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SURVIVING IN A WAL- MART SUPERCENTER ENVIRONMENT By Kenneth E. Stone Professor of Economics Iowa State University
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Page 1: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

SURVIVING IN A WAL-MART SUPERCENTER ENVIRONMENT

By

Kenneth E. Stone

Professor of Economics

Iowa State University

Page 2: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

2Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Top Ten North American Retailers By Sales, 2001

$31.1

$32.0

$34.3

$34.8

$37.9

$39.9

$41.1

$50.1

$53.6

$219.8

$0 $100,000 $200,000 $300,000

K Mart

J.C. Penney

Safeway

Costco

Albertson's

Target

Sears

Kroger

Home Depot

Wal-Mart

Millions of DollarsSOURCE: Chain Store News

Page 3: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

3Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Top 10 U.S. Corporations By Sales, 2002

72.9

85.9

99.7

112.0

125.9

138.7

162.4

177.3

191.6

219.8

0 50 100 150 200 250

Phillip Morris

IBM

Chevron/Texaco

Citigroup

General Electric

Enron

Ford Motor

General Motors

Exxon-Mobil

Wal-Mart

Sales ($ Billions)SOURCE: Fortune Magazine

Page 4: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

4Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Top U.S. World Corporations by Sales, 2002

120.0

125.0

135.0

136.0

138.0

162.0

174.0

177.0

191

219.8

0 50 100 150 200 250

Toyota

GE

Royal Dutch/Shell

Daimler/Chrysler

Enron ?

Ford Motor

BP

GM

Exxon/Mobil

Wal-Mart

Sales ($ Billions)SOURCE: Fortune Magazine

Page 5: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

5Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Top North American Food Stores, 2001

$11.9

$12.9

$15.3

$20.9

$34.3

$37.9

$50.1

$76.0

$0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 $70 $80 $90 $100

Meijer's

Winn-Dixie Stores

Publix

SuperValue

Safeway

Albertson's

Kroger

Wal-Mart Supercenters

Billions of Dollars

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

SOURCE: Supermarket News

Page 6: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

6Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Top North American Food Stores, 2001

$3.2

$3.8

$4.0

$4.4

$5.0

$5.1

$9.0

$11.0

$0 $2 $4 $6 $8 $10 $12 $14

Super Target

Hy-Vee

Pathmark Stores

Shaw's Supermarkets

Fred Meyer

Super K Mart

H.E. Butt

A & P

Billions of Dollars

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

SOURCE: Supermarket News

Page 7: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

7Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Average Sales Per Store for U.S. Supercenter Stores, 2001

$33.64

$35.00

$36.33

$42.12

$64.55

$70.09

$77.83

$80.02

$0.0 $10.0 $20.0 $30.0 $40.0 $50.0 $60.0 $70.0 $80.0 $90.0

Big Bear Plus

DAIEI USA

Fred Meyer

Super K Mart

Biggs

Super Target

Wal-Mart Supercenters

Meijer

Millions of DollarsSOURCE: DSN Retailing Today

Page 8: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

8Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Average Sales Per Store for U.S. Club Stores, 2001

$8.89

$42.58

$60.30

$138.91

$0.0 $20.0 $40.0 $60.0 $80.0 $100.0 $120.0 $140.0 $160.0

Smart & Final

BJ's Wholesale Club

Sam's WarehouseClub

Costco

Millions of DollarsSOURCE: DSN Retailing Today

Page 9: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

9Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

U. S. MARKET SHARE OF MAJOR GROCERY RETAILERS

Source: Fortune Magazine

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 20012

4

6

8

10

12Market Share (%)

