New MSA Definitions and a New Look For the Labor Market Report The Tennessee Department of Labor & Workforce Development Data Phil Bredesen, Governor James G. Neeley, Commissioner The Labor Market Report Special Points of Interest: • New MSA definitions and LMR format change • 2004 Labor Market Re- port Directory • Tennessee Historical Civilian Labor Force Series, 1974 to Present • County Unemployment Rates • Civilian Labor Force Summary • State Unemployment Insurance Activities Beginning in 2005, the Department of Labor and Workforce Development will re- lease statistics based on new labor market definitions. Every ten years, the U.S. Office of Manage- ment and Budget (OMB) redefines sta- tistical areas based on population and commuting patterns from the most recent decennial census. Metropolitan Statis- tical Areas (MSAs) have at least one ur- ban area of 50,000 or more population, plus adjacent coun- ties with a high de- gree of social and eco- nomic integration with the core as measured by com- muting ties. Mi- cropolitan Statistical Areas, a new defini- tion, have at least one urban cluster of greater than 10,000 but less than 50,000 population, plus adja- cent counties with a high degree of social and economic integra- tion as measured by commuting ties. Starting with the January 2005 edition, we are providing infor- mation on large MSAs, smaller MSAs, and mi- cropolitan areas. Pages 7 through 10 include data for the largest MSAs. The presentation of these large MSAs have not changed from last year. On page 11 are the nonagricultural data for the six smaller MSAs. This includes Tri-Cities MSA morphing into two smaller MSAs (Johnson City MSA and Kingsport-Bristol MSA). The new MSA definitions are located on the banner of each large MSA and at the bottom of page 11. On page 12 is the graph of the unem- ployment rate that was previously on page 6. Also, the con- sumer price index has been limited to the U.S. City Average, All Urban Consumers. For detailed CPI data, go to the web site at www.bls.gov/ro4/ cpicard.htm. Page 6 of this publica- tion now includes the labor force and unem- ployment information for the U.S., the state, the ten MSAs, and the 20 Micropolitan Statis- tical Areas. While these data are new, the information is not compatible with the previous month or the previous years. To help with time series studies or to compare with the previous year, we are revising data back to 1990 us- ing these new MSA definitions. Data prior to that is not compara- ble or compatible. Chattanooga MSA 7 Knoxville MSA 8 Memphis MSA 9 Nashville MSA 10 Smaller MSAs 11 Consumer Price Index 12 January 2005 Data 1
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New MSA Definitions and a New Look For the Labor Market Report
The Tennessee Department of Labor & Workforce Development
December 2002 Data
Phil Bredesen, Governor
James G. Neeley,
Commissioner
The Labor Market Report
Special Points of Interest: • New MSA definitions
and LMR format change • 2004 Labor Market Re-
port Directory • Tennessee Historical
Civilian Labor Force Series, 1974 to Present
• County Unemployment
Rates • Civilian Labor Force
Summary • State Unemployment
Insurance Activities
Beginning in 2005, the Department of Labor and Workforce Development will re-lease statistics based on new labor market definitions. Every ten years, the U.S. Office of Manage-ment and Budget (OMB) redefines sta-tistical areas based on population and commuting patterns from the most recent decennial census. Metropolitan Statis-tical Areas (MSAs) have at least one ur-ban area of 50,000 or more population, plus adjacent coun-ties with a high de-gree of social and eco-nomic integration with the core as measured by com-muting ties. Mi-cropolitan Statistical Areas, a new defini-tion, have at least one urban cluster of greater than 10,000 but less than 50,000 population, plus adja-
cent counties with a high degree of social and economic integra-tion as measured by commuting ties. Starting with the January 2005 edition, we are providing infor-mation on large MSAs, smaller MSAs, and mi-cropolitan areas. Pages 7 through 10 include data for the largest MSAs. The presentation of these large MSAs have not changed from last year. On page 11 are the nonagricultural data for the six smaller MSAs. This includes Tri-Cities MSA morphing into two smaller MSAs (Johnson City MSA and Kingsport-Bristol MSA). The new MSA definitions are located on the banner of each large MSA and at the bottom of page 11. On page 12 is the graph of the unem-
ployment rate that was previously on page 6. Also, the con-sumer price index has been limited to the U.S. City Average, All Urban Consumers. For detailed CPI data, go to the web site at www.bls.gov/ro4/cpicard.htm. Page 6 of this publica-tion now includes the labor force and unem-ployment information for the U.S., the state, the ten MSAs, and the 20 Micropolitan Statis-tical Areas. While these data are new, the information is not compatible with the previous month or the previous years. To help with time series studies or to compare with the previous year, we are revising data back to 1990 us-ing these new MSA definitions. Data prior to that is not compara-ble or compatible.
