The Megatrend of M2M - a View of the Year 2018 - Craig Rispin Keynote at - Connect 2014 - 14 March 2014
Dec 01, 2014
The Megatrend of M2M - a View of the Year 2018
M2M is poised to become the biggest technology trend in the history of mankind. Tomorrow M2M will change your business, help you live longer, and probably save your life too. Who will be able to take advantage of the technology in the future? How can you position yourself to take advantage of the M2M Megatrend? Those questions, and many more will be answered in this keynote talk. The session will be interactive, so bring your mobile devices!
M2M is poised to become the biggest technology trend in the history of mankind. Tomorrow M2M will change your business, help you live longer, and probably save your life too. Who will be able to take advantage of the technology in the future? How can you position yourself to take advantage of the M2M Megatrend? Those questions, and many more will be answered in this keynote talk. The session will be interactive, so bring your mobile devices!
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Transcript
Craig Rispin CSP
People
Business Technology
Life SciencesWork/Life Shift A
cceleration
Youth Unemployed
Education Re-Engineering
Global Mobility
Free Agency
End ofRetirement
Emerging Models
OutrageousOutsourcing
MarketingMegatrend
InnovationImperative
Speed & Size
Cloud Computing
Robots Rise
Coworking &Collaboration
Mobile Madness
Internet ofThings
Big Data
The Megatrend of M2M The Internet of Things
a View of 2018
And This Session is Gamified...
To Look Forward,We Must Look Back
When Chris Anderson Became Editor of Wired
Magazine...
Reviewing All Predictions in Wired:
Reviewing All Predictions in Wired:
A. Most Predictions Were Wrong
Reviewing All Predictions in Wired:
A. Most Predictions Were Wrong
B. Most Predictions Were Right
Reviewing All Predictions in Wired:
A. Most Predictions Were Wrong
B. Most Predictions Were Right
C. All Predictions Were Right, and Time Estimates Were Too Long
Reviewing All Predictions in Wired:
The First Two Decades of the Internet Has
Been Breathtaking...
The Internet Has Truly Changed Our Lives...
Let’s Find Out Just How Much...
Ask Your Learning Partner: How the Internet Has Changed
Your Business or Life?
But the Next Internet is Already Among Us...
The Internet of Things:50 Billion Devices
by 2020?
MWC IoT: 50 Billion Is Only the Beginning!
What Year Did the Number of Devices on the Internet Exceeded
Number of People?
2007
And Adafruit Can Help You with Your Project
People
Business Technology
Life SciencesWork/Life Shift A
cceleration
Youth Unemployed
Education Re-Engineering
Global Mobility
Free Agency
End ofRetirement
Emerging Models
OutrageousOutsourcing
MarketingMegatrend
InnovationImperative
Speed & Size
Cloud Computing
Robots Rise
Coworking &Collaboration
Mobile Madness
SecurityScare
Big Data
How Big is Mobile Today?
How Big is Mobile Today?
7B People in the World
How Big is Mobile Today?
7B People in the World
6.8B Mobile Subscribers
How Big is Mobile Today?
7B People in the World
6.8B Mobile Subscribers
1.5B 3G/LTE Subscribers
20
40
60
80
100
120
Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19
Quarters Since Launch
Su
bsc
rib
ers
(MM
)
iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape
8
iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape UsersFirst 20 Quarters Since Launch
Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates ~65MM+ netbooks have shipped in first 11 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research.
Data as of CQ3:10.
Desktop Internet
AOL*
v 2.0 Launched 9/94
Mobile Internet
NTT docomo i-mode
Launched 6/99
Mobile Internet
iPhone + iTouch + iPad
Launched 6/07
~120MM+
~32MM
~9MM
Desktop Internet
Netscape*
Launched 12/94
~27MM
Apple iPhone + iTouch + iPad Ramp – The Likes of Which We Haven’t Seen Before
20
40
60
80
100
Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19
Quarters Since Launch
Sub
scri
bers
(MM
)
iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape
7
iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape UsersFirst 20 Quarters Since Launch
Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates ~50MM netbooks have shipped in first 10 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research.
Desktop Internet
AOL*
v 2.0 Launched 9/94
Mobile Internet
NTT docomo i-mode
Launched 6/99
Mobile Internet
iPhone + iTouch
Launched 6/07
~85MM
~31MM
~8MM
Desktop Internet
Netscape*
Launched 12/94
~18MM
Mobile Internet Ramping Faster than Desktop Internet Did – Apple Leading Charge
380M
20
40
60
80
100
Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19
Quarters Since Launch
Sub
scri
bers
(MM
)
iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape
7
iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape UsersFirst 20 Quarters Since Launch
Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates ~50MM netbooks have shipped in first 10 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research.
Desktop Internet
AOL*
v 2.0 Launched 9/94
Mobile Internet
NTT docomo i-mode
Launched 6/99
Mobile Internet
iPhone + iTouch
Launched 6/07
~85MM
~31MM
~8MM
Desktop Internet
Netscape*
Launched 12/94
~18MM
Mobile Internet Ramping Faster than Desktop Internet Did – Apple Leading Charge
380M
20
40
60
80
100
Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19
Quarters Since Launch
Sub
scri
bers
(MM
)
iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape
7
iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape UsersFirst 20 Quarters Since Launch
Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates ~50MM netbooks have shipped in first 10 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research.
Desktop Internet
AOL*
v 2.0 Launched 9/94
Mobile Internet
NTT docomo i-mode
Launched 6/99
Mobile Internet
iPhone + iTouch
Launched 6/07
~85MM
~31MM
~8MM
Desktop Internet
Netscape*
Launched 12/94
~18MM
Mobile Internet Ramping Faster than Desktop Internet Did – Apple Leading Charge
468M
1.8 Billion Mobiles Sold in 2013
Smartphone Sales Finally Beat Out
Feature Phone Sales Globally
Tablet Shipments = Surpassed Desktop PCs & Notebooks in Q4:12, < 3 Years from Intro
Global PC (Desktop / Notebook) and Tablet Shipments by Quarter Q1:95 – Q1:13
Note: Notebook PCs include Netbooks. Source: Katy Huberty, Ehud Gelblum, Morgan Stanley Research. Gartner. Data as of 4/13.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Q1:95 Q1:97 Q1:99 Q1:01 Q1:03 Q1:05 Q1:07 Q1:09 Q1:11 Q1:13
Glo
bal U
nits
Shi
pped
(MM
s)
Desktop PCs Notebook PCs Tablets
45
This is Leading Many Companies to Have a ‘Mobile First’ Policy...
Do You Have a Mobile First Policy
in Your Organisation?
Text: Yes or No
But Mobile is Insignificant Compared
to What’s Coming...
V2V (M2M): Connected Cars
V2V: Will Be Mandated in All New Vehicles by
2017
60 Million Cars/Year GloballyMore Cars in China than EU
Life Sciences:Connected Health
Personal Health Monitoring
Patient Monitoring Device...
Hospital of the Future
Millimetre-Scale Computer
How Many Pills are Taken Per Person
Per Day in Australia?
Text: Your Estimate
2.7 Pills/Day/Person59,400,000 Pills/Day21,681,000,000/Year
Could Most Pills BeM2M’s by 2018?
People
Business Technology
Life SciencesWork/Life Shift A
cceleration
Youth Unemployed
Education Re-Engineering
Global Mobility
Free Agency
End ofRetirement
Emerging Models
OutrageousOutsourcing
MarketingMegatrend
InnovationImperative
Speed & Size
Cloud Computing
Robots Rise
Coworking &Collaboration
Mobile Madness
Internet ofThings
Big Data
Craig Rispin CSP
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