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The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future) Associate Professor Stephen Bolsin Department of Perioperative Medicine The Geelong Hospital Barwon Health
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The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

Feb 05, 2016

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The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future). Associate Professor Stephen Bolsin Department of Perioperative Medicine The Geelong Hospital Barwon Health. The Lessons of Bristol. Other examples Manitoba Paediatric Cardiac Surgery Inquest (Canada) Dr Harold Shipman Inquiry (UK) - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Page 1: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

The Lessons of Bristol(Models for the Future)

Associate Professor Stephen Bolsin

Department of Perioperative Medicine

The Geelong Hospital

Barwon Health

Page 2: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

The Lessons of Bristol

• Other examples• Manitoba Paediatric Cardiac Surgery Inquest (Canada)• Dr Harold Shipman Inquiry (UK)• Dr Michael Swango (USA)• Bristol Royal Infirmary Inquiry (UK)• 40 deaths in private clinic 2000 (France)• Dr Reimers charged with manslaughter 2001 (Aus)

Page 3: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

Safety in Health Care

Stimulus to change

• 1995 ‘Quality in Australian healthcare study’

• 1999 ‘To err is human’ Institute of Medicine, USA

• 44-98K patients die through error in US hospitals

• 3-6K patients die through error in Australian care

• Bristol Inquiry 2001 “could be happening now in NHS”

• Public demand for change

Page 4: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

Safety in Health CareQuality in Australian Health Care Study 1992

Wilson RMcL, Runciman WB, Gibberd RW, et al. The Quality in Australian Health Care Study. Med J Aust 1995; 163: 458-471.

• 16.6% of admissions had iatrogenic injury• 14,000 admissions to 28 hospitals (NSW & SA)• Extrapolate <230,00 preventable adverse events• Extrapolate <14,000 preventable deaths

Page 5: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

Safety in Health CareCauses of Adverse Events (50% preventable)

34.6% complication/failure of technical performance

15.8% decision/action failure

11.8% failure to arrange procedure/investigate/consult

10.9% lack of care/attentionAn analysis of the causes of adverse events from theQuality in Australian Health Care Study

Ross McL Wilson, Bernadette T Harrison, Robert W Gibberd and John D Hamilton

MJA 1999; 170: 411-415

Page 6: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

Safety in Health Care

Limited adverse occurrence screening:

using medical record review to reduce

hospital adverse patient events

Alan M Wolff

MJA 1996; 164: 458

Page 7: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

Safety in Health Care

Detecting and reducing hospital adverse events: outcomes of the Wimmera clinical risk management program

Alan M Wolff, Jo Bourke, Ian A Campbell and David W Leembruggen

MJA 2001; 174: 621-625

Page 8: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

Safety in Health Care Wolff M A. MJA 1996; 164: 458

General patient outcome criteria used for screening

of medical records – Death.

– Return to operating theatre within 7 days.

– Transfer from general ward to intensive care unit.

– Unplanned readmission within 28 days of discharge.

– Cardiac arrest.

– Transfer to another acute-care facility.

– Length of stay greater than 35 days (reduced to 21 days in 1993-1994).

– Theatre booking cancelled.

Page 9: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

Safety in Health CareWolff M A. MJA 1996; 164: 458

15,912 patients screened

1,465 (9.21%) screened positive for criteria

155 (0.97%) screened positive for AO

110 major 45 minor

88 (56.8%) cases minor or not preventable

67 recommendations to patient care committee

66 recommendations for changes in policy

Changes in policy clinical & administrative

Page 10: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

Safety in Health Care

Wolff M A. MJA 1996; 164: 458• Reasonable rate of detection on screening by clerks • Reasonable rate of confirmation by clinicians• LAOS will detect circa 50% of adverse events• Requires 10% review of medical records• Fast & accurate• Costs <0.1% of total hospital budget • Reduction in adverse events by >50% in 3 years

Page 11: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

Safety in Health Care

Wolff AM et al. MJA 2001; 174: 621-625

49,834 inpatients screened

20,050 EMD patients screened

Inpatient record review

EMD record review

Clinical incident reporting

GP reporting

Page 12: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

Safety in Health Care

Inpatient adverse events down from 1.35% - 0.74%

(Reduction from 69-49 events in 8 years p<0.001)

EMD adverse events decreased from 3.26% - 0.48%

(Reduction from 84-12 events in 8 quarters p<0.001)

“Adverse events can be detected...”