Wal-Mart Kroger Albertson's Safeway

Wal-Mart

Kroger

Albertson’s

Safeway

Page 10: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

10Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

WAL-MART SUPERCENTER MARKET SHARES

SOURCE: Trade Dimensions, Dec. 2001

31.9

24.2

21.2

17.8

16.2

15.7

15

13.6

12

Springfield, MO

Memphis

Oklahoma City

Birmingham

Albuquerque

Kansas City

Saint Louis

Indianapolis

Des Moines

Market

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

WM Market Share, %

Page 11: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

An Overview of Wal-Mart

Page 12: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

12Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

SIZES OF WAL-MART SUPERCENTERS

• 109,000 Sq. Ft.– Smaller towns

• 150,000 Sq. Ft. – Market areas of 30,000+

• 180,000 Sq. Ft.– Market areas of 30,000-50,000

• 220,000 Sq. Ft.– Market areas larger than 50,000

Page 13: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

13Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

WAL-MARTSUPERCENTERS

LADIESAPPAREL

MENSAPPAREL

CHECKOUTS

GROCERY

HEALTH &BEAUTY AIDS

PHARMACY COSMETICS

LAYAWAY

FABRICS & CRAFTS

SEASONAL

TOYS & GAMES

HARDWARE

PAINT SUPPLIES

AUTOMOTIVE

BA

BY

WO

RLD

GIR

LSA

PP

AR

EL

SPORTINGGOODS

DRESSINGROOM

HOSIERY

SHOES DAIRYBAKERYBEDDING DRAPERIES

SMALL APPLIANCES

HOUSEWARES

INT

IMA

TE

S

CA

ME

RA

SE

LEC

TR

ON

ICS

RE

CO

RD

ER

S

CARDS & BOOKS

DELI

OFFICE SUPPLIES

PET FOOD

HOME DECOR& FURNISHINGS

MEATS

PRODUCE

CANDY, CIGARETTES,CRACKERS, & COOKIES

BO

YS

AP

PA

RE

L

FASHIONACCESSORIES

JEWRY

DOMESTICS

GA

RD

EN

CE

NT

ER

AU

TO

CE

NT

ER

PUBLIC RESTROOMS

DELI CAFE

ICE CREAM

120,000 SQUARE FEET

Page 14: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

14Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

WAL-MARTSUPERCENTERS

LADIESAPPAREL

MENSAPPAREL

CHECKOUTS

GROCERY

HEALTH &BEAUTY AIDS

PHARMACY COSMETICS

LAYAWAY

FABRICS & CRAFTS

SEASONAL

TOYS & GAMES

HARDWARE

PAINT SUPPLIES

AUTOMOTIVE

BA

BY

WO

RLD

GIR

LSA

PP

AR

EL

SPORTINGGOODS

DRESSINGROOM

HOSIERY

SHOES DAIRYBAKERYBEDDING DRAPERIES

SMALL APPLIANCES

HOUSEWARES

INT

IMA

TE

S

CA

ME

RA

SE

LEC

TR

ON

ICS

RE

CO

RD

ER

S

CARDS & BOOKS

DELI

OFFICE SUPPLIES

PET FOOD

HOME DECOR& FURNISHINGS

MEATS

PRODUCE

CANDY, CIGARETTES,CRACKERS, & COOKIES

BO

YS

AP

PA

RE

L

FASHIONACCESSORIES

JEWRY

DOMESTICS

GA

RD

EN

CE

NT

ER

AU

TO

CE

NT

ER

PUBLIC RESTROOMS

DELI CAFE

ICE CREAM

PLUS 60-70,000 SQ.FT.OF GROCERY SPACE

Page 15: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

15Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Number of Wal-Mart Supercenters in the U.S., 2002

Alaska - 0 StoresHawaii - 0 Stores 1,066 Stores

3

36

10

5

011

14 13

22

62

07

10

19

19

53

36

135

40

4334 43 53

69

31

3449

39

30

13

8

39 1934

17

5

4520

45

430

2

1

0

Page 16: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

16Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Wal-Mart Supercenter, 220,000 Sq. Ft., Ankeny, IA

