Survey of Jordan Public Opinion - IRI...2015/05/26 · Survey of Jordan Public Opinion February 25 –March 1, 2015 Detailed Methodology 2 • This survey was designed, coordinated

International Republican Institute

Survey of Jordan Public OpinionFebruary 25 – March 1, 2015

Detailed Methodology

2

• This survey was designed, coordinated and analyzed by the Middle East Marketing and Research

Consultants on behalf of the International Republican Institute.

• The national representative survey was carried out from February 25-March 1, 2015. The eligibility

criteria was based on age (18 years of age or older). A sample of 1,000 individuals were interviewed

face-to-face in their homes.

• The sample design was a multi-stage cluster sample:

• Stage one: Break country into 100 clusters distributed among Jordan’s 12 governorates based on

the 2004 Housing and Population Census.

• Stage Two: Select 10 households from each cluster in a random fashion based on settlement

population while ensuring representation of different parts of the cluster in the sample. The

Nyman allocation approach, a sample allocation method used with fixed sample sizes to provide

accurate stratified samples, was used to distribute the sample of clusters among governorates.

• Ten households were drawn (with replacement allowing for non-contacts) from each cluster using a

random start and a systematic procedure of selection to ensure representation of different parts of the

cluster in sample and to reduce intra-class correlation.

• Researchers conducted one in-person interview per household, selected using the Kish method.

• The response rate for the survey was 96 percent.

• The margin of error for the survey does not exceed +/- 3.5 percent with a confidence level of 95

percent and where p=0.50.

• Figures in charts and graphs may not add to 100 percent due to rounding.


Country Headed in Right Direction, Split on Current Economic Situation

4

25%

39%

19%

8% 8%

0%

20%

40%

Things are goingmostly in the

right direction

Things are goingsomewhat in theright direction

Things are goingsomewhat in thewrong direction

Things are goingmostly in the

wrong direction

Not sure/Don’t know

Overall, is Jordan headed in the right direction or the

wrong direction?

What is your main reason for considering things in Jordan to be going in the right direction?

5

Open-ended; n=644

61%

7% 6%4% 4% 3%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Stability &security

Hashemiteleadership

Improvingeconomy

Improveddaily

conditions forcitizens

Political &economic

reform

Fightingcorruption

What is your main reason for considering things in Jordan to be going in the wrong direction?

6

Open-ended; n=271

23%

16%

12%

10%

7%

4%3%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Rising prices Weak economicconditions

Administrative& financialcorruption

Refugee influx Poverty Wronggovernment

policies

Joininginternational

coalition

40%

21%

24%

34%

15%

19%

23%

16%

13%

20%

9%

15%14%

7% 8%

10%11%

20%

10%

17%

8%

13%

6%

7%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

AUG 09 JUN 11 JUL 12 DEC 13 FEB 15

Rising cost of living Unemployment

Poverty Terrorism

Bad economic conditions Admin & financial corruption

Refugee influx

What, in your opinion, is the single biggest problem facing Jordan as a whole?

7

Open-ended

12%

Note: Approximately 64% of respondents cited

an economic issue as their biggest concern

What, in your opinion, is the single biggest problem facing Jordan as a whole?

8

Open-ended

40%

19%

9%

21%

23%

11%

15%

8%

24%

16%

20%

14%13%

34%

13% 13%

10%

7%6%

15%

20%

8%

17%

12%

7%

10%

0%

20%

40%

Rising cost ofliving

Unemployment Syrian refugeeinflux

Poor economicconditions

Poverty Corruption Terrorism

AUG 09 JUN 11 JUL 12 DEC 13 FEB 15

Why in your opinion is the current economy in Jordan in "Bad" or "Very bad" shape? Any other reasons?

9

n=590

0%

20%

40%

High prices Low incomes Unemployment Corruption Refugee influx Bad economicconditions

Poverty Other

33%

15%

13%10%

8%5%

11%

30%

11%

22%

7% 7% 6%8% 9%

2013 2015

How would you describe the current economic situation in Jordan?

10

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Very good Good Bad Very bad Not sure

9%

54%

22%

13%

2%

8%

55%

19%16%

2%4%

39%

24%29%

4%2%

32%35%

29%

1%3%

46%

33%

16%

2%

2009 2011 2012 2013 2015

Do you think that the general economic situation in Jordan over the next 12 months is likely to get much better, somewhat better,

much worse, somewhat worse, or stay the same?

11

0%

20%

40%

60%

Much better Somewhatbetter

Same Somewhatworse

Much worse Not sure

10%

38%

28%

15%

5% 4%

9%

48%

23%

10%

5% 5%6%

33%

29%

14%

10%7%

5%

35%

21% 22%

12%

6%4%

40%

31%

13%

5%8%

2009 2011 2012 2013 2015

How would you describe your household economic condition?

