6/6/2014 1 Sonographic Criteria for Nonviable Pregnancy in the 1st Trimester Lori Strachowski, MD Clinical Professor of Radiology, UCSF Chief of Ultrasound, SFGH I have no disclosures. The Article N Engl J Med October 2013;369:1443-51 Lecture Goals • Detailed overview of update on diagnostic criteria for nonviable pregnancy early in the first trimester – Panelists – Issue – Objective – Plan – Recommended criteria – Reasoning
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6/6/2014
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Sonographic Criteria for Nonviable Pregnancy in the 1st Trimester
Lori Strachowski, MDClinical Professor of Radiology, UCSF
Chief of Ultrasound, SFGH
I have no disclosures.
The Article
N Engl J Med October 2013;369:1443-51
Lecture Goals• Detailed overview of update on diagnostic criteria for
nonviable pregnancy early in the first trimester– Panelists– Issue – Objective– Plan– Recommended criteria– Reasoning
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The Panelists• Society of Radiologists in Ultrasound (SRU) Multispecialty
Panel on Early First Trimester Miscarriage and Exclusion of a Viable Intrauterine Pregnancy
• 3 Specialties:– Radiologists (7)– Obstetrician-Gynecologists (5)– Emergency Medicine (3)
The Rads
• Peter M. Doubilet, M.D., Ph.D., Brigham and Women’s and Harvard Medical School*
• Carol B. Benson, M.D., Brigham and Women’s/Harvard* • Beryl R. Benacerraf, M.D., Brigham and Women’s/Harvard• Douglas L. Brown, M.D., Mayo Clinic, Rochester• Roy A. Filly, M.D., UCSF• Edward A. Lyons, M.D., Univ of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB• Dolores H. Pretorius, M.D., UCSD
* primary authors
The OB/Gyn’s
• Tom Bourne, M.B., B.S., Ph.D., Imperial College, London*• Steven R. Goldstein, M.D., NYU School of Medicine• Ilan E. Timor-Tritsch, M.D., NYU School of Medicine• Kurt T. Barnhart, M.D., M.S.C.E., University of Pennsylvania• Misty Blanchette Porter, M.D., Dartmouth
* primary authors
The ER Docs
• Michael Blaivas, M.D., University of South Carolina*• J. Christian Fox, M.D., University of California, Irvine• John L. Kendall, M.D., Denver Health Medical Center
* primary authors
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The Issue
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Pain +/- Bleeding in Early PregnancyMisuse and misinterpretation of US and β-hCG
Methotrexate inadvertently administered
Miscarriage and malformations
MALPRACTICE_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
Medical Liability Action• 2009 Survey on Professional Liability conducted by ACOG
– 90.5%: ≥ 1 professional liability claim– Avg: 2.69 claims per obstetrician - gynecologist
• 62% - OB care• 38% - Gyne care
– Delayed dx of breast cancer– Inadvertent Tx of IUPs with MTX
Obstetrics and Gynecology 2010 ;116:8-15
Inadvertent Tx of IUPs with MTX• 3 diagnostic error patterns
– Perception and interpretation of findings on US
– Improper correlation of β-hCG levels and US findings
– Treatment based on a single hCG level without a definitive US diagnosis of ectopic pregnancy
Obstetrics and Gynecology 2010 ;116:8-15
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US Error Types• Perception:
– Finding seen in retrospect but initially missed• i.e. an early intrauterine gestational sac or yolk sac
• Interpretation:– Findings perceived but incorrectly diagnosed
• i.e. CL of pregnancy interpreted as an EP or an early GS as a pseudo-sac
• Based (in part) on downstream consequences of false positive and false negative results
The Diagnostic Tests: hCG• Human chorionic gonadotropin
– Serum measured with use of WHO 3rd or 4th International Standard
– Positive serum pregnancy test is defined by > 5 mIU/ml
NOTE: low levels of hCG can occur in health non-pregnant patients.
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The Diagnostic Tests: US • Minimum quality criteria:
– TVS of uterus and adnexa– TAS for FF and mass high in the pelvis– Oversight by an appropriately trained physician– Performed by providers and interpreted by physicians, all
of whom meet at least minimum training or certification standards
– Scanning equipment permitting adequate visualization of structures early in the first trimester
The Terminology • Viable
• Nonviable
Definition: Viable (vī-ə-bəl)1: capable of living; especially: having attained such form and development as to be normally capable of surviving outside the mother's womb <a viable fetus>
www.Merriam-Webster.com
Definition: Viable (vī-ə-bəl)1: capable of living; especially: having attained such form and development as to be normally capable of surviving outside the mother's womb <a viable fetus>
www.Merriam-Webster.com
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Definition: Viable (vī-ə-bəl)1: capable of living; especially: having attained such form and development as to be normally capable of surviving outside the mother's womb <a viable fetus>
2: capable of growing or developing <viable seeds> <viable eggs>
3 a : capable of working, functioning, or developing adequately <viable alternatives> b : capable of existence and development as an independent unit <the colony is now a viable state> c (1) : having a reasonable chance of succeeding <a viablecandidate> (2) : financially sustainable <a viable enterprise>
www.Merriam-Webster.com
Definition: Viable (vī-ə-bəl)1: capable of living; especially: having attained such form and development as to be normally capable of surviving outside the mother's womb <a viable fetus>
2: capable of growing or developing <viable seeds> <viable eggs>
3 a : capable of working, functioning, or developing adequately <viable alternatives> b : capable of existence and development as an independent unit <the colony is now a viable state> c (1) : having a reasonable chance of succeeding <a viablecandidate> (2) : financially sustainable <a viable enterprise>
www.Merriam-Webster.com
The Terminology• Viable:
– A pregnancy is viable if it can potentially result in a liveborn baby.
