The Libertarian Vote: Swing Voters, Tea Parties, and the Fiscally Conservative, Socially Liberal Center

7/31/2019 The Libertarian Vote: Swing Voters, Tea Parties, and the Fiscally Conservative, Socially Liberal Center

1/29


2/29

[AH BJEHU[LUJLG PN[H

Y_JGO PN[HUY" [HL ]LU[JHY"

LGK [AH @JYILBBZ INGYHUPL[JPH"

YNIJLBBZ BJEHULB IHG[HU

KLPJK ENLV" KLPJK CJUEZ" LGK HDJBZ HCJGY


3/29

In}zujoa{ 5=


4/29

ING[HG[Y

JG[UNKXI[JNG

]LU[ J6 Y[XKJHY

[ah Bjehu{lujlg Pn{h

Bjehu{lujlg Pn{huy jg 5==; lgk 5==0

[ah Bjehu{lujlg Pn{h jg {ah Loh n` Neldl

Bjehu{lujlg Unn{y n` {ah [hl ]lu{z

]LU[ JJ6 INDDHG[LUJHY

[hl ]lu{jhuy

Dnuh Kl{l ng Bjehu{lujlg Unn{y n` [hl ]lu{z

Bjehu{lujlg [uhgky jg ]xebji N}jgjng

Pn{huy _lg{ Ydlbbhu Onphugdhg{

[ah Bjehu{lujlg [uhgk

Ghw ]nbby Yanw Bjehu{lujlg [uhgky ng Dluujloh" Dlujfxlgl" Oxgy

]nbb @jgky l Bjehu{lujlg Yaj`{

Khdniul{y" Uh}xebjilgy" lgk Bjehu{lujlg Pn{huy

Uh}xebjilgy lgk {ah Bjehu{lujlg Pn{huy

[ah Najn Plbxhy Pn{huy Dz{a" Loljg

Neldl L}}hlby `nu Bjehu{lujlg Pn{huy

L Ywhh}jgo Uhfhi{jng n` ]uhyjkhg{ Exya


5/29

Bjehu{lujlgy Bhlk Jgkh}hgkhg{ Yaj`{ `und Neldl

[ah Bjehu{lujlg Pn{h jg 5=


6/29

JG[UNKXI[JNG

_al{ l bngo wlz whph indh yjgih Klpjk Cjuez lgk Klpjk Enlv `juy{ y{lu{hk wuj{jgo

lenx{ {ah bjehu{lujlg pn{h jg 5==0' Elic {ahg bjehulb ebnoohu Dl{{ Zobhyjly ghl{bz

yxddlujvhk {ah ingphg{jnglb }nbj{jilb wjyknd6 {ah bjehu{lujlg pn{h jy vhun }huihg{"

l unxgkjgo huunu jg {ah yiahdh n` {ajgoy' _az wnxbk lgzngh iluh wal{ bjehu{lujlgy

{ajgc> LgkGl{jnglb Uhpjhwy Uldhya ]nggxux yxoohy{hk {al{ Uh}xebjilgy wnxbk

li{xlbbz bnyh pn{hy ez l}}hlbjgo {n bjehu{lujlgy'

[nklz" bjehu{lujlgy luh lg jgiuhlyjgobz jg`bxhg{jlb lgk liih}{hk }lu{ n` {ah }nbj{jilb

djq' Ung ]lxb whg{ khh} jg{n {ah 5=


7/29

ylzjgo {al{ wh/uh l inxg{uz y}bj{ knwg {ah djkkbh" bjehulb py' ingyhupl{jph" uhk

Ldhujil py' ebxh Ldhujil' Bjehulby lgk ingyhupl{jphy uhlk kj``huhg{ enncy" wl{ia

kj``huhg{ gh{wnucy" lgk on {n kj``huhg{ iaxuiahy'

Jg `li{" wh luoxhk {ahg" l yxey{lg{jlb gxdehu n` Ldhujilgy kng/{ `j{ jg{n {al{ bjehulb$ingyhupl{jph kjian{ndz' ]nbby `jgk {al{ yndh

NGH" _h ghhk l y{ungo onphugdhg{ {n algkbh {nklzy ind}bhq hingndji

}unebhdy3 nu" [_N" [ah `uhh dluch{ ilg algkbh {ahyh }unebhdy wj{anx{

onphugdhg{ ehjgo jgpnbphk'

