The Jupiter Launch System A Direct Derivative of the Space Transportation System International Space Development Conference Washington DC, May 29 th 2008
Dec 30, 2015
The Jupiter Launch SystemA Direct Derivative of the Space Transportation System
International Space Development Conference Washington DC, May 29th 2008
“The Administrator shall, to the fullest extent possible consistent with a successful development
program use the personnel, capabilities, assets, and
infrastructure of the Space Shuttle program in developing the Crew Exploration Vehicle, Crew
Launch Vehicle, and a heavy-lift launch vehicle.”
-NASA Authorization Act of 2005
DIRECT Delivers what Congress Authorized
“The best civil space policy to have been enunciated by a president in four decades or more, and the best authorization act to be approved by the Congress since the 1960s.” – Dr. Mike Griffin STS Jan. 22, 2008
DIRECT ‘is’ the Historic NASA STS Derived Approach
Step 2: Type in “National Launch System” or “Shuttle Derived” into the search box
Step 1: Go to http://ntrs.nasa.gov/search.jsp
Result: Over 190 detailed studies from 1978 to 2005 that use the DIRECT approach.True STS derived systems have three things in common
1) They Retain the STS Stack configuration2) They Reuse the 4-Segment SRB3) They Keep the STS External Tank at a 8.4m dia.
Ares-I and Ares-V do none of these three things
Shuttle-C Buzz Aldrin’sAquila
National LaunchSystem (NLS)
Mars Direct’sAres
Shuttle-B
New 5-Seg. SRB
New J-2X Engine
New Configuration
New Infrastructure
New Upper Stage
Existing 4-Seg. SRB
Existing RS-68 Engine
Existing Configuration
Existing Infrastructure
No Upper Stage
Operational Date
Bottom-line: DIRECT Closes the Gap within the Current Budget
Ares-I
STS
Jupiter-120
$9.5 Billion$14.4 Billion*
March 2016**
Total Development Cost
September 2012
*GAO Figure
DIRECT Maximizes the Space Transportation System
** March 2016 recently revealed
• Jupiter core re-uses all existing Shuttle tooling• Parallel construction of Jupiter cores and Shuttle External Tanks• Jupiter test articles at Stennis and KSC before Shuttle retirement• Jupiter Upper Stage begins production 2 years earlier than Ares-V
DIRECT Removes the Workforce “GAP” at Michoud
• The Jupiter vehicles are delivered to KSC before Shuttle retires• The First Jupiter flight occurs 2 months before last Shuttle flight• 11 Jupiter vs. 7 Ares-I flights thru 2015 – requires full workforce• The Jupiter can fly 20mT of mission payload with each crew
DIRECT Removes the Workforce & Flight “GAP” at KSC
One year slide in last 3 months
3
Man-rating of the DIRECT Engine is Five Years Ahead of Ares
GAO Assessment of the Ares-I J-2X Engine*- The J-2X is a new engine development on the critical path for ISS return- NASA is trying to do 29 rework cycles in only 7 years vs. 9 years for SSME- The J-2X has insufficient testing facilities
DIRECT uses theprovenRS-68
*GAO-08-186T April 3, 2008
Speech by Dr. Michael D. GriffinSpace Transportation Association22 January 2008
“The most obvious split involves launching two identical vehicles”
We agree 100% with Dr. Griffin that one Launch System is Superior.
“However… [this] is vastly over designed for ISS logistics.”
This is Dr. Griffin’s Single Point of Contention with DIRECT
“This method … was to be employed [for Apollo]”
“Costs are lower because of only one launch vehicle development”
“Recurring costs are amortized over a larger number of flights”
“Knowledge of system reliability is enhanced by … flight experience”
The Jupiter-120 doesn’t use an upper stage though, making this variant a close match for the ISS Crew and Logistics capabilities of Shuttle
NASA Admits the Benefits of One Launch System
It is true that two Jupiter-232, which has an upper stage, places more mass in orbit than the Ares-I + Ares-V for the Lunar mission.
Ares-I
STS
Jupiter-120
No ISS ModulesISS is Left Unfinished
=Less capable
than the Space Shuttle
more expensive than an EELV
Delivers ISS ModulesWe Can Finish ISS
=More capable
than theSpace Shuttle
and less expensive than Ares-I
The Jupiter-120 is More Capable ,available Sooner and needs Less Money
Operational Date
$9.5 Billion$14.4 Billion
March 2016
Total Development Cost
September 2012
Lunar Class Orion? Lunar Class Orion
Mission PayloadRobust ISS Logistics
No Mission PayloadNo ISS Logistic
Non-Reusable Orion Water Landing
Reusable OrionLand Landing
DIRECT is Ideally Suited for both the ISS & VSE Missions
ISSCrew
ISS Crew &Logistic
s
ISS Elements &
HubbleServicing
CrewLunar Flyby
CargoProbes
MSR etc.
