Task3 Proposed Transit Center Sites v9 · 3/18/2015 · Task3_Proposed Transit Center Sites_v9.2b addition, existing Land Use and Transit Maps are included. These were mapped to

Task3_Proposed Transit Center Sites_v9.2b

Memorandum To: Kern COG & Stakeholders From: CDM Smith Date: March 18, 2015 Subject: Task 3: Proposed Transit Center Sites

ThepurposeofthismemorandumistoprovideaninitialselectionofproposedtransitcentersitesfortheMetropolitanBakersfieldarea.ThismemodocumentsthelogicbehindtheselectionofeachsiteandoffersastartingpointforexaminingeachlocationanditspotentialforTransitOrientedDevelopment(TOD).Theinformationgatheredfromthemappingexercisesforthesocioeconomicdatawasalsoutilizedindeterminingthetransitcenterlocations.Thereweretentransitcenterlocationsidentified:

1. BakersfieldCollege

2. DowntownTransitCenter

3. SouthwestTransitCenter

4. CaliforniaStateUniversityBakersfield

5. DowntownTrainStation

a. AmtrakStation(withoutHSR)

b. HighSpeedRailStation(withHSR)

6. NilesandMt.VernonAvenue

7. PanamaLaneandHighway99

8. Mt.VernonAvenueandHighway178

9. FStreetandGoldenStateAvenue(LocallyGeneratedAlternative)

Ofthetenlocations,severalwouldbesuitablefornear‐term(Year2020)transitcenterlocationswhileotherswouldbemoresuitableforthelong‐term(Year2040)locations.

DemographicandTransitMapsDemographicmapsfortheMetroBakersfieldareshowninthefiguresbelowincludingexistingLow‐IncomePopulations,HouseholdswithNoVehicles,MinorityPopulations,SeniorPopulations,YouthPopulations,andPopulationandEmploymentprojectionsfor2020,2035,and2040.In

Task3TechnicalMemorandum:ProposedTransitCentersMarch18,2015Page2


addition,existingLandUseandTransitMapsareincluded.TheseweremappedtoprovideperspectiveonthegeographiclocationsofthedemographicsofMetroBakersfield;specifically,therelationshipbetweenexistingtransitlinesandthedemographicsoftheadjacentareas.Employmentandpopulationprojectionsweremappedtounderstandwheregrowthisanticipatedtooccurforplanningoffuturetransitcenters.

Ingeneral,populationandemploymentinthelong‐termisexpectedtogrowoutwardfromthecenterofMetroBakersfieldwithhighconcentrationsofemploymentinthecenter.DenseyouthandminoritypopulationsareobservedtobeinthesamevicinitiesandhouseholdswithnovehiclesaremorecommoninthecenterofMetroBakersfield.TheDemographicandTransitMapsareshownbelowinthefollowingpagesinFigures1‐13.



Figure1:Low‐IncomePopulationbyTAZ



Figure2:HouseholdswithNoVehiclesbyTAZ



Figure3:MinorityPopulationbyTAZ



Figure4:SeniorPopulationbyTAZ



Figure5:YouthPopulationbyTAZ



Figure6:Projected2020PopulationbyTAZ









Figure9:ProjectedEmployment2020byTAZ









Figure12:ExistingLandUse



Figure13:ExistingTransit



RecommendedSiteLocationsAtotaloftensiteswereidentifiedincludingexistingandproposedlocations(shownbelowinFigure14).Eachsiteisdescribedinfurtherdetailinthefollowingsection;sitesarenotlistedinorderofpriority.ExistingtransitcenterlocationsareincludedforabaselinecomparisonagainstpotentialfuturelocationsandforevaluatingthepotentialforTransitOrientedDevelopment(TOD).Proposedtransitcenterlocationsarebasedonseveralfactorsincluding,theplansandgoalsoutlinedintheBakersfieldTransitSystemLong‐RangePlan(LRTP),CityofBakersfieldBicycleTransportationPlan,CaliforniaHighSpeedRailStationAreaPlans,existingandplannedtransitroutes,landusesanddemographicsofsurroundingpotentialsites,firstandlastmileconnections,potentialforTOD,andpopulationandemploymentgrowthtrends.



Figure14:ProposedSites



ExistingSites#1BakersfieldCollegeTheBakersfieldCollegeisincludedasapotentialtransitcentersiteduetothehightripattractionofthecollege.TheBakersfieldCollegewasidentifiedintheBakersfieldLRTPasalocationplannedforfastandfrequentservice.ThesiteprovidesaccesstosixGETbusroutes(21,41,43,44,61,andthe81)andthreeoftheKernTransitbusroutes(100,140,and150).FirstandlastmileconnectionsareprovidedwithexistingClass1andClass2bikeroutesandtwofutureClass2andfiveClass3routesareplannedintheCityofBakersfieldBicycleTransportationPlan.Whilethereisnotasignificantamountoftransitdependentpopulationssuchasyouth,senior,orhouseholdswithnovehicles,thereis a moderate low‐income andminority population.1 In addition, employment is expected to bemoderatelyhighintheshort‐termandlong‐term(seeemploymentandseniorpopulationfigurestotheright)withdenseemploymentwithina¼mile.SimilartotheCaliforniaStateUniversityBakersfieldsite,thissiteisalsocomprisedofprimarilypubliclandusemakingitanidealsiteforatransitcentertoimproveaccesstopublicfacilitiessuchasthecollege.

1Mapsdisplaya¼mileand½milebufferandareshownbyTAZ.Highconcentrationsareshowninorangetoredforemploymenthigherthan995andseniorpopulationshigherthan146.

