The Future World - Sasha Kazantseva

The Future Trends

Sasha Kazantseva

@startupsasha

[email protected]

Hole in the wall project

TECHNOLOGY is

everywhere and has

been propelling

humanity

Basic Domestic and hunting tools

10,000 BC – Agriculture, domestic animals plants

1450s- Printing press

1750 -1850 -First Industrial Revolution

1850 – 1920 – Second Industrial Revolution

Developments from First, Second and Cold Wars

1970s - PCs

1990s - Internet

2010 – Internet of Things

2010 – Third Industrial Revolution –

democratisation of tools of production – 3D

printing, local manufacturing

What is different now is

the SPEED of

development

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moore%27s_law

We are not great at

predicting what will

happen –Transport yourself back to 1999 and think whether you could

have ever predicted Google, Facebook, social media, sudden

toppling of autocratic governments, electric self-driving cars,

automatic drones, domestic robots - smartphones that allow

us to manage our lives from anywhere?

Project Loon

by Google

– balloon-

powered

internet

http://www.google.com/loon/

Telegraph.co.uk

Artificial Intelligence & Robotics

Nanotechnology & 3D Printing

Synthetic Biology

Energy & Environmental Systems

Medicine & Neuroscience

Networks & Computing Systems

Space & Physical Sciences

Core technology tracks at Singularity University

Future predictions in

1999

Ray Kurzweilhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictions_made_by_Ray_Kurzweil#The_Age_of_Spiritual_Machines_.281999.29

• Most books will be read on screens rather than paper.

• Personal worn computers provide monitoring of body functions, automated identity

and directions for navigation.

• Cables are disappearing. Computer peripheries use wireless communication.

• People can talk to their computer to give commands (e.g. Siri)

• Computer displays built into eyeglasses for augmented reality are used. (Google

Glass)

• Computers can recognize their owner's face from a picture or video.

• Research has been initiated on reverse engineering the brain through both destructive

and non-invasive scans.

• Intelligent roads and driverless cars will be in use, mostly on highways.

• People use personal computers the size of rings, pins, credit cards and books.

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9http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictions_made_by_Ray_Kurzweil#The_Age_of_Spiritual_Machines_.281999.29

• Thin, lightweight, handheld displays with very high resolutions are the preferred means for

viewing documents..

• Computers have made paper books and documents almost completely obsolete.

• Most learning is accomplished through intelligent, adaptive online courseware presented by

computer-simulated teachers. In the learning process, human adults fill the counselor and

mentor roles instead of being academic instructors.

• Most human workers spend the majority of their time acquiring new skills and knowledge.

• Blind people wear special glasses that interpret the real world for them through speech.

Sighted people also use these glasses to amplify their own abilities.

• Language translating machines are of much higher quality, and are routinely used in

conversations.

• Access to the Internet is completely wireless and provided by wearable or implanted

computers.

• Devices that deliver sensations to the skin surface of their users (i.e.--tight body suits and

gloves) are also sometimes used in virtual reality to complete the experience - "Virtual sex”.

• The vast majority of business interactions occur between humans and simulated retailers, or

between a human's virtual personal assistant and a simulated retailer.

• Household robots are ubiquitous and reliable.

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9http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictions_made_by_Ray_Kurzweil#The_Age_of_Spiritual_Machines_.281999.29

• Computers are embedded everywhere in the environment (inside of furniture, jewelry, walls,

clothing, etc.).

• People experience 3-D virtual reality through glasses and contact lenses that beam images

directly to their retinas

• Cables connecting computers and peripherals have almost completely disappeared.

• Destructive scans of the brain and noninvasive brain scans have allowed scientists to

understand the brain much better..

• Computers do most of the vehicle driving—-humans are in fact prohibited from driving on

highways unassisted.

• Furthermore, when humans do take over the wheel, the onboard computer system constantly

monitors their actions and takes control whenever the human drives recklessly. As a result, there

are very few transportation accidents.

• Prototype personal flying vehicles using microflaps exist. They are also primarily computer-

controlled.

• Human-robot relationships begin as simulated personalities become more convincing.

• Virtual artists—creative computers capable of making their own art and music—emerge in all

fields of the arts.

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9http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictions_made_by_Ray_Kurzweil#The_Age_of_Spiritual_Machines_.281999.29

• A $1,000 personal computer is 1,000 times more powerful than the human brain.

