1 Economic Globalization: The Globalization of Trade, Production, Division of Labour, and Finance Lecture Notes by Gerry Strange, October 2014 This lecture introduces the politics and economics – or political economy – of globalization. While globalization is a difficult idea to define precisely, it is very widely used both in the social sciences and in everyday life. Many economists have no difficulty in thinking in terms of globalization because, for them, it refers first and foremost to market processes, with which they are centrally concerned, and markets have long been regarded as a universal or global factor in the way human beings interact. Political scientists often find the idea more troublesome. Politics is concerned with power, including power over market processes and outcomes. As such it is concerned with how markets can be controlled, regulated or overridden, including through centralized decision making and the power of the state. Advocates of state power like to think in terms of national sovereignty, the idea that states can act as they choose, exercising sovereignty or autonomy at least within the borders that define a given state. The idea of globalization is unsettling for such a way of thinking because it challenges its key assumptions such as ‘borders’ and ‘sovereign power’ within them. Economic globalization can be understood in general terms as the increased liberalization and openness of the IPE. It is primarily about the overcoming and also more explicit removal of political barriers, associated with nation states, to the movement of goods, services, finance, productive investment and people across national borders. Globalization is also about the acceptance of common rules and obligations between states designed to protect and ensure such free movement. Making the IPE more open and global creates greater connections and brings peoples from different states and cultures together in important ways. This creates both shared and specific opportunities and problems for states and nonstate economic actors. The desire to liberalise important dimensions of the IPE has a long history and has come from many market agents, including firms and consumers, as well as many states and governments, acting individually and/or cooperatively through international agreements and institutions. Economic globalization impacts differently on different types of market agent (e.g. differently on firms and employees) as well as differently on the same type of agents (e.g. firms and workers in different countries). But a key general aspect of economic globalization is that it affects and changes the relationship between market agents and nation states as well as between states themselves. In doing so, globalization impacts on the relative power of market and state agents. Since it involves a reconfiguration of power relations, economic globalization is therefore implicitly as well as explicitly a set of
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The Globalisation of Trade, Production, and Finance
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Economic Globalization: The Globalization of Trade, Production, Division of Labour, and Finance
Lecture Notes by Gerry Strange, October 2014
This lecture introduces the politics and economics – or political economy – of globalization. While globalization is a difficult idea to define precisely, it is very widely used both in the social sciences and in everyday life. Many economists have no difficulty in thinking in terms of globalization because, for them, it refers first and foremost to market processes, with which they are centrally concerned, and markets have long been regarded as a universal or global factor in the way human beings interact. Political scientists often find the idea more troublesome. Politics is concerned with power, including power over market processes and outcomes. As such it is concerned with how markets can be controlled, regulated or overridden, including through centralized decision making and the power of the state. Advocates of state power like to think in terms of national sovereignty, the idea that states can act as they choose, exercising sovereignty or autonomy at least within the borders that define a given state. The idea of globalization is unsettling for such a way of thinking because it challenges its key assumptions such as ‘borders’ and ‘sovereign power’ within them. Economic globalization can be understood in general terms as the increased liberalization and openness of the IPE. It is primarily about the overcoming and also more explicit removal of political barriers, associated with nation states, to the movement of goods, services, finance, productive investment and people across national borders. Globalization is also about the acceptance of common rules and obligations between states designed to protect and ensure such free movement. Making the IPE more open and global creates greater connections and brings peoples from different states and cultures together in important ways. This creates both shared and specific opportunities and problems for states and non-‐state economic actors. The desire to liberalise important dimensions of the IPE has a long history and has come from many market agents, including firms and consumers, as well as many states and governments, acting individually and/or cooperatively through international agreements and institutions. Economic globalization impacts differently on different types of market agent (e.g. differently on firms and employees) as well as differently on the same type of agents (e.g. firms and workers in different countries). But a key general aspect of economic globalization is that it affects and changes the relationship between market agents and nation states as well as between states themselves. In doing so, globalization impacts on the relative power of market and state agents. Since it involves a reconfiguration of power relations, economic globalization is therefore implicitly as well as explicitly a set of
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political processes, supported by some and opposed by others. As a set of processes globalisation brings opportunities and dangers and is contested. Economic globalization has a number of key dimensions. These include the globalization of trade, production, and finance, and the globalization of the global division of labour (see O’Brien and Williams 2010: chapters 6,7,8, 9). These are considered directly below. The lecture concludes by considering how political economists from different perspectives have evaluated globalisation. Globalized Trade Globalization of trade refers to the major liberalization and expansion of trade between states that has occurred over the past forty years. While IPE scholars argue about what has caused international trade to expand most agree that the removal of political barriers to trade (i.e. protectionist barriers such as tariffs, quotas, legal restrictions to trade, etc) has been an important factor. With the removal of these barriers, trade in general has become freer and has expanded significantly. As a result, states have become, de facto, less independent and more interdependent in the economic domain. This reinforces the globalisation of trade by making it difficult and costly for individual states to resist or reverse. Removal of trade barriers has been evident in the growing number of political agreements between states to create free trade promoting institutions. These include the GATT (1947), and the WTO (1995). They also include a variety of regional institutions (regionalism), such as the EU, NAFTA, Mercosur, and ASEAN, which include free trade agreements (FTA’s) between their members and third parties (individual states and other regions). Regional trade agreements (RTA’s) have grown markedly since the mid 1990s. There are currently over 230 RTA’s registered with the WTO which include FTA’s as part of broader forms of economic and political cooperation within regional groupings. Within the regional context, FTA’s often, but not always, form an initial part of a move towards deeper forms of economic liberalization such as customs union (CU’s) that prohibit member states from imposing tariff barriers on fellow members, while collectivizing the authority to impose trade barriers on third parties. The WTO, an international and intergovernmental organization, seeks to institutionalize/normalize free trade among its members (currently 157 states plus the EU) by establishing and enforcing agreed trade and trade related liberalizing rules among its members. (Since the WTO is principally an intergovernmental as opposed to supranational organization, it lacks ultimate authority over its members in the sense that, formally speaking, members can unilaterally choose to leave the organization). The core rules are multilateral while others are plurilateral in the first instance. The WTO also uses the principle of ‘special and differential treatment’ (S&D) as first established under the GATT in 1965, to provide some differential treatment under the rules for developing countries. In general, these special provisions are designed both to encourage developing countries to participate in
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international free trade agreements while acknowledging that specific development needs and development disadvantages might otherwise act as barriers to full participation in free and competitive international trade. In principle the enforcement of some WTO rules on some of its members may be temporarily suspended in circumstances of national emergency to protect vital industries. Likewise free trade rules which demonstrably interfere with national security can, in principle, be overridden by a member state, although this may be subject to a trade dispute and therefore the WTO’s binding trades dispute settlement procedures. Some of the WTO’s most important rules incorporate the GATT and are aimed at tariff liberalization through adherence among its members to the Most Favoured Nation (MFN) principle. This principle has its historical roots in earlier moves to liberalise trade between countries notably, the Cobden-‐Chevalier Treaty (1860) between Britain and France (which sought the reciprocal removal of tariffs between the two countries) and the US Reciprocal Trade Agreements Act (1934) which overturned the protectionist Smoot-‐Hawley Act (1930) by giving the US President the power to lower (or raise) tariffs by up to 50% on exiting levels through bilateral negotiation (Winham 2011: 141-‐2). Such negotiations were based on the MFN principle of non-‐discrimination, which is now incorporated into WTO rules. A WTO country that seeks to impose (or lower) a tariff on the goods of another WTO country has to act within WTO agreed tariff restrictions and limits and apply the same tariff to all other WTO member states, excepting the case of a regional trade agreement. More generally, the WTO is committed by its articles to extending the principle of free trade and to the lowering of trade and other protectionist barriers to economic competition between its members. Since its founding in 1995, most states have signed up to WTO membership and in this sense are committed to freeing up international trade. Likewise, states that have joined regional forms of economic cooperation or integration typically must commit to free trade within the regional grouping. The liberalization of trade globally between states builds on established free trade practices within states. But while the freeing up of international trade has been a general trend, it has not advanced evenly across international economic sectors. Most liberalization has occurred in the civilian manufacturing sectors of the economy. In 1947 average tariffs on industrial sector manufactured goods was approximately 40%. Average tariffs on manufactured goods have since fallen to lower than 4% (Winham 2011: (155). On the other hand, international trade in the agricultural sector remains heavily regulated by tariffs and other restrictions as did the textile sector before the abolition of the GATT’s Multi-‐Fibre Arrangement (MFA) in 2005. An initiative aimed partly at liberalizing the agricultural sector was launched by the WTO at its 2001 and 2003 Ministerial meetings at Doha and Cancun. But the so-‐called Doha round was indefinitely stalled in 2006 because of disagreements between developed and developing countries on agriculture and other issues.