_h yanxbk eh dnuh {nbhulg{ n` }hn}bh wan iannyh {n bjph liinukjgo {n {ahju nwg

dnulb y{lgkluky" hphg j` {ahz luh phuz kj``huhg{ `und nxu nwg' !Kn znx louhh

y{ungobz" louhh yndhwal{" ghj{ahu louhh gnu kjylouhh" kjylouhh yndhwal{" nu


8/29

kjylouhh y{ungobz wj{a {ajy y{l{hdhg{>*

]hn}bh ohghulbbz ylz {al{ l bjehulb `lpnuy onphugdhg{ jg{huphg{jng jg {ah hingndz lgk

}un{hi{jng n` ijpjb bjehu{jhy" wajbh l ingyhupl{jph jy n}}nyhk {n en{a hingndji

jg{huphg{jng lgk {ah hq}lgyjng n` ijpjb bjehu{jhy' Bjehu{lujlgy n}}nyh onphugdhg{jg{uxyjng jg{n en{a {ah hingndz lgk }huynglb `uhhkndy'

Jg {ahyh ilbixbl{jngy" wh xyh l eunlk kh`jgj{jng n` bjehu{lujlg' _h jgibxkh en{a

jgkjpjkxlby wan wnxbk yhb`$jkhg{j`z ly bjehu{lujlg lgk jgkjpjkxlby wan anbk

bjehu{lujlg pjhwy ex{ dlz eh xg`ldjbjlu wj{a {ah wnuk' J{ jy ibhlu {al{ dlgz }hn}bh

wan anbk bjehu{lujlg pjhwy kng{ yhb`$jkhg{j`z ly bjehu{lujlgy' Ngh Ulydxyyhg }nbb

`nxgk {al{ ngbz 5 }huihg{ n` uhy}ngkhg{y ialuli{hujvhk {ahdyhbphy ly bjehu{lujlgy" hphg{anxoa


9/29

hkxil{hk" l``bxhg{" lgk bjpjgo jg {ah Dnxg{ljg lgk ]lij`ji _hy{' [ahz luh dnuh bjchbz

{n nwg y{nic {alg n{ahu pn{huy" dlcjgo {ahd l ihg{ulb }lu{ n` {ah jgphy{nu iblyy'

@und {ah {hl }lu{z {n {ah ujyjgo yx}}nu{ `nu olz dluujloh lgk dlujfxlgl

khiujdjglbjvl{jng" bjehu{lujlg$bhlgjgo pn{huy luh dlcjgo lg jd}li{ ng }nbj{jiy lgk

}nbjiz'

_h xuoh }nbby{huy" jgibxkjgo {ah ghwy lohgijhy {al{ inddjyyjng hqj{ }nbby" {n jgibxkh

l |xhy{jng yjdjblu {n ngh xyhk {n jkhg{j`z {ah uhbjojnxy ujoa{6 Kn znx ingyjkhu

znxuyhb` {n eh jyilbbz ingyhupl{jph lgk ynijlbbz bjehulb" lbyn cgnwg ly bjehu{lujlg>

[anyh wan knxe{ {ah uhbhplgih n` {ah bjehu{lujlg pn{h djoa{ ingyxb{ {ah bly{

inddhg{luz jg {ajy ennc" [ah Uhlb Ywjgo Pn{huy" wajia `jgky hpjkhgih jg lg

Lxoxy{ 5=


10/29

]LU[ JJ6 INDDHG[LUJHY


11/29

[hl ]lu{jhuy


12/29

Dnuh Kl{l ng Bjehu{lujlg Unn{y n` [hl ]lu{z

ez Klpjk Cjuez

Dlgz lglbzy{y alph luoxhk {al{ Undghzy }jic n` ]lxb Uzlg ly ajy P] ilgkjkl{h jy l

yn} {n {ah {hl }lu{z' Lgk j{ dlz eh' Ex{ J wngkhu j` lglbzy{y l}}uhijl{h hqli{bz wal{

}lu{ n` {ah {hl }lu{z'

