The Future of Irrigation District Management Big data, analytics and business intelligence at Murrumbidgee Irrigation Peter Brew, Adasa Chris Smith, Murrumbidgee Irrigation A. Prof John Hornbuckle, Deakin University
The Future of Irrigation District Management
Big data, analytics and business intelligence at Murrumbidgee Irrigation
Peter Brew, AdasaChris Smith, Murrumbidgee IrrigationA. Prof John Hornbuckle, Deakin University
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Megatrends for Rural Water Businesses
Whole-of-life costs
A megatrend is a deep-set trajectory of change that … happens over a 5-20 year time period.
Megatrends develop gradually but eventually reshape the business environment.
Tomorrow’s Digitally Enabled Workforce, CSIRO, 2016.
Water availability
Customer expectations
Digitisation and technology
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1 EB = 10006bytes = 1018bytes = 1000000000000000000B = 1000 petabytes = 1million terabytes = 1billion gigabytes.
Source: The Digital Universe of Opportunities: Rich Data and the Increasing Value of the Internet of Things, IDC 2014
Big Data: the “Digital Universe” is Growing at 40% a Year
Source: Digital Agriculture: Improving Profitability, Accenture report, 2015.
Source: Using predictive weather analytics to feed future generations, IBM Research.
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Data is Giving Rise to what is Now Being Called Precision Agriculture
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From little data big data grow, Australian Farm Institute, 2015.
Setup at the 2012 G-8 Summit.
Soil, Big Data and the Future of Agriculture, 2015.
Open API standards for farmers cloud data.
Government, Inter-Government, Research
NFF is Harnessing Data into a Digital Agriculture Service
“The Digital Agriculture Service in partnership with Accenture will turn vast quantities of data into high performance farm management – generating higher yields while lowering input costs.”
“For the first time, farmers now have the opportunity to harness major innovation trends to supercharge their productivity and efficiency.
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A Digital View of Tasmania is Being Created
Sense-T is linking existing sensor networks that monitor environmental conditions across Tasmania, such as those owned by government departments, energy and water utilities and businesses.
Building an economy-wide sensor network and data resource, creating a digital view of Tasmania and giving industry, governments and communities the tools to solve practical problems and make better decisions.
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Water Business Initiatives Here and Overseas
Victorian Water Association in partnership with all 17 Victorian water corporations has developed an Information, Analytics and Real-time System Optimisation Program.
Water NSW is managing the Murrumbidgee River better using models in a project called CARM.
The US Department of Agriculture with the Flint River Partnership in Georgia has developed new weather analytics capabilities based on big data tools and information from sensors to generate highly localised weather forecasts for farmers.
The Irrigation District of Aragon and Catalunya in Spain is using Landsat images to predict demand.
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Rural Water Businesses Strategies are Starting to Respond
• “Greater use of … technology to support customer service functions.”
• “[we will] operate as a high-performing organisation …”
• “Underpinning our strategy is our focus on creating a high performance culture and leveraging smarter and innovative technology.”
• “We [will] … apply technology as an enabler of business efficiency.”
• “Build the capability and culture of our people into a more highly skilled, professional, customer focused and efficient organisation.”
• “Ensure decision making is based on facts and data, not emotion.”
• … improve water delivery efficiency, through use of system modelling tools and remote monitoring and control of critical infrastructure …
• “Identify opportunities to innovate how we work so we are more effective and efficient.”
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Internet of Things (IoT)
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A Breathtaking Pace of Growth
Of 187 billion connected things in 2013, the number of sensors was 50 billion.
Data just from the sensors accounted for 2% of the digital universe in 2013 and will rise to 10% by 2020.
Source: The Digital Universe of Opportunities: Rich Data and the Increasing Value of the Internet of Things, IDC 2014
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How Much Data Do You Collect?
500 X
1 minute
4kb
8 months
1.3Gb
500 gates
660Gb
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How Much Data Do You Collect?
Storage levels
Meter readings
Water quality
Aquifers
Catchment flows
Rainfall & ET0
Flood indicators
Orders
Trades
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Rural Water Businesses Spend a lot of Money Collecting Data but almost Nothing on Analysing it
IDC estimates that in 2013 less than 5% of data in the digital universe was actually analysed. S
ource: IDC
2014
Source: The value of Big Data: How analytics differentiates winners, Bain & Company, 2014.
Bain & Company found that in a survey only 4% of companies said they had the right people, tools, data and intent to draw meaningful insights from data and to act on them.
