The economic cost of population growth Roger Martin Chair, Population Matters
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The economic cost ofpopulation growth
Roger MartinChair, Population Matters
Population GDP Investment
Damming rivers Water use Fertiliser use
Urban population Paper use McDonalds
Motor vehicles Telephones Tourism
The AnthropocenePeak Everything?
Peak Oil
Peak Phosphate
Post-Peak Soil
Peak Antibiotic
Post-Peak Water
Peak Population….?
Cities over 1 million
1800: 3 (London, Beijing, Tokyo)
1900: 16 (Paris, Berlin, New York etc)
2000: 442
www.skil.org
Lagos II
8
UK population
10
0
22.5
45
67.5
90
59.8
86
59.8
67
6 6.5
16.3
27.5
41.6
50
59.8
Actual Low Estimate - 67m High Estimate - 86m
Population
in
Millions
0
22.5
45
67.5
90
1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050
59.8
86
59.8
67
6 6.5
16.3
27.5
41.6
50
59.8
Actual Low Estimate - 67m High Estimate - 86m
T i m e l i n e
Population
in
Millions
U K P o p u l a t i o n
Quality of life - housing
12
Population and Emissions Growth
Global greenhouse gas emissions,as estimated by the IPCC, andglobal population estimated bythe United Nations Population
Division, since 1970.
Stable or reducing populationsare an essential (but far fromsufficient) condition for anybio-physically sustainablesociety or economy.
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