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The liberalization of international trade has also been uneven because some sectors have yet to be fully incorporated into the jurisdiction of free trade-‐promoting bodies. For example, the oil trade (and energy sector more generally), critical to the IPE, is not currently fully subject to WTO rules and tends to be controlled by other international agreements and forms of cooperation such as those between oil producers, notably the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) formed in 1960. The exclusion of energy from international trade liberalizing agreements partly reflects the fact that historically many of the world’s major energy producers have not been members of the WTO. This has changed since Saudi Arabia (the world’s leading oil producer) joined the WTO in 2005, while Russia, another major oil producer, became a full member of the WTO in late 2012. These examples illustrate how trade liberalization, starting with the formation of the GATT in 1947 and boosted by the creation of the WTO in 1995, and subsequently the mushrooming of RTA’s and inter-‐RTA’s remains an on-‐going process of agreement and negotiation between states. It is by no means a finished (or irreversible) fact. Like other aspects of globalization, trade liberalization is a dominant but much contested process in the IPE. The advance of trade liberalization over the past three decades has come under pressure since the onset of the global financial crisis (GFC) in 2007. Beyond tariff reduction and liberalization the WTO promotes free trade by means of a variety of separate agreements around other state imposed barriers to free and competitive trade. For example international trade in financial services has been liberalized through the General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS). Transnational investment has been subject to liberalization through the WTO’s Trade Related Investment Measures rules (TRIMS). TRIMS are designed to remove what may be restrictions on foreign investment, such as local content agreements. Government procurement is also subject to competitive rules, meaning that governments cannot discriminate against foreign firms in tenders for the provision of government provided goods and services. The WTO has also sought to liberalise foreign investment through the development of a Multilateral Agreement on Investment (MAI). This aims to give foreign companies full freedom to make investments in any WTO country without discrimatory restrictions favouring local firms or peoples. Trade Related Intellectual Property Rights (TRIPS) are also subject to WTO rules. These provide agreed rules relating to the property rights of patent holders. Finally, the WTO has sought to develop rules restricting state practices designed to secure international trading advantages for their own firms, such as price subsidies for exporters, or other forms of ‘market dumping’. If a WTO member believes that its own companies are subject to ‘unfair competition’ from another WTO member, it can apply ‘counteracting measures’ subject to binding trade dispute resolution by the WTO. Finally, while the globalization of trade has been facilitated by broad multilateral free trade promoting political agreements and institutions, like the WTO, there is controversy regarding whether some associated (but formally independent) trends, especially the trend towards regionalism, may encourage or restrict trade liberalization or perhaps do both simultaneously. A key area of controversy is
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regionalism. Regional agreements in the 1990s tended to be seen as consistent with global trade liberalization because they tended to be committed to both promoting free trade internally and externally by removing internal and external political barriers to trade (so called ‘open regionalism’). Yet the more recent development of some regional projects, such as various regionalisms in Latin America, have had strongly ‘developmentalist’ and concomitantly, protectionist dimensions. For example, the Mercosur grouping in South America, resisted attempts under US leadership to extend the NAFTA to the wider Americas. The US-‐led Free Trade Area of the Americas (FTAA) project stalled in 2005 because of unified opposition from more protectionist and development orientated interests around Mercosur. Likewise Mercosur has proved a ‘stumbling bloc’ in relation to the EU’s attempt to negotiate FTA’s with important Latin trade partners, notably Brazil. Brazil, for its part, can be seen as torn between its interests in freer trade with partners such as the EU and wider ‘developmental’ and political ties with other regional and global partners, such as other Mercosur states as well as China. Wider political concerns facing developing countries in particular may limit their interest in some forms of international free trade agreements, especially those perceived to be unduly dominated by powerful developed states and their market agents within the IPE. Globalized Production Globalized production has expanded rapidly over the past forty years. It is especially associated with the globalized investment and production activities of transnational corporations (TNCs). A TNC is a firm or company operating with and owning productive assets in two or more countries. There is some differentiation in the IPE literature around the nomencaltura used to describe a TNC. Some authors prefer the term multinational corporations (MNC’s) while others prefer the term global corporations. These different definitions have emerged historically and often simply reflect the primary analytical concern of the author particularly in describing ownership patterns. For example the term multinational has been used to indicate that a given company is owned by agents from a number of different countries. The term transnational, by contrast, usually refers to the fact that the company operates production across political borders. In fact TNC’s display different country ownership patterns while MNC’s are also companies organizing and owning production assets transnantionally. Nevertheless ownership patterns remain sufficiently concentrated such that it makes sense to speak of TNC’s with strong legal and ownership ties to a specific country or region of origin, for example, US, German, European or Japanese TNC’s. This is important because it will have a significant influence on where the flows of income from FDI will go and therefore how FDI impacts on different states providing and hosting it. TNC’s have grown in both size and number. In terms of size, many of the largest TNC’s are now bigger than nation states in terms of their command over wealth. Some of the largest TNC’s (in terms of value) have their core business interests in car production and related industries and in the resources and energy industries, especially oil. Other core industries for the largest TNC’s are electronics, communications, IT and related services, and chemicals. Finance is another major
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industry for TNC’s. Some ‘conglomerate’ TNC’s (for example, Proctor and Gamble) have core interests across a variety of goods and services sectors (O’Brien and Williams 2010: 189). Other large TNCs operate primarily in the retailing sector (e.g. Wal Mart, Tesco, and Carrefour). These companies may not engage directly in production but source globally for the goods they sell. Of the biggest 50 economic entities (principally nation states and corporations) in 2009 seven were TNC’s. However, of the 100 biggest economic entities 44 were TNC’s (Keys and Malnight 2010). To put this in perspective, Wal-‐Mart, currently the biggest retailing TNC according to the Fortune Magazine ‘Top 500’ listing, had annual sales revenues of US$421 billion in 2011. This approximates to over a third of the total GDP of Sub-‐Saharan Africa and is also roughly half Australian GDP (US$992 billion in 2009). In 2009 Wal-‐Mart reportedly earned revenues exceeding the respective GDP’s of 174 countries. However, Wal-‐Mart is just one of a number of very large TNC’s commanding huge revenues (and profits). The top ten companies in the Fortune Magazine ‘Top 500’ listing all have annual sales revenues of over US$ 200 billion. Taken together, the world’s largest 44 companies in 2009 generated revenues of US$6.4 trillion, equivalent to over 11% global GDP and higher in total than the combined GDP of all but the worlds largest 40 nations (Keys and Malnight 2010). Partly reflecting the size and importance of the US economy (the world’s biggest by GDP), the majority of the largest TNC’s are American owned and based (133 in Fortune Magazine ‘Top 500’). However, this concentration has significantly declined in recent years (for example, in 2005 the US accounted for 176 of the ‘Top 500’). The EU, the largest single integrated economic space in the IPE, is home to 148 of the ‘Top 500’ TNC’s, including two co-‐owned by Britain and the Netherlands, and Belgium and the Netherlands. Japan is home to 68 of the ‘Top 500’, while Australia homes eight and China homes 61 (up from 16 in 2005). While size is an important factor in understanding the importance of TNC’s in the IPE, it is not everything. Apple, the most ‘popular’ global corporation, according to Fortune Magazine, commands relatively modest sales revenues by comparison to the ‘giant giants’ (around $65 billion, giving it a Top 500 ranking of 101 in 2011). However, the company recorded profits of $14 billion in 2011 close to Wal-‐Mart’s $16 billion and Royal Dutch Shell’s (2nd in list) $20 billion. Moving further down the list, Rio Tinto (140th) recorded profits of $14.3 billion in 2011 and Microsoft (listed 120th) $18.7 billion. More generally, size does not capture the full dynamics or importance of the growth of TNC’s. Many thousands of small to medium size companies, especially from the OECD, now undertake and seek to take advantage of ownership and production abroad as well as in their countries of origin. The United Nations Conference for Trade and Development (UNCTAD) estimates that there are now some 82,000 ‘parent’ TNC’s operating globally with an additional 800,000 affiliates (UNCTAD 2012a). These companies now dominate world trade and production. Approximately 70% of global trade is accounted for by TNC’s of which 50% is trade internal to the company. Parent TNC’s account directly for
