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Sea Basque Country Sinai Peninsula Gaza SE Coastal Regions Niger Delta Northern Nigeria Tri Border Area Kashmir Ingushetia Chechnya South Ossetia Kurdistan Balochistan Dagestan NE States SE Provinces East Timor Bali Aceh Mindanao VENEZUELA GUYANA SURINAME PANAMA GALAPAGOS ISLANDS (ECUADOR) JAMAICA PUERTO RICO (US) AZORES (PORT) ICELAND SPAIN ALGERIA SUDAN SAUDI ARABIA ETHIOPIA MALI LIBYA EGYPT NIGER ZAMBIA KENYA TANZANIA ANGOLA SOUTH AFRICA NAMIBIA DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF CONGO NIGERIA CHAD IRAQ IRAN INDIA INDONESIA AUSTRALIA MALAYSIA C H I N A R U S S I A KAZAKHSTAN MONGOLIA FRANCE TURKEY BARBADOS ST VINCENT GUADELOUPE DOMINICA GRENADA IRELAND MADEIRA (PORT) CAPE VERDE ST HELENA (UK) ASCENSION ISLAND (UK) FALKLAND ISLANDS (UK) HAWAIIAN ISLANDS (USA) TONGA COOK ISLANDS TAHITI WESTERN SAMOA AMERICAN SAMOA FRENCH POLYNESIA THE CANARIES (SP) UNITED KINGDOM FINLAND SWEDEN NORWAY POLAND ROMANIA MOROCCO CAMEROON CONGO SYRIA UAE OMAN SRI LANKA YEMEN TURKMENISTAN UZBEKISTAN THAILAND PHILIPPINES PAPUA NEW GUINEA NEW ZEALAND JAPAN AFGHANISTAN PAKISTAN BOTSWANA ZIMBABWE MOZAMBIQUE SOMALIA MADAGASCAR GABON CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC MAURITANIA UKRAINE BELARUS NETHERLANDS BELGIUM MELILLA (SP) CEUTA (SP) GIBRALTAR GUERNSEY JERSEY SENEGAL GAMBIA SIERRA LEONE GUINEA BURKINA FASO GUINEA BISSAU LIBERIA EQ GUINEA LESOTHO RWANDA UGANDA BURUNDI MAURITIUS REUNION ISLANDS (FR) COMOROS SEYCHELLES MALDIVES MALAWI SWAZILAND CABINDA (ANGOLA) GHANA DJIBOUTI BAHRAIN QATAR BHUTAN VIETNAM SINGAPORE SOLOMON ISLANDS FIJI VANUATU PALAU GUAM NEW CALEDONIA (FR) BRUNEI HONG KONG TAIWAN SOUTH KOREA NORTH KOREA MACAU LAOS CAMBODIA NEPAL BANGLADESH KUWAIT ERITREA CÔTE D‘IVOIRE ANDORRA LIECHTENSTEIN MONACO VATICAN CITY DENMARK LUX PORTUGAL WESTERN SAHARA TUNISIA BENIN TOGO SWITZ. CZECH REP SLOVAKIA LITHUANIA KALININGRAD (RUSSIA) LATVIA ESTONIA AUSTRIA SLOVENIA CROATIA MOLDOVA ALBANIA SERBIA MALTA CYPRUS LEBANON PALESTINE ISRAEL JORDAN GEORGIA AZERBAIJAN ARMENIA TAJIKISTAN MYANMAR KYRGYZSTAN F.Y.R. MACEDONIA BULGARIA GREECE HUNGARY BOSNIA ST LUCIA ST KITTS & NEVIS US VIRGIN IS ANTIGUA BRITISH VIRGIN IS ANGUILLA BAHAMAS BERMUDA (UK) DOM. REP. TRINIDAD & TOBAGO NETH ANTILLES ARUBA HAITI CUBA HONDURAS BELIZE NICARAGUA COSTA RICA GUATEMALA EL SALVADOR PARAGUAY URUGUAY FRENCH GUIANA COLOMBIA ECUADOR PERU MEXICO BOLIVIA ALASKA (US) ARGENTINA BRAZIL UNITED STATES OF AMERICA C A N A D A GREENLAND C H I L E GERMANY ITALY Brasilia Rio de Janeiro Fortaleza Asunción Montevideo Lima Quito Bogotá Medellin Caracas Georgetown Paramaribo Cayenne Belém Salvador São Paulo Belmopan Havana Kingston Santo Domingo Panama San José Ottawa Toronto Boston Burlington New York Chicago Minneapolis Seattle Portland St Louis Dallas Atlanta Baltimore Houston Monterrey Miami Nassau New Orleans Montréal Vancouver Calgary Winnipeg Anchorage San Francisco Honolulu Phoenix Los Angeles Las Vegas Denver San Diego Tegucigalpa San Salvador Port-au- Prince Managua Washington DC Detroit Reykjavik Lisbon Stockholm Berlin Vienna Ljubljana Sarajevo Tangier Casablanca Skopje Tirana Dakar Cairo Luxor Sharm El-Sheikh Dahab Kolkata Baku Kabul Lahore Islamabad Kathmandu Beijing Tianjin Tokyo Rangoon Manila Dhaka Surabaya Colombo Tashkent Novosibirsk Omsk Tbilisi Nicosia Tel Aviv Conakry Freetown Monrovia Accra Brazzaville Lusaka Lilongwe Harare Dar-es-Salaam Gaborone Cape Town Kigali Bujumbura Bern Ankara Antalya Marmaris Warsaw Vilnius Kiev Dublin Paris Athens Bucharest Madrid Barcelona Alicante Malaga Bilbao Lyon Milan Strasbourg Marseille Tripoli Bamako Niamey Khartoum Asmera Riyadh Dhahran Al Khobar Manama Alma Ata Delhi Wuhan Vientiane