Chattanooga MSA 7
Knoxville MSA 8
Memphis MSA 9
Nashville MSA 10
Smaller MSAs 11
Consumer Price Index 12
January 2005 Data
1
2004 Labor Market Report Directory
2
Articles of interest published in last year’s issues of The Labor Market Report are listed below. Copies are available upon request by writing to the address on the back of this report or e-mailing us at [email protected]. Issues of The Labor Market Report for last year may be found on the Internet at http://www.tennessee.gov/labor-wfd/lmr. JANUARY • The 2003 LMR Directory. Articles published in the 2003 issues of The Labor Market Report. • What Are Labor Surplus Areas? A list of the Tennessee counties that are eligible labor surplus areas.
FEBRUARY • The release of An Economic Report to the Governor, prepared by CBER. This shows the short- and long-
term financial health of the state.
MARCH • Annual Average Data, 2002-2003, for Tennessee and Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs). This gives
annual labor force and nonagricultural employment data for the prior two years.
APRIL • Per Capita Personal Income in Tennessee, in metropolitan areas, and by counties in 1999, 2000, 2001, and
2002. This shows the per capita personal income and the percent change for each area. MAY • An overview of the Mass Layoff Statistics (MLS) Program. Included are national data for confirmed
events by industry and layoff events by reason for separation. JUNE • The number of multiple jobholders (moonlighting) in the U.S., by percentage of total employment, in each
state and region during 2001 through 2003.
JULY • Population Estimates for Tennessee and Counties 2001 to 2003. Shows the net population change for each
county. AUGUST • An overview of the number of union members, by state, in 2002 and 2003. Shows the states with the
highest and lowest percentage of union members and those covered by union contracts. SEPTEMBER • An overview of the national minimum wage laws from their inception in 1938 until the last changes made
in 1997. OCTOBER • Commonly used Web sites for statistical information. Also included are America’s Job Bank and Job Bank
USA, which are online job referrals, as well as wage data and the consumer price index. All online publications from this division are included.
NOVEMBER • Projected occupational growth from 2002 to 2012. Also included are short-term projections (2004-2006)
with a list of Tennessee occupations with favorable outlooks. DECEMBER • The ACCRA Cost-of-Living Index for third quarter 2004. This is the cost-of-living in selected U.S. cities as
figured by a survey from the nation’s Chambers of Commerce Research Associations.
Statewide
(NUMBERS IN THOUSANDS) MONTHLY INDUSTRY DATA NOT SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
January (p) 2,882.4 2,693.2 2,678.5 409.1 445.8 965.1 189.2 6.6 % February March April May June July August September October November (r) December (p) (r)=revised **These industries not comparable to industry employment data before (p)=preliminary 1990 because of change to NAICS coding system.
Trade = Wholesale and Retail Trade Services = Professional/Business Services, Educational/Health Services, Leisure/Hospitality, and Other Services.
