1 Darmawan Prasodjo, PhD Chairman of the Board, Petronomist.com President Commissioner, Ametis Energi Nusantara Ekonom Energi, DPP PDI-Perjuangan Pertamina Energy Outlook 2015 [email protected]
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1
Darmawan Prasodjo, PhD Chairman of the Board, Petronomist.com
President Commissioner, Ametis Energi Nusantara
Ekonom Energi, DPP PDI-Perjuangan
Pertamina Energy Outlook 2015
2 BB 7562BC1C
3
The Number of Motor Vehicles
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10
20
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60
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80
90
Juta
Sepeda Motor
Truk
Bis
Mobil Penumpang
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Who are we? (in term of oil and gas power)
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Outline
Climate Change and Its Policy Implications
Biofuel as a Solution
Masalah Tata Kelola
Conclusion
6
Surface Temperature Increase
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Sources of Greenhouse Gases
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Emission and Emission Per Capita
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Em
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on
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r ca
pit
a (
ton
s p
er
cap
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)
Em
issi
on
(g
iga
ton
s/ye
ar)
Emission and Emission Per Capita
Annual Emission
Emission Per Capita
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Renewable Energy
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The Challenge of Renewable Energy: Cost
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800
1000
1200
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Em
issi
on
g/K
WH
Co
st C
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ts/K
WH
Cost and Emission of Different Energy Sources
Cost
Emission
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Coal Consumption in the US and China
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Renewable Energy In China
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Environmental Treaties
Kyoto Protocol – 1997
Washington Declaration – 2007
33rd G8 Summit, Germany – 2007
Vienna Climate Change Talks, Vienna – 2007
UN Climate Change Conference, Bali– 2007
UN Climate Change Conference, Poland – 2008
UN Secretary General Summit on CC – 2009
UN Climate Change Conference, Copenhagen - 2009
UN Climate Change Conference, Cancun - 2010
Durban, South Africa – 2011
UN Climate Change Conference, Warsaw 2013
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Indonesian Policy Implication?
What kind of Climate Change Policy Indonesia
should formulate?
Answer: Serving its national interest
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Outline
Climate Change and Its Policy Implications
Biofuel as a Solution
Masalah Tata Kelola
Conclusion
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Energy Security
Foreign v.s Domestic
Abundant Cheap
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Foreign Based v.s Domestic Based
Import Low energy security Domestic High energy security
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Biofuel Products
Bioethanol Gasoline
Substitute
Bio-oil or Pure
Plantation Oil
Kerosene & Fuel Oil
Substitute
Biodiesel Diesel Fuel Substitute
18 Copyright © 2013 Ametis Institute
19
Biofuels Production (1,000 BPD) Source: EIA
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Biofuel Feed stocks
PURE PLANTATION OIL BIODIESEL
• Palm Oil
• Jatropha Curcas
• Kemiri Sunan
BIOETHANOL
• Cassava
• Sugar Cane
• Bagasse
• Miscanthus
• Corn
• Etc.
20 Copyright © 2013 Ametis Institute
21 Copyright © 2013 Ametis Institute p21
Palm Oil Utilization: 2012
Source: USDA, Recalculated
22 Copyright © 2013 Ametis Institute p22
Biodiesel Yield per Hectare from Selected Crops
Source: Lester Brown: Plan B 2.0 Rescuing a Planet under Stress and a Civilization in Trouble, 2006; P.34
23 Copyright © 2013 Ametis Institute p23
Why Palm Oil?
Abundance
Generate most fuel yield among potential feed stocks
Expected production cost of Palm Oil decreases the most
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Climate Change and Energy Policy
To serve our own national interest
To improve energy security
To accelerate growth, to create jobs, eradicate poverty
To take care the environment
25
Outline
Climate Change and Its Policy Implications
Biofuel as a Solution
Masalah Tata Kelola
Conclusion
26
Tiga Aspek Dalam Tata Kelola
Policy
Regulatory
Business
27
Outline
Climate Change Challenge and Its Implications
Biofuel as a Solution
Masalah Tata Kelolaution
Conclusion
28
KESIMPULAN
Lihat Kembali Kebijakan Climate Change (Redifine):
To serve our own national interest
Biofuel Development:
To improve energy security
Biofuel Development:
To accelerate growth, to create jobs, eradicate poverty
Biofuel Development:
To take care the environment
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