Existing

Distance Low‐Income Population

Minority Population

Youth Population

Senior Population

Households with No Vehicle

1/4 Mile 87 (42%) 102 (50%) 38 (18%) 40 (19%) 2 (2%)

1/2 Mile 548 (37%) 505 (34%) 345 (23%) 238 (16%) 28 (5%)

Note:Percentagesindicateproportionoftotalpopulationorhouseholds.

Future

Distance Base (2008) 2020 2040

People Jobs People Jobs People Jobs

1/4 Mile 357 2,141 357 2,227 1,604 2,312

1/2 Mile 1,557 1,506 1,613 1,558 3,120 1,645

Note:Unitspresentedaredensity(people/jobspersquaremile).

LandUse

51.8%48.0%

0.1%

Quarter MileFederal/State Land

Public Use

Public/Resources

Residential

Mixed Use

Retail/Service

Service/Office

Production/Service/Warehouse

34.7%

45.2%

18.2%

1.8%

Half Mile

Employment2020

Employment2040

SeniorPopulation



#2DowntownTransitCenterTheDowntownTransitCenterwasidentifiedintheBakersfieldLRTPasanexistingtransitcenterthatwouldbephasedout in themidterm(2021‐2025)and long‐term(2026‐2035)serviceplans.However,thesiteitselfcanbeutilizedforthepotentialforTransitOrientedDevelopment(TOD)duetoitsaccesstotransitandthehighamountofmixed‐uselandusesurroundingthesitetoallowforcompactanddensedevelopment.Inaddition,thesiteislocatedneartheCaliforniaHighSpeedRailStationPlanAreatofurtherenhanceaccess.ThesiteisnearbynineoftheGETbusroutes(22,42,43,45,81,82,83,84,and92)andsevenKernTransitbusroutes(100,110,115,120,130,140,and150).Two existing bike routes are present with three additional routesplanned in theCity’sBicycle TransportationPlan.Among the transitdependent populations, a moderately high concentration of low‐incomeandminoritypopulationsarepresentwhileotherpopulationsare relatively low. Population is expected to become significantlydenser in the short‐term and continue to grow in the long‐term;employmentisalsoexpectedtogrowbetweentheshortandlong‐term(seefigurestotheright).2

2Mapsdisplaya¼mileand½milebufferandareshownbyTAZ.Highconcentrationsareshowninorangetoredforemploymenthigherthan995.

Employment2020

Employment2040

Existing


Minority Population

Youth Population

Senior Population


1/4 Mile 113 (63%) 94 (53%) 24 (13%) 15 (8%) 18 (29%)

1/2 Mile 699 (60%) 519 (45%) 168 (15%) 111 (10%) 106 (21%)


Future



1/4 Mile 1,391 17,888 11,549 18,077 12,666 26,894

1/2 Mile 1,448 14,806 8,694 14,912 9,882 26,725

Note: Units presented are density (people/jobs per square mile).

LandUse

72.8%

27.2%


Public Use

Public/Resources

Residential

Mixed Use

Retail/Service

Service/Office


1.7%

4.4%

49.2%43.8%

0.8%

Half Mile



#3SouthwestTransitCenterTheSouthwestTransitCenterisalsoidentifiedintheBakersfieldLRTPasatransitcenterthatwillbephasedoutinthemidterm(2021‐2025)andlong‐range(2026‐2035)serviceplans,similartotheDowntownTransitCenter.AlsosimilartotheDowntownTransitCentersite,theSouthwestTransitCentersitecanbeutilizedforTODpotential.ThesiteprovidesaccesstoeightGETbusroutes(22,41,42,44,62,81,83,and92)andtwoKernTransitbusroutes(130and145)withina¼milewalkingdistance.Withina½milethereisanadditionalKernTransitbusroute(110)andaCommunityHealthCenter(ClinicaSierraSite).AnexistingClass2bikerouteisadjacenttothesitewithanadditionalClass2bikerouteplanned in theCity’sBicycleTransportationPlan,providing first and lastmileconnections.TheValleyPlazashoppingmall isalsoimmediatelyadjacentwhichfurtherenhancesTODpotential.However,sincetheValleyPlazashoppingmallcurrentlyhasseverallargeretailersonthe site, a relocationof theexisting transit center site to the southat the shopping center at thesouthwestcornerofWilsonRoadandWibleRoadcouldoptimizeTODpotentialbyprovidingahighervariety indense landuses.Theexistingtransitcenter isusedprimarily for transfersand isnotadestinationstation.Thisexistingnatureofthetransitcenterindicatesthatarelocationofthesitewouldnot inhibitexistingGETroutesandservice. Inaddition, the lengthof theexistingbusbayscannot accommodate newer articulatedbuses. The site is also suitable as high concentrations ofemploymentareexpectedintheshort‐term(2020)andthoseprojectionswillmorethandoublebythelong‐term(2040),whichcanhelpsupporttransitcenteractivity.3Amoderateamountoftransitdependentpopulationsarealsopresentwithlow‐income,minority,andyouthpopulations.


LandUse

17.6%

25.5%56.9%


Public Use

Public/Resources

Residential

Mixed Use

Retail/Service

Service/Office


8.1%

46.7%

45.0%

0.2%Half Mile

Existing


Minority Population

Youth Population

Senior Population


1/4 Mile 515 (52%) 516 (52%) 417 (42%) 84 (8%) 20 (7%)

1/2 Mile 2,590 (55%) 2,126 (45%) 1,750 (37%) 405 (9%) 133 (9%)


Future



1/4 Mile 3,159 8,929 3,587 9,000 10,236 22,300

1/2 Mile 5,706 4,621 5,575 4,452 10,096 12,274


Employment2020

Employment2040



ProposedSites#4CaliforniaStateUniversityBakersfieldCaliforniaStateUniversityBakersfieldisasuitablelocationforatransitcenterasithasalreadybeenidentifiedintheBakersfieldLRTPasatransitcenter.Thesiteincludesaccesswithina¼miletofourGETBusRoutes(21,22,61,and82)andtheCaliforniaStateUniversityBakersfieldKernTransitbusstop(120).FirstandlastmileconnectionsaresupportedwithanexistingClass2bikerouteandtwoClass1routes;afutureClass1routeisplannedintheCityofBakersfieldBicycleTransportationPlan.In addition, the Bicycle Transportation Plan also recommends this site as a potential bike sharelocation. While there is not a high concentration of existing transitdependentpopulations(minority,youth,senior,andhouseholdswithnovehicles),existingemploymentishigh(seeemploymentfigurestotheright)andisanticipatedtoremainhighintheshort‐termandlong‐term.4Thesurroundinglanduseisprimarilypublicuse(mostlyduetothe University) in which a transit center can improve access to theUniversity.