Jan Jan Jan Jan County 2004 2005 County 2004 2005Anderson 5.1 6.1 Lauderdale 12.1 10.5Bedford 5.8 5.6 Lawrence 8.5 11.0Benton 10.1 10.5 Lewis 7.0 9.5Bledsoe 8.4 9.5 Lincoln 5.8 6.4Blount 4.8 5.9 Loudon 5.2 5.5Bradley 5.6 6.2 Macon 6.6 6.1Campbell 6.9 7.3 Madison 6.1 6.7Cannon 4.6 5.0 Marion 6.7 7.9Carroll 9.8 10.2 Marshall 7.4 6.7Carter 6.7 7.0 Maury 5.8 6.3Cheatham 5.0 5.0 McMinn 7.7 7.1Chester 6.1 7.4 McNairy 6.9 7.5Claiborne 5.8 6.7 Meigs 8.6 8.9Clay 11.0 12.3 Monroe 7.8 7.4Cocke 11.8 11.3 Montgomery 4.9 5.7Coffee 5.2 6.0 Moore 4.6 4.8Crockett 11.0 10.4 Morgan 9.0 9.1Cumberland 8.1 8.9 Obion 7.7 8.1Davidson 4.8 5.0 Overton 7.0 7.4Decatur 9.1 9.3 Perry 8.0 8.1DeKalb 5.1 6.2 Pickett 12.0 12.5Dickson 5.7 5.5 Polk 6.2 7.4Dyer 6.8 7.4 Putnam 4.8 5.7Fayette 7.1 9.1 Rhea 7.0 7.7Fentress 8.3 8.6 Roane 6.5 7.0Franklin 5.8 6.0 Robertson 5.4 5.0Gibson 8.0 10.0 Rutherford 4.3 4.7Giles 8.5 9.1 Scott 8.5 8.7Grainger 6.7 7.3 Sequatchie 5.8 5.8Greene 8.5 9.5 Sevier 11.4 11.7Grundy 6.6 7.8 Shelby 6.3 7.3Hamblen 6.2 6.1 Smith 9.8 8.4Hamilton 5.0 5.4 Stewart 7.7 9.4Hancock 8.7 14.0 Sullivan 6.4 6.5Hardeman 8.6 11.5 Sumner 4.7 5.1Hardin 9.2 9.8 Tipton 7.1 7.8Hawkins 6.7 7.6 Trousdale 7.0 8.4Haywood 9.6 9.8 Unicoi 7.9 7.8Henderson 7.9 8.8 Union 5.6 6.3Henry 9.7 10.0 Van Buren 8.3 9.5Hickman 7.0 7.0 Warren 6.6 7.0Houston 8.2 10.4 Washington 5.4 5.9Humphreys 7.7 9.8 Wayne 9.3 12.4Jackson 7.6 11.0 Weakley 7.4 6.9Jefferson 8.1 8.4 White 6.9 8.1Johnson 9.8 10.7 Williamson 3.6 3.9Knox 4.0 4.8 Wilson 4.9 5.0Lake 8.0 10.0 *Data Not Seasonally Adjusted
HISTORICAL CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE UNEMPLOYMENT RATES BY COUNTY*
Tennessee's seasonally adjusted estimated unemployment rate for January 2005 was 5.9percent, up six-tenths of a percent from the December 2004 rate. This is the first month that Tennessee had a seasonally adjusted unemployment rate higher than the national rate. The United States’ estimated unemployment rate was 5.2 percent in January 2005. In January 2004, the national unemployment rate was 5.7 percent, and the state’s unemployment rate was 5.5 percent. Across Tennessee, the unemployment rate increased in 94 counties and decreased in onecounty. The lowest rate occurred in Williamson County at 3.9 percent, up 0.8 percent from the previous month. The highest rate was Hancock County's 14.0 percent, up from 10.6 percent in December. (Continued on Page 6)
The data from all the nonfarm employment estimates tables include all full- and part-time nonfarm wage and salary employees who worked during, or received pay for, any part of the pay period which includes the 12th of the month. This is a count of jobs by place of work. Agricultural workers, proprietors, self-employed per-sons, workers in private households, and unpaid family workers are excluded. These numbers may not add due to rounding. Data are based on the 2004 benchmark.