Page 17: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

17Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Wal-Mart Supercenter, 109,000 Sq. Ft., With Gas Station, Knoxville, IA

Page 18: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

18Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Number of Neighborhood Markets in the U.S., 2002

Alaska - 0 StoresHawaii - 0 Stores 31 Stores

Page 19: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

19Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Wal-Mart Net Sales1981-2001

1.4 3.4 6.4 11.920.6

32.6

55.5

82.5

104.9

137.6

193.3219.8

-30

20

70

120

170

220

81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 '01 '02

Fiscal Year

Billion $

Page 20: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

20Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

39 Centers

Wal-Mart Regional Distribution Centers, 2002

Page 21: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

21Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Wal-Mart Food Distribution Centers, 2002

26 Centers

Page 22: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

22Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Cost of DistributionAs a Percentage of Sales

5.0%

3.5%

1.3%

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

Sears K-Mart Wal-Mart

Source: Discount Store News

Page 23: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

23Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Cost of Distribution ComparisonFor $25 Billion Annual Sales

$325 Mil.

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400

Sears

K-Mart

Wal-Mart

$550 Mil. more than Wal-Mart

$925 Mil. more than Wal-Mart

$875 Mil.

$1.25 Bil.

Page 24: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

24Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

SUPER TARGET STORE LAYOUT

GENERALMERCHANDISE

Page 25: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

25Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

SUPER TARGET FOOD LAYOUT-ARCHER FARMSAISLE 1 AISLE 2 AISLE 3

Bread Soup AsianStuffing Canned ItalianPeanut Butter Canned Fruit MexicanJams/Jelly Dry

Rice/BeansKosher

Salad Dressing Packaged Dinners

CoffeeKetchup Canned Tea

AISLE 4 AISLE 5 AISLE 6

Baking Mixes Lunch Box CookiesOil Juice Box Popcorn

Syrup Cereal CrackersSpices Pudding Cups Natural JuiceDried Fruit Granola Bars JuiceJello Natural Cereal Powdered

DrinksAISLE 7 AISLE 8 AISLE 9

Water Soda Laundry New Age Beverages

Tonic Water Dish SoapSport Drinks Trash Bags BleachSnack Nuts Plastic Wrap StarchNatural Insect Household Chips Air Freshener Fabric

SoftenersAISLE 10 AISLE 11 AISLE 12

Paper Towels Wine Frozen DinnersBath Tissue Champagne Frozen PastaNapkins Beer Meal SolutionsFacial Tissues Drink Mixes Frozen PotatoPaper Plates Wine Coolers Frozen

VegetablesPaper Cups Liquor Frozen Bread AISLE 13

Frozen Meat

Frozen Frozen JuiceFrozen PizzaFrozen DessertsIce Cream

Page 26: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

26Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

TARGET 5-YEAR SALES PROJECTIONS

*=Projected

29.332.9

37.843.5

50.1

57.6

2000 2001* 2002* 2003* 2004* 2005*

Year

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70Sales ($ Million)

SOURCE: DSN Retailing Today

Page 27: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

Impacts of Wal-Mart Stores on Existing Businesses

Page 28: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

12 Year Study of Regular Wal-Mart Stores in Iowa

Page 29: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

29Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

IMPACTS OF BIG BOX STORESRules of Thumb

• Local businesses that are selling something different are in good luck and will probably experience an increase in sales because of the “spillover” effect of the additional traffic.

• Local businesses that are selling the same merchandise as the big box store will probably lose sales unless they reposition themselves.