4Mapsdisplaya¼mileand½milebufferandareshownbyTAZ.Highconcentrationofemploymentisshowninorangetored(995andhigher),mediumconcentrationsareinorange(between420and994),andyellowtogreensymbolizeslowconcentrations(lessthan419).

Employment2020

Employment2040

Existing


Minority Population

Youth Population

Senior Population


1/4 Mile 64 (32%) 52 (26%) 19 (10%) 14 (7%) 9 (10%)

1/2 Mile 284 (28%) 309 (30%) 174 (17%) 101 (10%) 40 (10%)


Future



1/4 Mile 163 3,433 163 3,458 621 3,458

1/2 Mile 647 3,103 708 3,138 1,366 3,138


LandUse

96.7%

0.6%2.8%


Public Use

Public/Resources

Residential

Mixed Use

Retail/Service

Service/Office


67.6%

17.1%

4.1%

11.3%

Half Mile



#5DowntownTrainStationTheDowntownTrainStationpertainstotheplanningareafortheCaliforniaHighSpeedRail(HSR).Thegoalofthissitelocationistoleveragetheopportunities,suchasTOD,oftheplannedHSRstation.Inordertomaximizefunctionalityandmutualbenefit,CaliforniaHSRstationsandsurroundingdevelopmentneedtobedesignedwithaneyetoeachother.Ifnotcarefullyplanned,conventionaltransitdesigncanseparatetransitstationsfromtheadjacentcommunityitisintendedtoserve.5Forthesereasons,itisimportanttoevaluateallaspectsoftheCaliforniaHSRandthepotentialopportunitiesthatareincludedwithrelationtoTOD.

TherearemanyopportunitiespresentedbytheCaliforniaHSRanditspotentialforTODwhichcanincludelocation,landuse,andtransportation.Locationcanattractemployerstothearea,suchasLosAngeles‐basedemployerstakingadvantageofthefasttraveltimebetweenthetworegions(approximately54minutes)andlookingforlessexpensiveofficespacewhilestillbeingabletomaintainapresenceinLosAngeles.TheareasurroundingtheCaliforniaHSRstationplanningareaofferspotentialforTODwithvacantandpublicly‐ownedparcels.Lastly,theplannedBakersfieldHybridHSRstationisuniqueinthatitwillbetheonlystationwherebothHSRandAmtrakwillmeetatthesamestationenhancingconnectivityandactingasamajorregionalandstatewidehub.6

InordertoleveragetheopportunitiesassociatedwiththeBakersfieldHybridHSRstation,twooptionsarepresentedforaDowntownTrainStationincludingtheexistingAmtrakstationandtheproposedHSRstation.Intheinterim,untiltheHSRstationisimplementedtheAmtrakstationwouldbeasuitablesiteforatransitcenterintheshort‐term;alternatively,asuitablesitecanalsobelocatedattheHSRstationuponimplementationinthelong‐term.Thesetwoscenariosaredescribedinthefollowingsection.

TheCityofBakersfieldhasproposedlocatingtheBakersfieldHSRstationattheFStreetandGoldenStateAvenuepotentialtransitcentersite(Site#9).ThisproposalhasbeendesignatedtheLocallyGeneratedAlternativetotheCAHSRAuthority’sBakersfieldHybridHSRstationsite.

5UrbanDesignGuidelinesCaliforniaHigh‐SpeedTrainProject.March2011.CaliforniaHigh‐SpeedRailAuthority6PlanningTransit‐OrientedDevelopmentaroundHigh‐SpeedRailStationsinFresnoandBakersfield.December2010.DanielKrause



#5aAmtrakStation(Short‐Term)TheAmtrakStation is includedasapotential sitedue to its regionalaccess.Usersof theAmtrakStationareabletoaccessthe45GETbusrouteandfourKernTransitbusroutes(100,120,130,and150)withina¼milewalkingdistance;withina½mileuserscanalsoaccessthe44GETbusrouteand a Women, Infants, and Children (WIC) program (Clinica Sierra Site). First and last mileconnectionsare includedwithanexistingClass2bikeroutewithClass1andClass3bikeroutesplanned in theCity’sBicycleTransportationPlan. Station improvements are also included in theBicycleTransportationPlanandtheKernCOG2014RegionalTransportationPlan.Inaddition,theCaliforniaHighSpeedRail(HSR)BakersfieldStationPlanningAreaislocatedimmediatelysouthoftheAmtrakStation.WhileitislikelytheCaliforniaHSRStationwillreplacetheAmtrakStationasamajor transitcenter, thesiteof theAmtrakStationcouldbeutilizedasTODwithagrowinghighconcentrationofemploymentandamixtureoflandusesinthesurroundingarea.7Theareasurroundingthesite isalsocomprisedofahighamountoftransit dependent populations such as low‐income, minority populations,andhouseholdswithnoaccesstoavehicle.