Bly{ whhc" Hdjbz Hcjgy lgk J }xebjyahk l ghw Il{n Jgy{j{x{h y{xkz" Bjehu{lujlg Unn{y

n` {ah [hl ]lu{z" lbngo wj{a lg n}$hk jg]nbj{jin' _h luoxh6

Dlgz }hn}bh ng {ah bh`{ y{jbb kjydjyy {ah {hl }lu{z ly {ah yldh nbk uhbjojnxy ujoa{"

ex{ {ah hpjkhgih ylzy {ahz luh wungo' [ah {hl }lu{z aly y{ungo bjehu{lujlg unn{ylgk jy l xgi{jnglbbz bjehu{lujlg jg`bxhgih ng {ah Uh}xebjilg ]lu{z'

Ind}jbjgo kl{l `und bnilb lgk gl{jnglb }nbby" ly whbb ly knvhgy n` nujojglb

jg{hupjhwy wj{a {hl }lu{z dhdehuy lgk bhlkhuy" wh `jgk {al{ {ah {hl }lu{z jy xgj{hk

ng hingndji jyyxhy" ex{ y}bj{ ng {ah ynijlb jyyxhy j{ {hgky {n lpnjk' Unxoabz alb

{ah {hl }lu{z jy ynijlbbz ingyhupl{jph" alb` bjehu{lujlgnu" `jyilbbz ingyhupl{jph"

ex{ ynijlbbz dnkhul{h {n bjehulb'

[ah {hl }lu{z jy x}hgkjgo {ah ingphg{jnglb wjyknd {al{ Uh}xebjilg ilgkjkl{hy

dxy{ }blil{h ynijlbbz ingyhupl{jph pn{huy {n wjg }ujdlujhy' Jgiuhlyjgobz"

Uh}xebjilg ilgkjkl{hy dxy{ wjg nphu {hl }lu{z pn{huy ng bjehu{lujlg hingndji

jyyxhy'

Zhy{huklz" l yh}lul{h {hl }lu{z y{xkz lkky dnuh kl{l {n {ah }ji{xuh' ]nbj{jilb yijhg{jy{

Ung Ul}n}nu{ l{ _jbbjld lgk Dluz uhbhlyhk l uh}nu{ {al{ yxddlujvhy {ah `jgkjgoy n`

l yxuphz n`


13/29

bluohy{ dhdehuyaj} ing{jgohg{ `nu lgz gl{jnglb [hl ]lu{z$uhbl{hk ounx}'

[ahuh`nuh" {n xgkhuy{lgk {ah [hl ]lu{z dnphdhg{" j{y kzgldjiy" jyyxh }nyj{jngy"

}nbj{jilb li{jpj{z lgk ehalpjnu" xgkhuy{lgkjgo @uhhknd_nucy yx}}nu{huy jy l

onnk }blih {n y{lu{'

[ah uh}nu{ `jgky6

Bjehu{lujlgy luh l yjogj`jilg{ }lu{ n` @uhhknd_nucy yx}}nu{huy" ind}ujyjgo lenx{

9=( n` {ah ounx}' Ng en{a jddjoul{jng lgk lenu{jng" bjehu{lujlgy !ly uh`bhi{hk

jg {al{ }lu{zy }bl{`nudy nphu {ah }ly{ {auhh hbhi{jngy*" {lch }nyj{jngy |xj{h

kjy{jgi{ `und {ah Uh}xebjilg ]lu{z lgk `und dlgz n{ahu [hl ]lu{z yx}}nu{huy'

Ng lenu{jng" bjehu{lujlgy whuh lenx{ 5=( bhyy bjchbz {n yx}}nu{ l ingy{j{x{jnglbldhgkdhg{ elggjgo lenu{jngy" lgk lenx{


14/29

dlgz }hn}bh wan anbk bjehu{lujlg ehbjh`y luh xg`ldjbjlu wj{a {ah wnuk bjehu{lujlg'