Page 30: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

30Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Change in General Merchandise Salesin Iowa Towns, 12 Years after Wal-Mart

-13

-29

56

44

26

-7

-33

-5-4

-40-30-20-10

010203040506070

4 Years 8 Years 12 Years

Years After Wal-Mart

Non Wal-Mart Towns Wal-Mart Towns Cities

Percent Change

Page 31: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

31Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Change in Building Materials Salesin Iowa Towns, 12 Years after Wal-Mart

-19-24

-14-10

1420

-32

36

2

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

4 Years 8 Years 12 Years

Years After Wal-Mart

Non Wal-Mart Towns Wal-Mart Towns Cities

Percent Change

Page 32: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

32Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Change in Eating & Drinking Salesin Iowa Towns, 12 Years after Wal-Mart

-4

-6

5

76

-2-3

3

1

-10

0

10

4 Years 8 Years 12 Years

Years After Wal-Mart

Non Wal-Mart Towns Wal-Mart Towns Cities

Percent Change

Page 33: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

33Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Change in Automotive Salesin Iowa Towns, 12 Years after Wal-Mart

-2-5

4

02

15

-2

20

0

-10

0

10

20

30

4 Years 8 Years 12 Years

Years After Wal-Mart

Non Wal-Mart Towns Wal-Mart Towns Cities

Percent Change

Page 34: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

34Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Change in Food Store Salesin Iowa Towns, 12 Years after Wal-Mart

1

8

-4

3 31

16

1

-2

-10

0

10

20

4 Years 8 Years 12 Years

Years After Wal-Mart

Non Wal-Mart Towns Wal-Mart Towns Cities

Percent Change

Page 35: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

35Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Change in Home Furnishings Salesin Iowa Towns, 12 Years after Wal-Mart

-26

-32

0

-3 -1

0

-38

32

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

4 Years 8 Years 12 Years

Years After Wal-Mart

Non Wal-Mart Towns Wal-Mart Towns Cities

Percent Change

Page 36: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

36Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Change in Apparel Salesin Iowa Towns, 12 Years after Wal-Mart

-17

-30

-10

-21

-27

1

-38

35

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

4 Years 8 Years 12 Years

Years After Wal-Mart

Non Wal-Mart Towns Wal-Mart Towns Cities

Percent Change

Page 37: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

37Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Change in Specialty Store Salesin Iowa Towns, 12 Years after Wal-Mart

-18

-30

-4 -5

-11

1

-30

6

0

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

4 Years 8 Years 12 Years

Years After Wal-Mart

Non Wal-Mart Towns Wal-Mart Towns Cities

Percent Change

Page 38: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

38Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Change in Services Salesin Iowa Towns, 12 Years after Wal-Mart

-17-20

-5-2 -2

6

-14

8

4

-30

-20

-10

0

10

4 Years 8 Years 12 Years

Years After Wal-Mart

Non Wal-Mart Towns Wal-Mart Towns Cities

Percent Change

Page 39: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

39Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Change in Total Salesin Iowa Towns, 12 Years after Wal-Mart

-11

-17

7 6

-3

7

-18

12

4

-20

-10

0

10

20

4 Years 8 Years 12 Years

Years After Wal-Mart

Non Wal-Mart Towns Wal-Mart Towns Cities

Percent Change

Page 40: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

40Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

CHANGES IN TOTAL SALES IN IOWA SMALL TOWNS, 12 YEARS AFTER WAL-MART*

* Towns Under 4,000 Population

-9.6

-13.9-16.4 -17.6

-22.7

-26.5-29.1

-27 -27.4 -27 -27.1 -27.3

-35

-30

-25

-20

-15

-10

-5

01 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Year After Wal-Mart

Per

cen

t C

han

ge

Page 41: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

41Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Percent Change in Per Capita Sales in Iowa Stores, 1983-2000

-69.8%-65.5%

-37.6%

-37.1%-30.3%

-22.7%

-21.3%

-13.8%

-11.4%-11.1% 95.6%

-80% -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Percent Change in Sales