Employment2020

Employment2040

Existing


Minority Population

Youth Population

Senior Population


1/4 Mile 195 (75%) 168 (65%) 53 (21%) 34 (13%) 36 (36%)

1/2 Mile 1,660 (68%) 1,119 (46%) 475 (19%) 268 (11%) 175 (25%)


Future



1/4 Mile 825 20,368 4,014 28,370 6,255 37,156

1/2 Mile 1,909 12,411 7,511 15,800 9,566 22,113


LandUse

40.9%

22.5%

36.6%


Public Use

Public/Resources

Residential

Mixed Use

Retail/Service

Service/Office


5.6%

39.4%

8.7%

16.4%

30.0%

Half Mile



#5bCaliforniaHighSpeedRailHybridStation(Long‐Term)TheCaliforniaHigh SpeedRail (HSR)Hybrid Station is located immediately southof theAmtrakStationacrossfromtherailroadtracks.ThislocationmakesasuitablesiteduetoitsconnectivitytotheplannedCaliforniaHSRsystemprovidingregionalandstatewideaccess.SimilartotheAmtrakstation,usersareprovidedGETandKernTransitbusrouteswithinwalkingdistanceincludingthe45GETbusrouteandfourKernTransitbusroutes(100,120,130,and150)withina¼milewalkingdistance;withina½mileuserscanalsoaccess the44GETbusrouteandaWomen, Infants,andChildren(WIC)program(ClinicaSierraSite).Firstandlastmiletransitconnections consist of the existing Class 2 bike route along withplanned Class 1 and Class 3 bike routes in the City’s BicycleTransportationPlantoincreasingconnectivity.Highconcentrationsoftransitdependentpopulations(low‐income,minority,andhouseholdswith no vehicle) are present in the surrounding area, furthersupportingthissiteasasuitablelocationforatransitcenterand/oraTOD site.8 Employment density is also anticipated to drasticallyintensifybythelong‐termyear2040.Additionally,ahighportionofthesurroundinglandusesareidentifiedasmixed‐use,allowingfordenseandcompactdevelopment.


Employment2020

Employment2040

Existing


Minority Population

Youth Population

Senior Population


1/4 Mile 251 (65%) 201 (52%) 80 (21%) 39 (10%) 34 (29%)

1/2 Mile 1,910 (66%) 1,174 (40%) 623 (21%) 240 (8%) 137 (19%)


Future



1/4 Mile 210 1,117 392 2,265 666 4,036

1/2 Mile 1,630 8,448 4,038 11,103 5,823 16,441


LandUse

0.5%

25.4%

25.7%

48.4%


Public Use

Public/Resources

Residential

Mixed Use

Retail/Service

Service/Office


1.9%

17.3%

27.5%

15.6%

37.7%

Half Mile



#6NilesandMtVernonAvenueTheparcelsimmediatelyadjacenttotheintersectionofNilesStreetandMtVernonAvenuemakesasuitabletransitcenterlocationwithaccesstotransitandahighconcentrationoftransitdependentpopulations.Atransitcentercouldbelocatedonanyofthefourquadrantsoftheintersection.ThesiteincludesaccesstothreeGETbusroutes(21,41,and45)andthreeKernTransitbusroutes(100,140,and150);firstandlastmileconnectionswillbeenhancedwithafutureClass3andthreefutureClass2bikeroutesthathavebeenidentifiedintheCity’sBicycleTransportationPlan.Inaddition,theEastBakersfieldHighSchoolandKernMedicalCenterarebothwithina½mile.Althoughthelandusesurroundingthesiteisprimarilyresidentialanddoesnotallowformixed‐usedevelopment,theareaisdenselypopulatedwithlow‐income,minority,youth,andhouseholdswithnovehicles(transitdependent users) making this site an ideal location for a transit center.9Populationisanticipatedtoremainrelativelyconsistentintheshortandlong‐termwithsmallgrowthinemploymentbythe long‐termyear2040.Whileasignificantamountofgrowthisnotanticipated,thissiteisstillanideallocationfor a transit center as it improves accessibility for transit dependentpopulationsinadenselypopulatedarea.

9Mapsdisplaya¼mileand½milebufferandareshownbyTAZ.Highconcentrationsareshowninorangetoredforminoritypopulationshigherthan548,youthpopulationshigherthan425,andhouseholdswithnovehiclehigherthan98.

Population 2020

Population2040

HouseholdswithNoVehicles

YouthPopulation

Existing


Minority Population

Youth Population

Senior Population


1/4 Mile 1,368 (66%) 1,012 (49%) 743 (36%) 72 (3%) 162 (28%)

1/2 Mile 4,490 (66%) 3,455 (51%) 2,609 (38%) 476 (4%) 527 (30%)


Future



1/4 Mile 10,041 276 10,041 292 11,448 482

1/2 Mile 8,620 780 8,640 798 10,209 983


LandUse

2.0%

75.3%

22.8%


Public Use

Public/Resources

Residential

Mixed Use

Retail/Service

Service/Office


17.3%

61.3%

11.6 %

9.9%

Half Mile



#7PanamaLaneandHwy99WhilenotlocatedinthecenterofMetroBakersfield,theintersectionofPanamaLaneandHighway99 is a site location for apotential transit center. The site is anticipated todouble in populationdensitybetweentheshortandlong‐termyearsandprovidesaccesstomultipletransitlines.RegionalandlocalaccessisavailablewithsixGETbusroutes(41,42,47,61,62,and92)andtwoKernTransitbus routes (130 and 145). First and lastmile connections to the transit center are offeredwithproposed future Class 2 and Class 1 routes in the City’s Bicycle Transportation Plan. Thedemographicsforthesurroundingareaincludeamoderatelyhighamountoflow‐income,minority,andyouthpopulations(transitdependentpopulations).10 Althoughtheland uses for the site are primarily retail and residential, thedemographics for thearea indicate thepopulation is transitdependentwith a moderately high amount of low‐income, minority, and youthpopulations. A transit center at this location can improve upon theexistingaccessibilityfortheseusersandassistwiththepopulationgrowthbetweenshortandlong‐termyears.

