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Needs for climate change adaptation in coffee
13

Systems research for climate smart agriculture an example of coffee in East-Africa by Laurence Jassogne et al

Jul 16, 2015

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Page 1: Systems research for climate smart agriculture an example of coffee in East-Africa by Laurence Jassogne et al

Needs for climate change adaptation in coffee

Initiative for coffee & climate

founding members

new members

implementing agents

strategic partners

2

Page 2: Systems research for climate smart agriculture an example of coffee in East-Africa by Laurence Jassogne et al

Sustainable intensification and climate smart agriculture

CSA and SI are highly complementary CSA 1) Increase productivity to support income, food security and development 2) Increasing adaptive capacity at multiple levels 3) Decrease GHG emissions and increase carbon sinks SI 1) Increased crop production to sustain livelihoods 2) Low environmental impact 3) Future generations

Campbell et al., 2014

Page 3: Systems research for climate smart agriculture an example of coffee in East-Africa by Laurence Jassogne et al

Coffee systems will change in the future

Page 4: Systems research for climate smart agriculture an example of coffee in East-Africa by Laurence Jassogne et al

Climate change adaptation per location

Planning for climate change adaptation in coffee: different things in different locations - Adapt your systems - Adapt your crops – change your crops

Current suitability Future suitability

Page 5: Systems research for climate smart agriculture an example of coffee in East-Africa by Laurence Jassogne et al

Impact of climate change on coffee

Climate change has an impact on coffee directly and an impact on pests and diseases

Is altitude (climate) the real factor?

There is a significant interaction between production systems

Example of Coffee Berry Disease ( but also coffee stem borer and leaf rust)

Page 6: Systems research for climate smart agriculture an example of coffee in East-Africa by Laurence Jassogne et al

What can we do? Importance of scales

Page 7: Systems research for climate smart agriculture an example of coffee in East-Africa by Laurence Jassogne et al

Adaptation at plant and plot level

At plant level: drought/disease resistant varieties, pesticides, herbicides, fertilizers, GAP, etc. At plot level: coffee x banana, integrated soil fertility management, coffee x shade, etc.

§ Soil P deficiency

§ Low coffee plant density

§ Soil K deficiency

§ Soil P concentration

§ High shade tree density

§ Unfavourable soil pH

§ Soil Mg concentration

§ Elevation

§ Lack of mulching

§ Soil K deficiency

§ Lack of mulching

§ Low coffee plant density

§ Coffee twig borer

§ Old coffee trees

774 kg/ha (1500 kg/ha)

760 kg/ha (1464 kg/ha)

778 kg/ha (1737 kg/ha)

966 kg/ha (1701 kg/ha)

1090 kg/ha (2244kg/ha)

YieldgapanalysisforcoffeeinUganda

Page 8: Systems research for climate smart agriculture an example of coffee in East-Africa by Laurence Jassogne et al

What about adoption?

Need short-term benefits for the farmers

Do attitudes matter for technology adoption?

Pessimist Negative attitude, does not think farming is a

good investment. Prefers investing in off-farm

activities.

Pragmatist Positively coping, farming is a good

investment but children should not farm.

Trapped Does not want to farm and has low hope. But seems to be trapped in farming.

Optimist Proud to be a farmer,

farming is good invesmtent. Wants children to farm.

Page 9: Systems research for climate smart agriculture an example of coffee in East-Africa by Laurence Jassogne et al

Who can invest?

Not every investment costs the same money, we need to know which strategies are needed where, but we also need to know their cost

Page 10: Systems research for climate smart agriculture an example of coffee in East-Africa by Laurence Jassogne et al

Community in a landscape

Coffee and other crops

Wetland

Communal grazing land

Intensifying? Adapt to CC?

Eucalyptus

Need to develop more resilient agricultural practices - Shaded coffee systems - Integrated soil fertility management - Water harvesting technologies - Crop diversification / shifts

Page 11: Systems research for climate smart agriculture an example of coffee in East-Africa by Laurence Jassogne et al

Climate change adaptation at policy and institutional level

Align wetland policy with climate change adaptation plan

In the case of Rakai

Other challenges

Planning: - Develop climate change adaptation plan at national and regional level - What is the vision for the future? - Scaling?

Adoption: - Quality of inputs

Page 12: Systems research for climate smart agriculture an example of coffee in East-Africa by Laurence Jassogne et al

Conclusions

Possible changes in land use and crops induced by climate change

2300m

1400m

1000m

Mountain

forest

Arabica

Robusta

Cocoa / Oil palm Lowland Forest

sea level

Change crop and move up

• Lowland forest → Cocoa / Oil palm

• Robusta coffee → Cocoa / Oil Palm

• Arabica coffee → Robusta coffee

• Highland forest → Arabica coffee

Plot level functions Full sun monocrop

Shade tree monocrop

Banana / food intercrop

Polyculture system

Forest system

Yield quantity

Yield quality

External input use

Nutrient recycling

Production risks

Plantation life

Food security

CC adaptation

Carbon stock

Ecological services light color = low → dark color = high

• Training packages need to be planned by location • Climate change adaptation also means developing other livelihood options than coffee • Most of the research on climate change adaptation at plant and plot level • There are different types of coffee farmers • We need to have an investment scale with the technologies adapted to farmer types • Constraints at landscape level might prevent adoption of CSA practices • Constraints at policy level might prevent adoption of CSA practices

Page 13: Systems research for climate smart agriculture an example of coffee in East-Africa by Laurence Jassogne et al

Coffee systems: nested scales

Thank you

- PhD and MSc students - IITA: Piet van Asten, Edidah Ampaire, Herbert Ainembabazi, Richard Asare, Sander Muilerman, Els Lecoutere, Franco Magnet, David Mukasa - CIAT: Peter Laderach, Mark Lundy - ICRAF: Philippe Vaast - University of Goettingen: Sophie Graefe and Anthony Withbread - WUR: Ken Giller, Pablo Titonnell, Walter Rossing, Johannes Scholberg - KUL: Roel Merckx - NaCORI: Godfrey Kagezi, Wilberforce Wododa - TACRi: Prof. Teri, Mr. Maro and Mrs. Suzana Mmbwambo - CRIG: Dr. Kwapong - HRNS: Stefan Cognini, David, Fortunate Paska, Ghiskaine Bongers, Britta Deutsch - Agro-Eco: Boudewijn van Elzakker, Willem-Albert Toose