Men's Apparel Stores

Variety Stores

Women's Clothing

Shoe Stores

Misc. Apparel Stores

Drug Stores

Garden Supply Stores

Grocery Stores

Jewelry Stores

Hardware Stores

Department Stores

Page 42: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

42Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

U.S. Stores Impacted by Discount Department Stores, 1980-2000

-44.5%

-43.6%

-28.9%

-22.0%

-21.3%

-21.3%

-19.9%

-15.2%

-10.9%

50.1%

-60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60%

Conventional Dept. Stores*

Men's & Boy's Clothing

Hardware Stores

Women's Clothing

Household Appliance Stores

Shoe Stores

Variety Stores

Grocery Stores

Auto & Home Supply Stores

Discount Dept. Stores*

Percent Change in Real Sales* Percent Change from 1987-2000

Page 43: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

43Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Percent Change in Sales of Iowa Firms Due to Lifestyle Changes, 1983-2000

18.6

19.3

44.2

68.7

69.3

72.7

75.2

75.6

82.4

295.3

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350

Eating & Drinking Places

Used Merchandise

Book & Stationery Stores

Sporting Goods Stores

Family Apparel Stores

Appliance & Entertainment

Home Furnishings Stores

Building Materials

Gift & Novelty Stores

Hobby, Toy, Craft Stores

Percent Change in Sales

Page 44: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

44Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

U.S. High Growth Stores, 1980-2000

14.4%

20.2%

37.7%

49.6%

58.3%

62.0%

98.8%

109.2%

124.3%

274.3%

0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300%

Floor Covering Stores

Furniture & Home Furnishings

Eating Places

Sporting Goods

Building Materials Supply

Drug & Proprietary Stores

Family Clothing Stores

Appl., Radio, TV & Computer

Book Stores

Mail Order

Percent Change in Sales

Page 45: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

Texas Supercenter Study

Page 46: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

46Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Department Store Sales Changes in Texas Towns After Wal-Mart Supercenters Opened

32.2

37.1

25.8

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

Non SupercenterTowns

SupercenterTowns

Percent Change

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Page 47: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

47Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Grocery Store Sales Changes in Texas Towns After Wal-Mart Supercenters Opened

0.5

-17.6

-2.7

-13.5

-1

-8.1

-20 -15 -10 -5 0 5

Non SupercenterTowns

SupercenterTowns

Percent Change

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Page 48: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

48Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Drug Store Sales Changes in Texas Towns After Wal-Mart Supercenters Opened

10.2

-20.2

2.7

-11.5

3.6

-6.4

-25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15

Non SupercenterTowns

SupercenterTowns

Percent Change

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Page 49: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

49Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Total Sales Changes in Texas Towns After Wal-Mart Supercenters Opened

-2.64

1.7

-1.45

2.77

-1.21

3.85

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5

Non SupercenterTowns

SupercenterTowns

Percent Change

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Page 50: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

MISSISSIPPI WAL-MART SUPERCENTER STUDY

Page 51: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

51Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

% Change in Av. General Merchandise Pull Factor for Mississippi Host Counties After Entry of Wal-Mart

SupercenterCounties Less Than 100,000 Population

52.0%59.0%58.0%

49.0%

40.0%

0%

10%

20%

31%

41%

51%

61%

71%

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5

Page 52: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

52Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

% Change in Av. Food Store Pull Factor for Mississippi Host Counties After Entry of Wal-Mart Supercenter

Counties Less Than 100,000 Population

-16.8%

-13.4%

-8.4%

-12.6%

-10.1%

-18%

-16%

-14%

-12%

-10%

-8%

-6%

-4%

-2%

0%Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5

Page 53: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

53Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

% Change in Av. Total Sales Pull Factor for Mississippi Host Counties After Entry of Wal-Mart Supercenter

Counties Less Than 100,000 Population

3.1% 3.1%

9.4%10.4%

4.2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5

Page 54: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

Study of Impact of Iowa Wal-Mart Supercenters

Page 55: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

55Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

IMPACT OF WAL-MART SUPERCENTERS ON HOST TOWNS IN IOWA

Food Stores

-15

-3.5

-8

-1.6

-16 -14 -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0

SC Town

WM Town

Pull Factor Percent Change

Year 1

Year 2

Page 56: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

56Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Dillow’s Super Value Closed One Year After Wal-Mart Supercenter Opened in Ankeny, IA

