Will it work Walking through the process of evaluating an idea for feasibility
Apr 24, 2015
Will it workWalking through the process of evaluating an idea for feasibility
Hi, I’m Stewart Youngblood
• Program Director Tech Wildcatters
• B2B Forbes Top 10 seed accelerator
• Co-Founded Obvious Apps
• Specialties: Angel Investment, Venture Capital, Finance
Agenda
• Technical Feasibility• Evaluate Market
Opportunity• Competitive Analysis• Customer Validation• Develop Cost Model• Revenue Model• Scalability• Cash and Financing• Team and Capabilities• Pitches
Technical/Functional Feasibility
• The first step in any ideation process is evaluating whether something is technologically or functionally feasible (but actually, there’s a step 0!)
• Commit 1-2 hours to research online or through industry experts on whether your concept can actually be achieved
• Be wary of common mistakes (i.e. perpetual motion machine)
Exercise #1 - Idea Feasibility
• Discuss: Head’s Up display for driver of motor vehicle with GPS, phone/text, weather, and other information. Aftermarket product that uses modern LED/OLED tech to create banner across top of front windshield and car’s battery for operation
Evaluate Market Opportunity
• Define where your idea fits into a market category and research solutions that exist
• Decision criteria depends on players in the market, total size of market needed for you to feel comfortable
• Build a bottom’s up case (number of users/customers times price)
Competitive Analysis
• Evaluate size, scale, reach, key features, and pricing for top market owners and put into matrix
• Beware, sometimes no competition is NOT a good thing
• Find a market where competition lacks key features or customer pain
Exercise #2 - Competition
• Create a matrix of competitive solutions:
• GPS
• Smartphones
• Imbedded systems (i.e. Ford’s Sync)
Customer Validation
• Use competitive matrix to develop a set of key features and differentiators
• Contact as many potential customers you can via email or phone to generate feedback on key features and potential prices
Exercise #3: Customers
• Identify 3-4 key feature benefits and discuss among the group how you would acquire customer feedback
• Split into teams and interview other teams for feedback on your key benefits/value proposition
Develop Cost Model
• Research potential manufacturing or development cost of your idea and begin to build a cost model
• Don’t forget to add 10-20% to original estimates
• Include shipping, packaging, delivery, support, and other costs
Revenue/Business Model
• Determine how you will sell this product and make money in order to determine a price point (see cost model) and ensure profitability
• Evaluate 2-3 revenue models in order to test assumptions and generate highest rate of return
Exercise #4: Revenue Model
• Create a price point and process for generating revenue by evaluating and discussing 2-3 revenue models.
Scalability
• Look into how you will deliver your product/service for the first 10, 100, and 1,000 customers in order to understand whether the concept is scalable
• Research automation, outsourcing, and alternative manufacturing/development sources
Cash and Financing
• Use your assumptions on cost and pricing to build a basic one year cash flow projection to understand hard costs associated with launching
• Evaluate feasibility of net cash need versus potential upside of idea to consider whether you can fund this or if investors would fund this
Exercise #5: Financing
• Use initial costs/revenue assumptions to ascertain development costs, go to market and product launch costs, and implement these into a high level 12 month cash flow statement. Project early sales units based on conservative assumptions.
Team and Capabilities
• Evaluate and recognize your capabilities and strengths to determine whether you possess the necessary skills to execute
• Determine whether, based your evaluation, you can attract talent to supplement your own skills
Exercise #6: Team
• Split into teams and discuss experience, training, and skills to determine what role you would each take and what skills you would need to acquire. Develop a plan and timeline on how you would acquire skills (not everyone has to be full time)
Do It
• Understand that entrepreneurs are problem solvers and that risk is about calculation
• Jump in, with the knowledge that execution drives success, not the quality of the idea
The Pitch
•Leverage what you’ve learned to craft your 30-second elevator pitch
•Starting a pitch deck will help you continue to hone all items we’ve talked about
Q&A