SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS Research on Climate Change DrGeorgios AMANATIDIS Environment Directorate Research DG, European Commission.

SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS

Research on Climate ChangeResearch on Climate Change

DrDr Georgios AMANATIDISGeorgios AMANATIDIS Environment DirectorateEnvironment Directorate

Research DG, European Commission Research DG, European Commission

ENSEMBLES Kick-off Meeting, Hamburg, 15-16 September 2004


From research on environmental protection to integration of sustainability into research

FP3 & 4: Research on ecosystem functioning, climate and environment protection technologies

FP5: Integration of the environmental dimension in research; more attention to climate change, water, coastal integration and urban

dynamics

FP6: Sustainability to be integrated in all areas of research, especially Energy, Transport and Agriculture

The Historical PerspectiveThe Historical Perspective


Over 180 research projects funded in areas (budget: 250 M€)

Climate change prediction Climate dynamics and abrupt changes Interactions between ecosystems and carbon/nitrogen cycle Atmospheric composition Change Stratospheric ozone depletion Mitigation and adaptation European contribution to global observation systems Natural hazards research

Contribution to IGBP, WCRP, IHDP and IPCC

FP5 (1999-2002)FP5 (1999-2002)Climate ResearchClimate Research


EPICA: Ice coring reached a depth of 3100m. Climate history record of past 900,000 years

DEMETER: Capability demonstrated to predict seasonal/interannual climate variations – implications for energy, agriculture, tourism and health

CARBOEUROPE: Carbon absorption capacity of Europe’s terrestrial biosphere reported to be about 7-12 % of the annual anthropogenic CO2 emissions

GECS: Global scenarios analysing the impact of post-Kyoto policies under flexibility mechanisms for emission reduction

TRADEOFF: Aviation cirrus clouds impacts on climate is three times larger than that from CO2 emissions alone

Some pertinent results of FP5Some pertinent results of FP5


Radiative forcing (RF) from air traffic in 1992 from IPCC (1999; coloured columns and bars with vertical end-lines) and revised estimates (white columns and bars with end-diamonds) based on recent research results (EU-project TRADEOFF, and papers by Marquart et al (2003), Mannstein, and others at this conference). The revised RF from

CO2 applies to the year 2000. Note that the revised total now includes the cirrus clouds.


Sustainable energy systems (810MEuro): clean energy, energy savings, alternative motor fuels, fuel cells, energy carriers/transport/storage

Sustainable surface transport (610MEuro): environmentally friendly transport, interoperability, safety

Global change and ecosystems (700MEuro): greenhouse gas emissions, water cycle, biodiversity and ecosystems, natural disasters, land management, climate observation, complementary research, cross-cutting issues

The 3 interrelated pillars of FP6The 3 interrelated pillars of FP6Priority 6: Sustainable Development, Priority 6: Sustainable Development,

Global Change and EcosystemsGlobal Change and Ecosystems


FP6 (2003-2006)FP6 (2003-2006)Global Change and EcosystemsGlobal Change and Ecosystems

I. Impact and mechanisms of greenhouse gas emissions and atmospheric pollutants on climate, ozone depletion and carbon

sinks

II. Water cycle, including soil-related aspects

III. Biodiversity and ecosystems

IV. Mechanisms of desertification and natural disasters

V. Strategies for sustainable land management, including coastal

zones, agricultural land and forests

VI. Operational forecasting and modelling including global climatic

change observation systems

VII. Complementary research

VIII. Cross-cutting issue: Sustainable Development concepts and tools


Work Programme on Area IWork Programme on Area I

Impact and mechanisms of greenhouse gas emissionsand atmospheric pollutants on climate, ozone depletion

and carbon sinks

Research priorities

I.1 Carbon and nitrogen cycles: sources and sinksI.2 Atmospheric pollutants and their regional impactsI.3 Climate dynamics and variabilityI.4 Prediction of climate change and its impactsI.5 Stratospheric ozone and climate interactionsI.6 Adaptation and mitigation strategies


FP6 Climate Research Projects FP6 Climate Research Projects 1st Call, 20031st Call, 2003

ENSEMBLES – IP: Ensemble-based Predictions of Climate Changes and their impacts

SCOUT-03 – IP: Stratosphere-Climate Links with emphasis on UTLS

ACCENT – NoE: Atmospheric Composition Change: A European Network

CARBOEUROPE – IP: Assessment of European Terrestrial Carbon Balance


Specific Support ActionSpecific Support Action

A Europe-South America network

for climate change assessment and impact studies (CLARIS)

Duration: 36 months

EC support: 500 K€

Objective: to strengthen collaboration between research groups in Europe and S. America to develop common research strategies on climate change and impact issues in the subtropical region of South-America through a multi- scale integrated approach

Coordinator: J.-P. Boulanger, CNRS, France

Partners: 14 from France, Germany, Argentine, Brazil, Italy, Spain, Uruguay and the Netherlands


2nd Call – New Instruments2nd Call – New Instruments(NoE and IP) in Indent I(NoE and IP) in Indent I

I.1 Carbon and nitrogen cycles: sources and sinks;Assessment of marine carbon sources and sinks

I.2 Atmospheric pollutants and their regional impacts;

Atmospheric pollutants and climate forcing

I.3 Climate dynamics and variability;

Hot spots in the earth systemCoupled climate system (STREPS)Novel palaeoreconstruction methods (STREPS)

I.5 Stratospheric ozone and climate interactions;

Aviation and surface transport impacts on climate


2nd Call for Proposals – Selected IP2nd Call for Proposals – Selected IP

CARBO OCEAN – IP: Marine carbon sources and sinks assessment

AMMA – IP: African monsoon multidisciplinary analysis

QUANTIFY – IP: Quantifying the climate impact of global and European transport systems


“African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analysis” (AMMA)

Duration: 5 years

EC support: < 11.7 M€

Objective: to improve the ability to predict the West African monsoon (WAM) and its impact on intra-seasonal to decadal timescales as well as the consequences of climate change on WAM variability.