Xyjgo eunlkhu |xhy{jngy }unejgo elicounxgk ehbjh`y" wh hy{jdl{h {al{ bjehu{lujlgy luh

eh{whhg


15/29

Bjehu{lujlg [uhgky jg ]xebji N}jgjng


16/29

Pn{huy _lg{ Ydlbbhu Onphugdhg{

ez Klpjk Enlv

]nbby{huy niilyjnglbbz lyc uhy}ngkhg{y |xhy{jngy lbngo {ah bjghy n` _nxbk znx ylz

znx `lpnu ydlbbhu onphugdhg{ wj{a `hwhu yhupjihy" nu bluohu onphugdhg{ wj{a dlgz

yhupjihy> Ly djoa{ eh hq}hi{hk" {ah hingndji iujyjy lgk {ah uh}hl{hk ibljd {al{ {ah

Exya lkdjgjy{ul{jng alk ehhg {joa{$`jy{hk lgk khuhoxbl{nuz dnphk pn{huy {n {ah bh`{

ng {al{ |xhy{jng' Ex{ gn{ ly `lu ly znx djoa{ {ajgc' Jg 5==1 Uldhya ]nggxux

yxddlujvhk yndh n` {ah bl{hy{ hpjkhgih6

IEY }nbby{huy alph n`{hg lychk" _nxbk znx ylz znx `lpnu ydlbbhu onphugdhg{

wj{a `hwhu yhupjihy" nu bluohu onphugdhg{ wj{a dlgz yhupjihy> Ng {ajy |xhy{jng

{ahuh yhhdy {n eh l }un$onphugdhg{ {uhgk nphu {ah bly{ knvhg zhluyex{ wh

ihu{ljgbz kng{ yhhd {n eh dnuh }un$onphugdhg{ {alg wh whuh kxujgo {ah Uhlolg

1=y' Jg L}ujb


17/29

yjkh n` {al{ |xhy{jng6 jg Yh}{hdehu


18/29

{anyh `lpnujgo ydlbbhu nphu bluohu onphugdhg{ aly dnphk jg]ny{$LEI }nbby

`und `jph }njg{y {n 5= }njg{y'

_uj{huy jg {ah hy{lebjyadhg{ dhkjl" yxia ly H' F' Kjnggh Fu' lgk Hvul Cbhjg" ch}{

jgyjy{jgo {al{ ]uhyjkhg{ Neldl jy dnkhul{h nu ihg{ujy{" ing{uluz {n {ah ibljdy n` xyazy{hujiy wan {ajgc {al{ l {ujbbjng$knbblu jgiuhlyh jg lggxlb y}hgkjgo" +; {ujbbjng jg

ghw khe{" l onphugdhg{ {lchnphu n` {wn lx{ndnejbh ind}lgjhy" l ind}bh{h

onphugdhg{ {lchnphu n` ahlb{a iluh !wajia {ah }uhyjkhg{}uh`huuhk ex{ inxbkg{ oh{

nx{ n` Ingouhyy*" lgk ywhh}jgo ghw `jglgijlb uhoxbl{jng {al{ knhyg{ uh`nud {ah hlyz$

dnghz lgk anxyjgo$}uh`huhgih }nbjijhy {al{ ilxyhk {ah `jglgijlb iujyjy jy l }uh{{z

y{l{jy{ lohgkl'

Ex{ j{ bnncy bjch {ah Ldhujilg }hn}bh yhh l ejo ol} eh{whhg {ah cjgk n` onphugdhg{

{ahz wlg{ lgk {ah cjgk {ahz {ajgc ]uhyjkhg{ Neldl wlg{y'

L 5=


19/29

Pn{huy xgkhuy{lgk {al{ ]uhyjkhg{ Neldl `lpnuy bluohu onphugdhg{' Kxa' Lgk {ahz

kng{'

L zhlu bl{hu {ah _lyajgo{ng ]ny{uh}nu{hk6

Dny{ Ldhujilgy jg l ghw _lyajgo{ng ]ny{$LEI Ghwy }nbb wlg{ l yauxgchg

`hkhulb onphugdhg{" lgk dny{ ehbjhph Undghz wlg{y {al{ {nn' Yx}}nu{ `nu

ydlbbhu onphugdhg{ jy x} yjogj`jilg{bz jg uhihg{ zhluy" lgk dlucy l }jpn{lb

jyyxh wahuh pn{huy pjhw Neldl ly `lu nx{ n` y{h} wj{a }xebji n}jgjng'