“...and their frequency reduced using…detection methods and clinical improvement strategies...

Page 13: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

Safety in Health CareCauses of Adverse Events (50% preventable)

34.6% complication/failure of technical performance

15.8% decision/action failure

11.8% failure to arrange procedure/investigate/consult

10.9% lack of care/attentionAn analysis of the causes of adverse events from theQuality in Australian Health Care Study

Ross McL Wilson, Bernadette T Harrison, Robert W Gibberd and John D Hamilton

MJA 1999; 170: 411-415

Page 14: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

ANZCA Personal Professional Monitoring Project

• Pietroni 1993 Ann RCS;75:200-2.

• de Leval et al. 1994 J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg;107:914.

• Kestin 1995 BJA;75:805-9.

• Ellis 1995 BJA;75:673-4.

• Day & Bolsin 1998 Short Practice of Anaesthesia.

• Bolsin 2000 Int J Qual Health Care;12:367-369.

• Bolsin & Colson Int J Qual Health Care;12:433-8.

• Bolsin 2001 Aust Health Review;24:1-4.

Page 15: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

ANZCA Personal Professional Monitoring Project

Graph 1

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Attempt Number

CumulativeFailure

PROBABLY ACCEPTABLE

DEFINITELY ACCEPTABLE

PROBABLY UNACCEPTABLE

DEFINITELY UNACCEPTABLE

Page 16: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

ANZCA Personal Professional Monitoring Project

Graph 2

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Attempt Number

Cusum

Page 17: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

ANZCA Personal Professional Monitoring Project

Graph 3

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Attempt Number

Cumulative Failure

PROBABLY ACCEPTABLE

DEFINITELY ACCEPTABLE

PROBABLY UNACCEPTABLE

DEFINITELY UNACCEPTABLE

Page 18: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

ANZCA Personal Professional Monitoring Project

Graph 4

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Attempt Number

Cusum

Page 19: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

ANZCA Personal Professional Monitoring Project

• Recruits – 1st year Anaesthetic Registrars– Supervisors of Training

• Collects Electronically– Log Book data on procedures– Data on procedural performance– Data on adverse incidents

Page 20: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

ANZCA Personal Professional Monitoring Project

• Sponsors– ANZCA (Australian & New Zealand College of

Anaesthetists)– United Medical Protection– PALM Corporation of Australasia– VMIA– Sync International

Page 21: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

ANZCA Personal Professional Monitoring Project

Procedures monitored• IV line insertion• IA line insertion• CVP line insertion• Epidural insertion• Spinal anaesthetic• Brachial Plexus block• Other blocks

Page 22: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

ANZCA Personal Professional Monitoring Project

• PALM III handheld computers

• Personal log book

• Customised synchronising programmes

• Electronic data collection

• Electronic data retrieval

• Secure electronic data transmission

• Remote Analysis

• Secure return of analysed data

Page 23: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

ANZCA Personal Professional Monitoring Project

• Data collection in <1 minute

• Cultural change has been achieved

• Enthusiasm is palpable

• Other Specialities are interested

• Other Professions are interested

• Registrars are Specialists of the Future

• Data from any procedures collectable

Page 24: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

ANZCA Personal Professional Monitoring Project

Page 25: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

ANZCA Personal Professional Monitoring Project

Page 26: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

ANZCA Personal Professional Monitoring Project

Page 27: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

ANZCA Personal Professional Monitoring Project

Page 28: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

ANZCA Personal Professional Monitoring Project

Page 29: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

ANZCA Personal Professional Monitoring Project

Page 30: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

ANZCA Personal Professional Monitoring Project

Page 31: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

ANZCA Personal Professional Monitoring Project

Palm

Desktop

SecureServer

Anaesth.College

APSF

Page 32: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

ANZCA Personal Professional Monitoring Project

Phase 1 Project

• Six 1st or 2nd year registrars recruited

• 3 Centres in Australia & New Zealand

• 4-7 month data collection

• 1690 Cases collected

• All collected data analysed

• Some data lost (batteries & breakages)