10Mapsdisplaya¼mileand½milebufferandareshownbyTAZ.Highconcentrationsareshowninorangetoredforpopulationshigherthan1,670,minoritypopulationshigherthan548,andyouthpopulationshigherthan425.

Population2020

Population2040

YouthPopulation

MinorityPopulation

Existing


Minority Population

Youth Population

Senior Population


1/4 Mile 610 (57%) 530 (49%) 360 (33%) 51 (5%) 18 (7%)

1/2 Mile 2,329 (55%) 2,065 (48%) 1,414 (33%) 225 (5%) 58 (5%)


Future



1/4 Mile 616 1,861 820 197 1,745 197

1/2 Mile 4,233 835 5,655 1,077 9,353 1,491


LandUse

33.3%

16.8%

50.0%

Quarter Mile

Federal/State Land

Public Use

Public/Resources

Residential

Mixed Use

Retail/Service

Service/Office


10.8%

55.1%

31.5%

2.7%

Half Mile



#8MtVernonAveandHwy178SouthalongMountVernonAvenueattheintersectionofHighway178isasitelocationforapotentialtransitcenter.ThislocationisanidealsiteforapotentialtransitcenterasitiswithincloseproximityoftheEastHillsShoppingMall.RegionalandlocalaccessisavailablewiththreeGETbusroutes(21,43,and44)withina¼mileradiusandaWomen,Infants,andChildren(WIC)program(ClinicaSierraSite)iswithincloseproximity.FirstandlastmileconnectionstothetransitcenterareenhancedwithanexistingClass2bikeroutesandanadditionalfutureClass2routeproposedintheCity’sBicycleTransportationPlan.Althoughpopulationdensitybetween theshortand long‐termyearsremainrelativelyconstant,amoderatelyhighamountof low‐income,minority,andyouthpopulations(transitdependentpopulations(transitdependentpopulations)arewithinthesurroundareas.11Thelandusesforthesiteareprimarilyretailandresidentialwithamixtureofpublicuse.Thesite’sadjacentlocationtotheEastHillsShoppingMallanditsconcentrationoftransitdependentpopulationsenhancesitspotentialtobecomeeligiblefor TOD. A transit center at this location can improve access forneighboringpopulationsandassist inprovidingaccesstotheEastHillsShoppingMall.

11Mapsdisplaya¼mileand½milebufferandareshownbyTAZ.Highconcentrationsareshowninorangetoredforpopulationshigherthan1,670,minoritypopulationshigherthan548,andyouthpopulationshigherthan425.

Low‐IncomePopulation

MinorityPopulation

YouthPopulation

Existing


Minority Population

Youth Population

Senior Population


1/4 Mile 657 (53%) 554 (45%) 403 (32%) 146 (12%) 60 (15%)

1/2 Mile 2,530 (48%) 2,174 (41%) 1,588 (30%) 594 (11%) 201 (12%)


Future



1/4 Mile 842 785 850 695 1,001 695

1/2 Mile 4,128 2,124 4,053 2,069 5,868 2,069


LandUse

12.5%

28.9%58.6%

Quarter Mile

Federal/State Land

Public Use

Public/Resources

Residential

Mixed Use

Retail/Service

Service/Office


8.3%

49.9%

41.6%

0.1%

Half Mile



#9FStreetandGoldenStateAvenue(LocallyGeneratedAlternativeHSRStation)NorthoftheexistingAmtrakStationattheintersectionofFStreetandGoldenStateAvenue(Highway204) is also a site location for a potential transit center. The site location has a high amount ofretail/servicelandusewithina¼mileradiussupportingthesiteasatransitcenter;withina½mileradiusthereisalsopublicuse/resourceareas.RegionalandlocalaccessisavailablewithtwoGETbusroutes(22,and42),andtwoKernTransitbusroutes(110and150)withina½mileradius.FirstandlastmileconnectionstothetransitcenterincludeexistingLocal,Class1,andClass2bikeroutesandfutureLocalandClass2routesproposedinthe City’s Bicycle Transportation Plan. While there is not a highconcentration of existing transit dependent populations (low‐income,minority, youth, senior, andhouseholdswithno vehicles), employmentgrowthisanticipatedtotriplebylongtermyear2040(seeemploymentfigurestotheright).12Atransitcenteratthislocationcanassistwiththeanticipated employment growth andprovidemulti‐model access to thenearby future employment centers. However, the site is locatedimmediately north of Golden State Ave (Highway 204) and presents achallengeforaccessacrossthehighway;additionally,lineofsightfromtheroadisnotoptimalduetothegeographyofthesite.


Employment2020

Employment2040

Existing


Minority Population

Youth Population

Senior Population


1/4 Mile 118 (38%) 94 (30%) 64 (21%) 33 (11%) 23 (19%)

1/2 Mile 1,108 (51%) 695 (32%) 468 (22%) 209 (10%) 158 (19%)


Future



1/4 Mile 424 978 361 1,044 424 2,693

1/2 Mile 1,952 3,494 2,123 3,598 2,913 9,079


LandUse

3.8%16.5%

41.1%

38.6%

Quarter Mile

Federal/State Land

Public Use

Public/Resources

Residential

Mixed Use

Retail/Service

Service/Office


13.1%

3.6%

31.0%27.1%

25.2%

Half Mile



DemographicSummaryThedemographicsforeachsitearesummarizedinthetablesbelowforexistingandprojected.Siteswerepartiallyselectedbasedontheirexistingandprojecteddemographics.Forexistingdemographicshighconcentrationoftransitdependentuserssuchaslow‐income,minority,youth,senior,andhouseholdswithnovehicleswerecriteriaforasiterecommendation.Theprojecteddemographicswereusedtodeterminethedegreeofgrowththatisanticipatedbetweenthebaseyear,shorttermandlongtermyears.Theselectedsitesalldisplayedahighconcentrationoftransitdependentpopulationsandanticipatedgrowthandwereselectedforthesereasons.