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around 25% of global production (in terms of value added) while another 50% is undertaken by affiliates or firms to which production is outsourced by the a parent TNC. These types of connections between a parent TNC and other firms indicate the existence of complex global production networks dominated by TNC’s, which cut across the international division of labour in production. One of the main indicators of globalized production by TNC’s is the massive growth of foreign direct investment (FDI) over the past three decades. FDI is the process whereby a TNC acquires productive assets abroad, through merger and acquisition (M&A) or through new ‘greenfield’ investments abroad. These two forms of FDI have distinct historical and spatial dimensions. M&A has its roots in the early development of the capitalist firm in national contexts. For example, US firms grew from being regional entities to national corporations from the late 19th century through competitively driven merger and acquisition. Over more recent decades large nationally focused firms have merged with or acquired foreign firms to become TNC’s. M&A has been the predominant form taken by FDI in the developed world of OECD countries (Thun 2011: 347-‐8). On the other hand, most of the FDI flowing into the developing world from the OECD – which accounts for a majority of FDI inflows to the developing world – has taken the form of greenfield investment (i.e. the establishment of new production facilities and capacity). Note, also, that foreign direct investment is distinct from indirect or ‘portfolio’ foreign investment. This latter refers essentially to credit or borrowed funds raised by a company from foreign investors in return for interest, where no acquisition or ownership transfer over assets is involved. Alternatively portfolio investment might involve intermediary financial institutions, such as pension funds, buying non-‐controlling stakes in a company as part of a client’s savings or superannuation fund. Before World War One, portfolio investment (which also happens nationally) was the most important form of foreign investment and it remains an important source of financing for TNC’s and other companies. It is increasingly important for governments as well as firms and ordinary citizens seeking loans for investment or consumption spending purposes. However, it is distinct from FDI (O’Brien and Williams 2010: 186-‐7). Between 1982 and 2008 the total value of annual inward FDI flows (in 2008 prices) increased from $59 billion to $1,697 billion (or nearly $1.7 trillion) (Thun 2011: 347). After 2008 this dropped as a consequence of the global financial crisis (GFC) and the global recession. However, FDI has since recovered and in 2011 was up 16% on 2010 levels bringing total inward FDI back towards 2008 levels. It is expected to continue growing over the next three years as the world economy recovers from the GFC and TNC’s make productive use of accumulated cash reserves, which currently remain at historically high levels (UNCTAD 2012a). The sources of FDI remain concentrated in the developed economies of the OECD with US, European and Japanese TNC’s contributing the bulk of inward FDI globally. In the past the highest proportion of FDI has also been hosted by developed countries (59% of total inward FDI in 2005, for example). Of this, over 50% has been
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hosted by a handful of the largest developed economies (the US, Germany, France, UK and Japan, also the key sources of FDI). But there has been a growing trend towards inward FDI flows from the developed to the developing world, especially towards the leading BRICS economies, namely, China, India and Brazil. Taken as a whole, the broad developing world now accounts for approximately 53% of total inward FDI. Moreover, a number of developing countries have acquired significant capability in the provision of inward FDI hosted by both the developed and especially the developing world. Chinese TNC’s, for example, have been actively making large productive investments under agreements with states in Latin America Africa and the Middle East, in part to secure and stabilize future resource supply for its burgeoning manufacturing industries and product markets at home and abroad. Overall developing countries now contribute approximately 23% to the total value of inward FDI flows (UNCTAD 2012a). Through FDI, the growth of TNC’s can be seen to have impacted on global production and control over the global division of labour in a number of distinct ways. An important feature of globalized production is its hierarchical division between distinct groups of nations within a ‘global value chain’. Until relatively recently developed countries have been able to dominate the global division of labour by specializing in the production of goods at the high value added end of the value chain, especially manufacturing and more recently product design and technological innovation, often protected by patents. Developing countries with lower or less efficient capability in manufacturing have specialized in primaries production (resources, foodstuffs, etc) and product assembly which generates less value but in which they have a comparative advantage or competitive advantage relative to developed countries because of relatively cheap labour. TNC’s operate across this division and lock it in by using FDI to acquire ownership and control over all stages in the production process, a corporate strategy known as ‘vertical integration’. This may impact on the relative income flows between the developed and the developing world by further locking in an unequal structure of international specialization and comparative advantage between countries and by giving TNC’s leverage over the cost of acquiring primary inputs. On the other hand, TNC’s may use FDI as part of a market access, cost cutting and profit maximizing strategy organized around ‘horizontal’ integration. This occurs when a TNC replicates a given production stage (for example the manufacturing process) in different states around the world. This may be done in order to avoid transport costs or avoid protectionist trade barriers limiting access to local markets (e.g. Toyota in the US and Europe). But it may also enable a company to insure against cost changes in particular states and to exploit localised competitive advantages through ‘social dumping’ (e.g. in the 1990s Volkswagen took advantage of the Single European Market by opening up replicated car manufacturing plants in different parts of the EU, enabling it to lower labour and associated costs). A number of possible underlying causes for the growth of globalized production and FDI can be identified. These focus primarily on the competitive pressures faced by
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modern corporations and the benefits, in terms of accessing and securing markets, reducing production costs, avoiding punitive regulations and taxes and increasing profits, companies can enjoy by globalizing production. New communications and production technologies have also played an important role. But FDI has also been facilitated by important changes in the governance and politics of the IPE as well as important political and economic differentiations between nation states within the IPE. Newly gained accesses to different types of political system within the IPE provide profit-‐seeking firms with new opportunities. A major factor facilitating the growth of TNC’s and FDI, as with the globalization of trade, has been key transformations in the politics of economic governance that have occurred in recent decades, especially since the late 1970s. These include the active liberalization of the rules and regulations governing international investment flows, both at the national and international levels as well as the growing trend towards political and economic regionalism, including cooperative efforts between states to increase regional economic integration. At the national level, many states from the late 1970s started to systematically liberalise their national economies to the advantage of their investors and TNC’s. For example, in 1979 the UK government abolished quantitative constraints on inward and outward flows of financial and productive capital that had been associated with exchange controls imposed by previous British governments in the post-‐World War Two period. In addition the UK government liberalized industry internally, reducing taxes on company activity to encourage private enterprise and its growth and wealth producing