Page 33: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

ANZCA Personal Professional Monitoring Project

Phase 1 Project

• Supervision – 62% level 1; 22% level 2

• 27% out of hours

• 11% remote locations

• Operative Speciality

• 480 procedures logged for Cusum analysis

Page 34: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

ANZCA Personal Professional Monitoring Project

Phase 1 Project

• 42 critical incidents

• 2.5% of total anaesthetics logged

• 19 uneventful; 8 minor;14 major; 1 death

• 64% “near miss” reporting

• cf 50% event reporting by LAOS

• 21 airway respy events; 17 cardiovascular

Page 35: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

ANZCA Personal Professional Monitoring Project

Phase 2 Project

• 715 anaesthetics recorded

• 17 critical incidents

• 2.4% of total anaesthetics logged

• 7 uneventful; 8 minor;2 major

• 88% “near miss” reporting

• 7 airway; 4 procedure; 2 cardiovascular

Page 36: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

ANZCA Personal Professional Monitoring Project

• Relatively objective.• Easy and quick to collect.• Provides early feedback.• Provokes specific action early.• Consistent with the “continuing quality

improvement” paradigm.• Allows for ongoing, self directed learning• Phase 2 better than Phase 1

Page 37: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

ANZCA Personal Professional Monitoring Project

“The Future Now”• Personal Professional Monitoring• Real Time Prospective Reporting• Numerator Data & Denominator Data• “Near Miss” Reporting• Critical Incident Analysis• Targeted Incident Reporting• Immediate Feedback of generic data• Policy & Procedural change as a result

Page 38: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

ANZCA Personal Professional Monitoring Project

The Vision• Reduction in Adverse Events• Elimination of attributable Adverse Events• Improved Health Care Practice• Reduced Health Care Costs (Au$4-6 billion)• Improved Patient Outcomes• Reduced Legal Costs• Safest Hospital status

Page 39: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

ANZCA Personal Professional Monitoring Project

• www.ppm.com.au– Articles on CUSUM

– Product details

– Program tour

• www.syncint.com– Look under what’s

new

Page 40: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)
Page 41: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

Professional Monitoring & Cultural Change

A/Prof Stephen Bolsin, Dr Mark Colson,

Dr Peter Stow, Dr Peter Tolley, Mr Morteza Mohajeri, Mr James Kenny, Dr Rory Wolff

Depts Perioperative Medicine, Cardiac Surgery & ICU

The Geelong Hospital

Barwon Health

Dept Epidemiology & Preventive Medicine

Monash University

Page 42: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

Complication - Second 500

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500 525 550 575 600 625 650 675 700 725 750 775 800 825 850 875 900 925 950 975

Pump Number

Cu

su

m

Professional Monitoring & Cultural Change

Inexplicable change in performance

Page 43: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

Complication - Third 500

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1000 1025 1050 1075 1100 1125 1150 1175 1200 1225 1250 1275 1300 1325

Pump Number

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Professional Monitoring & Cultural Change

Protocol Changes

New Surgeon Xmas Holidays

Review Meeting

Page 44: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

Professional Monitoring & Cultural Change

• Overall bleeding rate 5.5%

• Important variables on univariate analysis– Emergency category– Renal failure (Pre-op creatinine >120mol/L) – Cardiopulmonary bypass time (10% : 10 min)– Surgeon

Page 45: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

Complication - Third 500

-30.00

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-10.00

0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

1000 1025 1050 1075 1100 1125 1150 1175 1200 1225 1250 1275 1300 1325 1350 1375 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500

Pump Number

Cu

su

m

Professional Monitoring & Cultural Change

Review MeetingProtocol Changes

Xmas holidays

New Staff Changed Performance

Page 46: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

Professional Monitoring & Cultural Change

• Further analysis required

• Renal failure implicated

• Bypass time implicated

• Emergency surgery implicated

• Surgeon in part explanatory

• Surgeon effect remediable

• Decrements in performance explicable

• Increments in performance inexplicable

Page 47: The Lessons of Bristol (Models for the Future)

Professional Monitoring & Cultural Change

• We are being expected to do better

• We could do better

• We should do better

• Our patients would want us to do better

• Our patients would benefit

• We would benefit

• “All Win” Medical Management