Quarter Mile (Existing)

Site Description Total

Population Total

Households Low‐Income Population

Minority Population

Youth Population

Senior Population


1 Bakersfield College 206 85 87 (42%) 102 (50%) 38 (18%) 40 (19%) 2 (2%)

2 Downtown Transit Center 180 63 113 (63%) 94 (53%) 24 (13%) 15 (8%) 18 (29%)

3 Southwest Transit Center 1,000 313 515 (52%) 516 (52%) 417 (42%) 84 (8%) 20 (7%)

4 Cal State Bakersfield 201 87 64 (32%) 52 (26%) 19 (10%) 14 (7%) 9 (10%)

5a Amtrak Station 258 102 195 (75%) 168 (65%) 53 (21%) 34 (13%) 36 (36%)

5b CA HSR 388 117 251 (65%) 201 (52%) 80 (21%) 39 (10%) 34 (29%)

6 Niles and Vernon Ave 2,069 588 1368 (66%) 1012 (49%) 743 (36%) 72 (3%) 162 (28%)

7 Panama Ln and Hwy 99 1,077 259 610 (57%) 530 (49%) 360 (33%) 51 (5%) 18 (7%)

8 Vernon Ave and Hwy 178 1,245 391 657 (53%) 554 (45%) 403 (32%) 146 (12%) 60 (15%)

9 F St and Golden State Ave 310 121 118 (38%) 94 (30%) 64 (21%) 33 (11%) 23 (19%)

Half Mile (Existing)

Site Description Total

Population Total

Households Low‐Income Population

Minority Population

Youth Population

Senior Population


1 Bakersfield College 1,493 552 548 (37%) 505 (34%) 345 (23%) 238 (16%) 28 (5%)

2 Downtown Transit Center 1,156 496 699 (60%) 519 (45%) 168 (15%) 111 (10%) 106 (21%)

3 Southwest Transit Center 4,681 1,448 2590 (55%) 2126 (45%) 1750 (37%) 405 (9%) 133 (9%)

4 Cal State Bakersfield 1,021 415 284 (28%) 309 (30%) 174 (17%) 101 (10%) 40 (10%)

5a Amtrak Station 2,440 700 1660 (68%) 1119 (46%) 475 (19%) 268 (11%) 175 (25%)

5b CA HSR 2,904 740 1910 (66%) 1174 (40%) 623 (21%) 240 (8%) 137 (19%)

6 Niles and Vernon Ave 6,790 1,780 4490 (66%) 3435 (51%) 2609 (38%) 276 (4%) 527 (30%)

7 Panama Ln and Hwy 99 4,262 1,062 2329 (55%) 2065 (48%) 1414 (33%) 225 (5%) 58 (5%)

8 Vernon Ave and Hwy 178 5,263 1,682 2,530 (48%) 2,174 (41%) 1,588 (30%) 594 (11%) 201 (12%)

9 F St and Golden State Ave 2,173 849 1,108 (51%) 695 (32%) 468 (22%) 209 (10%) 158 (19%)



Quarter Mile (Projected)

Site Description Population Employment

Base 2020 2035 2040 Base 2020 2035 2040

1 Bakersfield College 71 70 237 315 420 437 452 454

2 Downtown Transit Center 274 2,267 2,469 2,486 3,511 3,548 5,249 5,279

3 Southwest Transit Center 620 704 2,007 2,009 1,753 1,767 4,377 4,377

4 Cal State Bakersfield 32 32 86 122 674 679 711 679

5a Amtrak Station 163 788 1,227 1,228 3,998 5,569 7,290 7,293

5b CA HSR 211 393 666 666 1,117 2,265 4,030 4,036

6 Niles and Mt. Vernon Ave 1,972 1,972 2,059 2,247 54 57 57 95

7 Panama Ln and Hwy 99 122 161 343 343 365 39 39 39

8 Mt. Vernon Ave and Hwy 178 842 850 880 1,001 785 695 695 695

9 F St and Golden State Ave 424 362 380 424 978 1,044 2,393 2,693

Half Mile (Projected)

Site Description Population Employment

Base 2020 2035 2040 Base 2020 2035 2040

1 Bakersfield College 1,223 1,266 2,179 2,450 1,183 1,224 1,249 1,292

2 Downtown Transit Center 1,137 6,827 7,649 7,760 11,627 11,710 20,837 20,986

3 Southwest Transit Center 4,481 4,378 7,862 7,928 3,628 3,496 9,553 9,638

4 Cal State Bakersfield 508 556 894 1,073 2,437 2,464 2,464 2,464

5a Amtrak Station 1,499 5,898 7,404 7,512 9,746 12,407 17,351 17,365

5b CA HSR 1,630 4,038 5,777 5,823 8,448 11,103 16,401 16,441

6 Niles and Mt. Vernon Ave 6,769 6,785 7,110 8,017 612 627 631 772

7 Panama Ln and Hwy 99 3,324 4,441 7,345 7,345 656 846 1,113 1,171

8 Mt. Vernon Ave and Hwy 178 4,128 4,053 4,494 5,868 2,124 2,069 2,069 2,069

9 F St and Golden State Ave 1,952 2,123 2,232 2,913 3,494 3,598 8,330 9,079

LandUseSummaryInadditiontothedemographicsofthesurroundingareas,siteswerealsoselectedbasedontheirsurroundinglanduses.Thesurroundinglandusesarevitaltosupportatransitcenter,astheimmediateadjacentarea’sabilitytoattractand/orproduceactivityofferridershipforatransitcenter.Sitescontainingahighportionofresidentiallanduseswereselectedfortheirpotentialtogeneratetripsonlyifthedemographicsoftheresidentsincludeahighconcentrationoftransitdependentpopulations.Sitescontainingheavyamountsofpublicusesandretailindicatedahighpotentialtoattracttrips.Inaddition,siteswithasignificantamountofmixeduselanduseswereincludedfortheirpotentialtopromotecompactdevelopmentandplayanimportantroleinTODdevelopment;thedenserdevelopmentisabletocaptureandservealargerpopulation,increasingtheefficiencyoftransitcenter.