capability, and removing subsidies and trading protections to domestic firms to encourage competitive restructuring and economic efficiency. Protected state industries such as coal, steel and cars, and public utilities, such as gas, electricity water, public transport and telecommunications, were all privatized by the Conservative administrations of Margret Thatcher and John Major (1979-‐1997). As a consequence, the UK economy (sometimes dubbed UK PLC) became increasingly dominated by British and foreign TNC ownership and production and British TNC’s themselves became a major source of (outward) FDI. The market favouring liberalization policies of the Thatcher and Reagan governments started a global trend towards market favouring neoliberal state policies (Gamble 2001). In terms of multilateral governance, a number of initiatives have sought (with mixed impacts) to further free up and consolidate cross border investment activity by seeking the liberalization of differential national rules regulating FDI flows. In 1998 the OECD proposed a Multilateral Agreement on Investment (MAI) allowing TNC’s greater freedom to invest abroad as well as greater autonomy over the terms of investment. The proposal was shelved following widespread protests by civil society groups, which led France to withdraw its support, thus preventing a necessary OECD consensus. A further attempt to introduce the proposed MAI was made at the WTO Ministerial in Seattle in 1999 but again this was defeated as a result of successful protests by civil society groups who argued that investment liberalization would damage the interests of relatively marginalized and nationally embedded developing
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world producer groups (especially independent subsistence farmers) as well as putting pressure on global wages and national labour market regulations designed to protect workers. Nevertheless, as noted earlier, the liberalization of FDI remains an important objective of the WTO and liberalizing and other FDI-‐ encouraging measures have been incorporated into key WTO agreements. These include the Agreement on Trade-‐Related Investment Measures (TRIMS) (giving TNC’s much greater autonomy over the forms taken by FDI), the Agreement of Trade Related Intellectual Property (TRIPS) (protecting TNC-‐controlled patents) and the Government Procurement Agreement (GPA) (giving TNC’s competitive access to the provision of government goods and services while restricting national governments’ ability to procure goods and services from ‘favoured’ (typically national) producers. In terms of regionalism, the EU’s single market project, which led to the signing of the Single European Act (SEA) in 1985 and the creation of a single European Market (SEM) within the EU aimed to achieve a fully open economic space combining the national economies of all the EU’s member states into a single, market-‐driven economy. This built on the abolition of internal tariff barriers (the Common Market) to ensure the free movement of goods, people and capital (financial and productive) across the EU’s internal national political borders. One of the key aims of the SEM was to open up the whole EU market and economy to the nationally owned and based firms of the EU’s individual member states. This was designed to facilitate competitive industrial restructuring, leading to the emergence of large EU TNC’s or ‘European champions’, capable of taking advantage of economies of scale and of competing in the global market against rival TNC’s from the US and Japan. The SEM particularly facilitated merger and acquisition (M&A) between European companies as a form of FDI aimed at competitive restructuring. This consolidated the size and competitiveness of the EU’s existing TNC’s and was a major cause of TNC and FDI growth overall. The consolidation of EU economic integration through the SEM’s liberalizing measures also enabled non-‐EU TNC’s to extend their production activities into the EU through EU-‐focused FDI. Such FDI ensured that non-‐EU TNC’s could remain competitive relative to their EU rivals by avoiding tariffs applied by the EU on external trading partners. It also enabled non-‐EU TNC’s to avoid competitive disadvantages associated with the costs of transporting goods for foreign trade (a more general reason why companies trading their goods internationally choose to produce globally). More recently, the EU’s embrace of ‘open regionalism’ has provided foreign TNC’s with further investment opportunities in the EU, especially through merger and takeover. Beyond the EU political agreements between states to achieve regional economic integration has become a significant feature of the contemporary IPE. As in Europe this is likely to create conditions favourable to the further growth of FDI. A final governance factor leading to FDI has been the emergence of an increasing number of bilateral and regional free trade agreements (FTA’s), which include investment liberalization agreement rules as a core component of a wider ‘trade’ agreement. For example, following the stalled negotiations around the WTO’s Doha Round as
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well as the failure of its own attempt to extend and deepen the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) around the multilateral FTAA (Free Trade Agreement of the Americas) project, the US is currently in the process of leading the consolidation of a number of existing FTA’s to which it is a partner around the Trans Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPPA). Along with Australia, the TPPA brings together countries from Pacific Asia, North America and the Latin American Pacific seaboard. This is a deep (WTO ‘plus’) free trade agreement since, unlike many FTAs, it includes strongly liberalizing measures specifically designed to facilitate FDI among its signatories while protecting intellectual property rights. While these measures are regarded as controversial by many within as well as outside the agreement (because it tends to favour specifically US FDI) many weaker nation states who are party to the agreement negotiations face pressure to sign up so as to secure or maintain relatively privileged access to the US market, one of the primary destinations for their exports of commodities, processed and semi processed foods and low end manufactured products. From International to Globalized Division of Labour A core dimension of economic globalization is the global division of labour. This has undergone considerable change over the past four decades. Up until the late 1970s the global division of labour was largely international. This was in the sense that it was characterized by a dominant pattern of specialization that locked in a hierarchical structure of comparative advantage between distinct groups of countries, especially between the developed and developing world. This division of labour corresponded to a fairly clear and integrated global production and value chain. The developed world tended to specialize in the production and trade of goods at the high value-‐added end of the production chain, dominating most aspects and sectors of manufacturing production. Developing countries, by contrast, have focused on the production of non-‐manufactured input goods, notably primaries (resources) and food stuffs, as well as low end manufactured goods such as textiles, at the low value added end of the production chain, where they have enjoyed comparative advantage through low wages. This form of the global division of labour continues to be important and has been further facilitated by the liberalization of trade and investment that has encouraged specialization based on comparative advantage and has created economic interdependency between specializing countries. However, it has also tended to create highly unequal income flows between the developed and the developing world. As noted earlier, many critics of global free trade see this global division of labour as a major source of the sustained income inequalities between the states of the global north and south, which continue to persist (see dependency theory as discussed in earlier lectures). This can be a major source of economic instability in the developing world and may lead to international conflict between the developed and the developing world because unequal interdependence has been a major cause of structural (long-‐term) trade deficits and debt (and debt dependency) for developing states. States that suffer debt as a consequence of international trade may seek instead to protect their economies while developing their own industrial
