The disruptive rippling effect of technology

Ali Anani, PhD

The Disruptive RipplingEffect of Technology

Technology is disrupting everything and creatinga new balance between:

MORE is Less &

More is More

More is less The sweet spot More is more

Not only that the rippling effect is directly transferred

to other sectors

The best approach is starting by An

example

The anticipated disruptive effect of

driverless cars

It is estimated that by 2040 over 75% of the vehicles on US streets shall be autonomous or driverless. In August 2012, Google announced that its driverless cars had made it across 300,000 accident-free miles and weathered various traffic conditions

http://www.mapsofworld.com/poll/are-self-driving-cars-safe-infographic-text.html

Less accidents<less car insurance<employees in the insurance sector>less car shops< again less employees< less car selling< less car dealers< again less employees< car valet < less employees and so on.

For example, says Egil Juliussen, principal analyst for infotainment and ADAS at IHS Automotive in Chicago, more than 90 percent of traffic accidents are caused by human error, and in 2010, traffic accidents in the U.S. cost more than $300 billion, up from more than $230 billion in 2000. Moreover, Juliussen notes, this cost increase has occurred even as accident rates in the U.S. have been falling.http://www.ce.org/i3/Features/2014/January-February/Driverless-Cars-on-the-Rise.aspx

Less accidents< fines< less government fines< less need for traffic police< again less employment

According to a 2011 Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) survey, over 4 million adults in the US drink and drive each year. Self driving cars promise to minimize accidents by eliminating the need for human control

The opposite is expected in the parts of cars manufacturing using

3D printing

More driverless cars> need for radar sensors, roof sensors, cameras and software> more need for highly skilled staff

Over 81% of all road traffic accidents can be avoided by the efficient use of vehicular communication systems such as networks that share traffic information with all vehicles

A disruptive innovation is an innovation that helps create a new market and value network, and eventually disrupts an existing market and value network (over a few years or decades), displacing an earlier technology.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disruptive_innovation

An interesting report on the impact of 3D printing and its possible disruptions is:

report: 12 disruptive technologies by 2025, 3D printing included.

http://www.3ders.org/articles/20130529-mckinsey-report-12-disruptive-technologies-by-2025-3d-printing-included.html

A condensed View of the Possible Disruption of Driverless Cars

I suggest to coin the Disruptive Blue Ocean

Strategy

So much eliminations and reductions are expected withthe simultaneity of creating many new products and processes

When eliminations, reductions and creations taking place simultaneously they reach a trippling point where disruption occurs

How many disruptionswouldfollow?