacity expansion projects

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HR&A Advisors, Inc. NY State Infrastructure Policy | 28

RECOMMENDATION #4Create a Center of Excellence to tackle cost drivers, assess andrecommend project delivery methods, and facilitate knowledgesharing.

• Address systemic cost drivers across entities• Assess and recommend the appropriate project delivery method for

certain projects above a monetary threshold• Encourage and facilitate knowledge sharing across agencies and

authorities• Support the introduction of new technologies

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HR&A Advisors, Inc. NY State Infrastructure Policy | 29

RECOMMENDATION #5Provide a public clearinghouse for project transparency and reporting.

• Provide public with a “one-stop shop” for infrastructure investmentinformation

• Develop and maintain publicly available dashboards to track project metrics such as cost and schedule across all agencies and authorities

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HR&A Advisors, Inc. NY State Infrastructure Policy | 30

RECOMMENDATION #6

Pursue alternative funding sources to increase infrastructure investment and account for future uncertainty in traditional sources.

• Assess and pilot new funding sources, including congestion pricing, vehicle miles traveled taxes, value capture, and dedicated taxes to support infrastructure

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HR&A Advisors, Inc. NY State Infrastructure Policy | 31

Q&A SESSION

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The Most Important Fiscal and Economic Issues Facing New York State

Infrastructure Policy

December 2018

Source: New York State Thruway Authority

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