12

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Very good Good Bad Very bad Not sure/Don'tknow

5%

61%

24%

10%

1%5%

69%

20%

6%

2013 2015

Do you think your own household economic situation over the coming 12 months is likely to get much better, somewhat better,

somewhat worse, much worse, or stay the same?

13

6%

40%

12%

4% 5%5%

64%

15%

5%

11%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

Much better Somewhat better Somewhat worse Much worse Not sure

2013 2015

What is the most urgent problem facing Jordan today?

14

0%

20%

40%

60%

Corruption Economy Employment Education Democracy Other

45%

24%23%

4%1%

3%

What is the second most urgent problem facing Jordan today?

15

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

Corruption Economy Employment Education Democracy Other

20%

31%

29%

8%

3%

9%

What is the third most urgent problem facing Jordan today?

16

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

Corruption Economy Employment Education Infrastructure Human rights Democracy Other

18% 18%

30%

10%8%

5%

2%

9%

Which of the following price increases constituted the heaviest burden on your household budget?

17

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

Car fuel Food Electricity Housing Education Health Mobile phones Transportation None Other

39%35%

17%

1% 1%2%

3%

15%

21%

28%

20%

7%

3%1%

3%2%

2013 2015

If prices had to be further increased by 10 percent, on which of the following would you most tolerate an increase?

18

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

Clothes Mobile phones Food Housing Transportation Car fuel Electricity None Other Not sure/Don't know

15% 14%

8%

4% 4% 3% 3%

43%

5%

1%

In order to improve basic government services (health care, education, infrastructure, etc…), are you in favor of or against

levying new taxes?

19

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

In favor Against Not sure/Don't know

12%

87%

1%9%

90%

2%

2013 2015


Low Level of Public Confidence in Parliament, Majority Believe Citizens do not

have Say in Governmental Decision Making

What is the impact of a newly elected parliament on the political situation in Jordan?

21

0%

20%

40%

60%

Politicalsituation inJordan is

much better


better

Politicalsituation in

Jordan is thesame


worse


much worse

Not sure/Don't know

3%

23%

46%

10%7%

11%

Overall, has the impact of the newly elected parliament moved Jordan in a better or worse direction?

22

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Jordan isheading in

much betterdirection

Jordan isheading in

betterdirection

Jordan isheading in

worsedirection

Jordan isheading in

much worsedirection

Not sure/Don'tknow

5%

33%

28%

18%16%

Did the current parliament accomplish anything that you feel it should be commended for?

23

0%

50%

100%

Yes No Not sure/Don't know

5%

81%

14%16%

71%

14%

DEC 13 FEB 15

What is the biggest accomplishment of the new parliament so far?

24

Open-ended; n=156

0%

10%

20%

30%

Reducingpetrolprices

Demandingfreeze onprices ingeneral

Attentionto citizens'concerns

Demandingfreeze onelectricity

rates

Demandingimproved

basicservices

Issuance oflaws and

legislation

Notsure/Don't

know

20%18%

14%

12%

8% 7%6%

To what degree are you interested in Jordanian political reforms?

25

0%

20%

40%

60%

Large degree Moderate degree Little degree Not at all Not sure/Don'tknow

48%

27%

11% 10%

5%

Do you think that any of the following will improve political reforms in Jordan?

26

44%

32%

43%

38%

49%

39%

18%

19%

17%

Empowerment and development of politicalparties

Parliament in which you can elect only candidatesof political parties, their coalitions and/or groups

of citizens

Government that is elected by parliament

Not sure/Don't know No Yes

How effective are each of these branches of government?

27

36%

17%

33%

43%

42%

46%

9%

18%

10%

5%

16%

6%

6%

7%

6%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Judicial Branch

Legislative Branch

Executive Branch

Very effective Quite effective Somewhat effective Not very effective Not sure/Don't know

How much confidence do you have in each of the following institutions?

28

8%

12%

24%

32%

35%

40%

51%

84%

20%

31%

37%

46%

50%

39%

34%

11%

23%

21%

14%

12%

8%

13%

8%

2%

34%

32%

22%

7%

6%

6%

4%

1%

14%

4%

4%

2%

2%

3%

3%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Political parties

Parliament

Prime Minister

Schools anduniversities

Doctors andhospitals

Religiousinstitutions

Judiciary

Military

A great deal Quite a lot Some Very little Not sure/Don't know

How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next elections?

29

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhatunlikely

Very unlikely Not sure/Don'tknow

20%

27%

16%

28%

8%


Knowledge of and Involvement in Political Parties Low

Have you heard of any of the following political parties? If so, are you aware of the political ideas and or vision of this

party?