Page 57: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

57Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Jubilee Food Store in Polk City, IA, Closed3 Months After Wal-Mart Supercenter Opened in Ankeny, IA

Page 58: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

58Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Town & Country Grocery in Slater, IA, Still Open4 Years After Wal-Mart Supercenter Opened in Ankeny, IA

Page 59: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

59Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

IMPACT OF WAL-MART SUPERCENTERS ON HOST TOWNS IN IOWA

General Merchandise

37.2

-5.5

36.7

-2

-10 0 10 20 30 40

SC Town

WM Town

Pull Factor Percent Change

Year 1

Year 2

Page 60: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

60Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

IMPACT OF WAL-MART SUPERCENTERS ON HOST TOWNS IN IOWA

Total Sales

5.1

-6.8

5.6

-4.9

-8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8

SC Town

WM Town

Pull Factor Percent Change

Year 1

Year 2

Page 61: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

61Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

First-Year Impact of Supercenter on Host Town Sales

(200,000 Sq.Ft., Average Town Population = 25,000)

-45

-30

25

70

-10

-60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

Loss by all HostTown

Loss by ExistingGM

Loss by ExistingGroceries

Net Gain inTown Sales

New Store

Sales ($Million)Based on Studies in Iowa & MS

Page 62: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

Actions Necessary for Competing

Page 63: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

63Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

HAVE AN ATTITUDE CHECK

• In a free-enterprise economy, all firms are free to compete.

• Recognize that big-box stores will enlarge the trade area size.

• It is possible to co-exist in a mass merchandise environment.

• You will probably need to change your mode of operation.

Page 64: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

64Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

DEVELOP A STRATEGY

• Analyze the Market– Ages

– Income

– Life styles

• Analyze Your Business and the Competition for:– Strengths

– Weaknesses

– Market Share

Page 65: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

65Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

DEVELOP A STRATEGY

• Determine your competitive advantage

• Determine your niche

• Determine necessary changes– Target market– Inventory– Pricing structure– Marketing methods

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66Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Wal-Mart’s Over-archingStrategy is Every-Day-

Low-Prices

The Word “Sale”is Never Mentioned

In Today’s Ads.

Page 67: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

67Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Wal-Mart’s MottoWent from “Alwaysthe Lowest Price” to“Always the LowPrice”.

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68Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Wal-Mart’s Motto Added “on the Brands You Trust”But Dropped this as Private Label Was Added.

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69Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Wal-Mart Used the Term “Sale” in Their Earlier Ads,But Dropped it in Order to Strengthen EDLP

Page 70: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

70Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

FINALLY, WAL-MART REALIZED THAT IT COULDN’T HAVE SALES AND EDLP

Page 71: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

71Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Wal-Mart Adopted the “Smiley Face” as aSymbol for Falling

Prices, a euphemism forSale.

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72Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

EDLP Has Evolvedto

“Always, Low Prices”

Page 73: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

73Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Wal-Mart Grand OpeningsFocus on Special Valueson Price-Sensitive Items

Page 74: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

74Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

MERCHANDISING TIPS

• Try to handle different merchandise.

• Fill the voids.

• Buy well.

• Consider upscale merchandise.

• Emphasize private-label merchandise.

• Get rid of slow-moving items.

Page 75: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

75Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Private Label SKU Count and Share of Sales, 2000

Company SKU Count PL Share of Total Dollars

A & P 2,300 23%

Winn Dixie 2,700 23%

Kroger 6,000 20%

Safeway 3,000 20%

Wal-Mart 5,000 20%

Albertson’s 6,000 16%

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76Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

MARKETING TIPS

• Know and evaluate your market.