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Data Growth is a Business Opportunity
Michael Dell (2015): “If you look at companies today, most of them are not very good at using the data they have to make better decisions in real time.”
“I think this is where the next trillion dollars comes from for our customers and for our industry.”
Bill Gates said in his book, Business @ The Speed of Thought, “The most meaningful way to differentiate your company is to do an outstanding job with information.”
“How you gather, manage, and use information will determine whether you will win or lose.”
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Data Can Address the Megatrends Facing Rural Water Businesses
“The ability to analyse data from IoT devices will reveal many opportunities to improve the overall efficiency of water management and to improve the allocation of constrained water resources.”
“Aging infrastructure, deferred maintenance and delayed capital projects threaten the overall integrity of water systems and increase the need for analytics to allocate scarce capital.“
Source: Market Trends: Can IoT and Smart Water Management Technologies Solve the Emerging Water Crisis, Gartner, 2014.
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An Opportunity to Increase Productivity and Profitability
Harvard Business Review reported in 2012 that:
“companies in the top third of their industry in the use of data-driven decision making were, on average, 5% more productive and 6% more profitable than their competitors.”
Cisco says that if “crude” data can be extracted, refined and piped to where it can impact decisions in real-time, it’s value with soar.
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How is Murrumbidgee is Benefiting from Data, Analytics and Business Intelligence
Better, Smarter
Decisions
Set targets for business drivers and track them in
real time and against rich
historical data.
Make data driven decisions on
operations and investments.
Predictive Maintenance
Reduce maintenance costs by targeting poorly
performing channels for remediation.
Monitor outlet battery condition to
avoid customer outages.
Forecast Demand
Manage water more efficiently & improve customer service by using all
data available.
Global Visibility
Get a single view of operations in
real time, including data from different vendors, hidden in spread sheets or
locked up in archives.
Scenario Analysis
Assess water trading requests.
Examine the impact of scheme
modification including assets.
Identify historical patterns such as last flood or dry
year.
Increased Water
Identify excess capacity in channels.
Exploit excess river flows or rainfall.
Optimise storage capacity.
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Global Visibility
A single integrated view of operations in real time, including data from different vendors, data hidden in spread sheets or locked up in archives.
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Before: Spread Sheet Daily Snapshot
Data aggregated manually (costly), once a day (not up to date), but difficult to read and interpret (no history and problems may be missed).
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Better, Smarter Decisions
Set targets for KPIs that drive your business drivers and track them in real time.
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Better, Smarter Decisions
Set targets for KPIs that drive your business drivers and track them in real time.
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Better, Smarter Decisions
Make data driven decisions on operations and investments.
Channel flow volume entering
each section (spur)
Escape losses
Monthly losses and orders per
division
Water balances
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Forecast Demand
Manage water more efficiently by integrating all data available into models that predict demand.
Landsat images
BoM ET0 forecast
IrriSAT
Water orders (IPM)
BoM rainfall actual and forecast
Soil map
7 day demand curve
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Scenario Analysis
Identify historical patterns or impacts of historical conditions similar to current flood or dry year or averages.
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Examine the impact of scheme modification including assets.
1. Change asset (eg modify a regulator size or operating level,
increase the size of an outlet, add balancing storage)
2. Run simulator
3. Assess behaviour
4. Share output with another
user.
Scenario Analysis
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Increased Water for Farmers
Identify excess capacity or delivery constraints in channels.
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Optimised Water Storage
Optimise storage capacity with real time information and models of rainfall runoff and evaporation.
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Personalised Customer Service
Improve customer service with personalised forecasts.
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Predictive Maintenance
Reduce maintenance costs & avoid delivery problems by tracking channel performance and targeting remediation.
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 201570%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
Bombora Channel EfficiencyReliabilityStabilityOntime
All 2015 values are within acceptable ranges
But the trend of Delivery Reliability and Channel
Stability indicate a problem is building
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The Future of Irrigation District Management
One of the four megatrends reshaping rural water businesses is increasing digitisation and the growth of data.
“I was able to perform tasks in 4 seconds that we used to take up to 3 months.”Noel HeathOperations ManagerMurrumbidgee Irrigation
Better, Smarter Decisions
Forecast Demand
.
Global Visibility
Scenario Analysis
Increased Water
Murrumbidgee Irrigation today is using data to:
Predictive Maintenance
Personalised Customer Service
Advanced analytics are making possible:
Better capture, storage and analysis of data is an opportunity
to be more efficient, make better decisions, reduce costs and respond to increasing customer demands.
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