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The General LISREL MODEL Ulf H. Olsson Professor of Statistics
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Page 1: The General LISREL MODEL Ulf H. Olsson Professor of Statistics.

The General LISREL MODEL

Ulf H. Olsson

Professor of Statistics

Page 2: The General LISREL MODEL Ulf H. Olsson Professor of Statistics.

Ulf H. Olsson

Making Numbers

1131211 SavingsLoanBranchonSatisfacti

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Loyalty

Branch

Loan

Savings

Satisfaction

Page 3: The General LISREL MODEL Ulf H. Olsson Professor of Statistics.

Ulf H. Olsson

Making Numbers-Econometric Model

2

1

3

2

1

232221

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2

1

2221

1211

2

1

Page 4: The General LISREL MODEL Ulf H. Olsson Professor of Statistics.

Ulf H. Olsson

Making Numbers-Psychometric Model

5

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51

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11

5

4

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2

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0

0

0

0

0

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y

y

y

y

Page 5: The General LISREL MODEL Ulf H. Olsson Professor of Statistics.

Ulf H. Olsson

Making Numbers-Psychometric Model

9

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7

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4

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93

83

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x

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Page 6: The General LISREL MODEL Ulf H. Olsson Professor of Statistics.

Ulf H. Olsson

Parameter Function

'')'('

')(')')('()()( 1

111

xxyx

xyyy

BI

BIBIBI

Page 7: The General LISREL MODEL Ulf H. Olsson Professor of Statistics.

Ulf H. Olsson

Making Numbers

))(())'(( 1 sUs

S: sample covariance

θ: parameter vector

σ(θ): model implied covariance

Page 8: The General LISREL MODEL Ulf H. Olsson Professor of Statistics.

Ulf H. Olsson

Making Numbers

1, ghijOLSU

Page 9: The General LISREL MODEL Ulf H. Olsson Professor of Statistics.

Ulf H. Olsson

Making Numbers

ghijghijGLS ssU ,

Page 10: The General LISREL MODEL Ulf H. Olsson Professor of Statistics.

Ulf H. Olsson

Making Numbers

ghijijghghijADF sssU ,

Page 11: The General LISREL MODEL Ulf H. Olsson Professor of Statistics.

Ulf H. Olsson

Making Numbers

ghijghijMLU

,

Page 12: The General LISREL MODEL Ulf H. Olsson Professor of Statistics.

Ulf H. Olsson

Making Numbers

MLADFGLSOLS UUUU

MLADFGLSOLS

Generally

Page 13: The General LISREL MODEL Ulf H. Olsson Professor of Statistics.

Ulf H. Olsson

Making Significance

))(())'(()),(,( 1 sUssT

stochasticT

"_

__")1(

squarechicentralnon

allyasymptoticisTN

Page 14: The General LISREL MODEL Ulf H. Olsson Professor of Statistics.

Ulf H. Olsson

Making Numbers

1131211 SavingsLoanBranchonSatisfacti

221 onSatisfactiLoyalty

Loyalty

Branch

Loan

Savings

Satisfaction

0.330.330.460.290.170.35 0.80

0.800.830.860.830.84

0.400.390.330.440.370.37

0.260.230.210.280.230.23

•Chi-sq.•1769.36• 925.78•1731.09• 839.83• 518.94• 582.91• df=182

Page 15: The General LISREL MODEL Ulf H. Olsson Professor of Statistics.

Ulf H. Olsson

Multivariate Normal Distribution

zzzf p 12/12/ '

2

1exp)2()(

Page 16: The General LISREL MODEL Ulf H. Olsson Professor of Statistics.

Ulf H. Olsson

The Maximum Likelihood Estimator

tSStrTML log)()(log 1

Page 17: The General LISREL MODEL Ulf H. Olsson Professor of Statistics.

Ulf H. Olsson

Making Significance

TN )1(

0; correctly specified

K ; misspecified

4s

Page 18: The General LISREL MODEL Ulf H. Olsson Professor of Statistics.

Ulf H. Olsson

Making Significance (Sense)

..........,....)(,........,)(,)(,)(321 iNNNN

123 ,,..,,.............,,........)(

iN

)( 2

1

nO

Page 19: The General LISREL MODEL Ulf H. Olsson Professor of Statistics.

Ulf H. Olsson

Making Sense

If the model is correctly specified,different estimators shouldhave similar values asymptotically(White, 1994)

If the different estimators do not have similar values asymptotically, the model is misspecified

<=>

1) Use at least two estimators 1 and 2; if they differ the model is misspecified;

2) Across-method variability can be used to assess what parts of the model, if any,are close to the true model??

Page 20: The General LISREL MODEL Ulf H. Olsson Professor of Statistics.

Ulf H. Olsson

Making Sense

A strong theory will give precise predictions!

Page 21: The General LISREL MODEL Ulf H. Olsson Professor of Statistics.

Ulf H. Olsson

Making sense is more important than making numbers, it is even more

important than making significance

?

Page 22: The General LISREL MODEL Ulf H. Olsson Professor of Statistics.

Ulf H. Olsson

Assignment

• 1) Evaluate the nine-psychological test model• 2) Estimate EX32A.Ls8• 3) Estimate Ex32B.ls8• 4) Estimate Ex56.Ls8