Paving the Way for Sustainable Freight Transport Qatar National Convention Centre / Auditorium 3 Doha, 25 April 2012 - 15.00–18.00 “Sustainable Freight Transport: Improving the environmental sustainability of transport and logistics” Professor Alan MCKINNON Kühne Logistics University Hamburg
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Paving the Way for Sustainable Freight Transport
Qatar National Convention Centre / Auditorium 3
Doha, 25 April 2012 - 15.00–18.00
“Sustainable Freight Transport:
Improving the environmental sustainability of transport and
logistics”
Professor Alan MCKINNON
Kühne Logistics University
Hamburg
Sustainable Freight Transport:
Improving the environmental sustainability of transport and logistics
Professor Alan McKinnon
Kühne Logistics University
Hamburg
UNCTAD 13
Paving the Way for Sustainable Freight Transport
Doha
25th April 2012
Economic
objectives
Environmental
objectives
Social
objectives
Sustainable
Logistics
Tightening Emission Standards
Part
icula
tes (
g / k
Wh)
NOx (g/kWh)
LOCAL
Health & air quality
REGIONAL
Acidification
photochemical
GLOBAL
Greenhouse -indirect
Greenhouse - direct
Effect PM HM NH3 SO2 NOx NMVOC CO CH4 CO2 N2O
EU India
(cities) India
(nationwide)
Euro 1 1993 2000 2000
Euro 2 1996 2003 2005
Euro 3 2000 2005 2010
Euro 4 2005 2010
Emission standard time-lag
Average Fuel Efficiency of New European Trucks (38 - 40t GVW) litres / 100 km
tightening Euro - emission standard
Source “Lastautomnibus” Test report 1966 - 2005, (all Brands) – quoted in Mercedes presentation (2011)
Test reports of new truck fuel efficiency 1966 - 2010
Steep reductions in fuel consumption and emissions per tonne-km
Growth of total tonne-kms counteracting this trend
Forecast Growth of Freight Transport Activity by Region 2000-2050
Source: World Business Council for Sustainable Development - Mobility 2030 report
Limited Evidence of Freight Traffic / GDP Decoupling
Ratio of Tonne-kms to GDP In
de
x (
20
00
= 1
00
)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
EU27
UK
Spain
China
Sources: Eurostat and Chinese government
Objective is not to decouple freight volumes from GDP but rather
to decouple freight-related externalities from GDP
Minimising distances freight is moved will not necessarily
minimise environmental impacts on a full life cycle basis
Projected Growth of Inland Freight Movement (billion tonne-km)
Source: EU Transvisions project (2009)
(McKinsey, 2010)
India
EU
+160%
+166% 13 years
43 years
Improvements to transport
infrastructure – mainly road
Centralisation
Increased length of haul
Increased freight transport intensity
Change in commodity mix
Industrialisation
Lower density / higher value products
Consolidate loads in
larger / heavier vehicles
Stronger just-in-time
pressures
Poorer utilisation of
vehicle capacity
Decline in rail
freight
New industrial /
warehousing
development not
rail-connected
Enhance inter-modal
capabilities
Economic development
Wider sourcing
New patterns of
consumption
Growth in output
Much more freight being moved By less green mode
Higher externalities per unit of freight moved Greater environmental
degradation
Improve fuel
efficiency
Improvements to transport infrastructure
In less full vehicles
Weight of goods produced / consumed
Total tonnes- lifted
Tonne-kilometres
Road tonne-kms
Total vehicle-kms
energy-related externalities
Energy consumption
other noxious gases greenhouse gases other non-energy-related externalities
average handling factor
average length of haul
average load on laden trips
average % empty running
energy efficiency
noise, vibration, accidents, visual intrusion
emissions per unit of energy
other externalities per vehicle km
environmental impact of freight transport
modal split Similar analyses for other modes
outputs key ratios outputs key ratios
output key parameter
modal split
supply chain structure
emission intensity
energy efficiency
vehicle utilisation
Sustainable Freight Transport Framework
Relative importance of these
factors varies with the level of
economic development
Range of Public Policy Measures Affecting Key Freight Parameters
Variations in CO2 Intensity by Freight Transport Mode
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
Airfre
ight
Vans
HGVs
Inla
nd w
aterw
ays
Coastal
ship
ping
Rail
Pipelin
e
CO
2 g
m p
er t
on
ne-
km
Source: McKinnon / Commission for Integrated Transport
• Over-reliance of average modal intensity values
• Need to allow for international variations
• Need to extend the calculation boundary to
include infrastructure and vehicle construction
and maintenance
g C
O2 /
tonne-k
m
Comparison of Indian and European Long-haul Trucks
84% are 2-3 axle rigids
30 – 40 cubic metres capacity
Max GVW: 9 t (2 axle) 25 t (3 axle)
5-6 axle articulated vehicle
82 cubic metres capacity
Max GVW: 40 - 44 t
Indian trucks are: slower - average speed: 35 km per hour vs 70 km per hour
more densely loaded ( + more frequently overloaded)
often under-powered (European typically over-powered)
less fuel-efficient per tonne-km and per cubic metre -km
Need to Adapt Green Logistics Strategies to Local Circumstances
Pressure to Increase the Maximum Size and Weight of Trucks
Teardrop Cheetah
DolphinBoat-tails Trailer under-tray
Over cab spoiler
Improving the Aerodynamic Profiling of Trucks
Limited benefit in developing countries where average truck speed is low