• The vast majority of computation is done by computers and not by human brains.

• The eyeglasses and headphones that used to deliver virtual reality are now obsolete thanks to

computer implants that go into the eyes and ears. The implants are either permanent or removable.

They allow direct interface with computers, communications and Internet-based applications.

• Computer implants designed for direct connection to the brain are also available. They are capable

of augmenting natural senses and of enhancing higher brain functions like memory & overall

intelligence.

• Computers are now capable of learning and creating new knowledge entirely on their own and with

no human help. By scanning the enormous content of the Internet, some computers "know" literally

everything (every scientific discovery, book and movie, public statement, etc.) generated by human

beings.

• Direct brain implants allow users to enter full-immersion virtual reality—with complete sensory

stimulation—without any external equipment. People can have their minds in a totally different place

at any moment.

• The manufacturing, agricultural and transportation sectors of the economy are almost entirely

automated and employ very few humans. Across the world, poverty, war and disease are almost

nonexistent thanks to technology alleviating want.

• The rise of Artificial Intelligence creates a real "robot rights" movement, and there is open, public

debate over what sorts of civil rights and legal protections machines should have. The existence of

humans with heavy levels of cybernetic augmentation and of larger numbers of other people with

less extreme cybernetic implants lead to further arguments over what constitutes a "human being.”

• Artificial Intelligences claim to be conscious and openly petition for recognition of the fact. Most

people admit and accept this new truth.

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Computational capacity

From a Ted talk by Peter Diamandis

What

does it mean

for US?

Your job

will not

exist in

10 years

time.

What you know will be

outdated by 2020

New industries will be

created requiring new

skills

The future

demographics gap and

skills mismatch

https://www.ted.com/talks/rainer_strack_the_surprising_workforce_crisis_of_2030_and_how_to

_start_solving_it_now

https://www.ted.com/talks/rainer_strack_the_surprising_workforce_crisis_of_2030_and_how_to

_start_solving_it_now

9-5, 5 day a week jobs

will cease to exist and

move into flexible and

remote working

arrangements

Onset of “Me Limited” -

one-wo/man

businesses.

Separation between

work and life will blur

and disappear

completely

WORK = LIFE

We will develop a

portfolio career

Houses will cease to be

our main investment –

investment in yourself

will be the most

important investment

you can make

Open-source world –

reduction of IP

protection, working

together to survive in a

hugely complex world

Increasingly intelligent

robots will keep

automating low and

medium skilled jobs.

Biggest IP = creativity,

innovation

Quality of life will

continue to increase

while the cost to

decrease - billions of

people will be lifted out

of poverty – freeing

more time to work on

innovation

We will live till 100

years

The Maker Movement

(Thirds Industrial

Revolution) will disrupt

how we produce and

supply everything

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vx0Z6LplaMU

V

U

C

A

Volatile

Uncertain

Ambiguous

Complex

W

O

R

L

D

How do I live in a

VUCA world?

Taking care of myself –

exercise, healthy food,

sleep, water

Reading35 books in 2014

(thanks for my Kindle purchase!)

My favourite books in

2014:1. The Startup of You – Ben Hoffman, founder Linkedin

2. Daring greatly: How the Courage to be Vulnerable transforms the way

we live, love, parent and lead – Brene Brown

3. The Maker Movement Manifesto - Mark Hatch, Techshop

4. ReWork: Change the way you work forever – Jason Fried, David

Heinemeier

5. Delivering Happiness – Tony Hsieh, Zappos

6. The Spiritual Machine – Ray Kurzweil

7. The Anatomy of Peace: How to Resolve the Heart of Conflict –

Arbinger Institute

8. Quiet: The Power of Introverts in a world that cannot stop talking –

Susan Cain

9. Playful Parenting - Lawrence Cohen

Constantly Learn –Online courses, coaching,

conferences, workshops, online

tutorials, asking for help

Write

www.startupme.co

Constantly experimentStartups, funding startups, projects,

helping others

Startup

24 Innovation bootcamp for companies and individuals in 24 hours.

20/21st March 2015 – first open bootcamp in

Guernsey www.startupme.co/startup24/

Digital

Express

WorkshopA coaching experience to get

you comfortable with

technology and ignite

continuous learning

April – May 2015