Srinivas Duvvuri Director Strategy & International Cooperation India/South Asia Airbus Group India Private Limited, Bangalore INDIA New Delhi, 07 March 2018 Sustainable fuels The Airbus approach
Srinivas Duvvuri
Director Strategy & International Cooperation India/South Asia
Airbus Group India Private Limited, Bangalore INDIA
New Delhi, 07 March 2018
Sustainable fuelsThe Airbus approach
February 2018 Airbus India
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Airbus GMF 2016: 4.5% growth p.aICAO total traffic
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
Source: ICAO, Airbus GMF 2016
World annual traffic (trillion RPK)
Air traffic doubles every 15 years
Oil Crisis Gulf Crisis
Asia
Crisis
9/11
SARS
Financial
Crisis
x2x2
x2
4.5%2016-2035
February 2018 Airbus India
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19761996
2036
2016
Centre of gravity of global aviation traffic - moving to the east…
Source: DGCA
Indian
domestic
traffic-----------------------------------------------------------------------Growing at an avg.
rate of
20.17% year-on-year for
the past 37
months
Indian domestic air passenger traffic growth
7.77.5
7.9 7.9
8.7
8.0
8.5 8.48.2
8.79.0
9.69.58
8.7
9.0 9.1
10.17
9.57 9.57 9.69 9.58
10.45 10.49
11.2411.46
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
Millio
ns
2016 2017 2018
CORSIA (global Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation) has been agreed by 161 countries.
The challenges and the context
Aviation growth raises more and more environmental challenges…
Environment is no longer an option, the whole industry is committed at International Civil Aviation Organization /
Committee on Aviation Environment Protection (ICAO/CAEP) level
ICAO Aircraft CO2 Standard defined
… but the context is evolving
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Air traffic doubles every 15 years
Setting the scene
Aircraft will continue burning Jet-A1 fuel in the next decades.
Future technology developments such as hybrid electric propulsion
may decrease the demand for jet fuel in the long-term future.
Aviation faces two long term challenges for continued air traffic growth:
1. Energy supply: growing competition for oil products between sectors
2. Environmental impacts
Sustainable aviation fuels are jet fuels made from renewable and
alternative raw material in replacement of petroleum based fuels and
complying with sustainability criteria (land use, water footprint, etc.)
Sustainable fuels are a key pillar to reduce GHG emissions from aviation
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AIRBUS Sustainable Fuels Strategy & Priorities
Engagement with Airlines & States
Policies & Standards
Fuel Approval
Innovation and R&D
Strategic Streams Key Objectives
• Support our customers through demonstration projects
• Facilitate scale-up of low cost sustainable fuels through partnerships
• Advocacy : Promote Sustainable Fuel policy and standard development at a regional and global level in close collaboration with industry partners and associations
• Be capable of certifying, on time, all new drop-in sustainable fuel pathways through ASTM
• Secure our knowledge on future drop-in and non-drop-in sustainable fuels trends (Pathways, Feedstocks, Conversion Process & Actors)
• Anticipate and manage potential risks and opportunities based on the trends
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Aviation is a global industry
Airlines require that where ever they operate
they are able to uplift “affordable” clean dry on
specification fuel approved by the OEMs
Major airports supply fuel by hydrant systems so
can only supply one fuel type
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What is driving change?
Safety / Performance
Everyone
Economics ₹ € ₤ $
Airlines / Customers
Environment
Governments / Public
Safety & Performance:the baseline for any
change.
Economics: Fuel can represent in excess of
30% of an airlines operational costs. Any increase in fuel price
reflects on airline profitability.
Environment: national governments, local
authorities, public seeking lower environmental impact, CO2, NOx, particulate matter,
contrails, noise, etc.
