THE BEST ANALYZED AIR- SEA FLUXES FOR SEASONAL FORECASTING 2.1 2 Glenn H. White, W. Wang, S. Saha, D. Behringer, S. Nadiga and H.-L. Pan Global Climate and Weather Modeling Branch Environmental Modeling Center National Centers for Environmental Prediction DOC/NOAA/NWS Camp Springs MD [email protected]
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THE BEST ANALYZED AIR- SEA FLUXES FOR SEASONAL FORECASTING 2.12 Glenn H. White, W. Wang, S. Saha, D. Behringer, S. Nadiga and H.-L. Pan Global Climate.
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THE BEST ANALYZED AIR-SEA FLUXES FOR
SEASONAL FORECASTING
2.12
Glenn H. White, W. Wang, S. Saha, D. Behringer, S. Nadiga and H.-L. Pan
--GDAS, ERA40 surface stresses agree more with independent estimates than NCEP2, suggesting progress
--disagreement between different estimates in equatorial Pacific implies substantial uncertainty in surface stress --CFS will use fluxes from NCEP-2 reanalysis to force ocean data assimilation, for consistency with hind-casts
Future CFS will conduct reanalyses with new CFS models for consistency of system as well as consistency with hind-casts.
New CFS every 3-5 years.
New global reanalyses every 3-5 years in support of seasonal forecasting.
EMC plans to make CFS fields available to community.