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Sampling methodology Random, Multi-stage stratified using PPS (proportionate to population size)
Universe
Data collection methodology
Sampling error
Face-to-Face interviews at the household level
Poll funding Ipsos Limited
Kenyan adults, aged 18 and above living in Urban and Rural areas
+/-2.2% with a 95% confidence level(Note: Higher error-margins for sub-samples)
Sample Structure Statistics
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RegionSample Frame statistics
(April 2015)*Weighted data
% Population Census as at 2009
Adults (18 years +)%
Central 257 13 2,548,038 13
Coast 173 9 1,711,549 9
Eastern 293 15 2,907,293 15
Nairobi 206 10 2,042,770 10
North Eastern94* 5 929,158 5
Nyanza 257 13 2,547,980 13
Rift Valley484 25 4,795,482 25
Western 200 10 1,980,090 10
TOTAL 1,964 100 19,462,360 100
Quality Control Measures
For at least 20% of the interviews, a supervisor is present throughout
Field managers visit at least 15% of the respondents in the sample at their households to confirm the interviews (i.e. back-checking).
After the interview data are electronically transmitted to the Ipsos Server: an independent team then makes random phone calls to 40% of the respondents to confirm that the interviews were conducted with the said respondents (i.e., telephonic back-checks).
Mobile Data Collection Platform captures GPS location (latitudes and longitudes) of interviews conducted to verify the locations of the interviewers in the field alongside allowing silent recording.
Logical data checks are made on selected questionnaire entries to ensure conformity to the sample’s statistical parameters.
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Ipsos employs quality control measures to ensure the highest possible integrity of obtained results/data
Monthly Household Income (ALL members of the Household)
Base: All Respondents (n=1,964)
Demographic Profile
Self-Employed
Unemployed
Employed in the private sector
Peasant/herder (own farm/pasture)
Casual labour
Employed in the public sector
Student
Retired
Other
41%
18%
11%
10%
7%
5%
5%
2%
1%
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Employment Status
Base: All Respondents (n=1,964)
10
Awareness of 1/3 Gender Rule
“If you know, what is the constitutional requirement about the representation of women in all elected bodies such as parliament, county assemblies?” (By Total, Supporters of the Main Political Parties/Coalitions)
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Total (n=1,964) Male (n=956) Female (n=1,008) CORD Supporters (n=624)
Jubilee Supporters (n=871)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
39%
45%
33%
41%44%
25% 25% 24% 24% 24%
37%
29%
43%
36%
32%
Correct answer [at least one-third women] Incorrect answer Don't Know
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YES; 52%
NO; 34%
Not sure/Don't Know; 14%
Base: Those aware of the one-third gender rule (n=764)
“Do you think that this requirement will be met within the period stated in the constitution (August 2015)?” (By Total)
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All respondents (n=1,964)
Male (n=956) Female (n=1,008) CORD Supporters (n=624)
Jubilee Supporters (n=871)
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
48% 47% 48%44%
53%
27%32%
23%29% 27%25%
21%
29% 28%
20%
YES NO Not sure
“Do you think having at least 1/3 women in all elected bodies would improve the quality of politics and governance?” (By Total, Gender, Supporters of the Main Political Parties/Coalitions)
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Those aware of the 1/3 Gender rule
(n=764)
Male (n=435) Female (n=329) CORD Supporters (n=254)
Jubilee Supporters (n=384)
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
66%63%
70%66% 65%
27%31%
22% 24%29%
7% 6% 8% 10%6%
YES NO Not sure
“Do you think having at least 1/3 women in all elected bodies would improve the quality of politics and governance?” (Of Those Aware of the 1/3 Gender Rule: by Total, Gender, Supporters of the Main Political Parties/Coalitions)
For further information contact: Dr Tom WolfSocial Political [email protected]