[ah y{ujcjgo {ajgo" n` inxuyh" jy {al{ pn{huy {ajgc Undghz yx}}nu{y ydlbbhu

onphugdhg{' J{y gn{ l ingibxyjng {ahz inxbk kulw ùnd ajy `jyilb uhinuk ly onphugnu"

nu ùnd ajy Dlyyliaxyh{{y ahlb{a iluh }blg" nu ùnd ajy ixuuhg{}nyj{jng ng exkoh{

ix{y" nu hphg ùnd ajy uxggjgo dl{hy exkoh{ }un}nylb' J {ajgc znx alph {n ingibxkh

{al{ pn{huy ehbjhph Dj{{ Undghz wlg{y ydlbbhu onphugdhg{ ehilxyh ]uhyjkhg{ Neldl

chh}y {hbbjgo {ahd yn'

Pn{huy alph l eh{{hu yhgyh n` Neldly nwg }uh`huhgihy6 ?9 }huihg{ ylz ah wlg{y

bluohu onphugdhg{' Znxph on{ {n wngkhu lenx{ {ah


20/29

Ind}jbhk `und Il{nMBjehu{z'nuo ebno }ny{y }xebjyahk ng Gnphdehu 8" 5==13

lgxluz


21/29

[ah Bjehu{lujlg [uhgk

ez Klpjk Enlv

[ahuhy ehhg bn{y n`{lbcbl{hbz lenx{ l {xug {n {ah ujoa{ jg Ldhujilg }nbj{jiy' ]uhyjkhg{

Neldly khibjgjgo }nbb gxdehuy" {ah yalu} ujyh jg n}}nyj{jng {n ajy ahlb{a$iluh }blg

kxujgo 5==:" {ah ounw{a n` {ah oulyy$unn{y [hl ]lu{z dnphdhg{" lgk {ah }nbby

}uhkji{jgo l Uh}xebjilg {lchnphu n` {ah Anxyh n` Uh}uhyhg{l{jphy lbb }njg{ {n l

uhyxuohgih n` ingyhupl{jyd jg {ah hbhi{nul{h' Ex{ ly J gn{hk bly{ zhlu" {ahuh luh lbyn

{uhgky jg {ah kjuhi{jng n` ynijlb {nbhulgih {ahyh klzy' Yndh jgkhhk alph khyiujehk

ixuuhg{ }nbj{jilb {uhgky ly l bjehu{lujlg uhyxuohgih'

Ilbj`nugjl pn{huy luh oh{{jgo uhlkz {n pn{h ng l dlujfxlgl bholbjvl{jng jgj{jl{jph" lgk

}nbby yanw ujyjgo yx}}nu{' [ahGhw Znuc [jdhy}njg{y {n n{ahu yjogy n` ialgoh ng {ah

dlujfxlgl `ung{6 ]n{ aly lbuhlkz ehindh hyyhg{jlbbz bholb `nu lgzngh jg Ilbj`nugjl

wan ilg {hbb l dhkjilb dlujfxlgl ibjgji {al{ j{ wnxbk dlch ajd `hhb eh{{hu' L{{nughz

Ohghulb Huji Anbkhu aly yljk {al{ {ah `hkhulb onphugdhg{ wnxbk elic n`` j{y l{{hd}{

{n hg`nuih {ah `hkhulb blwy loljgy{ dhkjilb dlujfxlgl jg {ah


22/29

[ajy ialu{" }uh}luhk `nu dh ez Oluuh{{ Uhjd" yanwy uhihg{ {uhgky jg }xebji n}jgjng

}nbby ng yhphulb jyyxhyyx}}nu{ `nu ydlbbhu onphugdhg{" dluujloh h|xlbj{z" lgk

dlujfxlgl bholbjvl{jng lbngo wj{a n}}nyj{jng {n ]uhyjkhg{ Neldly ahlb{a iluh }blg

lgk {n {ah fne {ah }uhyjkhg{ jy knjgo' [ah bl{{hu {wn alph dnphk dnuh yalu}bz" ex{ lbb