Bangkok Ulan Bator Baghdad Kirkuk Faluja Basra Tehran Yerevan Abu Dhabi Dubai Addis Ababa Yaoundé Kampala Windhoek Antananarivo Pretoria Abidjan Ouagadougou Algiers Tunis Oslo Helsinki Bratislava Brussels Frankfurt Hamburg Amsterdam Rotterdam Copenhagen Prague Rome Rabat Marrakech El Aaiun Moscow Grozny Volgograd St Petersburg Budapest Zagreb Belgrade Sofia Istanbul Nouakchott Banjul Lomé Lagos N’Djamena Djibouti Bangui Kinshasa Nairobi Mombasa Mogadishu Sana’a Mecca Jeddah Amman Damascus Jerusalem Beirut Kuwait Muscat Doha Mumbai Chennai Karachi Ashkhabad Dushanbe Pyongyang Seoul Taipei Shanghai Shenyang Osaka Hanoi Phnom Penh Ho Chi Minh Kuala Lumpur Port Moresby Wellington Christchurch Auckland Sydney Hobart Adelaide Perth Jakarta Dili Darwin Brisbane Canberra Melbourne Thimphu Vladivostok Bishkek Libreville Luanda Maputo Durban Johannesburg Porto-Novo Port Harcourt Bissau Tallinn Riga Minsk Kishinev London Birmingham Manchester Belfast Godthåb Guatemala Mexico City Guadalajara La Paz Santiago Buenos Aires 60º 70º 50º 40º 30º 20º 10º 0º 10º 20º 30º 40º 50º 170º 160º 150º 140º 130º 120º 110º 100º 90º 80º 70º 60º 50º 40º 30º 20º 10º 0º 10º 20º 30º 40º 50º 60º 70º 80º 90º 100º 110º 120º 130º 140º 150º 160º 170º 50º 40º 30º 20º 10º 0º 10º 20º 30º 40º 50º 60º 70º -12 -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 GMT +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 +11 +12 KEY TO SYMBOLS Low threat Guarded threat Elevated threat High threat Severe threat TERRORISM THREAT CONDITIONS Kidnap and ransom Nationalist/separatist Single interest Narco/organised crime Other religious extremists TERRORIST GROUPS COUNTRY KIDNAP RISK Cities at particular risk High risk regions Kashmir Far right Marxist/leftist Islamic extremist Terrorism Threat Map 2007 Security forces: 35% Private citizens and property: 17% Government and diplomatic: 15% Religious figures/institutions: 7% Transport, maritime and aviation: 5% Utilities and telecoms: 5% Business: 4% Educational institutions: 3% NGO and media: 2% Tourism: 0.4% Other: 7% TERRORISM TARGET SELECTION BY INDUSTRY Terrorism target selection by Janusian statistics, 2006* *Iraq statistics not included Which organisations Track record Which organisations Threat Which organisations Vulnerability Which organisations Risk Which organisations Aims and intent Which organisations Target selection Capability Security regime Physical security Plans and procedures Security regime Aon Limited Crisis Management e-mail: [email protected] www.aon.com © Copyright Aon Limited 2007. All rights reserved. www.riskadvisory.net www.janusian.com TERRORISM THREAT MAP 2007 Terrorism threat is defined as an assessment of the intent, capability and likelihood of terrorists staging attacks. All assessments for the Terrorism Threat Map 2007 draw upon open and privileged intelligence data. Using this data, a panel of Janusian analysts have assigned threat levels by scoring each country according to the following threat indicators for 2007: • Known and active groups or networks operating in a given country • Their aims and stated objectives • Their track record of terrorist activity, including target selection • Their operational capabilities to stage attacks • The likely erosion of terrorist capabilities through the current counter-terrorism regime in the given country Advice Janusian and Aon recommend that terrorism threat can be mitigated by the following: • Implement a proportionate security risk management scheme to identify and reduce the vulnerabilities to personnel and business assets based upon an expert risk assessment • Transfer risk though an appropriate insurance policy to reduce the impact of any attack TERRORISM RISK ASSESSMENT