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capabilities as a substitute for import dependence and reliance on limited earnings to be gained from low value exports. On the other hand developed state trading partners may prefer such states to remain open and specialized so as to maintain export markets and ensure the supply of cheap inputs for manufacturing. TNC’s from the developed states can take advantage of this already unequal division of labour by using their financial power and established links to manufacturing producers and markets in the developed world to dominate trade, investment and production in the primary industries of the developing world states faced with few viable development alternatives. This process can displace local producers (firms and workers) in the developing world and reduce land use and resource rents for developing states (often a major source of revenue for these states). Thus, by facilitating TNC growth and freeing up their activities, globalization can reinforce developing world dependence on developed world states and their global market based agents. However, the conceptualization of the global division of labour in terms of an unequal and hierarchically organized value chain bringing together the developed and developing world as sites for geographically distinct forms of specialization in interdependent production processes, does not capture all or even the most important dimensions of contemporary globalized production. A new, more truly globalized, layer has been added to the global division of labour in recent decades. Indeed an important effect of the liberalization of trade, finance and investment has been the breaking down of a rigid hierarchy of specialization between developed and developing countries, based on comparative advantage, in favour of FDI-‐facilitated reorganizations of production based on ‘competitive advantage’. Under competitive advantage direct costs and profitability advantages, rather than access to specialized sectors of an integrated production process, becomes a key determinant of where FDI is located and the forms it takes. An early indication of this new dynamic was the rise from the 1970s of the so-‐called ‘tiger’ economies of South East Asia, notably Hong Kong, South Korea, Singapore and Taiwan. Along with Japan two decades earlier, these ‘newly industrialized economies’ (NIC’s) became a major new source of globally competitive manufacturing production and trade this time based firmly in the developing world. The process was driven less by FDI than by the ‘developmentalist’ strategies of their respective states (which included the use of protectionist and export promoting instruments). Nevertheless, the rise of the NIC’s presaged a more general, FDI-‐driven, shift of many types of manufacturing production to the developing world, thereby transforming the global division of labour that had characterized and structured the relationship between the developed and the developing world for most of the 20th century. In more recent decades the process has expanded and deepened to incorporate a large number of developing economies throughout the world as global manufacturing powers. Notably, this includes Brazil, India, China and to a lesser degree South Africa, members of the so-‐called BRICS, all characterized by their newly developed global manufacturing capabilities (Russia, the other BRICS
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economy, is excluded because its status as one of the largest global economies is based principally on resource capabilities). To take one (very important) example, since it began a state-‐led process of economic liberalization in 1979 China has emerged from a largely non-‐trading economy, based on agriculture, to be the world’s leading manufacturing economy and largest manufacturing exporter to the rest of the world (China displaced Germany in 2010 to become the leading global exporter of manufactured goods in terms of value, and displaced Japan in 2011 to become the world’s second largest economy over all). Much of this capability has been developed on the basis of inward FDI (from the US, EU and Asia), for which China is the worlds leading destination, and involves intricate integrated manufacturing networks connecting China economically (through sub-‐contracting and outsourcing of production on the basis of components trade) to other manufacturing states in South East Asia, including Japan and the tigers (see Thun 2011: 361-‐2). What is clear, then, is that it is no longer empirically accurate to characterize the global division of labour uniquely, in terms of a division separating developed countries specializing in manufacturing from developing countries specializing in primaries and foodstuffs. While it is true that many developing states (especially Sub-‐Saharan African states) do continue to specialize in primaries and foodstuffs, and have very limited manufacturing capacity, this is no longer true for the developing world as a whole, where manufacturing production has expanded exponentially, sometimes alongside primaries and food, but sometimes displacing them. Moreover, while this expansion in developing country manufacturing capability has occurred largely under conditions favourable to overall growth in global industrial output, it has also been associated with the displacement and decline of many of the older manufacturing bases in the developed world where ‘deindustrialization’ has been a significant trend globally. This is an example of how the new, more globalized, division of labour has created new opportunities for states but also new sources of tension and economic conflict between them. Globalized Finance There are two key dimensions to the global financial system. These are the international monetary and currency regime, and the broader financial system associated with direct financial capital flows and the wider provision of credit to finance investment and spending both by states and private market agents (firms and individuals) across political borders. In short, there is both an international monetary system and a more global finance and credit system. Fixed and Floating Exchange Rate Regimes The international monetary system determines the way different national currencies relate to each other. This focuses on the exchange rate, the value of a currency relative to other currencies. Very broadly, there are two possible exchange rate regimes. Under floating exchange rates market forces determine the relative value
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of currencies. A currency’s international value (the exchange rate) tends to go up when international demand for that currency is high or rising. This may be because the demand for the goods and services produced by a country is high. Likewise, if the international demand for a currency falls, the exchange rate will tend to fall. Under fixed exchange rates, by contrast, states cooperate to ensure that the relative value of their currencies remain fixed. This requires states to take appropriate actions to defend a currency’s fixed value when faced with demand and supply forces that would otherwise cause the international value of the currency to rise above or fall below the agreed fixed rate. For example, a country with a trade surplus may have to take action to expand its demand for imports, thereby increasing the demand for other currencies relative to its own. Likewise, if a country has a trade deficit, the exchange rate of its currency will tend to fall, so action must be taken to limit imports and expand exports. Whether the monetary regime is one of fixed or floating exchange rates therefore has important implications for the degree of autonomy, independence, or sovereignty, a state can exercise in relation to domestic economic policies. Under fixed rates, in particular, states automatically face a ‘balance of payments constraint’. This means that they must take action to actively maintain the agreed ‘fixed’ exchange rate of the currency, regardless of how this action impacts on domestic policy objectives. This is one reason why the classical gold standard of the 19th and early 20th century – a model example of a fixed international currency regime – created difficult problems for many nation states, especially those with trade deficits. On the one had, they agreed to the international rules of the gold standard, which facilitated world trade and output growth, and so in principle benefited all countries taken as an aggregate. On the other had, abiding to these rules meant that states with deficits faced constraints on what national policies they could pursue. For example, full employment and national wage and income growth might have to be sacrificed in order to maintain the national currency’s fixed rate. Yet states faced mounting pressure from national constituencies and interests not to sacrifice such policies. A conflict emerged for many states between their international and national commitments. Many states chose to give priority to their immediate national commitments and interests. The eventual result was the collapse of the gold standard. Since the end of the Second World War, exchange rate regimes have changed between these extremes, moving from a fixed to a floating system. Bretton Woods established, by international agreement, a heavily managed fixed exchange rate system based on gold and the US dollar. The dollar was given a fixed value against gold ($35 per ounce) while other national currencies within the system were given fixed values against the dollar (although one-‐off realignments of a currency’s value against the dollar was allowed under certain conditions and subject to agreement – an example of how the fixed system was managed). The fixed exchange rate system of the dollar-‐gold standard was designed primarily to stabilize and encourage competitive international trade, after it had collapsed during