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(Continued from Page 5) Total nonfarm employment increased by 41,100 jobs from January 2004 to January 2005. During this period, there were increases in administrative/support/ waste management (up 9,700 jobs); health care/social assistance (up 6,500 jobs), which includes increases of 3,600 jobs in ambulatory health care services and 1,800 jobs in hospitals; leisure/ hospitality services (up 7,600 jobs), which includes an increase of 6,900 jobs in food services/drinking places; retail trade (up 5,000 jobs), which includes an increase of
1,600 jobs in general merchandise stores and 1,000 jobs in building material/ garden equipment/supplies; professional/ scientific/technical services (up 2,500 jobs); and construction, financial activities, and wholesale trade (all up 2,200 jobs). This was partially offset by drops in information (down 1,600 jobs), and state government educational services and food/beverage stores (both down 1,000 jobs). During January, nonfarm employment decreased by 63,700 jobs. There were
decreases in retail trade (down 18,900 jobs), which includes decreases of 6,200 jobs in general merchandise stores and 4,100 jobs in clothing/clothing accessories stores; accommodation/food services (down 7,700 jobs), which includes a decrease of 5,400 jobs in food services/drinking places; administrative/ support/waste management (down 6,000 jobs); construction (down 5,300 jobs); state government educational services (down 4,700 jobs); educational services (down 2,800 jobs); and transportation/ warehousing (down 2,700 jobs).
CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE SUMMARY
Not Seasonally Adjusted
Metropolitan Statistical Areas
Micropolitan Statistical Areas
Seasonally Adjusted U.S. TENNESSEE
U.S. TENNESSEE
Chattanooga Clarksville Cleveland Jackson Johnson City Kingsport-Bristol Knoxville Memphis Morristown Nashville
January 2004 Revised December 2004 Preliminary January 2005 Labor Force Employment Unemployed Rate Labor Force Employment Unemployed Rate L Employment Unemployed Rate
Athens Brownsville Columbia Cookeville Crossville Dyersburg Greeneville Harriman Humboldt LaFollette Lawrenceburg Lewisburg Martin McMinnville Newport Paris Sevierville Shelbyville Tullahoma Union City
C H A T T A N O O G A M S AU N E M P L O Y M E N T R A T E S
(NOT SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DECMONTH
RA
TE
2003 2004 2005
HOURS AND EARNINGS OF PRODUCTION WORKERS CHATTANOOGA MSA
ESTIMATED NONFARM EMPLOYMENT (in thousands)
Chattanooga MSA Total nonfarm employment decreased by 5,200 jobs from December 2004 to January 2005. There were decreases in retail trade (down 1,500 jobs), which includes a decline of 500 jobsin general merchandise stores; administrative/ support/waste management (down 1,000 jobs); natural resources/mining/construction and state government (both down 600 jobs); local government (down 300 jobs); and a drop of 200 jobs in durable and nondurable goods manufacturing, educational/health services, and leisure/hospitality. During the past 12 months, nonfarm employment increased by 2,900 jobs. During that time, goods-producing jobs increased by 100, while service-providing jobs increased by 2,800.
Knoxville MSA -Anderson, Blount, Knox, Loudon, Union
HOURS AND EARNINGS OF PRODUCTION WORKERS KNOXVILLE MSA
ESTIMATED NONFARM EMPLOYMENT (in thousands)
K N O X V I L L E M S A U N E M P L O Y M E N T R A T E S
(NOT SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)
3.0
3.2
3.4
3.6
3.8
4.0
4.2
4.4
4.6
4.8
5.0
5.2
5.4
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DECMONTH
RA
TE
2003 2004 2005
Total nonfarm employment decreased by 6,000 jobs from December 2004 to January 2005. There were decreases in retail trade (down 2,000 jobs), which includes a decline of 800 jobsin general merchandise stores and 200 jobs in food/beverage stores; administrative/support/ waste management (down 1,100 jobs); educational/health services (down 800 jobs); accommodation/food services (down 700 jobs), which includes a drop of 200 jobs in food services/drinking places; natural resources/ mining/construction (down 600 jobs); durable goods manufacturing (down 300 jobs); and wholesale trade (down 200 jobs). This was partially offset by an increase of 200 jobs in local government.
Total nonfarm employment decreased by 9,300 jobs from December 2004 to January 2005. There were decreases in retail trade (down 3,000 jobs), which includes a decline of 1,100 jobs in general merchandise stores; ad-ministrative/support/waste management (down 2,000 jobs); educational/health services (down 1,200 jobs), which includes a drop of 500 jobs in health care/social assistance; natural resources/mining/construction (down 900 jobs); state government (down 800 jobs); food services/drinking places (down 700 jobs); information (down 500 jobs); and other ser-vices and truck transportation (both down 200 jobs). This was partially offset by an in-crease in durable goods manufacturing (up 900 jobs).