• Nonviable: – A pregnancy is nonviable if it cannot possibly result in a
liveborn baby. • Ectopic pregnancies and failed intrauterine pregnancies
are nonviable.
The Differential
CurrentlyViable
IUPFailed/Failing
IUP
Ectopic pregnancy
Expectant management MUA, MTX,
+/- surgeryMUA
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Currently Viable IUP The Differential
CurrentlyViable
IUPFailed/Failing
IUP
Ectopic pregnancy
Expectant management MUA, MTX,
surgeryMUA
Ectopic Pregnancy
Ov
The Differential
CurrentlyViable
IUPFailed/Failing
IUP
Ectopic pregnancy
Expectant management MUA, MTX,
surgeryMUA
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Spontaneous AB in ProgressCervix
The Differential
CurrentlyViable
IUPFailed/Failing
IUP
Ectopic pregnancy
Expectant management MUA, MTX,
surgeryMUA
It ain’t always that easy! FP + FN Consequences
CurrentlyViable
IUPFailed/Failing
IUP
Ectopic pregnancy
Expectant management MUA, MTX,
surgeryMUA
FP
Short delay in dx
FN: Failure
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FP + FN Consequences
CurrentlyViable
IUPFailed/Failing
IUP
Ectopic pregnancy
Expectant management MUA, MTX,
surgeryMUAShort delay in dx
Likely non-life-threatening!
FN: EP
FP + FN Consequences
CurrentlyViable
IUPFailed/Failing
IUP
Ectopic pregnancy
Expectant management MUA, MTX,
surgeryMUAShort delay in dx
Likely non-life-threatening!
FN: EP FN: Failure
FP + FN Consequences
CurrentlyViable
IUPFailed/Failing
IUP
Ectopic pregnancy
Expectant management MUA, MTX,
surgeryMUA
FP FP
Short delay in dxLikely non-life-
threatening!
FN: Viable IUP FN: Viable IUP
To “DO NO HARM”1. Criteria for non-viability require
– 100% Specificity– 100% PPV
2. Need more buckets!
or as close as possible
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The Expanded Differential
CurrentlyViable
IUPFailed/Failing
IUP
Ectopic pregnancy
Expectant management
MUA, MTX, +/- surgery
MUA
IUP of Uncertain Viability
Pregnancyof
UnknownLocation
The Terminology• Intrauterine pregnancy of uncertain viability:
– If transvaginal ultrasonography shows an intrauterine gestational sac with no embryonic heartbeat and no findings of definite pregnancy failure.
• Pregnancy of unknown location:– Positive pregnancy test and no intrauterine or ectopic
pregnancy is seen on transvaginal US.
Is there a chance of a viable pregnancy?
The Expanded Differential
CurrentlyViable
IUPFailed/Failing
IUP
Ectopic pregnancy
Expectant management
MUA, MTX, +/- surgery
MUA
IUP of Uncertain Viability
Pregnancyof
UnknownLocation
Expectant management
Expectant management
The Expanded Differential
CurrentlyViable
IUPFailed/Failing
IUP
Ectopic pregnancy
Expectant management
MUA, MTX, +/- surgery
MUA
IUP of Uncertain Viability
Pregnancyof
UnknownLocation
Expectant management
Expectant management
Viable IUP
Failure
Short delay in dx
EPIUP
Short delay in dxLikely non-life-
threatening
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The Expanded Differential
Failed/Failing
IUPIUP of Uncertain Viability
Pregnancyof
UnknownLocation
Specific criteria and management algorithms
Literature on Nonviable IUP Criteria• Serum beta level
– Largely unreliable given range of normal
• US findings– Size-based criteria
• Embryo without heart motion• GS without an embryo
– Time-based criteria• Appearance of interval findings
• More recent data reports MSD = 17-21 mm without an embryo and subsequent viable pregnancy
• Interobserver variability (measurement technique): + 19%• Worst case scenario:
Upper nl MSD (21) + 19% (4) = 25 mm
#2 Criteria Definitive for Failure• MSD ≥ 25 mm and no visible
embryo– PPV for failure: 100%
“1st trimester pregnancy failure”
Time-Based Criteria for Failure• Needed as in the setting of failure, discriminatory sac or
embryo sizes may never be achieved• Based on known timing of interval appearance of:
– GS - 5 weeks – YS - 5 ½ weeks– Embryo with heart motion - 6 weeks
• Worse case scenario:– Upper nl embryo ( 6 ½ wks) - lower nl GS (4 ½ wks) = 2 wks– Upper nl embryo (6 ½ wks) - lower nl YS (5 wks) = 1 ½ wks
+/- ½ week
11 days
#3 + #4 Criteria Definitive for Failure• Absence of embryo with heartbeat ≥ 2 wks after a scan that
showed a GS without a YS
• Absence of embryo with heartbeat ≥ 11 days after a scan that showed a GS with a YS
8 criteria suggestive for failure
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Criteria Suggestive of Failure• CRL <7 mm and no heartbeat
• MSD of 16 - 24 mm and no embryo
• Absence of embryo with heartbeat 7–13 days after a GS (-YS)
• Absence of embryo with heartbeat 7–10 days after a GS (+YS)
“When there are findings suspicious for pregnancy failure, follow-up US at 7 to 10 days is generally appropriate.”