Lunar& Mars
Missions
The Jupiter-120 is Easily Extensible to New Mission Types
Finish the ISS Mars Sample Return
JWST ServiceHubble Service
DIRECT Expands & Joins Manned and Unmanned Efforts
- Three Years Before the first flight of Ares-I to the ISSImagine an ‘Apollo 8’ Lunar Flyby Mission before 2013
DIRECT Enables an Apollo-8 Mission Much Sooner
“The most obvious split involves launching two identical vehicles”
“This method … was to be employed [for Apollo]”
“Knowledge of system reliability is enhanced by flight experience”
Speech by Dr. Michael D. GriffinSpace Transportation
Association22 January 2008
DIRECT Produces a More Capable Lunar Program
“Costs are lower because of only one launch vehicle development”“Recurring costs are amortized over a larger number of flights”
Speech by Dr. Michael D. GriffinSpace Transportation
Association22 January 2008
DIRECT Saves Money Now and Later
• A leaked memo from Constellation indicates that NASA began to prepare an Integrated Master Schedule (IMS) for Jupiter-120.
• These are the results of an 8-week Internal NASA Study performed in October/November 2007.
DIRECT is the Best Based on a Recent Internal NASA Study
We Agree, It is Too Late to Switch Horses Now
STS is the horse we are onNext launch is this Saturday
We Agree, It is Too Late to Switch Horses Now
STS is the horse we are onNext launch is this Saturday
The Jupiter is a Direct Derivative of STS
Same Foot Print
We Agree, It is Too Late to Switch Horses Now
STS is the horse we are onNext launch is this Saturday
The Jupiter is a Direct Derivative of STS
Ares Retains < 5%of the STS Hardware or
Infrastructure
New 10m Tank
New5-Segment
SRB
Different Foot Print
Same 8.4m Tank
Existing Reusable
4-Segment SRB
Different Upper Stages
Common Upper Stage
Al-LiDisposable
5.5-Segment
SRB
Six RS-68 Engines
Even Longer Tank
Breaking News
Same Foot Print
Summary
Dr. Griffin agrees that one launch system costs less than two launch systems
Congress directed us to leverage the STS infrastructure and workforce
ESAS Appendix 6a-f confirms our cost and performance numbers
Even now the Jupiter-120 is four years ahead of the Ares-I
Dr. Griffin agrees that one launch system is the obvious and safest approach
NASA studies done late last year confirm that DIRECT is the best approach
Ares utilizes < 5% of the STS infrastructure and < 25% workforce
Jupiter utilizes > 95% of the STS infrastructure and >75% workforce
Over 100 NASA studies over 35 years agree with the DIRECT approach
DIRECT is Safer, Simpler and Sooner
Jupiter provides new capabilities while lowering operational costs below Ares-I
DIRECT ‘is’ the NASA engineering recommendation
•Manned Missions to Mars ? No we are at least 6 Presidential and 12 Congressional cycles away
The Critical Decisions before America Now
•Manned Missions to Near Earth Object ? No we are at least 4 Presidential and 8 Congressional cycles away
•Manned Missions to the Lunar Surface ? No we are at least 2 Presidential and 4 Congressional cycles away
Ares-I/V
No
EELV/COTS
Yes
DIRECT
Yes Do we continue
United States access to the ISS ?
Do we save the United States’ second Heavy Lift system ?
No No Yes
Do we remain the leading space faring
nation ? No No Yes
We must not make A New Mistake
• Protect key STS infrastructure from destruction by Ares-I
• Perform an independent evaluation of the Jupiter-120 vs. Ares-I
• Review the recent internal NASA study endorsing Jupiter-120/232
The Key to the Next 50 Years Starts with Clear Thinking Today
Dr. Michael D. GriffinNASA Administrator August 31, 2005AIAA Space 2005 Conference & Exhibition
“From 1975-1981, between the retirement of the Apollo-Saturn system and the first flight of the Shuttle, the United States did not
have the capability to send humans into space, our country was not driving the space exploration agenda, and our aerospace workforce was decimated. We lost valuable people from the
program, people who never came back. We lost valuable skills that were relearned with difficulty, or not at all. We lost momentum. Let us learn from these experiences. Let us not repeat them. Let
us at least make a new mistake.”