• Focus your advertising; stress competitive advantage.

• Sharpen your pricing skills.

• Opening hours convenient to customer

• Adopt a “no hassle” returns policy.

Page 77: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

77Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

CUB (SUPERVALUE)-UPSCALE BOX STORE

Big SelectionLow Prices

Low ServiceGood Hours(Bag Your

Own)

Page 78: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

78Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

HY-VEE, MIDWESTERN STATES

Hy-Vee has Stores in

Several Midwestern

States. New Stores

Are Very Large with

Large Selections,

Many Amenities and

Full Service.

Page 79: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

79Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

HY-VEE FEATURES HIGH QUALITY MEATS

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80Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Fareway is an IowaChain that has anOutstanding MeatDepartment and

Produces Very GoodWeekly Circulars,Featuring GoodValues on Price-Sensitive Items

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81Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

ALDI is a Limited-Selection, Low-Service

Store Featuring LowPrices Primarily onPrivate-Label Items

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82Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

BANANAS ARE HIGHLY PRICE-SENSITIVEPrice Check, Ames & Ankeny, IA, Late July, 02

Dahl’s $.19

Aldi $.25

Super T $.45

Fareway $.45

WM SC $.48

CUB $.49

Hy-Vee $.49

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83Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

MIRACLE WHIP IS VERY PRICE SENSITIVEPrice Check, Ames & Ankeny, IA, Late July 02

WM SC $1.97

Cub $1.99

Super T $2.00

Fareway $2.19

Dahl’s $2.49

Hy-Vee $2.79

K Mart $3.39

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84Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Wal-Mart $2.00

Fareway $2.00

Super T $2.04

Cub $2.59

Dahl’s $2.69

K Mart $2.79

Hy-Vee $3.39

SNACK CRACKERS ARE SOMEWHAT PRICE SENSITIVEPrice Check, Ames & Ankeny, IA, Late July 02

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85Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

LAUNDRY DETERGENT IS VERY PRICE SENSITIVEPrice Check, Ames & Ankeny, IA, Late July 02

WM SC $5.24

Super T $5.24

Cub $5.48

Hy-Vee $5.49

Fareway $5.49

K Mart $5.99

Dahl’s $5.99

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86Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

SALTINE CRACKERS ARE PRICE-SENSITIVEPrice Check, Ames & Ankeny, IA, Last Week July, 02

Fareway $1.50

Super T $1.54

WM SC $1.67

Hy-Vee $1.99

Dahl’s $2.09

Cub $2.19

K Mart $2.19

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87Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

PAPER PRODUCTS (LIKE KLEENEX) ARE PRICE-SENSITIVEPrice Check, Ames & Ankeny, IA, Late July, 02

Super T $.89

Hy-Vee $.97

WM SC $.98

Fareway $1.07

CUB $1.09

Dahl’s $1.17

K Mart $1.29

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88Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

PET FOOD IS VERY PRICE-SENSITIVEPrice Check, Ames & Ankeny, IA, Late July 02

CUB $7.55

WM SC $8.28

Super T $8.29

Dahl’s $8.79

Hy-Vee $9.17

Fareway N/A

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89Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

COFFEE IS SOMEWHAT PRICE-SENSITIVEPrice Check, Ames & Ankeny, IA, Late July 02

Dahl’s $5.55

WM SC $5.67

CUB $5.89

Fareway $5.89

Super T $6.49

K Mart $6.49

Hy-Vee N/A

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90Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

LOW WATTAGE BULBS ARE PRICE-SENSITIVEPrice Check, Ames & Ankeny, IA, Late July, 02

CUB $0.99

WM SC $1.10

Super T $1.14

Fareway $1.48

Hy-Vee $1.48

Dahl’s $1.99

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HIGHER WATTAGE BULBS ARE NOT PRICE-SENSITIVEPrice Check, Ames & Ankeny, IA, Late July, 02