Security: Governments promote development of indigenous fuel supplies
Security
Governments
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What is driving change?Safety & Performance:
Any solution must be compliant
Economics/Security:
countries wishing to exploit natural resources, (Qatar, South Africa), or ensure security of supply
(USA)
Environment:
ICAO, EU driving regulations on CO2,
(sustainable non-fossil fuels), local authorities
driving air quality (recued sulphur and aromatics),
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Aviation Sustainable Fuels… “As-Is”
Standards
Demand
Production
Economic
Model
Policy & Frameworks
ICAO CORSIA – ICAO/CAEP Alternative Fuels Task Force in place
EU REDII revision on going
Engagement of states for Aviation Sustainable Fuels still low
More “regular” flight campaigns
More ambitious collaborative projects from the industry community (i.e. Initiative Towards Sustainable Kerosene for Aviation (ITAKA), Collaborative effort by UC Berkeley, UC San Fransisco, Stanford University (BioHubs)
More Fuel pathways certified (5)
Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) Methodologies, (indirect Land Use Change (iLUC), sustainability, CORSIA-Monitoring Reporting Verification (MRV) under definition
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Aviation Sustainable Fuels… “To-Be”
Standards
Demand
Production
Economic Model
Policy & Frameworks
GMBM in place
Incentivisation frameworks for renewable energy
Sustainable Fuel Volumes available
Logistics (biohub), availability and competitive cost
Agreed and applied standards at States level
Governance avoiding risks on quality and traceability
Competitiveness by local initiatives in place
Biofuels considered at the right place to offset carbon emissions
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Sustainable Aviation Fuels: A collaborative approach with many stakeholders
Engagement
With Airlines & States
Policies, Standards and Communication
Fuel Approval
Innovation & R&D
Perfect Flight
Sustainability Study
Demo Flight
Flight
Sustainability Study - HEFA
Sustainability Study
Algae F easibility Study
Center of Excellence
R&T Algae oil
Flight & Certification
Feasibility Assessment
EU Commission
Biofuels
flightpath
Sustainability Study
Woody Biomass
A350 delivery Flights
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1999 SASOL
Secunda plant
Supplies up to
50% CTL Jet A1
to Johannesburg
airport
2008 1st GTL
Flight on a
commercial
aircraft
2010/2011
HEFA demonstration
flights
2010 1st 100% CTL
Jet A1 Commercial
flight
Sustainable Aviation Fuels: How is Airbus involved?
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Sustainable Aviation Fuels: How is Airbus involved?
• All CPA A350-900 deliveries from TLS to HKG with BioJet Fuel (22 Aircrafts
- 10% Farnesane)
• BioJet platform in operation since June
• New partners? China Airlines (2017-2018) – others to come
• Storage capacity of
pure Biojet = 50m3
• 10% blend done on
the site on a monthly
basis
• Aircraft Fuelling done
directly at the facility
• Next ?– More collaborative projects with Airlines
– Airbus and ATR Internal flights (Tests, Internal transport)
– Flights in Mobile (USA) and Finkenwerder (GE)
– French “Green Deal” for Sustainable Aviation Fuels promotion in France and EUPage
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Key Challenges and Way Forward
• AIRBUS is engaged to support the Industry objectives.
• Support clearance and qualification (safety and performance 1st).
• Prepare favourable framework for sustainable JET A1 for long-term use (ICAO/CAEP, Eligibility
(Life Cycle Assessment +Sustainability) & CORSIA Monitoring Reporting Verification).
• Actively stimulate the aviation sector by promoting initiatives and demonstrations to attract
investment (States/Countries’ plans – extended partnerships – Offtake agreements)
• Launch collaborative local opportunities to continue promoting sustainable JET A1 production
and use (more ambitious collaborative projects)
• Promote sustainable JET A1 and equalize competition on feedstock and facilities between the
road transport and aviation (more balanced mechanisms and policy)
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The challenge 1999:
No major fuel
specification changes for
over 40 years; SASOL
Coal To Liquid Fischer
Tropsch fuel approved
1999– 2009:
No major fuel changes
2009-2017:
5 new pathways,
3 incidental materials /
additives
2017 :
3-4 “New” Fuels & 4
New Additives per year!
SDA [BASF]
DEGAS A-1 [Nanovapor] FQS 1.5 Biocide
Chinese SDA
[Sinopec]
HiTEC Corrosion Inhibitor
F27 Thermal Stabiliser
[BASF] Chinese CI/LI [Sinopec]
New Additives
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q42017
HDO SAK [Virent] Green Diesel HEFA [Neste]
ATJ-SPK [LanzaTech] ATJ-SKA [Byogy]
CH RediJet
[ARA]
HDO SK [Virent]
ASTM Generic Synthetic Annex (5-10% blend)
New Fuels
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