Quarter Mile

Site Description Public Use

Public Resources

Residential Mixed Use

Retail/ Service

Production/ Service/Warehouse

Total

1 Bakersfield College 51.8% 48.0% 0.1% ‐‐ ‐‐ ‐‐ 100.0%

2 Downtown Transit Center ‐‐ ‐‐ ‐‐ 72.8% 27.2% ‐‐ 100.0%

3 Southwest Transit Center 17.6% ‐‐ 25.5% ‐‐ 56.9% ‐‐ 100.0%

4 Cal State Bakersfield 96.7% 0.6% ‐‐ ‐‐ 2.8% ‐‐ 100.0%

5a Amtrak Station ‐‐ ‐‐ ‐‐ 71.9% 3.4% 24.7% 100.0%

5b CA HSR ‐‐ ‐‐ 0.5% 25.4% 25.7% 48.4% 100.0%

6 Niles and Vernon Ave 2.0% ‐‐ 75.3% ‐‐ 22.8% ‐‐ 100.0%

7 Panama Ln and Hwy 99 33.3% ‐‐ 16.8% ‐‐ 50.0% ‐‐ 100.0%

8 Mt. Vernon Ave and Hwy 178 12.5% ‐‐ 28.9% ‐‐ 58.6% ‐‐ 100.0%

9 F St and Golden State Ave 3.8% ‐‐ 16.5% ‐‐ 41.1% 38.6% 100.0%

Half Mile

Site Description Public Use

Public Resources

Residential Mixed Use

Retail/ Service

Production/ Service/Warehouse

Total

1 Bakersfield College 34.7% 45.2% 18.2% ‐‐ 1.8% ‐‐ 100.0%

2 Downtown Transit Center 1.7% ‐‐ 4.4% 49.2% 43.8% 0.8% 100.0%

3 Southwest Transit Center 8.1% ‐‐ 46.7% ‐‐ 45.0% 0.2% 100.0%

4 Cal State Bakersfield 67.6% 17.1% 4.1% ‐‐ 11.3% ‐‐ 100.0%

5a Amtrak Station 0.0% 5.6% 39.4% 8.7% 16.4% 30.0% 100.0%

5b CA HSR 1.9% ‐‐ 17.3% 27.5% 15.6% 37.7% 100.0%

6 Niles and Vernon Ave 17.3% ‐‐ 61.3% ‐‐ 11.6% 9.9% 100.0%

7 Panama Ln and Hwy 99 10.8% ‐‐ 55.1% ‐‐ 31.5% 2.7% 100.0%

8 Mt. Vernon Ave and Hwy 178 8.3% ‐‐ 49.9% ‐‐ 41.6% 0.1% 100.0%

9 F St and Golden State Ave 13.1% 3.6% 31.0% ‐‐ 27.1% 25.2% 100.0%

SecondaryPotentialSitesThroughouttheoutreachprocess,whichincludedgeneralpublicoutreachandmeetingswithstakeholdersandsteeringcommitteemembers,otheradditionalsiteswereidentified.Thesiteswereidentifiedbasedonthefeedbackofstakeholdersandthepubliccommunitytoidentifyareasoutsideoftherecommendedsitelocations.Theselocationswerenotincludedasrecommendedsitesduetolimitedlandusepatterns,population,employment,orothertransitdependentfactors,reducingthesitesabilitytobealocationforaTransitCenterorTODsite.However,shouldanyofthesefactorsunexpectedlyincrease;thesesiteshavethepotentialtobecomeideallocationsforaTransitCenteroraTODsite.ThesitelocationsareshowninFigure15andinclude:

SantaFeWayand7thStandardRoad

ChinaGradeLoopatAirportDrive

ChinaGradeLoopatNorthChesterAvenue

MorningDriveandHighway178

CaliforniaAvenueandHighway99



Inaddition,resultingfromtheoutreachprocess,twosites(listedbelow)initiallyidentifiedasprimarypotentialsitesbytheconsultantteamweredeterminedmoresuitableassecondarypotentialsites.Duetopreviouslybeingconsideredprimarypotentialsites,analysesforthesesiteshadpreviouslybeenconducted.Theanalysesareshownbelowforreferencepurposes;detailedanalysisoftheremainingsecondarypotentialsiteswillnotbecompleted.

MorningDriveandHwy178

CaliforniaAvenueandHwy99



Figure14:SecondarySites



MorningDriveandHwy178AtransitcenterlocatedatMorningDriveandHighway178isrecommendedbasedonfutureprojections.WhilethereiscurrentlynoGETand/orKernTransitbusservice,thegrowthpatternofexpandingtotheeastwilllikelyimpactthedemandforservice;populationdensitiesareexpectedtoatleastdoubleinthelong‐term.Currently,thesurroundingarea(beyonda½miledistance)isprimarilyundevelopedand/orzonedforlow‐densityresidentialindicatingthatthissitemaybesuitableforparkandridefacilitiestocomplementitssurroundinglandusesandincreasemultimodalism.13Inaddition,thelocationofthissitecapturesthehighestvarietyoflandusestoenhanceTODfunctionality.Firstandlastmileconnectionsareanticipatedtobeenhancedwith2proposedClass2routeswithinproximityoftheproposedsite;additionally,GETandKernTransitbusrouteswouldneedtobeexpandedandincorporatedforthissitetobecomeaviablesitelocation.Basedonthecurrentprojectionsandthesurroundingandimmediatelanduses,thissiteismostsuitabletoassistinaddressingtheeasterngrowthpattern.