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the inter-‐war period, thereby expanding global markets, demand and output. The fixed dollar functioned as the principal currency for conducting international trade (medium of exchange) and also as a stable reserve currency (store of value) to be used by governments for holding wealth earned from international trade and for settling trade deficits. Crucially, fixed exchange rates also prevented governments facing balance of payments deficits from using currency devaluation (exchange rate depreciation) as an international competitive adjustment mechanism. The thinking was that a country that allows its currency to devalue to gain an international competitive advantage was likely to excite protest and counter measures from other states (so-‐called beggar-‐thy-‐neighbour policies). This would tend to lead to a spiral of protectionism and trade conflict. In turn, protectionism limits the growth of international trade and therefore output and growth as export markets are closed off to companies trading internationally. In fact the dollar-‐gold fixed exchange rate system was far from insensitive to the pressures faced by deficit countries. The Bretton Woods agreement therefore combined fixed exchange rates with various measures designed to extend credit to countries faced with balance of payments difficulties. Deficit countries could borrow from the IMF, for example, enabling them to meet international payment obligations without sacrificing domestic objectives of output expansion and full employment. This was an important departure from the classical gold standard. Countries with severe long term balance of payments problems could borrow longer term investment funds from the World Bank to improve their industrial capacity and competitiveness. The US also provided investment grants or low interest rate loans to many countries to help them build capacity and reduce import dependency. Finally the Bretton Woods agreement allowed for countries to undertake one-‐off currency devaluations to improve competitiveness, while also delaying convertibility to the dollar, providing weaker countries with domestic monetary leverage while retaining their longer term commitment to the fixed exchange rate system. These mechanisms made the dollar-‐gold exchange standard a far more flexible system of fixed exchange rates than the gold standard had been during the early interwar period, before its ultimate collapse in 1931-‐3. The Move Towards Floating Exchange Rates A floating exchange rate regime emerged initially by default (rather than international agreement) between 1971-‐73. In 1971 the US government unilaterally announced that the dollar was no longer pegged to gold at a fixed rate. At the same time, the US announced that the dollar would be devalued by 10% against all currencies within the fixed system. The fixed exchange rate system was abandoned altogether in 1973 after which a de-‐facto system of floating exchange rates emerged in the absence of any agreement to formally align currency values. In turn the floating system was formalized in 1978 under an amendment to the IMF’s Articles of Agreement (Helleiner 2011: 235). Floating Exchange Rates and the Globalisation of Finance Capital
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The shift towards floating exchange rates has gone hand in hand with the liberalization of capital exchange controls. This includes the liberalization of private financial capital flows, such as credit, across borders and also the liberalization of currency exchange controls. Exchange markets in national currencies, such as the Euro-‐currency market, emerged strongly in the mid to late 1970s when the US government began to relax capital and currency exchange controls. Britain likewise abolished exchange controls in 1979 and the European Union abolished exchange controls in the EU in the 1980s in the run up to the completion of the Single European Market (SEM). An important effect of the liberalization of currency markets was to increase speculative flows of capital – often called ‘hot money’ -‐ in and out of national currencies. Generally, finance capital is attracted by relatively high interest rates and stable currency values. Where currencies are freely traded, speculation can mount against a currency if a state has a balance of payments deficit or is deliberately pursuing expansionary policies that tend to increase imports (and the trade deficit) and lower interest rates. If a state wants or needs to attract finance capital it faces pressure to keep the international value of the national currency stable. This tends to mean adjusting interest rates up. But this may mean sacrificing the use of monetary policy instruments, such as the interest rate, to achieve internal objectives, particularly growth and full employment. Thus, while in principle flexible exchange rates provide states with greater autonomy with respect to the national economy (enabling a state to allow a currency’s value to depreciate and therefore boost the international competitiveness of its exporters), this autonomy is heavily circumscribed under conditions where finance capital is globally mobile and where national currencies can be freely exchanged by investors and speculators. In addition, states with weak currencies will find it difficult and more expensive to borrow from international money markets, placing constraints on national spending programmes as it becomes difficult for the state to sell bonds issued in a weak or depreciating currency. One of the most evident indicators of this growing constraint on the state imposed by global money markets is the existence of credit rating agencies (such as Moody’s and Standard and Poor’s) that rate the sovereign bonds of different states according to the perceived risk for the investor of default or devaluation. States with relatively low debt and borrowing ratios and stable currencies are judged credit worthy and get top (‘triple A) ratings. Those states with existing debt and high borrowing needs, poor economic performance and unstable currencies receive lower rating, with bond ratings falling to ‘junk’ status in more extreme cases. Thus, despite flexible exchange rates, the globalisation of finance capital through the liberalization of international financial markets, including currency exchange markets, place considerable constraints on state autonomy in the economic domain and in relation to the national economic policies it can pursue. ‘Approaches’ Orientated Evaluations of the Meaning and Impacts of Globalization
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If it can now perhaps be agreed that economic globalization, in the form of a trend towards greater openness in respect to trade, investment and financial flows, has occurred over the last forty years and continues to evolve (although not necessarily evenly across the world or in an uninterrupted process), the impact of globalization, in relation to the relative power of states and market agents, and its more general impact on peoples’ lives, is much contested by IPE scholars (Hay 2011: 335). To some extent contestation around the idea, meaning and impacts of globalization reflects the different perspectives IPE scholars and others bring to understanding it. Liberal, Marxist and state-‐centric/mercantilist perspectives are all evident in the IPE debates about globalization, although even within particular perspectives there is considerable disagreement about globalization’s meaning and impact. These differing perspectives provide different bases for evaluating the impact of globalization on the state. This will be considered in more detail in the next lecture. For now, the broad parameters of the debate can be considered. Benign Globalizationists Many commentators, especially those committed to the notion that market openness brings general benefits (e.g. Friedman 2005; Ohmae 1990), have enthusiastically welcomed globalization. Freer markets and greater human and capital mobility has, they argue, increased world trade, output and income, while the consequential growth in global interdependency has enhanced cooperation between individuals and countries and reduced the possibility of conflict. Globalization, for Friedman (for example), not only enhances economic welfare (as measured by output) but also comes with a peace dividend. Trading nations are less likely to go to war with each other because interdependency created by globalization increases the costs and risks associated with war and serves to embed relations of cooperation. Some liberal enthusiasts have anticipated the emergence of a ‘borderless world’ where peoples’ lives are no longer divided by national identities and rivalries, built around the nation state and its power (Ohmae 1990). Globalization, such enthusiasts argue, diminishes state power, but this is to be welcomed because it increases output and innovation and enhances individual freedom and interdependency. In any case, globalization, the enthusiasts contend, has restructured more than weakened states. Globalization has witnessed the spread if not complete triumph of liberal democratic forms of the state (Fukuyama 1989). Such states are able to adjust market outcomes through redistributive institutions and policies and through macroeconomic management without unduly impairing the operation of competitive market processes on which expanding output ultimately depends. Radical Globalists Radical globalists include eclectic critical scholars, such as Susan Strange and Robert Cox, as well as many neo-‐Marxist IPE scholars, such as David Harvey, Hugo Radice and Stephen Gill. The radicals share with the benign globalists a belief that globalisation, in the form of the freeing up and spreading of market relations, has been a growing trend over the past forty years. More and more countries have