Coordinator: J. Polcher, CNRS, France

Partners: 40 from France, Germany, UK, Spain, Italy, Denmark, Belgium, the Netherlands, Finland, Niger and Burkina Faso

Integrated Project in I.3Integrated Project in I.3


“Understanding the Dynamics of the Coupled Climate System”

(DYNAMITE)

Duration: 36 months

EC support: 2M€

Objective: to explore the fundamental dynamical mechanisms of two important modes of climate variability, the NAO/AO and the ENSO

Coordinator: H. Drange, NERSC, Bergen, Norway

Partners: 13 from Norway, UK, France, Germany, Italy, Romania and China

STREPSTREP


3rd Call for Proposals3rd Call for Proposals Deadline October 26, 2004Deadline October 26, 2004

Climate related research topics:

1. Nitrogen cycle and its interaction with C-cycle (IP)

2. Ocean-atmosphere-chemistry interaction (STREP)

3. Adaptation and mitigation strategies (IP)

4. The past climate and its dynamics (IP)

5. Climate observations (IP): Contribution to GEO and GCOS


Third Call for ProposalsThird Call for ProposalsDeadline October 26, 2004Deadline October 26, 2004

Earth System Observations (Integrated Project) Enhance coordinated efforts at data analysis and fill gaps

in regional observing systems Interfaces, interoperability, integration and linkages

between observing systems Improvement of monitoring technologies and standards Identification of a set of geo-observational products Observations for detection and documentation of climate

change, including extreme events (e.g. ENSO) Provide contribution to the Group on Earth Observation

(GEO) and Global Climate Observing System (GCOS)


Third Call for ProposalsThird Call for ProposalsDeadline October 26, 2004Deadline October 26, 2004

Specific Support Actions

Enhancing co-operation between Europe and the developing countries within the context of global earth observation systems (GEO)

Exploitation of results of research projects relevant to the GEO


3rd Call for proposals3rd Call for proposalsNovember 2004 November 2004

Instrument Budget € (millions)

IP and NoE 150

STREP and CA 50

SSA 5


Earth Observation Summit: Earth Observation Summit: EU contributionEU contribution

July 31, 2003, Washington D.C.July 31, 2003, Washington D.C.

Summit declaration

Coordinated Earth-Observation system or systems Reference to Jo’burg and Evian Summits EO-Summit II, Tokyo, April 25, 2004 Earth Observation Summit III, February 16, 2005,

Brussels, to discuss and approve 10-year Implementation Plan


Earth Observation Summit: Earth Observation Summit: EU ContributionEU Contribution

Ad hoc Group on Earth-Observation (GEO):

Co-chair: Dr. A. Mitsos, Director-General, Research DG, EC

GEO II meeting, 28-29 November 2003, Baveno, Italy Participation in GEO- Sub groups and the GEO

Secretariat GEO – Governance meeting, 27-28 September 2004, EC,

Brussels Earth Observation Partnership Conference, 15 October

2004, Brussels GEO V meeting, 27-30 November 2004, Ottawa, Canada


AirSoil Water Land-Use Hazards/RisksHabitats Socio-Economic

Nature &Biodiversity

UrbanIndustrial Risks

Soils

Floods

FiresWater

HealthForests

Topography

Agro-environment

Meteo and climate data

Climate Change

Air

Noise

Coastal Zones

Monitoring

GMES

Global Monitoring of Global Monitoring of Environment and SecurityEnvironment and Security


The Six Axes of FP7The Six Axes of FP7

1. Consolidate transnational collaboration through common projects and networking in order to create European « Pôle of excellence »;

2. Launch technological initiatives, at European scale, in order to implement common research agendas in support of a European Industry Policy in key areas of technological progress;

3. Stimulate competition among individual teams, in particular in basic research, through the setting up of a European Research Agency;


The Six Axes of FP7The Six Axes of FP7

4. Reinforce human resources through the support of training and mobility of researchers in the perspective of enabling and developing European scientific careers;

5. Develop research infrastructure through support for the creation and for the exploitation of infrastructure of European interest as experienced with the Trans-European Networks;

6. Promote the co-ordination between national and regional research programmes.


To build on current EU Research:

www.cordis.lu

Information on FP6:

europa.eu.int/comm/research/nfp.html

FP6 Instruments:

europa.eu.int/comm/research/nfp/networks-ip.html

Future research:

http://europa.eu.int/comm/research/future/index_en.html

InformationInformation

SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS Research on Climate Change DrGeorgios AMANATIDIS Environment Directorate Research DG, European Commission.

Documents

ecosystems research

climate research slide

climate change assessment

prediction of climate

climate research fp5

safety global change

climate observation

climate interactions