CUB $1.46

Fareway $1.69

Hy-Vee $1.69

Super T $1.94

WM SC $1.96

Dahl’s $1.99

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92Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

WAL-MART IS ESTABLISHING A LARGE PRIVATE LABEL SELECTION (GREAT VALUE)

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93Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

WAL-MART PRICING STRATEGY

Every Day Low Prices means we will be as low or lower than the competition on all similar items we carry. It has never been our intention to beat the competition on every item. We ignore short-term incentives designed to hype sales for a short period of time. This means we do not support couponing, rebates, sweepstakes, unnecessary advertising, etc. because those activities add costs that will come back to us in the form of higher cost of goods.

Page 94: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

94Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

WAL-MART PRICING STRATEGY

“Our basic competitive policy for the fresh department is:

– Use the 850 list plus any items specified by your regional vice president.

– Meet all competitive prices.

– If a competitor lowers the price on additional items in the marketplace, then you are to meet the price of the additional competition items.

– If a competitor lowers additional items again, then you should meet the price on those additional items, plus lower prices on other key items.”

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95Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

WAL-MART PRICING STRATEGY

“Wal-Mart will not be undersold by any competitor. If a competitor has a lower price on any item, we will meet that price. Store Managers have the authority to lower our prices to meet or beat our competitors. We must regularly check our competitors and react to any changes.”

Page 96: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

96Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

STRESS CUSTOMER RELATIONS

• Offer a friendly greeting to customers.

• Solicit complaints, take action.

• Go the extra mile.

• It costs less to keep existing customers.

• Live by the golden rule.

Page 97: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

97Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

OFFER GREAT SERVICE

• Develop knowledge of store and products.

• Offer deliveries/Carry-outs.

• Develop special order capability.

• Become a one-stop service center.

• Exceed customer expectations.

Page 98: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

98Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Some Stores, Like HardwaresAre Adding a Variety of

Services as a Way ofAttracting Customers

Page 99: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

99Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

DEVELOP A TEAM CONCEPT

• Set a good example.

• Train employees well.

• Have regular company meetings.

• Empower employees.

• Develop participative management.

• Consider “open book” management.

• Reward employees on total performance.

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100Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

CONTINUALLY IMPROVE OPERATIONS

• Adopt modern technology.

• “Brain-storm” to find better methods.

• Persist in reducing operating costs.

• Maintain and repair facilities (carts).

• Know your financial statements.

• Network with other merchants.

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101Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

Self Checkout StationIn 45 States, Over 2,000 Stores

Page 102: Surviving In A Wal Mart Supercenter Environment

102Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

TIPS FOR GROCERS

• Find your niche.– Meats– Full service– Deli/catering

• Price-sensitive items within 10% of WM• Stress private label items• Focus on faster and easier shopping• Feature carry-out and/or drive-by service

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103Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

TIPS FOR GROCERS (Cont’d)

• Develop a loyalty program• Clean and repair (restrooms, carts, dairy,etc.)• Check big-box prices on “blind items”• Post in-store signage when you have lower price

on “blind items.”• Advertise regularly, showing good prices on price-

sensitive items.• Always state your competitive advantages in your

ads.

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104Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

SAM WALTON’S TEN COMMANDMENTS OF BUSINESS

LEADERSHIP1. Commit to your business.2. Share your profits.3. Motivate your partners.4. Communicate all that you know.5. Appreciate what your associates do.6. Celebrate your success.7. Listen to everyone in the company.8. Exceed your customer’s expectations.9. Control your expenses better than competitors10. Swim upstream and avoid conventional wisdom.

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105Ken Stone, ISU, Ames, IA

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

Contact: Kenneth E. StoneProfessor of EconomicsIowa State UniversityAmes, IA 50011

Phone: (515) 294-6269Fax: (515) 294-1700E-mail: [email protected]: WWW.econ.iastate.edu/retail