Do we really need to wait to call this?
Normal GS and embryo grow ~1 mm/day
Criteria Suggestive of Failure• Empty amnion (amnion seen
adjacent to yolk sac, with no visible embryo)
Criteria Suggestive of Failure• Empty amnion (amnion seen
adjacent to yolk sac, with no visible embryo)
• Enlarged yolk sac (>7 mm)
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Criteria Suggestive of Failure• Empty amnion (amnion seen
adjacent to yolk sac, with no visible embryo)
• Enlarged yolk sac (>7 mm)
• Small GS in relation to size of embryo (MSD – CRL= <5 )
Criteria Suggestive of Failure• Absence of embryo ≥ 6 wk after
last menstrual period
CAUTION!!!– Unless:
• Really reliable historian with regular cycles
OR• IVF
Pregnancy of Unknown Location• US findings:
– No intrauterine fluid collection– Normal (or near normal) adnexa
Pregnancy of Unknown Location
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Pregnancy of Unknown Location• US findings:
– No intrauterine fluid collection– Normal (or near normal) adnexa
• Serum beta level:– A single measurement of hCG, regardless of its value, does
not reliably distinguish between EP and IUP (viable or nonviable)
– Discriminatory level of 2000 (to dx IUP) may not be high enough
Likelihood Ratio vs. Viable IUP
Serum beta Likely outcome
< 2000 mIU/ml Viable IUP
Likelihood Ratio vs. Viable IUP
Serum beta Likely outcome
< 2000 mIU/ml Viable IUP
2000 – 3000 mIU/mlNonviable IUP - 38:1
EP - 19:1 Viable IUP: 2%
Likelihood Ratio vs. Viable IUP
Serum beta Likely outcome
< 2000 mIU/ml Viable IUP
2000 – 3000 mIU/mlNonviable IUP - 38:1
EP - 19:1 Viable IUP: 2%
> 3000 mIU/mlNonviable IUP - 140:1
EP - 70: 1Viable IUP: 0.5%
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PUL: Management Recommendations• Beta hCG <3000 and stable:
– Presumptive tx for EP with MTX or other pharmacologic or surgical means should not be undertaken, in order to avoid the risk of interrupting a viable IUP.
• Beta hCG ≥3000 and stable:– A viable IUP is possible but unlikely. However, as the most
likely diagnosis is a nonviable IUP, it is generally appropriate to obtain at least one follow-up hCG and follow-up US before undertaking treatment for EP.
Pregnancy of Unknown Location• When US not yet performed:
– Serum beta level:• No single level predicts the likelihood of ectopic
pregnancy rupture. Thus, when clinical findings are suspicious for ectopic pregnancy, transvaginalultrasonography is indicated even when the hCG level is low.
The Basic Assumption• Pregnancy is desired.
UCSF: Meredith Warden, M.D., M.P.H. Jody Steinauer, M.D., Univ of Penn: Courtney A. Schreiber, M.D., M.P.H.
In Conclusion• First, DO NO HARM to a potentially viable pregnancy
• Add “IUP of Uncertain Viability” and “Pregnancy of Unknown Location” to your lexicon and manage expectantly
• In setting of PUL, hemodynamically stable and desired– Always get an US – If normal US and beta ≥ 3000, though highly unlikely to be
a viable IUP, may consider f/u
and desired
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In Conclusion• Definitive failed IUP:
– CRL ≥ 7 mm + no heart motion– MSD ≥ 25 mm and no embryo– No embryo ≥ 2 wks after a GS (- YS) or 11 days (+ YS)
• Suggestive for failure:– No embryonic heart motion– Empty amnion sign– YS too big, GS too small, others– Consider repeat US at 7-10 days