13Mapsdisplaya¼mileand½milebufferandareshownbyTAZ.Highconcentrationsareshowninorangetoredforpopulationshigherthan1,670.

Population2020

Population2040

Existing


Minority Population

Youth Population

Senior Population


1/4 Mile 290 (43%) 234 (35%) 145 (21%) 55 (8%) 13 (5%)

1/2 Mile 815 (43%) 635 (34%) 409 (22%) 170 (9%) 37 (5%)


Future



1/4 Mile 697 46 1,002 55 1,281 55

1/2 Mile 1,941 126 3,300 154 4,726 162


LandUse

0.4%

56.1%43.5%

Quarter Mile

Federal/State Land

Public Use

Public/Resources

Residential

Mixed Use

Retail/Service

Service/Office


2.9%

77.8%

19.2%

Half Mile



CaliforniaAveandHwy99ApotentialtransitcentersiteislocatedjusteastoftheintersectionofCaliforniaAvenueandHighway99duetoitsmixtureoflanduse,accesstotransit,andemploymentgrowthprojections.RegionalandlocalaccessisprovidedbyfiveGETbusroutes(21,43,81,83,and92)andthe130KernTransitbusroute;firstandlastmileconnectionsenhancemultimodalconnectivitywithanexistingClass1bikerouteandaproposedClass3bikerouteidentifiedintheCity’sBicycleTransportationPlan.Thesiteisalsolocatedalongaprimarycorridor(CaliforniaAve)whichprovidesaccesstotheCaliforniaHSRstationplanningarea.Althoughthereisnotanexistinghighconcentrationoftransitdependentpopulations,existingemploymentismoderatelyhighandisexpectedtogrowinthelong‐term.14Inaddition,amixtureoflanduseswillprovideserviceforemployers,residents,andretailshoppers.


Employment2020

Employment2040

Existing


Minority Population

Youth Population

Senior Population


1/4 Mile 279 (43%) 190 (29%) 171 (26%) 62 (10%) 20 (8%)

1/2 Mile 1,189 (44%) 855 (32%) 730 (27%) 274 (10%) 82 (8%)


Future



1/4 Mile 473 2,159 448 2,153 765 3,445

1/2 Mile 2,467 4,707 2,414 4,699 3,585 9,587


LandUse

9.2% 14.0%

56.9%

20.0%

Quarter Mile

Federal/State Land

Public Use

Public/Resources

Residential

Mixed Use

Retail/Service

Service/Office


10.0%1.7%

26.6%

41.6%

20.0%

Half Mile



ConclusionsandNextStepsSeveralofthetenrecommendedtransitcentersidentifiedthroughoutthisstudywouldbesuitableforshort‐termimplementationwhileothersmoresuitableforthelongterm,horizonyearof2040.Ofthetensites,itisanticipatedthatthefollowingcouldbeenhanced(ifexisting)orimplementedintheshortterm.

Site#1:BakersfieldCollege

Site#2:DowntownTransitCenter

Site#3:SouthwestTransitCenter

Site#4:CaliforniaStateUniversityBakersfield

Site#5a:AmtrakStation

Thisrecommendationisbasedonitbeinganexistinglocation,alreadyidentifiedasapotentialtransitcenterintheLRTP,minimalimprovementsareneededforimplementation,orhighdemographicgrowthin2020isanticipated.WhilesomesiteswereidentifiedintheLRTPtobephasedoutintheinterimyears,thesesitesshouldberevisitedforimprovementsandpotentialforTODinthelong‐term.

Thelocationsmoresuitableforthelong‐termarehighlydependentonmajorfuturetransitservicesuchastheHSRtobesuccessful,significantgrowthdoesnotoccuruntil2035or2040,orlandusedesignationsorsignificantpropertyacquisitionswouldberequired.SomeoftheexistingtransitcentersitesplannedtobephasedoutinthefutureaccordingtotheLRTPcouldbesuitableforfutureTODdevelopmentandarethereforecouldseesignificantimprovementsinthelong‐termevenwhilenotidentifiedasalong‐termtransitcenter.Thefollowingsitesarerecommendedforlong‐termimplementation.

Site#5b:CaliforniaHighSpeedRailStation

Site#6:NilesandMt.VernonAvenue

Site#7:PanamaLaneandHighway99

Site#8:Mt.VernonAvenueandHighway178

Site#9:FStreetandGoldenStateAvenue

Inadditiontotherecommendedsites,otherlocationshavealsobeenidentifiedwhichhavethepotentialtobecomeTransitCenterorTODsitelocations.Thesesitesarenotrecommendedatthistime,however,shouldchangestolandusepatternsorunexpectedgrowthinpopulation,employment,orothertransitdependentfactorsincreasethesesitesshouldbereevaluated.

TobuildontheworkcompletedunderthisTasktoidentifysuitabletransitcenterlocations,thenextstepswillbetoperformamarketstudyontwooftheselectedsitesforpotentialTOD.The



selectionofthetwositestobestudiedinthemarketstudywillbedeterminedbyinputfromtheprojectteamwhichincludesthestakeholdersandconsultantteam.AthoroughmarketstudywillbeperformedonthetwoselectedsitesandpresentedtotheprojectteamandprojectSteeringCommitteepriortopresentationtothegeneralpublic.

Task3 Proposed Transit Center Sites v9 · 3/18/2015 · Task3_Proposed Transit Center Sites_v9.2b addition, existing Land Use and Transit Maps are included. These were mapped to

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