31

Party

Level of

Awareness (%)

DEC 13

Level of

Awareness (%)

FEB 15

Knowledge of Vision

FEB 15 (% Total

Sample)

Islamic Action Front (IAF) 60 55 5

Al Wasat Party 51 40 4

National Stream Party (National

Current Party)

25 18 3

Jordanian Communist Party 21 17 1

Justice and Development Party 21 13 1

Arab Ba’athist Socialist Party 20 17 2

National Constitutional Party 18 18 2

Freedom and Equality Party 17 13 1

Justice and Reform Party 18 11 2

Jordanian Unified Front Party 17 11 1

Jordanian National Youth Party 15 12 2

Al-Rafah Party 15 11 1

Jordanian Democratic People’s Party -

Hashd

12 14 1

Reform Party 12 9 1


party?

32

PartyLevel of Awareness

DEC 13 (%)

Level of Awareness

FEB 15 (%)

Knowledge of Vision

FEB 15 (% Total

Sample)

National Jordanian Party 11 11 1

National Jordanian Democratic

Party

10 6 1

Al-Resaleh Party 11 13 1

Ba'athist Arab Progressive Party 10 9 1

Jordan National Union 10 8 1

Jordan National Action Front

Party

10 9 1

Dua’a Party 9 10 1

Al Hayat Party 8 7 1

National Movement for Direct

Democracy

8 7 1

Jordan Reform & Renewal Party

-Hasad

7 5 1

Jordan Arab Party 5 6 1

Al Forsan Jordanian Party 4 6 1


party?

33

PartyLevel of Awareness

DEC 13 (%)

Level of Awareness

FEB 15 (%)

Knowledge of Vision

FEB 15 (% Total

Sample)

Democratic Popular Unity Party N/A 7 1

Jordan Stronger Party N/A 16 2

Jordan Equality Party N/A 7 1

Jordan Shahama Party N/A 4 1

Jordanian Social Justice Party N/A 6 1

Al Ansar Party N/A 3 *

Jordan Shoura Party N/A 6 1

Jordan Integrity Party ‘Al balad

Al Ameen’N/A 4 1

National Loyalty Party (Wafaa’) N/A 6 1

* Less than 0.5%

Are you a member of political party?

34

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Yes No

1%

99%

Do you plan to join a political party in the next 12 months?

35

(n=992)

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Yes No Not sure

2%

97%

1%


Support for More Women Candidates; More Focus on Youth Needed

Do you believe women should be equally represented in political decision making in Jordan?

37

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhatdisagree

Strongly disagree Not sure

27%

40%

20%

12%

2%

How likely are you to vote for a woman candidate?

38

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhatunlikely

Very unlikely Not sure

27%

35%

14%

20%

4%

Are politicians addressing the needs of women?

39

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

Yes No Not Sure

38%

50%

12%

Are politicians addressing the needs of young people?

40

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%


26%

62%

11%

To what degree do you feel that you (citizens) have a say in governmental decision-making on issues that directly affect you?

41

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Large degree Moderate degree Little degree Not at all Not sure/Don'tknow

8%

35%

23%

30%

5%


Election Law

In the 2013 parliamentary elections, 61 lists competed for 27 national list seats out of 150 seats. These lists were composed of political party representatives and non-political party figures known at the national and local level.

Do you support increasing, decreasing, keeping thesame or abolishing the current number of seats set aside for lists?

43

0%

20%

40%

Increase Keep theSame

Decrease Abolish Not sure/Don'tknow

Refused toanswer

11%

23%

14%

29%

22%

1%

11%

30%

18%

25%

16%

1%

DEC 13 FEB 15

Do you think that the seats set aside for national lists should be limited only to political parties?

44

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Yes No Not sure/Don't know Refused to answer

16%

62%

22%

1%

17%

61%

22%

DEC 13 FEB 15

Do you Agree or Disagree with the following statements?

45

10%

7%

7%

8%

54%

47%

43%

64%

35%

46%

50%

28%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

"I would rather vote for the particularindividuals within the lists formed by the

parties or groups of citizens"

"I would rather vote for candidates or lists thatmy tribe supports"

"I would rather vote only for a districtcandidate"

"I would rather vote only for lists of candidatesformed by the parties or groups of citizens"

Agree Disagree Not sure/Don't know

If parliamentary elections were to be held in 2015, to what degree do you believe that the Independent Election Commission would be able to

ensure fair and transparent elections?

46

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

To a large degree To a moderatedegree

To a little degree Not at all Not sure/Don'tknow

15%

41%

18% 19%

6%


Perceptions of ISIS

Do you consider the self-declared Islamic State (ISIS) to be a terrorist organization?

48

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%


89%

4%7%

To what degree do you feel ISIS is a real threat to security in Jordan?

49

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

Large degree Moderatedegree

Little degree Not at all Notsure/Don't

know

Refused toanswer

37%

26%

16% 16%

5%

1%

To what degree do you support the international intervention against ISIS?

