Swinomish Climate Change Initiative: Vulnerability Assessment and Action Plan ATNI Tribal Leaders Summit on Climate Change March 10 , 2015 Larry Campbell &Jamie Donatuto, Swinomish Indian Tribal Community
Dec 19, 2015
Swinomish Climate Change Initiative: Vulnerability Assessment and Action Plan
ATNI Tribal Leaders Summit on Climate Change
March 10 , 2015
Larry Campbell &Jamie Donatuto, Swinomish Indian Tribal Community
SWINOMISHINDIAN
RESERVATION
ISLANDFIDALGO
Swinomish
Village
Tribal HQ
Swinomish Indian Reservation
Sea Level Rise + Tidal Storm Surge = Bigger Storm Waves
Today’s 100-yr flood event
becomes a 10-yr event at ~2050.
By 2100, it becomes a 1-yr
event.
Swinomish Climate Change Initiative
Year 1 – Technical Report (2009):- Impact assessment- Vulnerability assessment- Risk analysis
Year 2 – Action Plan (2010):- Review strategies, criteria- Assess requirements- Develop/prioritize recommendations
www.swinomish-nsn.gov/climate_change/project/reports.html
Impact Scoping MatrixSwinomish Climate Change Initiative
Fishing facilities ShellfishBeach seining
Impacts on Tribal Resources
Wetlands Groundwater recharge
TOO MUCH WATER:
Streamflows
TOO LITTLE WATER:
Structures
Property Type Number AcresApproximate
Value
Residential 1,368 1,995 $ 493,688,000
Non-Residential 9 143 $ 4,806,000
Buildable Lots 183 80 $ 19,918,000
TOTAL 1,560 2,218 $ 518,412,000
Wildfire Risk Zone
Impacts on Human Health
Heat-related illness (exhaustion, stroke)
Respiratory problems (asthma, air quality)
Opportunistic viruses (West Nile, flu)
Emerging health threats (fungal, viral)
Food-borne/pollution related threats (toxins, water quality)
Action Plan, Chpt 4: Cultural Tradition and Community Health
“Community wellness” addresses issues of community resilience and cultural sovereignty that are vital to preparing for significant changes
health indicators -- community cohesion, food security, ceremonial use, knowledge transmission, and self determination.
• e.g., healing gardens, language programs
Sea Level Rise
Seawalls (Armoring)
Access/Sediments (erosion)
Shellfish
Overview: 2013 NPLCC Pilot Study
Swinomish Community Health
JD
2100
By 2100 ~27% decrease in suitable shellfish growth & harvest area
Shellfish Area
Today there are roughly 20 acres suitable for growing and harvesting shellfish at Lone Tree Point
2013
JD
Community-based Indigenous health indicators (IHIs):
COMMUNITY CONNECTION
SELF DETERMINATION
CALM MIND (BALANCE OR EMOTIONAL STABILITY)
NATURAL RESOURCES SECURITY
CULTURAL USE
EDUCATION
Workshops
Access: On a scale of 1-4, are there enough locations available to harvest?
1. Things are very bad
2. Not very good
3. Looking pretty good
4. We’re doing great
Access: On a scale of 1-4, will there be enough locations available to harvest in 2100?
Now:
0%
46%
46%
8%
2100:18%64%18%
0%
NRS = Natural Resources Security CU = Cultural UseED = Education CC = Community ConnectionSD = Self-Determination CM = Calm Mind (Emitional
Security)
EPA STAR Project: First Foods and Habitats
Associated Habitats Pocket estuaries
Eelgrass beds
Beach
Bluff and backshore
Agent of Change (Drivers)
Sea-Level Rise
Storm Surge and Waves
Sediment Dynamics
Salinity Gradients
Concerns Salmon
Forage Fish
Juvenile Crab
Clams
Traditional Plants
Cultural Sites
Assess First Foods’ nearshore habitats
Nearshore area lost
Maps & models of potential impacts to Swinomish first foods & culturally important areas
Inundation increases5%-24% by 2100
Community Advisory Board & Workshops
Education & Dissemination
Environmental Education & Community Health Education projects within Tribe
Regional & national conferences
Short film(s)
Webinars
“Template” booklet of methods to share with other Tribes
Support undergraduate and graduate interns
THANK YOU
For more information, please contact:
Larry Campbell(360) [email protected]
Dr. Jamie Donatuto(360) 466-1532jdonatuto@
swinomish.nsn.us
Research supported by: Swinomish Tribe; EPA STAR #83479101 & #83559501; NPLCC & USFWS
#F12AP00994
IHI website: www.swinomish-nsn.gov/ihi/