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become integrated into a global free market for goods and capital. Radicals differ, however, in emphasizing the power relations and political processes that lie behind globalisation. The radicals are critical of the benign approach because of the way it exaggerates and overemphasizes the benign and positive effects of globalisation while ignoring the unequal power relations the process of globalisation embodies and the economic polarizations and conflicts, both between states and classes, it gives rise to. Globalization, the radical globalists claim, has reduced state power but primarily in ways that enhance the freedom and power of profit-‐seeking, private transnational companies -‐ capital. This has led to a distinctly capitalist form of globalization that has served to radically increase class-‐based inequalities and exploitation iniquities that democratic state power and communist states had earlier in the 20th century done much to overcome both in the developed and developing world. By ruling out ‘progressive’ social democratic and developmental forms of state, globalization has brought capitalism, injustice and inequality back in. The freedoms enhanced by globalization have been ones that have empowered capital rather than ordinary people. The borderless world has become a reality for TNC’s, who are now free to trade and make commercial investments globally. But such freedom of movement has not generally been extended to ordinary people, who, by and large remain, ‘locked in’ by political borders as well as restrictions on migration and migrant’s rights or by a simple lack of the economic power necessary for mobility. As such ordinary people are vulnerable to heightened forms of exploitation that comes with globalization. For radical globalist, economic globalization is, at best, a profoundly contradictory process in terms of economic outcomes. The new freedoms enjoyed by TNC’s means that they can freely invest in developing countries. This is good news for them (the TNC’s), because they are able to make high profits by exploiting cheap labour available in many developing countries. Consumers in the developed world also benefit because they are now able to consume a vast array of products, which sell for much cheaper prices than before production and trade had become truly globalized. But developed countries also suffer because TNC’s shift production to the new developing world, which leads to job losses, unemployment and a significant loss of income and economic security for workers in the developed world. The world may be becoming ‘flat’ as Friedman claims. But for ordinary people, radical critics argue, this is experienced as a leveling down of incomes and conditions of employment. Radical globalists also argue that globalization has led to a leveling down of core aspects of state provided welfare and worker protection. This is because the basic economic capabilities of the liberal democratic state, particularly its powers to tax, borrow, and spend, have been greatly weakened by the changing power relationships embodied in economic globalization. Globalization Skeptics
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Many political economists have been highly critical of the concept of globalization. Some, like Hirst and Thompson (1996) argue that it has been exaggerated as an empirical phenomenon of the late 20th century. The 19th century also saw the spread of trade and interdependency on a global scale, so globalization is nothing new. Nor is globalization an ‘inevitable’, or a linear process. As skeptics point out global interdependency largely collapsed into regional autarky and war in the years between the world wars and has only recently ‘recovered’ to its 19th century levels. Given these empirical criticisms, others skeptics have argued that the ‘new’ globalization is primarily a discourse-‐based myth, rediscovered to legitimize contemporary pro-‐market ideological projects such as neoliberalism after decades in which states had displaced markets as the regulator of the production and distribution of goods and services (Hay and Watson 1999). The starting point of skeptical analysis is the assumed primacy of politics and state power above the market and associated institutions and actors. From this view, states have power and therefore autonomy over how they act and what they do (sovereignty) including power over economic resources and how they are used. The key question, for skeptics, is how states use their economic power and why. The use of power for specific purposes often reflects ideological commitments rather than economic necessity. To summarize:
-‐ Despite ‘globalization’ states in general remain powerful and some very powerful
-‐ The significance of the rise of TNC’s is exaggerated. The idea that capital can pick and choose where to locate – its geographic mobility – and therefore dictate terms to government conflicts with the fact that TNC’s remain very largely nationally and regionally ‘embedded’, most of their investments taking place in their own country or its immediate neighbours
-‐ Markets remain strongly regulated by the state. While globalization may have freed markets and market agents, ‘regionalism’, such as in the EU, has constrained the operation of market agents. For example, the EU imposes regulations such as the Common External Tariff on non-‐EU states, while the EU also imposes European standards on TNC’s, which may force them to accept European traditions of labour representation at work.
For some skeptics, the real importance of globalization is as part of a broader neoliberal ideology. Constructivist and neo-‐Gramscian IPE scholars argue that the discourse of globalization has been used as a means by which governments and elites have legitimized a move away from social democratic policies towards neoliberal ones, especially in relation to employment and welfare. For example, according to Hay and Watson, New Labour in Britain evoked ‘globalization’ to legitimize a move away from ‘Keynesian welfarism’ towards neoliberalism in the guise of the ‘third way’. Such shifts indicate, however, that the idea of globalization is important because its acceptance as a mantra among policy making elites leads to the institutionalization of material changes which may be difficult to reverse.
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Nevertheless, most globalization skeptics remain committed to the idea that the nation state remains the key actor and holder of power in the global political economy. Even where states choose to commit to regionalist projects they nevertheless tend to guard their political sovereignty in key policy domains. Many globalization skeptics are also committed to social democratic and developmental forms of the state. As such, they believe in the continued efficacy of national political economy, including forms of protectionism. For example, they often argue that states should disengage from aspects of regional integration that ‘threaten’ national sovereignty, such as cross-‐national monetary unions. Some argue that developing countries, in particular, should disengage from global governance institutions such as the WTO and the IMF and pursue independent strategies of development (Bello 2009) that prioritize the needs and give voice to the demands of local people rather than TNC’s. Global Transformationists A third approach to globalization – the trasnformationist approach – has been developed by political economists who seek to emphasize the importance of both changing economic structures and institutions and the continuing importance of political agency (Perraton et al. 1997; Held 2000). Like hyperglobalists (both liberal and radical), transformationists argue that globalization has transformed the institutional context in which political power is exercised. In particular they acknowledge that many changes have empowered markets and market agents. But governments have both contributed and responded to globalization. Just as market agents have sought to gain power by ‘going global’, so governments have become increasingly transnational – both regional and global -‐ when seeking to influence the political economy through exercising state power. This has often meant moving towards the pooling of sovereignty in many areas of economic policy and of seeking to exercise political leverage at the level of transnational economic international agreements. Such agreements may impose rules that all states have to abide by, but leverage can be exercised in order to determine the nature of such rules and agreements. Transnational governance doesn’t exist in a political vacuum, transformationists argue. For transformationists, the key point of dispute is less about globalization as such but more about how its outcomes can be influenced and changed. Globalization has the potential to transform peoples’ lives positively as liberals emphasize. But it must be effectively and more democratically governed and its logics more evenly pursued if the negative outcomes emphasized by radical hyper-‐globalists are to be mitigated or eliminated. The key point for transformationists is that globalization can and must be governed and that states must collectively play a crucial role in that process. For transformationists globalization is thus an open-‐ended and evolving process whose outcomes are indeterminate. Leaving globalization in the hands of powerful market actors and powerful pro-‐market states will not produce just or equitable outcomes for all. Equally, skeptics exaggerate the capacity of the nation state to guarantee such outcomes at the national level by actively resisting global markets.
