SUSTAINABLE ENERGY PATHWAY FOR THE ARAB REGION 10 th Annual Conference of the Arab Forum for Environment and Development (AFED) 2 - 3 November 2017, Le Bristol, Beirut Ms. Radia Sedaoui Chief Energy Section Sustainable Development Policies Division ARAB ENVIRONMENT IN 10 YEARS
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SUSTAINABLE ENERGY PATHWAY FOR THE ARAB REGION
10th Annual Conference of the Arab Forum for Environment and Development (AFED)2 - 3 November 2017, Le Bristol, Beirut
Ms. Radia SedaouiChief Energy Section Sustainable Development Policies Division
ARAB ENVIRONMENT IN 10 YEARS
© Copyright ESCWA. All rights reserved. No part of this presentation in all its property may be used or reproduced in any form without written permission
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, 2017
Hydraulic fracturing and related technologies created new ways of producing hydrocarbons;
Structural economic shifts, saturation effects and efficiency gains.
Investments continue to decrease, not only in the oil industry but also in the gas and power sectors.
Solar panels and batteries, wind turbines, biomass gasification and tidal energy, among other technological innovations are changing the face of the energy industry.
Oil prices have declined, creating a growing source of concern and structural change of the global energy market
© Copyright ESCWA. All rights reserved. No part of this presentation in all its property may be used or reproduced in any form without written permissionThe Arab region large oil and natural gas resources have defined the region’s status as a key supplier to world markets
1706.6Billion BBL
Fossil fuels form an integral part of the Arab region’s modern socio-economic development trajectory
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Arab Countries’ reliance on Fossil Fuels
The current business-as-usual scenario in the areas of energy and wider natural resource management in the Arab region is unsustainable
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Energy consumption by fuel in the Arab region : 1990-2014
Energy consumption more than doubled in the Arab region since 1990
Urbanization is driving Arab demand for energy
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GCC domestic price reforms in the context of falling international oil prices
(Source: Chatham House, 2016)
Growing domestic energy demand challenges subsidy reforms
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Share of population with access to electricity (%)
Pathway Toward Universal Energy Access
The Arab region ranked third globally and was assessed as approaching universal access to electricity
(Source: GTF, 2017
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Sudan48%
Egypt21%
Morocco13%
Tunisia7%
Mauritania2%
Syrian Arab
Republic2%
Rest of the Arab region7%
Renewable energy consumption in the Arab region by country in 2014 (total = 557,047 TJ)
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
0
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
14,000,000
16,000,000
18,000,000
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Share of RE in TFEC in the Arab region, 1990‐2014
Total Final Energy Consumption (EJ)Renewable Energy Consumption (EJ)Renewable energy share of total final energy consumption (%)
The Arab region display the smallest role in developing RE…This lie less in the resource base for RE – but rather in the region’s own development Model
The outlook for wind and solar power in the Arab region is generally positive provided further policy reform continues to incentivize investment in new sources of energy
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0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Arab North Africa Mashreq Arab Countries GCC Arab LDCs
Energy Intensity in the Arab region by sub‐region, 1990 – 2014(MJ / GDPPPP 2011 $) No significant shift
from energy-intensive activities towards less energy-intensive services activities;
Limited domestic market incentives to conserve energy and to invest in more energy efficient technology.
Progress in energy efficiency needs to accelerate much more
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0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Qatar Lebanon Tunisia Egypt Jordan Algeria SaudiArabia
Morocco Kuwait UAE Yemen Bahrain Global
National energy efficiency target Energy efficiency legislation/action plan
Energy efficiency agencies/entities Sub‐sectoral targets
Policymakers are key to accelerating progress in sustainable energy over the coming years.
Regulatory and Policy Frameworks Key to Energy Efficiency in the Arab Region
RISE energy efficiency (EE) indicators for the Arab Countries
(Source: World Bank, 2017a)
The indicators chosen have been shown to be effective in many countries in enabling investments in energy efficiency, and can hence provide an idea of where countries stand relative to each other
© Copyright ESCWA. All rights reserved. No part of this presentation in all its property may be used or reproduced in any form without written permission
The world is in the midst of an important energy transition, the 2030 Agendafor Sustainable Development and the adoption of Paris Agreement are alsokey factors in changing the future energy mix and sustainability of energyresources;
New solutions and a new mix of energy sources with a high focus onsustainability need to be developed through improvement in Energy efficiencyand Renewable energy;
Review and adapting the Fiscal policies and frameworks, Governance andtransparency are required;
Enhancement of the business environment is necessary by encouraging thegrowth of the private sector, providing economic incentives and access tofinance;
A strategic and forward-looking is required for better management ofnatural resources through economic diversification of the Arab economies.
Conclusion and Recommendations
SUSTAINABLE ENERGY PATHWAY FOR THE ARAB REGION
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