The Italian Way to the Information Society Trieste – ICTP February. 28, 2001; Aldo Mariconda – IT Consultant [email protected]ICT: just a technicality or also for policy makers? E-Government Re-inventing / Re-engineering ICT and economics Globalisation Italy within the EU framework SWOT considerations
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The Italian Way to the Information Society Trieste – ICTP February. 28, 2001; Aldo Mariconda – IT Consultant [email protected] ICT: just a technicality.
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The Italian Way to the Information SocietyTrieste – ICTP February. 28, 2001; Aldo Mariconda – IT Consultant
Source: Assinform NetConsulting su Computer Industry Almanac
198%
88%
125.5%
Millions of Users – Diff. %
0,84
2,5
4,8
10,6
1997 1998 1999 2000 (prev.)
The market: Software and IDP Services
Fonte: Assinform / NetConsulting
4.900
11.190
5.300
12.376
5.880
14.070
1997 1998 1999
Software Services
8.2%10.9%
10.6%13.7%
12.9%17.676
16.0909.9%
19.950Values in Billions - % Variations 1999-1998
The Market: TLCs (1998-1999)
Source: Assinform / NetConsulting
Values in Billions - % Variations 1999-1998
38.700
1.23043.740
2.290
1998 1999
Servizi di trasporto Servizi a valore aggiunto
46.030
15.3%
39.93086%
13%
56%
44%
Infrastructures
Terminal Systems
5%
5%
38%
52%Fixed tel.
Mobile telephony Data transmission
VAS
Mobile telephony in Italy
Source: Assinform / NetConsulting
% Mobile TLC on Total TLCs Market
1998
34.6%
7.099
13.400
7.995
22.300
1998 1999
Contratti Carte prepagate
20.499
30.29547.8%
Active Users(000)
1998
39.8%1999
Digital TV1999 – Source: Intermedia Consulting
- 1.000 2.000 3.000 4.000
Europe
Italy
DTV: Market Size - Billions €
Serie1
Skilled Labour Shortage – Source: IDC
-
50.000
100.000
150.000
200.000
250.000
Demand
Offer
Difference
Demand 111.826 127.812 215.656
Offer 37.420 52.960 76.016
Difference 74.406 74.852 139.640
year 2000 year 2001 year 2002
Italy: Deregulation Jan 1st 1998
Privatising Telecom Italia
No asymmetric conditions for New Entrants
Local Loop: Telecom Italia
Existing alternative networks: railways, highways, ENEL (electricity), ENI (gas)
Strengths
State decreases its role into the economy, when selling Telecom Italia
> 100 New Entrants
Competition: lower telephone bill
Emerging New Needs: Internet,
e-commerce, etc.
> 35 Millions Mobile Phones
Weaknesses
1/1/1998: lack of policies to promote alternative networks
Cases of Unfair Competition not rapidly solved by appointed Authorities/Courts
Lack of a global policy to introduce Information Society
Difficult Start-up of DTV - regulation
Opportunities
Unbundling of the Local Loop: 2001
Blow-up of new initiatives:Cities & Towns promoting alternative
networks – Multiutilities (controlled by Municipalities, enter the business of cabling and servicing)
Treats
Low commitment of politiciansLow processes in Re-inventing Public Administration, Welfare, Decision making at Governmental level“Old Economy” still prevailing Low R & D investments: < 1% of GNP (in general, not specifically for ICT)
Skilled Labour Shortage
Treats
Low flexibility in labour regulations
Heavy tax burden
State re-enters into the TLCs business: ENEL (the State controlled Electricity company) with WIND – fixed and mobile telephony. Acquisition of INFOSTRADA from Vodafone
Sweden: a meaningful example
Anticipated TLCs deregulation: 1993
1994: Stockholm creates an alternative network – STOKAB AB
1994-95: E-Procurement
A general directive to Public Administration, at DPT level: buying from best competitors
Training, education, e-commerce, e-learning, e-working, etc.
Urban living and TLCsSource: World Bank, World Development Indicators, 2000
Countries High Income
24,430 US $
Medium Income
5,000 US $
Low Income
1,800 US $
Urban Population 1998: % of the Total
77% 65% 30%Telephone Lines x 1,000 inhabitants
567 145 35Mob. Phones x 1,000 inhabitants 265 40 8Internet users x 1,000,000 inhabitants