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Transformationists tend to acknowledge that globalization, through empowering market agents, has forced policy change on government. For example, following hyperglobalists, they recognized that virtually all states have become competition states, seeking to actively attract TNC foreign direct investment. But they reject the radical claim that this has forced states to accept neoliberalism, whereby the balance of power shifts decisively in favour of capital and against workers and ordinary people. Welfare capitalism remains possible if it can be combined with international competitiveness (rather than requiring protectionism) through pursuing appropriate policies. For example, in Europe, Britain but also Sweden Germany and France, are all competition states, integrated into the global economy. But whereas in Britain this has involved a decisive shift towards neoliberalism, in Germany, France and Sweden the state’s commitment to welfare and strong labour protection remains decisive. Whereas Britain’s competitiveness has depended on deregulating labour markets and cheapening labour, in Germany competitiveness has been maintained through state commitments to labour productivity and to financing innovative forms of investment. Likewise, many German companies have been successful by developing highly specialized and high quality products, rather than focusing on low costs and prices. The competition state (a consequence of globalization) is therefore compatible with radically different ‘models’ of capitalism, and ‘modes of regulation’ some more just and equitable than others depending on the way the nation state integrates with and regulates the market. In terms of the developing world, transformationists acknowledge that globalization places constraints on state developmental strategies, forcing states to open up to markets, foreign capital and TNC’s and forcing developing states to join pro-‐market organizations like the WTO and the IMF. China is an important example of such a developing country that, under globalization, has abandoned its closed, state planned, economy. But in accepting globalization, China has not simply accepted neoliberal policies, which favour TNC’s and the exploitation of cheap labour (which China has in abundance). Rather, in line with trasnformationist thinking, the Chinese state has increasingly used its power to actively influence the nature of globalization and global governance, so that it becomes compatible with its own long-‐term development objectives. Thus, China has become a major player within the WTO and the IMF where it has sought to promote greater voice for developing countries. By influencing global governance through its leadership of developing countries within the G20 and through its constructive membership of the WTO and IMF, China has begun to shift the balance of power within globalization away from neoliberalism and the ‘Washington Consensus’ towards a more consensual and equitable form of capitalist globalization. For transformationists, this is indicative of broader possibilities for a more positive globalization, one in which states collectively commit to the global regulation and management of the market economy, just as they once sought to defend welfare and development at the national level.
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Lecture Narrative References Bello, W. (2006), ‘The Capitalist Conjuncture: Over-‐accumulation, Financial Crises, and the Retreat from Globalization’, Third World Quarterly, 27 (8), pp. 1345–67. Cerny, P (1997) ‘The Paradoxes of the Competition State: The Dynamics of Political Globalization’, Government and Opposition, 32 (2), 251-‐74. Cerny, P. (2009) ‘Globalisation and Statehood’, in, Beeson, M. and Bisley, N. (eds) Issues in 21st Century World Politics, Palgrave. Friedman, T. (2005) The World Is Flat (available on-‐line) Fukuyama, F. (1989) Have We Reached the End of History? (Rand Corporation Discussion Paper) (available on-‐line). Gamble, A. (2001) ‘Neoliberalism’, Capital and Class, No.75, 127-‐134. Garrett, G. (1995) ‘Capital Mobility, Trade and the Domestic Politics of Economic Policy’, International Organization, 49 (4) 657-‐87. Garrett, G. (1998) ‘Global Markets and National Politics: Collision Course or Virtuous Circle?’, International Organization, 52 (4), 787-‐824. Gill, S. (1995) ‘Globalization, Market Civilization and Disciplinary Neoliberalism’, Millennium: Journal of International Studies, 24 (3), 399-‐424. Gill, S. (1998) ‘European Governance and the New Constitutionalism: EMU and Alternatives to Disciplinary Neoliberalism in Europe’, New Political Economy, 3 (1), 5-‐26. Harvey, D. (2004) ‘The New Imperialism: Accumulation by Dispossession’, in Panitch, L. and Leys, C. (eds) The Socialist Register, 63-‐87. Harvey, D. (2005) A Brief History of Neoliberalism, Oxford University Press. Hay, C. (2011) ‘Globalization’s Impact on States’, in Ravenhill, J. (ed) Global Political Economy, Third edition, Oxford University Press. Hay, C. and M. Watson (1999) ‘Globalisation: Sceptical Notes on the 1999 Reith Lectures, The Political Quarterly, 70 (4), 418-‐425. Henning, C. R. (2006) ‘The exchange rate weapon and macroeconomic conflict’, in D. Andrews (ed.) International Monetary Power (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press), pp. 117–138. (available on-‐line).
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Hirst, P. and Thompson, G. (1996) Globalization in Question, Cambridge University Press. McGrew, A. (2011) ‘The Logics of Economic Globalization’, in Ravenhill, J. (ed) Global Political Economy, Third edition, Oxford University Press. Ohmae, K (1990) The Borderless World, London, Collins. Perraton, J. et al. (1997) ‘The Globalisation of Economic Activity’, New Political Economy, Vol.2, No.2. Phillips, N. (2011) ‘Globalization and Development’ in Ravenhill, J. (ed) Global Political Economy, Third edition, Oxford University Press. Radice, H. (1999) ‘Taking Globalisation Seriously’, The Socialist Register 1999 (available on-‐line). Radice, H. (2008), ‘The Developmental State under Global Neoliberalism’, Third World Quarterly, 29 (6), pp. 1153–74. Strange, G. (2011) ‘China’s Post-‐Listian Rise: Beyond Radical Globalisation Theory and the Political Economy of Neoliberal Hegemony’, New Political Economy 16(5): 539-‐559. Strange, S. (1997) ‘The Erosion of the State’, Current History, 96, November. Strange, S. (1998) ‘Globaloney?’ (Review of Hirst, P. and Thompson, G. (1996) Globalization in Question, Cambridge University Press), Review of International Political Economy, 5 (4), 704-‐11. Watson, M. and Hay, C. (2004) ‘The Discourse of Globalisation and the Logic of No Alternative: Rendering the Contingent Necessary in the Political Economy of New Labour’, Policy and Politics, 30 (4) (available on-‐line). Weiss, L. (1997) ‘Globalization and the Myth of the Powerless State’, New Left Review, 1/225, September-‐October. Weiss, L. (2003) ‘States in the Global Economy: Bringing Domestic Institutions Back In’, Cambridge University Press (available on-‐line).