50

0%

20%

40%

60%

Large degree Moderatedegree

Little degree Not at all Notsure/Don't

know

Refused toanswer

54%

21%

4%

11% 10%

1%

What is your most important reason for this support?

51

Open-ended; n=748

0%

20%

40%

60%

Fight terrorism& eliminate ISIS

Safeguardregional

security &enhancestability

ISIS harmedIslam & its

image

The criminality& corruption of

ISIS

Avenge thekilling of pilot

Kasasbeh

Other No reason

58%

13%

17%

9%

2% 1% 1%

What is your most important reason for not supporting intervention?

52

Open-ended; n=147

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

Fear of draggingJordan into warand instability

Conspiracytargeting

Muslims andIslam

Not ourwar/Jordan is

far from events

Spare Muslimsand other

innocent people

Other No reason Refused toanswer

36%

34%

14%

4%

8%

3% 3%

Do you actively support the involvement of Jordan in the international intervention against ISIS?

53

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

Stronglysupport

Somewhatsupport

Somewhatagainst

Absolutelyagainst

Not sure/Don't know

Refused toanswer

47%

24%

6%

16%

6%

1%

Do you believe the ideology of ISIS has support among Jordanians?

54

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Yes No Not sure/Don't know Refused to answer

26%

58%

16%

1%

What do you think could be the reason for potential support of the ideology of ISIS among Jordanians?

55

n=255

33% 37%42%

61%

67% 62% 54%

38%

1% 1% 4% 1%

Poor economicconditions

Religion Social injustice Expansion of theIslamic State

No Yes Not sure/Don't know

Do you think ISIS is mainly supported by youth, religious people, or poor people?

56

n=255

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

Youth Religious people Poor people Not sure/Don't know

36%

30%

24%

11%


Sources of Information

What Jordanian source of information do you rely on most for news about politics and current events?

58

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

TV E-News sites Facebook Newspapers Radio Friends Family Other

69%

22%

4%1% 1% 1% 1% 1%


Syrian Refugee Influx

Do you approve of closing the borders to more Syrian refugees, continuing to receive Syrian refugees or continuing to receive

Syrian refugees but limiting the number?

60

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

Closing the bordersin the face of more

Syrian refugees

Continuing toreceive Syrian

refugees but limitthe number

Continuing toreceive more ofSyrian refugees

Not sure/Don't know

46%

38%

13%

2%

Have each of the following been positively or negatively affected by the Syrian refugee influx?

61

36%

75%

76%

79%

92%

93%

40%

3%

3%

3%

1%

2%

17%

20%

20%

16%

6%

3%

8%

3%

2%

1%

1%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Views of the internationalcommunity toward Jordan

Quality of education in publicschools

Quality of municipal services(garbage collection in

particular)

Quality of health services inpublic clinics and hospitals

Job market for Jordanians

Real estate market (lease orpurchase prices) for

Jordanians

Negatively affected Positively affected Not affected Not sure/Don't know

Demographics

2%

2%

6%

6%

14%

31%

31%

10%

32%

36%

28%

4%

30%

24%

25%

21%

20%

80%

8%

64%

28%

50%

50%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Refused to Answer

Not sure/Don't know

1000+ JOD

800 - 999 JOD

600 - 799 JOD

400 - 599 JOD

200 - 399 JOD

Less than 200 JOD

Higher than secondary

Secondary

Less than secondary

Illiterate

45+

35-44

25-34

18-24

Rural

Urban

South (Karak, Tafileh, Ma'an, Aqaba)

Center (Amman, Zarqa, Balqa, Madaba)

North (Irbid, Jerash, Ajloun, Mafraq)

Female

Male

62

GENDER

LOCATION

POPULATION DENSITY

AGE GROUP

EDUCATION

HOUSEHOLD INCOME

(MONTHLY)

Demographics

18%

82%

41%

59%

4%

64%

14%

7%

8%

2%

83%

17%

71%

29%

62%

38%

4%

69%

27%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

No

Yes

No

Yes

Not sure/Don’t remember

More than 12 months

Less than 12 months

Less than six months

Less than three months

Less than one month

No

Yes

Private

Public

Not working

Working

Other

Married

Single

63

MARITAL STATUS

EMPLOYMENT STATUS

EMPLOYMENT SECTOR

(n=380)

TIME SPENT LOOKING FOR A JOB

(n=106)

LOOKING FOR A JOB

(n=620)

CHILDREN IN PUBLIC SCHOOLS

FAMILY MEMBER USING

GOVERNMENT HEALTH SERVICES

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Survey of Jordan Public Opinion - IRI...2015/05/26 · Survey of Jordan Public Opinion February 25 –March 1, 2015 Detailed Methodology 2 • This survey was designed, coordinated

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