`jph bjghy dnph l{ bhly{ dluojglbbz jg l bjehu{lujlg kjuhi{jng6

Bngohu${hud ialu{y wnxbk yanw dnuh n` l {uhgk ng dlujfxlgl lgk dluujloh' YhhGl{h

Yjbphuy ialu{ ng ujyjgo yx}}nu{ `nu dlujfxlgl bholbjvl{jng nphu {ah }ly{ 5= zhluy' Lgk

ahuh luh {auhhkh}ji{jngy n`ujyjgo yx}}nu{ `nu dluujloh h|xlbj{z nphu {ah }ly{


23/29

Ly yndhlglbzy{yalphgn{jihk" wal{y onjgo ng jg Ldhujilg }nbj{jiy jy l yaj`{ jg l

bjehu{lujlg kjuhi{jng' [ajy ialu{ }unpjkhy yndh dnuh hpjkhgih'

]ny{hk ng Ni{nehu 51" 5=


24/29

Ghw ]nbby Yanw Bjehu{lujlg [uhgky ng

Dluujloh" Dlujfxlgl" Oxgy

ez Klpjk Enlv

Dlgz inddhg{l{nuy alph yhhg l yaj`{ {n {ah ujoa{ jg Ldhujilg }nbj{jiy nphu {ah }ly{

{wn zhluy{ah uhli{jng {n y}hgkjgo" eljbnx{y" lgk Neldliluh3 {ah ujyh jg ingyhupl{jph

yhb`$jkhg{j`jil{jng jg }nbby3 {ah 5=*


25/29

Yx}}nu{ `nu Yhingk Ldhgkdhg{ ujoa{y aly ujyhg yxey{lg{jlbbz yjgih {ah


26/29

Khy}j{h {ah `ljbxuh n` l dlujfxlgl bholbjvl{jng jgj{jl{jph jg Ilbj`nugjl jg 5=


27/29

Vlbbhu luh ujoa{ {al{ S{Tah }ujgij}bh ahuh jy {al{ hphuz }huyng jy ùhh {n li{ ly ah

}bhlyhy" yn bngo ly ajy hqhuijyh n` ùhhknd knhy gn{ pjnbl{h {ah h|xlb ujoa{y n

n{ahuy" {ahg dluujloh h|xlbj{z lgk dlujfxlgl ùhhknd luh ngbz l dl{{hu n` {jdh'

Lgk gngh n` {ahyh ynijlbbz bjehulb uhyxb{y ialbbhgoh {ah ohghulb }huih}{jng n` lingyhupl{jph {uhgk" ly bngo ly {al{ {uhgk jy xgkhuy{nnk ly l uhli{jng {n eljbnx{y"

{lchnphuy" lgk n{ahu hbhdhg{y n` ejo onphugdhg{' Ldhujilgy ing{jgxh {n {hbb

}nbby{huy {ahz }uh`hu ydlbbhu onphugdhg{ wj{a `hwhu yhupjihy {n bluohu onphugdhg{

wj{a dnuh yhupjihy' Lgk wahg znx uhdjgk }hn}bh {al{ {ah iny{ n` dnuh yhupjihy jy

ajoahu {lqhy" {ah uhyxb{y oh{ hphg y{ungohu' Yn {ah onnk ghwy `nu bjehu{lujlgy jy {al{

{ahuh luh bjehu{lujlg {uhgky jg }xebji n}jgjng ng l wjkh ulgoh n` jyyxhy' [ah elk ghwy

jy {al{ yndh n` {anyh {uhgky luh jg uhy}ngyh {n {ah dlyyjph hq}lgyjng n` onphugdhg{

n` {ah Exya$Neldl zhluy'

[ajy lu{jibh l}}hluhk ng Euj{lggjil Ebno ng Dluia ?" 5=


28/29

]nbb @jgky l Bjehu{lujlg Yaj`{

ez Klpjk Enlv

]nbbjgo wjvluk Gl{h Yjbphu n` {ahGhw Znuc [jdhy {nklz}njg{y {n l inx}bh n` }nbb

|xhy{jngy{al{ Klpjk Cjuez lgk J alph n`{hg hd}bnzhk lgk `jgky yndh whbindh ghw

uhyxb{y" lbngo wj{a l ouhl{ oul}a6

Yjgih


29/29

uhy}ngkhg{y yljk onphugdhg{ wly knjgo {nn dxia x} `und 0< }huihg{ jg 5=

The Libertarian Vote: Swing Voters, Tea Parties, and the Fiscally Conservative, Socially Liberal Center

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