Revised Preliminary Net Change Industry January December January Jan. 2004 Dec. 2004
N A S H V I L L E M S A U N E M P L O Y M E N T R A T E S
(NOT SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)
2.5
2.9
3.3
3.7
4.1
4.5
4.9
5.3
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DECMONTH
RATE
2003 2004 2005
ESTIMATED NONFARM EMPLOYMENT (in thousands)
HOURS AND EARNINGS OF PRODUCTION WORKERS NASHVILLE MSA
10
Industry Jan.Jan. Dec.2004 20052004
H ourly EarningsAverage
Jan.Jan. Dec.2004 20052004
W eekly H oursAverage
Jan.Jan. Dec.2004 20052004
W eekly EarningsAverage
M a n u f a c t u r i n g D u r a b l e G o o d s M a n u f a c t u r i n g N o n d u r a b l e G o o d s M a n u f a c t u r i n g
$ 5 7 5 . 5 1$ 6 0 7 . 7 7$ 5 0 2 . 4 3
$ 5 9 4 . 0 5$ 6 3 0 . 6 0$ 5 1 4 . 7 5
$ 5 8 5 . 0 7$ 6 0 1 . 1 3$ 5 5 1 . 6 3
3 9 . 84 0 . 93 7 . 3
4 0 . 84 1 . 93 8 . 5
4 0 . 84 1 . 43 9 . 6
$ 1 4 . 4 6$ 1 4 . 8 6$ 1 3 . 4 7
$ 1 4 . 5 6$ 1 5 . 0 5$ 1 3 . 3 7
$ 1 4 . 3 4$ 1 4 . 5 2$ 1 3 . 9 3
Total nonfarm employment decreased by 15,500 jobs from December 2004 to January 2005. There were seasonal declines in retail trade (down 4,800 jobs), which includes a drop of 1,700 jobs in general merchandise stores; leisure/hospitality (down 4,100 jobs); professional/business services (down 2,100 jobs); natural resources/mining/construction (down 1,300 jobs); educational/health services (down 1,200 jobs); transportation/warehousing/utilities and local government (both down 700 jobs); and nondur-able goods manufacturing and finance/insurance (both down 400 jobs). This was partially offset by increases in state government (up 500 jobs), hospitals (up 400 jobs), and electrical equip-ment/appliance manufacturing (up 200 jobs).
Revised Preliminary Net Change Industry January December January Jan. 2004 Dec. 2004
2004 2004 2005 Jan. 2005 Jan. 2005
Clarksville MSA is Montgomery County, Stewart County, Christian County, KY, & Trigg County, KY. Cleveland MSA is Bradley & Polk Counties. Jackson MSA is Chester & Madison Counties. Johnson City MSA is Carter, Unicoi, & Washington Counties. Kingsport-Bristol MSA is Hawkins County, Sullivan County, Scott County, VA, Washington County, VA, & Bristol City, VA. Morristown MSA is Grainger, Hamblen, & Jefferson Counties.
Tennessee Department of Labor & Workforce Development Employment Security Division, Research & Statistics 11th Floor, Davy Crockett Tower 500 James Robertson Parkway Nashville, TN 37245
FIRST CLASS MAIL POSTAGE & FEES PAID BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS PERMIT NO. G-738
Department of Labor and Workforce Development, January 2005, Publi-cation Auth. No. 337383; 750 copies, in cooperation with the U.S. Depart-ment of Labor. This document was promulgated at a cost of $1.01 per copy.
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Check out The Source at www.tennessee.gov/labor-wfd/source
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T E N N E S S E E U N E M P L O Y M E N T R A T E S
(Seasonally Adjusted)
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
RATE
2003 2004 2005
Group Index Yearly MonthlyU.S. City AverageAll Items (1982-84=100) / All Urban Consumers 190.7 3.0 0.2All Items (1982-84=100) / Wage Earners & Clerical Workers 186.3 3.0 0.2SouthAll Items (1982-84=100) / All Urban Consumers 183.6 3.0 0.2All Items (1982-84=100) / Wage Earners & Clerical Workers 180.5 3.1 0.1